Tue.Jun 04, 2024

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Research links: a lack of guarantees

Abnormal Returns

Research What happened to the short term reversal effect? (klementoninvesting.substack.com) What can we really learn from a century of capital markets returns? (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Do more diverse hedge fund teams outperform? (alphaarchitect.com) Why one CTA manager may not be enough to capture managed futures returns. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Why you should let AI listen to earnings calls.

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Bloomberg’s Hedge Fund Forum 2024

The Big Picture

Today, I am participating in a few events at Bloomberg’s Hedge Fund Forum 2024. I will be moderating the Emerging Managers Panel (I did this last year as well). It is a great collection of three new(ish) managers, in a variety of areas, all of whom have put up solid numbers: 3:45 PM Panel Discussion: Emerging Managers Panelists: Vince Aita, CIO & Managing Partner, Cutter Capital Management Brian Hurst, Founder and CIO, ClearAlpha Technologies Melvin Ike, Founder and Managing Partner, The

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Tuesday links: the next big boom

Abnormal Returns

Markets The best time to prepare for a bear market is before it begins. (awealthofcommonsense.com) When you own $240 million of a meme stock, does it actually own you? (sherwood.news) Companies Does Intel ($INTC) have a route forward? (spyglass.org) Weird stuff happens when a CEO controls overlapping companies. (theverge.com) Tech The rubber is hitting the road with the CHIPS Act.

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#FASuccess Ep 388: Transitioning To Independent RIA With Only $7M Of AUM To Turbocharge Growth With Website Local SEO, With Freeman Linde

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 388th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Freeman Linde. Freeman is the Co-Founder of La Crosse Financial Planning, an RIA based in La Crosse, Wisconsin, that oversees nearly $50 million in assets under management (AUM) for 73 client households. What's unique about Freeman, though, is how despite the conventional industry view that it takes $10s of millions of AUM to go independent, launched his own RIA with just $7M

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.1 million in April

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings changed little at 8.1 million on the last business day of April , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, both the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.6 million and 5.4 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (

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The Minsky Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

Through the end of May, the S&P 500 has experienced 24 new all-time highs this year alone. Volatility has been relatively low for some time now. We haven’t had a 2% down day on the S&P 500 in well over 300 trading days: That’s fast approaching the longest streak without a nasty down day over the past 10 years. The S&P 500 is up around 11% for the year on a total return basis.

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Gasoline Prices See Largest Weekly Drop of 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Gas prices fell for a sixth straight week, experiencing their largest weekly drop of the year. As of June 3rd, the prices of regular and premium gas each fell 6 cents from the previous week. The WTIC end-of-day spot price for crude oil closed at $74.22, down 7.0% from last week.

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New Dynasty-Backed RIA Accuses Former Firm of Lack of Accountability, Body Shaming

Wealth Management

Former employees of Salomon & Ludwin claim they were under the protections of the Broker Protocol when they departed; they also cited concerns about the RIA’s culture and poor communication.

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Differentiated Return Streams

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

We spend a lot of time here dissecting alternatives in pursuit of refining the portfolio to being more resilient in the face of serious declines and trying to improve risk adjusted results. One high level aspect of this process is trying to understand what to expect from a particular fund. For some funds it is easy to figure out what it is trying to do, regardless of whether it succeeds, you can figure out what the goal is.

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Auditpalooza: Rocking the Month-End Close Audit

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

A good, fast, clean audit leads to a happy work life. Join us in this one-hour webinar, where we share the best ways to prepare and conduct your audit process to maximize audit satisfaction and minimize administrative time in month-end close and financial reporting. Learning objectives: This course objective is to review leading practices to maximize audit success.

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12 Investment Must Reads for This Week

Wealth Management

Wirehouses advisors are urging defensive equities strategies in the runup to the 2024 election, reports FundFire. Morningstar explored how investors should consider allocating to private equity. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.

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Buffett Valuation Indicator: May 2024

Advisor Perspectives

With the Q1 GDP second estimate and the May close data, we now have an updated look at the popular "Buffett Indicator" -- the ratio of corporate equities to GDP. The current reading is 204.9%, up from 184.4% the previous quarter.

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WealthManagement.com Announces 2024 'Wealthies' Finalists

Wealth Management

The tenth annual WealthManagement.com Industry Awards ceremony will be held in New York City on Sept. 5.

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Heavy Truck Sales Unchanged in May

Calculated Risk

This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the May 2024 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR). Heavy truck sales really collapsed during the great recession, falling to a low of 180 thousand SAAR in May 2009. Then heavy truck sales increased to a new record high of 570 thousand SAAR in April 2019.

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Benchmarking ROI with Forrester: Measuring the Success of Finance Transformation

Finance Transformation Myths Busted Over 75% of organizations struggle to define the right success metrics to benchmark the impact of their finance transformation investment. Whether you are just initiating your digital transformation journey or planning to pitch your next AI project to leadership, without the right metrics and a rigorous tracking process - all your efforts might go to waste!

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Morgan Stanley Executive Departs For Citi Wealth

Wealth Management

Dawn Nordberg will lead a new program to strengthen ties between Citi's banking and wealth divisions, among other responsibilities, according to Andy Sieg.

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Reframing your thinking to overcome fear about developing COI relationships

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Alessandro M. Forte, FCII, CFP There should always be a holistic nature to financial planning. You can either fall into the category of transactional advisors, where you are simply looking to sell a product, or you can take the wholly encompassing, 360-degree approach to giving good financial advice, supported by a range of other professional services.

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401(k) Real Chat: Jeff Elvander

Wealth Management

Retirement industry thought leaders answer three probing questions on critical issues, providing an open, honest and candid dialogue.

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A Hospital Bankruptcy Offers a Cautionary Tale on Private Equity

Advisor Perspectives

As private equity investment in health care has surged to almost $1 trillion over the past decade — funding new technologies, clinical trials and more — a lack of transparency has made it hard to assess whether the industry is also putting patients at risk.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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BNY Mellon’s Pershing X Upgrades Wove Platform

Wealth Management

The new features include a one-stop client portal, cloud data platform, consolidated APIs and portfolio management suite.

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Job Openings Fall to Lowest Level Since February 2021

Advisor Perspectives

The latest job openings and labor turnover summary (JOLTS) report showed that job openings fell to their lowest level since February 2021. Vacancies dropped to 8.059 million in April from March's downwardly revised level of 8.355 million. The latest reading was below the expected 8.370 million vacancies.

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Digital Assets Custodian Prometheum Makes a Bigger Push into RIA Space

Wealth Management

With licenses from FINRA and the SEC, Prometheum hopes to remove barriers preventing RIAs from recommending digital assets. It’s hired Marc Nichols to lead the effort.

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Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Services

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for May. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 174,000 payroll jobs added in May, down from 192,000 in April. • At 10:00 AM, the ISM Services Index for May.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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RIA Edge Podcast: Charting Growth with Insights From Wealth Enhancement Group's Jeff Dekko

Wealth Management

WEG CEO Jeff Dekko shares his company’s approach to staffing models, strategic decision-making and the significance of organic growth in the financial advisory industry.

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Something’s Gotta Give

Advisor Perspectives

There are many historical relationships within financial markets based on sound economic theory, which accordingly repeat cycle after cycle. High yield bonds and small cap stocks typically move in line with each other, but the two have diverged since 2022.

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$1B California Team Leaves Merrill to Go Independent

Wealth Management

A team of Merrill advisors with more than $1 billion in assets is going independent and forming Alteri Wealth, which will custody with Schwab.

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Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields

Advisor Perspectives

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of May 31, it was 4.51%.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Conquest Planning Upgrades Its Strategic Advice Manager

Wealth Management

SAM INSIGHTS, Ask SAM and SAM Score are the latest iterations of the Canadian firm’s AI-based planning platform.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators

Advisor Perspectives

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.

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Stratos Adds Second Team in As Many Weeks in Its Backyard

Wealth Management

Pistone Wealth Advisors brings $120 million in client assets from Beacon Financial Advisory.