The Big Picture

OCTOBER 24, 2024

What do the Great Depression, the Great Financial Crisis, the Stagflationary 1970s, and the upcoming 10-years have in common? If you are a strategist at Goldman Sachs , then a lot. At least if you do forecasts for market returns over the next decade (lol), you may see incredible similarities. ICYMI: David Kostin and his team of strategists see a 72% chance the S&P 500 underperforms Treasuries, and a 33% possibility equities return less than inflation.

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Distribution Economics Portfolio Economy 326

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 13, 2024

Top clicks this week If diversification is good, why not diversify globally? (humbledollar.com) Don't make your investing more complicated than it needs to be. (flyoverstocks.com) What institutional investors are doing isn't working. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) There is a whole class of pundits out there trying to knock you off your game. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Who died and paid the IRS a $7 billion estate tax bill?

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Taxes Investing Investments Marketing 297

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 29, 2024

Welcome, everyone! Welcome to the 409th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Travis Hornsby. Travis is the founder of Student Loan Planner, an RIA and student loan consulting company based in Chapel Hill, North Carolina that serves nearly 1,400 households with ongoing financial planning (as well as consulting with over 15,000 clients on student loan debt).

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Consulting Clients Financial Planning Compensation Planning 243

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 24, 2024

We also answered questions about how to write engaging content, defining your audience when writing, how to balance stories vs. numbers in a presentation and more. Further Reading: 50 Ways the World is Getting Better 1The other choices were What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars and The Money Game. The post Am I a Permabull? appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense.

Numbers 145

Numbers 145

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

Accounting

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 31, 2024

I once received an email from a family friend about long-term care insurance. He was frustrated over a premium increase – which wasn’t the first rate hike. Yet, he was thankful for the policy. Despite the rising cost, he knew the importance of long-term care insurance in helping protect himself and his family. Mostly because he knew the alternative and had seen examples of it play out time and time again.

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Planning Insurance Retirement Medical 142

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 9, 2024

 ATM: Valuation is an exercise in faith with Aswath Damodaran. (October 9, 2024) Do you understand the difference between price and value? How much faith do you have that any stock or market will eventually return to its intrinsic value? Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Professor Aswath Damodaran of NYU Stern School of Business is known as the Dean of Valuation.

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Valuation Investing Investments Numbers 325

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 6, 2024

Top clicks this week The U.S. is in the midst of an 'epic bull market.' (awealthofcommonsense.com) Don't ever hand your phone over to the police. (theverge.com) The time to prepare for a bear market is before it is on the horizon. (optimisticallie.com) Are small cap stocks declining in quality? (advisorperspectives.com) Earnings are the most important driver of stock prices.

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Assets Marketing Marketing 298

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 31, 2024

For many years, the traditional career track for financial advisors has been an 'eat what you kill' model – where advisors must independently find, convert, and manage their own clients. As such, it isn't uncommon for an advisor's first few years to be characterized by long hours, high rejection rates, and low pay. For many, this can be a stressfully prolonged period that typically eases only as advisors build their client base and establish themselves in the industry.

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Financial Advisor Clients Communication Management 240

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 20, 2024

There are certain financial publications that you can just tell have a European bent to them. They use words with an extra “u” like favourite, glamour, or colour. They use cheque instead of check. And per cent has a space for some reason. The Financial Times and The Economist come to mind. The Economist has a new special report with a series of stories about how America is the envy of the world, economically s.

Economics 145

Economics 145

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

Accounting

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 24, 2024

Retiring abroad can be a dream come true for many Americans, offering the opportunity to explore new cultures, enjoy different climates, and potentially stretch retirement savings. But moving to a new country involves significant financial planning. If you’re considering making the leap, there are key financial considerations you need to weigh before you make this major life change.

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Retirement Healthcare Taxes Medical 143

Fortune Financial

OCTOBER 14, 2024

It has been my experience when reviewing portfolios that diversification is typically expressed simply as a number of various stocks owned, or owning a handful of asset classes, usually stocks of various sizes and geographies, and bonds of varying maturities. While such a simple asset allocation may work for many investors, it is my view that too little thought is given to other diversification tools that may enhance a portfolio by addressing some vulnerabilities that can result when a portfoli

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Asset Allocation Government Financial Advisor Portfolio 131

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 25, 2024

 This week, we speak with Toto Wolff , Team Principal & CEO of the Mercedes-AMG PETRONAS F1 Team. Prior to joining Mercedes, Toto spent time in the investment world, founding his own company Marchfifteen in 1998 and Marchsixteen in 2004. In 2009 Toto combined his passion for racing and business by investing in the Williams F1 Team. He eventually came to be the team’s Executive Director, helping to lead them toward their first win at the Spanish Grand Prix in eight years.

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Healthcare Management Investing Investments 294

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 22, 2024

Trend following Why trend following is unique. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) If you want trend following returns just do trend following. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Research Want small cap exposure? Go microcap. (mailchi.mp) What ideal diversification looks like. (caia.org) AI is becoming table stakes for hedge funds. (alphaarchitect.com) European investors still prefer dividends over buybacks.

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Portfolio 291

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Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

Accounting

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 25, 2024

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent study by Cerulli Associates and Osaic found that at a time when consumers are increasingly seeking comprehensive planning relationships with their financial advisors, many advisors appear to be overestimating the comprehensiveness of the services they provide.

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Financial Planner Financial Advisor Estate Planning Compliance 246

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 15, 2024

The Great Financial Crisis decimated the balance sheets of most Americans. How could it not? Housing prices were down by nearly 30%. The stock market crashed almost 60%. The unemployment rate hit double-digits. It was the worst economic period most of us have ever lived through. The collective net worth of American households reached roughly $66 trillion by the end of 2007.

Economics 145

Economics Marketing Marketing 145

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 10, 2024

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined and is now up 4.4% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through September 2024. Services were up 4.7% YoY as of September 2024, down from 4.8% YoY in August.

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Food 131

Discipline Funds

OCTOBER 22, 2024

You just have to love the short-term overreactions of Mr. Market. Just two months ago we get a weak employment report and investors are panicked that the Fed is too tight. Then we get a strong employment report in September and investors are panicked that the Fed is too loose. In May the 10 year interest rate was as high as 4.75%. By September it was as low as 3.6%.

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Government Economy Communication Banking 128

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As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

Banking

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 7, 2024

@TBPInvictus here: If you’re not aware of the brouhaha that was stirred about a year or so ago when CA Gov Gavin Newsom signed into law (taking effect April 1, 2024) a new $20 minimum wage for so-called “limited service” (a/k/a fast food or QSR) restaurant workers, read up here , here , or here. In a nutshell, the usual suspects’ heads exploded well before the legislation even took effect, claiming it would lead to widespread devastation in the fast food space: job losses

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Food Media Economics Numbers 290

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 24, 2024

Markets Degeneracy has become a fixture of the current environment. (howardlindzon.com) The stock market's biggest winners started out as small caps. (freedomdaysolutions.com) Strategy How often do outlier 10-year forecasts turn out? (ritholtz.com) Why optimism makes sense over the long run. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Cash was never meant to be a long-term investment.

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Investing Investments Startup Financial Advising 289

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 23, 2024

While the financial advice industry has transformed in many ways over the past several decades, one aspect that has remained relatively constant is the use of the Assets Under Management (AUM) fee model as a common way for many advisors to get paid. Though in practice, while a 1% AUM fee is a common 'starting point' in the industry, the actual fee structure can vary based on the firm's approach; for example, some firms may reduce the fee for high-net-worth clients, or charge an additional fee fo

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Clients Financial Advice Financial Planning Financial Advisor 246

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 22, 2024

The U.S. stock market has been on fire of late. But it doesn’t feel like we’ve entered the euphoric phase of investor psychology just yet. In fact, many prognosticators have been lowering expectations. Goldman Sachs put out a research piece that posits the S&P 500 could return just 3% annualized over the next 10 years (just 1% after inflation): These are their baseline assumptions and they offer a range o.

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Marketing Marketing 144

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

Financial Advice

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 21, 2024

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.0% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 49.7% from the February seasonal bottom. The first graph shows the seasonal pattern for active single-family inventory since 2015. Click on graph for larger image. The red line is for 2024. The black line is for 2019. Inventory was up 33.4% compared to the same week in 2023 (last week it was up 34.0%), and down 21.0% compared to the same week in 2019 (last week it was down 22.6%).

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Wealth Management

OCTOBER 21, 2024

According to the SEC division’s exam priorities, Reg BI compliance and the use of crypto assets are other areas of focus for the upcoming year.

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Compliance Assets 124

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 16, 2024

At The Money: Our Complicated Relationship With Cash with Dr. Daniel Crosby (October 16, 2024) How can we improve our relationship with money and earning, investing and spending? Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Dr. Daniel Crosby is the Chief Behavioral Officer at Orion Advisor Solutions, where he helps financial advisors apply behavioral science in their practice.

Financial Planning 189

Financial Planning Numbers Media Financial Advisor 189

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 21, 2024

Podcasts Frazer Rice talks RIA marketing with Richard Heft, President of EXT Marketing. (frazerrice.com) Brendan Frazier talks with Ben Haas about how to conduct client 're-discovery' meetings. (podcasts.apple.com) Josh Brown and Michael Kitces talk about how a recent CFP ad campaign went wrong. (youtube.com) The biz Schwab Advisor Solutions will look to boost revenue, just not through custody fees.

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CFP Investment Advisor Communication Management 290

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

Financial Planning

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 18, 2024

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that Charles Schwab has revealed changes to its technology offerings in the wake of its merger with TD Ameritrade, bringing over several popular TD tools, including portfolio rebalancing tool iRebal, its Model Market Center model management service, and its trading platform thinkpipes, likely in an effort to keep former TD users (many of whom were accustomed to this software) o

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Financial Planner Risk Tolerance Financial Planning Wealth Management 246

A Wealth of Common Sense

OCTOBER 25, 2024

Earlier this week I wrote about how America is the envy of the world.1 There was plenty of pushback. Many Europeans pointed out we have plenty of other problems plus a far worse safety net than they do. Fair enough. There were also a lot of comments on inequality, even though I addressed that in the piece. It is worth noting research shows 40% of the rise in income inequality has been undone since 2020.

Economics 143

Economics 143

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 16, 2024

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 17.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending October 11, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 17.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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Government Marketing Marketing 128