December, 2015

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No Seriously, What If You Only Invested In Stocks When They Were Cheap?

The Irrelevant Investor

Last week I asked the question "what if you only invested in stocks when they were cheap?" The chart below got a lot of scrutiny, understandably so. It's hard to believe that stocks did better when they were above their average valuation versus when they were below. I'm happy to chow on some crow here, the chart below is indeed greatly flawed. I think the message I was trying to convey got lost in translation, so I wanted to take the opportunity to address this.

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TEDxWilmington | Sustainable Investing: What you didn't know could make you money.

Brown Advisory

TEDxWilmington | Sustainable Investing: What you didn't know could make you money. ajackson. Sat, 12/05/2015 - 08:00. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at [link].

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What If You Only Invested In Stocks When They Were Cheap?

The Irrelevant Investor

Nobody likes to overpay, whether it's for food, clothing, a house, or stocks. The problem is people don't treat stocks the way they do a car, groceries, or jeans. If a cucumber goes from $2 to $10, you wouldn't say "wow, I need to buy some before it goes to $20." You would simply substitute it for another vegetable. However, if a stock rose 400% there are plenty of people who would pile on, anticipating a greater fool will come along after them.

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My 2015 Favorites

The Irrelevant Investor

Wow, this year went really fast. It feels like just yesterday that the Fed finally decided to raise rates. I wanted to share some of my favorite things from 2015. Podcast: I am lucky to be able to help Barry prepare for Master's in Business. Some guests I'm more excited about than others. I would put Ken Feinberg in the "others" category. I was wrong.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Momentum Investing Predates the Civil War

The Irrelevant Investor

"There is nothing new in Wall Street. There can't be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again" - Jesse Livermore Long before Cliff Asness wrote his dissertation on momentum, Alfred Cowles and Herbert Jones discovered that stocks tended to move in the direction in which they came from.

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Looking For a Ten Bagger?

The Irrelevant Investor

The other day I looked at a common theme among the decade's biggest winners; they tended to be very expensive relative to their peers based on traditional valuation metrics. Today I want to look at another trait these winners share, volatility and big drawdowns. A few things really stand out in this table. Nine of the ten biggest winners were all cut in half.

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Do Expensive Stocks Price In Future Growth?

The Irrelevant Investor

One of the common themes among the very best performing stocks is that they are attached to a high price-to-earnings ratio. It makes sense that the fastest growing companies deserve a higher multiple than the average stock. You'll notice in the table below that nine out of ten of the strongest stocks over the past decade traded at a higher average multiple than the S&P 500.

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Calling It Versus Nailing It

The Irrelevant Investor

It's one thing to call a trade, it's another thing entirely to profit off that call. First, there's the issue of timing. Then you have to be able to execute; when to get in, press your bet, take profits, etc. The excerpt below is from Gregory Zuckerman's The Greatest Trade Ever (emphasis mine). Investment advisor Peter Schiff seemed in an ideal position to benefit from real estate troubles.

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Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast?

The Irrelevant Investor

Long before Jim Cramer's record was being dissected, Alfred Cowles was skeptical of the claims made by stock market pundits. Cowles, who later founded the Cowles Foundation for Research and Economics , spent years working on a paper published in 1933, "Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast? His mission: "It seemed a plausible assumption that if we could demonstrate the existence in individuals or organizations of the ability to foretell the elusive fluctuations, either of particular stocks, or

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Ensuring Legacies Last

Brown Advisory

Ensuring Legacies Last. achen. Wed, 12/02/2015 - 10:29. Heirs who are unprepared for an inheritance may find that a big windfall can quickly become a mixed blessing. An essential step in estate planning is making sure beneficiaries know all the responsibilities and challenges that accompany the management of increasing wealth. When an aging parent with an air-tight estate plan fails to prepare heirs for an inheritance, an act of kindness runs a high risk of backfire.

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Anchoring Expectations

Brown Advisory

Anchoring Expectations. achen. Wed, 12/02/2015 - 12:50. Stock market corrections can prompt investors to impulse selling or other moves that are often harmful to their long-term financial well-being. By walking through four steps with a client, we can refocus his or her mindset on the fundamental issues that help safeguard financial stability and achieve steady outperformance.

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Diamonds In The Rough

Brown Advisory

Diamonds In The Rough. achen. Wed, 12/02/2015 - 12:58. Weak commodity prices and flagging emerging market economies have dimmed the outlook for energy and metals companies, and are shaking up the high-yield bond market. Through conservative, bottom-up analysis, we are taking advantage of current market dynamics to buy attractively priced debt in companies with solid revenues and limited vulnerability to an economic downturn.

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Thinning of the Herd

The Irrelevant Investor

There has been a lot of talk lately about the lack of participation; how only a few stocks are actually rewarding shareholders while so many have been burning them. Winners have been few and far between but it's not as if the index is exactly on fire. While it's true that without Amazon and Google the market would be down, even with them, the S&P 500 is only up 1.5% for the year.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Off the Beaten Trail

Brown Advisory

Off the Beaten Trail. achen. Wed, 12/02/2015 - 13:46. Investors should expect the market swings of 2015 to carry over into the new year, driven largely by concerns over weak global growth. We are recommending that clients consider high-yield bonds and other asset classes that can offer the prospect of solid gains that diverge from the path of traditional stocks and bonds.

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