The Big Picture

JULY 22, 2022

After yesterday’s discussion on the uncertainty monster , a friend who “loves perspective changers” reached out with a challenge: “Most people rarely question their own basic ideas,” he said, He challenged me to find 10 concepts to do just that. I agreed to give it a shot, assembling a list of my own, filling it out with a few classics from others: Uncertainty : Objectively speaking “uncertainty” does not increase or decrease – by definition, the future is always inherently uncertain.

Executive Compensation 352

Executive Compensation Government Marketing Marketing 352

Abnormal Returns

JULY 29, 2022

The biz Nonfiction podcasting has a plagarism problem. (theracket.news) Audiobook functionality will arrive inside Spotify ($SPOT) “quite imminently.” (variety.com) 45 podcast episodes to help you learn about investing. (overlookedalpha.com) The 15 best tech podcasts including the 'Techmeme Ride Home.' (fastcompany.com) Business Will Thorndike talks with Nick Howley who is the Founder and Executive Chairman of TransDigm ($TDG).

Investing 287

Investing Investments Management Marketing 287

The Reformed Broker

JULY 28, 2022

It’s been an honor and a pleasure writing, recording and filming for you guys all year. 2022 has been incredibly challenging as an investor, a financial advisor, an investment advisory CEO and a professional market commentator. Tough all around. Like everyone else, I’ve gotten some stuff right and some stuff wrong this year. Based on this week’s reaction to large cap technology company earnings and the F.

Financial Advisor 258

Financial Advisor Investing Investments Marketing 258

Nerd's Eye View

JULY 12, 2022

Welcome back to the 289th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Kamila Elliott. Kamila is the CEO and Founder of Collective Wealth Partners, an independent RIA based in Atlanta, Georgia, that oversees nearly $25 million in assets under management for almost 175 client households. What's unique about Kamila, though, is how she and her partners built an independent advisory firm, comprised entirely of Black CFP professionals, dedicated to supporting the

Financial Advisor 246

Financial Advisor CFP Clients Financial Planning 246

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

Accounting

Pragmatic Capitalism

JULY 13, 2022

The most recent headline CPI came in at 9.1% so it might seem odd to think that the risk of disinflation and deflation is rising. But while the CPI is [ … ].

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The Big Picture

JULY 25, 2022

For the first half of this year, I have steadfastly refused to join Club Recessionista. I have not believed we were already in a recession, and I was hopeful that a moderate Fed gradually raising rates to throttle inflation could execute that soft landing. No longer. As I mentioned to Tom Keene last week, Nick Timiraos in the Wall Street Journal revealed the Fed’s intention to raise rates 75 basis points brought a reckoning to my hopes of a non-recessionary growth slow down.

Economy 345

Economy Economics Engineering Food 345

Abnormal Returns

JULY 24, 2022

Markets Making the case for high yield bonds right now. (marketwatch.com) Markets are adept at busting expectations. (compoundadvisors.com) Companies Why would another company trust Elon Musk again? (rationalwalk.com) The big food delivery companies are branching out. (wsj.com) Single-stock ETFs How single-stock ETFs work. (etftrends.com) Single-stock ETFs are another example of how leverage finds its way into the system.

Financial Advising 264

Financial Advising Food Manufacturing Media 264

The Reformed Broker

JULY 16, 2022

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. These were the most read posts on the site this week, in case you missed it: The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Nerd's Eye View

JULY 19, 2022

Welcome back to the 290th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Andrew Komarow. Andrew is the founder of Tenpath Financial Group and Planning Across the Spectrum, a hybrid firm based in Farmington, Connecticut that oversees $100 million in assets under management for 100 client households. What's unique about Andrew, though, is how he, as a financial advisor with autism, has built a firm with a specialized niche of autistic and other neurodivergent cli

Financial Advisor 245

Financial Advisor Clients Financial Planning Insurance 245

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

Accounting

A Wealth of Common Sense

JULY 26, 2022

A reader asks: Many right now are saying real estate is the only way to get a real return in a safe manner. Will you post some data on real estate vs. bonds vs. stocks? You always have to be careful when you use the word “safe” when it comes to investing. An investment that feels safe now could be very risky in the future and vice versa.

Assets 144

Assets Investments Investing Marketing 144

Calculated Risk

JULY 21, 2022

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released yesterday from Chief Economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending July 16, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, rising 29% above one year ago.

Sales 145

Sales Marketing Marketing 145

The Big Picture

JULY 27, 2022

Today is Fed day, when we get the 75 bps increase that dramatically increases the odds of a recession. The main storyline is inflation, but the overlooked subplot here is Wages. I have detailed over the past decade or so the lagging nature of wages in America — deflationary in economic terms — and how that had begun to change in the late 2010s pre-pandemic.

Medicine 331

Medicine Numbers Food Insurance 331

Abnormal Returns

JULY 20, 2022

Investing Investing in stocks is bet on human ingenuity. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Marketing messages are not guarantees when it comes to investing. (wsj.com) Nine key questions for any investor including 'Why is active management destined to underperform?' (humbledollar.com) Five things to do as an investor in your 20's. (peterlazaroff.com) How to avoid investment scams.

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Retirement Accounting Economics Investments 246

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Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

Accounting

The Reformed Broker

JULY 13, 2022

Put this phrase in your vocabulary for the second half of the year because you are going to be hearing it everywhere: “a mild recession.” This is where the puck is going. All of Wall Street’s chief strategists and chief economists are going to be pivoting to this case if they haven’t already. The “soft landing” idea is going to fade away.

Marketing 268

Marketing Marketing 268

Nerd's Eye View

JULY 27, 2022

Financial planning is both an art and a science. While an advisor needs technical financial planning knowledge to create and implement plans for clients, soft skills that involve effective communication and relationship building are also crucial to both relate to prospects and clients and to understand their needs. Further, one of the most important qualitative ways an advisor can add value to clients is by helping them identify and select meaningful goals.

Financial Planning 244

Financial Planning Planning Clients Retirement 244

A Wealth of Common Sense

JULY 28, 2022

A reader asks: As a long term investor (10-20 year horizon) is it worth selling portions of a stock when it’s up and taking some profits, maybe reinvesting when the price goes down or pocketing the money? Or, is it best to stay “all in” regardless of the ups and downs? There are two different ways to think about this question. One is the Charlie Munger approach.

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Assets 143

Calculated Risk

JULY 26, 2022

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for May ("May" is a 3-month average of March, April and May prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. From S&P: S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller Index Reports Annual Home Price Gain Of 19.7% In May The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.

Management 144

Management 144

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As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

Banking

The Big Picture

JULY 29, 2022

The last time we looked at the State Coincident Indicators Index, all 50 States were in an economic expansion over the trailing 3 months. The diffusion index = 100. That is no longer the case today. The FOMC meeting on May 3-4 raised rates by 50 basis points, which was followed by the 75 basis point increase at the June 14-15 FOMC meeting. Taking rates to the 1.50%-1.75% range had some bite, and we see the impact of this higher cost of credit combined with inflation impacting the economy.

Economics 321

Economics Banking Retail Economy 321

Abnormal Returns

JULY 18, 2022

Treasuries The MOVE index is at 2020-like levels. (axios.com) Investors are shunning the 20-year Treasury. (ft.com) Stock picking On the importance of researching stocks even when they are too expensive. (rationalwalk.com) When to sell a stock: a flowchart. (twitter.com) 60/40 Portfolio A reason why the 60/40 portfolio isn't working this time around.

Financial Advising 246

Financial Advising Startup Economy Portfolio 246

The Reformed Broker

JULY 22, 2022

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Shannon Saccocia, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss the Nasdaq bounce, inflation vs spending, good news for the economy, Shannon’s ideas for the second half, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

Economy 246

Economy Marketing Marketing 246

Nerd's Eye View

JULY 26, 2022

Welcome back to the 291st episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Amy Irvine. Amy is the owner of Rooted Planning Group, an independent RIA based in Corning, New York that oversees $67 million in assets under management for 175 client households. What's unique about Amy, though, is how she managed the complexities of starting her own RIA focused on Gen X women, and then dealt with unexpected growing pains as her business development worked ‘too wel

Financial Planner 244

Financial Planner Management Planning Financial Advisor 244

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

Financial Advice

A Wealth of Common Sense

JULY 31, 2022

Derek Thompson posted this incredible chart from Our World in Data on who Americans spend their time with, by age: These are average numbers but based on this chart the time spent with: Your family peaks at around 15 years old. Your friends peaks at around 18 years old. Your co-workers peaks at around 30 years old. Your kids peaks at around 40 years old.

Numbers 143

Numbers 143

Calculated Risk

JULY 31, 2022

After reaching 6.28% on June 14th, 30-year mortgage rates decreased to 5.13% on Friday according to Mortgagenewsdaily.com. The 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to 2.66%, likely due to the weaker economy. Here is a graph from Mortgagenewsdaily.com that shows the 30-year mortgage rate since 2017. Although mortgage rates have fallen sharply over the last 6 weeks, rates are still much higher than earlier this year.

Economy 143

Economy 143

The Big Picture

JULY 30, 2022

?. This week, we speak with Bloomberg Businessweek staff writer Hannah Elliott , who reports on the automotive industry with a special focus on hyper-cars, motorcycles, and electric and luxury vehicles. She lives in Los Angeles, where car culture is enjoying a renaissance. NOTE : During the broadcast portion, we had the usual Q&A but in the podcast portion, this turned into a conversation; Hannah made the mistake of asking me a question and we were off to the races of me babbling about cars

Economics 317

Economics Banking 317

Abnormal Returns

JULY 19, 2022

Markets A 3% 30-year Treasury bond is no great deal. (morningstar.com) Eight reasons why a 1929-style stock market crash is less likely today. (dariusforoux.com) Strategy The good thing about bear markets is that they eventually end. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why you should ignore the steady stream of market 'sorcerers.' (ofdollarsanddata.com) Finance Jefferies Financial Group ($JEF) is simplifying its business.

Financial Advising 245

Financial Advising Valuation Media Taxes 245

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

Financial Planning

The Irrelevant Investor

JULY 26, 2022

The bad news is that the percentage of companies beating earnings is the lowest it’s been since 2015. The good news, at least in the short term, is that not bad might be good enough. Google, which missed on the top and bottom line for the second quarter, is up 3% in the after hours. The stock was down 30% from its highs going into the print, so it appears that investors had discounted the disappointment.

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Nerd's Eye View

JULY 27, 2022

Financial planning is both an art and a science. While an advisor needs technical financial planning knowledge to create and implement plans for clients, soft skills that involve effective communication and relationship building are also crucial to both relate to prospects and clients and to understand their needs. Further, one of the most important qualitative ways an advisor can add value to clients is by helping them identify and select meaningful goals.

Financial Planning 241

Financial Planning Planning Clients Retirement 241

Alpha Architect

JULY 28, 2022

What are the consequences of widespread ESG-based portfolio exclusions on the expected returns of firms subject to exclusion? We consider two possible theoretical explanations. 1) Short-term price pressure around the exclusions leading to correction of mispricing going forward. 2) Long term changes in required returns. We use the exclusions of Norwegian Government Pension Fund Global (GPFG -`The Oil Fund') to investigate.

Portfolio 126

Portfolio Government Investing Investments 126