August, 2024

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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

I’m deep in my book writing work discussing federal debt when I see a tweet that simply epitomizes the entire genre. Full disclosure: My priors on federal debt are that I don’t know where the line of too much should be drawn, but I do know that none of the terrible things we were warned about over the past 50 years due to excess debt have come to pass.

Economy 347
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week 15 sure-fire ways to lose money in the markets. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Successful investors have a long time horizon. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Stop paying attention to stuff that doesn't matter. (behaviouralinvestment.com) What do you get when you buy a share of Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.B)? (sherwood.news) It's not your imagination, market moves are getting faster.

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Making Estate Planning More Tax Efficient And Equitable For Beneficiaries By NOT Just Splitting The Assets Evenly

Nerd's Eye View

Traditionally, people tend to think of their estate as comprising one big 'pot' of assets, focusing on the sum of all the assets rather than on each individual asset itself. Consequently, when in estate planning, thinking about how to divide their assets after their death, they often aim to simply apportion the whole pot among their beneficiaries, without regard to the nature of each individual asset.

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Millennials Are Becoming Boomers

A Wealth of Common Sense

After the Great Financial Crisis, everyone was trying to figure out how it would impact the coming wave of millennials entering adulthood. Millennials were getting blamed for killing everything — napkins, diamond rings, chain restaurants, motorcycles, bar soap and more. Sure, whatever. The one that never made sense to me was all the pundits predicting millennials would never buy a home or move out of big cities.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Fed Confronts Up to a Million US Jobs Vanishing in Revision

Advisor Perspectives

US job growth in the year through March was likely far less robust than initially estimated, which risks fueling concerns that the Federal Reserve is falling further behind the curve to lower interest rates.

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911 EV Is Complete!

The Big Picture

Our story so far : Stuck at home over the pandemic, it was a perfect time to revisit a pastime of my youth – buying cheap beater cars, and turning them into something fun and worthwhile. Only this time, I have a lifetime of experience with what does and doesn’t work well, along with a somewhat more generous budget. All of this got restarted about a decade ago; I was personalizing a 2013 flood salvage-title Rubicon ; it reminded me how much fun it was to do these little projects.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Good luck trying to figure out the stock market these days. (sherwood.news) The stock market is not economy, and vice versa. (awealthofcommonsense.com) On the differences between individual bonds and bond funds. (humbledollar.com) What to do the next time the stock market tanks. (tonyisola.com) You may be surprised by what Olympians eat.

Economy 308
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Utilizing Swap Powers In Irrevocable Trusts To Add Flexibility And Income Tax Efficiency

Nerd's Eye View

Irrevocable trusts lie at the heart of a variety of estate planning strategies, as gifts to irrevocable trusts can allow for the transfer of assets outside of an owner’s estate for estate tax purposes with more structure than an outright gift. The downside, however, is that irrevocable trusts are "irrevocable" and can't easily be undone; in moving assets to the trust, the original owner gives up their authority over the assets, with the trustee taking over the management and distribution o

Taxes 241
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15 Ways to Lose Money in the Markets

A Wealth of Common Sense

There’s plenty of investment advice out there based on what one must do to be successful. You don’t see many people who take the opposite approach and talk about what you shouldn’t do. There are many ways to succeed as an investor but only a few avenues to failure. Here are some surefire ways to make poor investment decisions: 1. Pretend you’re smarter than the market.

Marketing 144
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Housing August 19th Weekly Update: Inventory up 0.8% Week-over-week, Up 40.4% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 0.8% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 41.4% from the February seasonal bottom. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of August 16th, inventory was at 698 thousand (7-day average), compared to 693 thousand the prior week. This is the highest level of inventory since June 2020 ; however, inventory is still well below pre-pandemic levels.

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Market Commentary: Risks Increase, But Don’t Overreact to the Turbulence

Carson Wealth

Houston, We Have Turbulence The S&P 500 fell 2.0% last week, declining for the third consecutive week, but unlike the past few weeks, this time the selling was across the board. Economic data last week showed the economy slowing more than expected, adding to worries about a potential recession. We still think a recession can be avoided, but risks have increased.

Marketing 141
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The End of Spam: Robocalls and texts… your days are numbered : The industry blasting your phone with spam calls and texts is about to implode. The feds could throw a wrench into the opaque, sometimes sketchy, and incredibly lucrative lead-generator industry. ( Sherwood ) • The Well-Off People Who Can’t Spend Money : Tightwads drag around a phantom limb of poverty, no

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Monday links: building wealth over time

Abnormal Returns

Markets There is big difference between politics and policies when it comes to investing. (optimisticallie.com) 20 pandemic darlings that have yet to rebound. (investmenttalk.co) Companies Couche-Tard seeks to buy US$31 billion owner of 7-Eleven stores (bnnbloomberg.ca) Why Carl Icahn and Icahn Enterprises ($IEP) just settled with the SEC. (ft.com) How the cannabis landscape is changing.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 10-11)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" – this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent survey indicates that clients of financial advisors are more confident than others about their financial preparedness for retirement and are more likely to have a financial plan in place that can weather the ups and downs of the economy (perhaps increasingly relevant given recent market volatility), indicating that advisors have an opportunity to frame the v

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This is Normal

A Wealth of Common Sense

Boy that escalated quickly. Markets sold off in a hurry this week. The S&P 500 is down almost 6% from the recent highs. The Nasdaq 100 is in an 11% drawdown. After an extremely calm year, the past week or so has finally seen some volatility in the stock market. Here’s the thing — it’s what happened before this that was not normal: This really cool chart came out a couple of weeks ago (via Sherwood).

Marketing 145
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MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 6.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending August 2, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 6.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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UBS Is Latest Facing Cash Sweep Lawsuit

Wealth Management

According to the federal complaint calling for a class action, the firm’s policies “maximize profits for UBS while at the same time disregarding its clients’ best interests.

Clients 131
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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MiB: Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI on Growth, Employment and Inflation Cycles

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute. Achuthan met his mentor, Geoffrey H. Moore, at Columbia University in 1990; they formed ECRI with Anirvan Banerji in 1996. He serves on the board of governors for the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College. In 2004, he co-authored Beating the Business Cycle: How to Predict and Profit From Turning Points in the Economy.

Economics 182
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site When it comes to finances, you are on your own. No one is coming to save you. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Callie Cox, "Your portfolio’s success depends on your behavior during the wild panics." (optimisticallie.com) Big up and down days in the stock market tend to cluster. (downtownjoshbrown.com) There is nothing normal about the distribution of angel investment returns.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 3-4)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that a Federal district court in Texas has put a stay on the effective date of the Department of Labor’s (DoL’s) new Retirement Security Rule (aka “Fiduciary Rule 2.0”), which had been scheduled to become effective in September, and related amendments to prohibited transaction exemptions.

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Financial Voices I Ignore

A Wealth of Common Sense

The firehose of information we’re afforded these days is a double-edged sword. There is an abundance of news, analysis, charts and opinions but it can all be overwhelming if you don’t have an effective filter in place. When it comes to finance I have some filters to help understand which types of sources and people to safely ignore. These are the types of financial voices and data I immediately ignore: Pricing.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 8% in July

Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Expands Another 8% in July The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, increased 7.9% in July to 216.3 (2000=100) from the revised June reading of 200.5. Over the month, commercial planning increased 6.8% and institutional planning expanded 11.1%. “While data centers have had an outsized influence on nonresidential planning activity in recent months, more momentum is building across many other major sectors and diversifyin

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Wrongfully Detained Americans Welcomed Back with IRS Penalties

Wealth Management

The agency doesn’t have the authority to fully forgive fines and interest.

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At the Money: Why Fees Matter

The Big Picture

Why Fees Really Matter with Eric Balchunas , Bloomberg Intelligence (Nov 8, 2023) Fees matter more than you think. Over the long term, the difference between a few basis points can turn into real, big money. On this episode, Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst Eric Balchunas joins us to discuss how fees can significantly impact your portfolio. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Eric Balchunas is been an ETF Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence.

Assets 173
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Personal finance links: the market canopy

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Peter Lazaroff on why you don't have to pick stocks to be successful. (peterlazaroff.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Prof. Aswath Damodaran about the lifecycle of companies. (ritholtz.com) Khe Hy talks with Rachel Feintzeig about the ins and outs of taking a sabbatical. (youtube.com) Retirement How to plan for retirement. (humbledollar.com) The case against downsizing in retirement.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 17-18)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced that a total of 26 broker-dealers, investment advisers, and dually-registered firms agreed to pay combined civil penalties of almost $400 million for failing to maintain and preserve required records for "off-channel" communications, signaling the regulator's interest in cracking down on text messages and other communi

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Flash Crashes Are Getting Faster

A Wealth of Common Sense

I’m a neat freak, so occasionally, I clean out my office and re-organize. While doing so earlier this week I came across an old Life magazine a reader sent me a number of years ago. It’s from June 1962 and the stock market was the cover story: The pictures are fantastic. So was the lede of the story: The signs, like rumblings of an Alpine ice pack at the time of thaw, had been heard.

Numbers 143
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Fed Q2 SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards and Weaker Demand for almost All Loan Types

Calculated Risk

From the Federal Reserve: The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) addressed changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households over the past three months, which generally correspond to the second quarter of 2024.

Banking 131