The Irrelevant Investor
NOVEMBER 30, 2015
I tend to be on the skeptical side when it comes to investing based on seasonal trends. I'm almost always of the mind that less is more and seasonality encourages more decision making, not less. Making changes to your portfolio based on this type of study would probably not be in your best interest when taking into consideration taxes, transaction costs, and most importantly, the cost of being wrong.
Brown Advisory
NOVEMBER 12, 2015
Strategic Advisory Letter | 2015 Year-End Planning Checklist. achen. Thu, 11/12/2015 - 11:10. As 2015 comes to a close, we remind our clients and friends of how important it is take time to review new tax rules, consider tax-saving opportunities and review investment and asset-protection plans before year’s end. As autumn rolls on and the holiday season approaches, it is once again time to consider a thorough review of your overall financial picture and your progress toward your long-term object
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The Irrelevant Investor
NOVEMBER 24, 2015
John Bogle, Cliff Asness, and Ray Dalio are just a few of the juggernauts that have recently been vocal about expecting lower returns. What is an advisor supposed to do when people like this are all on the same side of a very important issue? Here are a few ideas: Lower your expectations, literally. In the financial plan, you can lower expected returns and or adjust inflation upward.
The Irrelevant Investor
NOVEMBER 12, 2015
Cliff Asness is out with a new interesting paper, "Market Timing Is Back In The Hunt For Investors." In it, he discusses the efficacy of using valuations, specifically the CAPE ratio, to help time the market. One thing Asness addresses is the valuation drift upward which U.S. stocks have experienced over the last century. Here's Cliff: "As alluded to earlier when discussing the long-term upward drift in CAPE, another related but distinct headwind for contrarian stock market timing in the second
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The Irrelevant Investor
NOVEMBER 11, 2015
"Magicians are the most honest people in the world. They tell you they're gonna fool you, and then they do it." -James Randi I recently watched "An Honest Liar" on Netflix, which is the story of The Amazing Randi, a magician and escape artist who dedicated his life to unveiling the charlatans. He went on a crusade, targeting the psychics and faith healers and exposed them for the con artists that they were.
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The Irrelevant Investor
NOVEMBER 6, 2015
Guns, Germs and Steel is one of the most fascinating books I have read in a while. Jared Diamond masterfully tells the story of how and why civilizations have developed differently across the globe. I wanted to share a passage which questions the common thinking that "necessity is the mother of invention." The starting point for our discussion is the common view expressed in the saying 'Necessity is the mother of invention.
The Irrelevant Investor
NOVEMBER 9, 2015
Amazing things can come to people that work hard, persevere, and are lucky enough to be born in the right place at the right time. Malcolm Gladwell talks a lot about this in his book Outliers: The Story of Success , in which he explains why two-thirds of Canada's pro hockey players were born in January or February. Expanding on the idea that when and where you're born are everything.
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