Tue.Mar 26, 2024

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Tuesday links: moving toward the mean

Abnormal Returns

Markets The equity risk premium is skimpy at the moment. (capitalspectator.com) Higher for longer is helping to push Treasury yields higher. (wsj.com) Books Gary Stevenson’s book “The Trading Game” helps explain the past twenty years in the financial markets. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) What you can learn from Carrie Sun's new book “Private Equity: A Memoir.

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Are We Living in The Roaring 20s?

A Wealth of Common Sense

In March 2020, at the height of uncertainty at the outset of the pandemic, I wrote about what it took to get to the roaring 1920s. This chart sums it up nicely: Here’s what I wrote at the time: How many people at the time would have predicted during the war/pandemic/recession/depression years that the 1920s would be one of the most innovative, prosperous periods our country had ever seen?

Marketing 145
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Research links: noisy, unreliable data

Abnormal Returns

ETFs How the existence of sector ETFs affects analyst estimates. (papers.ssrn.com) How mutual funds and ETFs can exist side-by-side. (papers.ssrn.com) Macro Hedging inflation risk is harder than it looks. (insights.finominal.com) How do macro factors affect trend following returns? (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Quant stuff It's not difficult to calculate downside beta.

Portfolio 265
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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.0% year-over-year in January

Calculated Risk

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for January ("January" is a 3-month average of November, December and January closing prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. From S&P S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Continues to Trend Upward in January 2024 The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.

Assets 134
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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#FA Success Ep 378: Scaling Growth At 1/4th The Cost Of M&A By Wading Through The “No’s” Of SmartAsset Leads, With Michael Collins

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 378th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Michael Collins. Michael is the CEO & Founder of WinCap Financial, an RIA based in Boston, Massachusetts, that oversees $80M in assets under management for 70 client households. What's unique about Michael, though, is that since 2021 he has been able to grow WinCap Financial at a rate of more than $10M of AUM per year through consistently reaching out to leads purchased through SmartAs

More Trending

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$750M Advisor Joins Raymond James from Schwab

Wealth Management

Lynette Ancona will be part of Raymond James’ employee advisor channel. Previously, she was a branch-based advisor with Charles Schwab.

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Consumer Confidence Inches Down in March

Advisor Perspectives

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® inched down in March. The index fell to 104.7 this month from February's downwardly revised 104.8. This month's reading was lower than expected, falling short of the 106.9 forecast.

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The Threat to Economic Growth of Rising U.S. Debt-to-GDP Ratio

Wealth Management

It could lead to lower equity returns for Investors.

Economics 119
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Comments on January House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Declined Slightly in January

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.0% year-over-year in January; FHFA: House Prices Declined Slightly in January, up 6.3% YoY Excerpt: S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for January ("January" is a 3-month average of November, December and January closing prices).

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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ETFs with the Worst Three-Year Returns

Wealth Management

Funds focused on clean energy and cannabis performed the worst over the last three years.

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A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices

Calculated Risk

Two key points: 1) There is a clear seasonal pattern for house prices. 2) The surge in distressed sales during the housing bust distorted the seasonal pattern. This was because distressed sales (at lower price points) happened at a steady rate all year, while regular sales followed the normal seasonal pattern. This made for larger swings in the seasonal factor during the housing bust.

Sales 107
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Stifel Faces $2.2M in FINRA Penalties for Poor ETP Oversight

Wealth Management

Stifel Financial will pay more than $2.2 million to settle FINRA charges it poorly supervised non-traditional ETP recommendations.

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Banks’ New Trick Won’t Make Their Risks Disappear

Advisor Perspectives

One big reason the global financial system nearly collapsed in 2008 was that banks had shifted risks into the shadows, relying on insurance-like instruments that proved incapable of absorbing losses.

Banking 105
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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11 Investment Must Reads This Week

Wealth Management

Non-traded alternative funds have raised nearly $17 billion so far in 2024, according to the latest data from Robert A. Stanger. Some hedge fund managers are looking to launch ETFs amid a boom in actively-managed funds, reports ETF Stream. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for financial advisors.

Investing 114
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Wednesday: Mortgage Applications

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

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California CPA Firm Unveils WFY Wealth Management

Wealth Management

Wright Ford Young & Co. launched its new division on the Integrated Partners platform.

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Three Questions Every Growth-Minded Advisor Must Answer

Advisor Perspectives

Effective marketing requires intention and a gut check. You need to honestly assess where your business is today before investing your time and efforts to get where you want to go.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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RIA Edge Podcast: Modern Wealth's Mike Capelle on Lessons Learned at United Capital, Goldman Sachs

Wealth Management

RIA executive Mike Capelle shares his vision for Modern Wealth Management to become a nationwide, “holistic” wealth management firm for the mass affluent.

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My Top 10 Peeves

Discipline Funds

I wrote a fun new paper about the top 10 thing s in finance and economics that are my pet peeves. The article was inspired by the wonderful Cliff Asness paper from 2014 in which he debunks many common finance myths. Many of the things that annoy Cliff also annoy me, but I tend to get more annoyed by bad economic narratives. So, while this paper will never match up to the brilliant thinking of someone like Cliff I hope it’s a useful and different angle on some bad narratives that I wish wou

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Dynasty/F2 Survey Highlights Benefits of 'Partnered' Independence

Wealth Management

The survey found RIAs that work with wealth management platforms—like Dynasty's—grow significantly faster and have higher valuations than standalone firms.

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3 strategies for working with millennials

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Liz DeCarlo, MDRT Content Manager The “me” generation, self-absorbed, high-maintenance. These stereotypes are often used to describe millennials, said Aaron L. Hammer, LUTCF , in his presentation at the 2017 Annual Meeting. But there are also other words that apply to them: independent, positive, multi-taskers, tech-savvy, hungry for information, optimistic.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Animal Spirits: The Roaring Twenties

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by TBIL and the US Benchmark Series: See here for more information on investing in TBIL and the US Benchmark Series See here to register for The Compound Insider On today’s show, we discuss: Why the roaring twenties left many Americans poorer Lots more on the big can kick in commercial real estate The $27T Treasury market is only getting bigger Hey ChatGPT, why isn&#821.

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FHFA House Price Index Falls for First Time Since August 2022

Advisor Perspectives

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) house price index (HPI) fell to 417.5 in January, its first decline since August 2022. U.S. house prices decreased by 0.1% from the previous month and are up 6.4% from one year ago. After adjusting for inflation, the real index was down 0.2% month-over-month and up 4.7% year-over-year.

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How Adopting My Son Has Made Me a Better Leader

Wealth Management

Is there a junior talent pipeline program your firm is willing to invest in?

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Diversification Needed to Capitalize on AI Investing Opportunities

Advisor Perspectives

Ask investors, likely both professional and retail, what individual stock they most readily associated with artificial intelligence (AI).

Retail 72
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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Adjusted for Risk: How Advisors Can Differentiate Themselves Via Retirement Strategies

Wealth Management

Dunham Trust's Sal Capizzi details how advisors can bring value to their clients through retirement planning and understanding the different retirement strategies.

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Gasoline Prices Rise to Highest Level Since October

Advisor Perspectives

Gas prices increased for a fourth straight week, jumping to their highest level since October. As of March 25th, the prices of regular and premium gas each increased 7 cents from the previous week. The WTIC end-of-day spot price for crude oil closed at $81.95, down 0.3% from last week.

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How to Handle a Forced Early Retirement, Ep #212

Financial Symmetry

Retirement can hit us with numerous curveballs. One of those could happen right out of the gate–being forced with an early retirement. We all know that layoffs are part of the corporate landscape. While they are commonplace, when you are … Continued The post How to Handle a Forced Early Retirement, Ep #212 appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.