Five Shifts Transforming Advisor Growth
Advisor Perspectives
OCTOBER 11, 2023
The financial planning landscape is undergoing a great transformation, driven by emerging trends that have accelerated in recent years.
October, 2023
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Dollars Are For Spending & Investing, Not Saving
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 20, 2023
“I need the US Dollar to be a store of value between the time I make it until I spend it, invest it, pay my taxes with it, or give it away. It does that splendidly.” 1 Today, we’re going to look at a perennial (un)favorite #chartfail. To be more precise, I want to discuss the type of chart that reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of money, currency, spending, investing, and taxes.
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Trending Sources
10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 2, 2023
We all love to use quotations in our arguments. It’s both an appeal to higher authority as well as social proof ( Hey! I’m not the only one who believes this stuff ). I find it useful occasionally to go back to first principles and reconsider the sources that have influenced my thinmking. Along those lines, here are in chronological order, the thinkers who have helped shape how I view the world view, including how I philosophically think about the economy, markets, and investing.
Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 22, 2023
Top clicks this week We are living through the worst bond bear market in history. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Just how expensive are the 'Magnificent Seven' stocks? (blog.validea.com) Why TIPS now merit 'serious consideration.' (morningstar.com) There is no single definitive model for the term premium. (wsj.com) Do investors really understand the return profile of options-writing funds?
Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025
Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
There are four million households in North Carolina
The Reformed Broker
OCTOBER 24, 2023
Conservatory at Biltmore, by Ann Vasilik via Our State There are four million households in North Carolina. Approximately half of those households (1.922 million) are comprised of a married male and female with children. Another half million are a female head of household with kids. There’s 180,000 or so male-led homes with children and then 1.4 million non-family households.
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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?
Carson Wealth
OCTOBER 23, 2023
A late week sell-off saw stocks barely break their early October lows, with the S&P 500 now down 7.9% from the late-July peak. Although the weakness the past few months hasn’t been fun for investors, it is important to note that stocks are still up more than 10% for the year and a fourth-quarter rally is still expected. October volatility continued, but a major late-October low could be forming.
Factor Investors: Momentum is Everywhere
Alpha Architect
OCTOBER 16, 2023
The Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) paper on momentum established that an equity trading strategy consisting of buying past winners and selling past losers, reliably produced risk-adjusted excess returns. The Jegadeesh results have been replicated in international markets and across asset classes. As this evidence challenged and contradicted widely accepted notions of weak-form market efficiency, the academic community took notice and started churning out research.
What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 19, 2023
One of my favorite responsibilities as chief investment officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management is the quarterly conference call I do for our clients. I run through 30 charts in 30 minutes that explain where we are in the economic cycle, what markets are doing, and what it means to their portfolios. I like to finish with a thought-provoking, often “investing-adjacent” idea they might not have previously considered.
Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 29, 2023
Top clicks this week A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. (ritholtz.com) The bond market bear market is pretty epic. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Byron Wien's 20 rules for investing and life. (ritholtz.com) Why aren't stocks down more? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Remember the guy who forgot the password for a hard drive with 7,002 Bitcoin on it?
Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors
Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant
Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.
A Luxury Slowdown
The Reformed Broker
OCTOBER 17, 2023
Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►Earnings – “Average commercial and consumer loans were both down from the second quarter as higher rates and a slowing economy have weakened loan demand, and we’ve continued to take some credit tighteni.
Stop Betting Against America
A Wealth of Common Sense
OCTOBER 20, 2023
There’s this guy on Twitter, Paul Fairie, who does these threads using old newspaper clippings to show how the stuff we worry about today is the same stuff people have been worrying about for decades. There was one called a brief history of we are raising a generation of wimps. Every older generation thinks this (and will always think this…it’s called progress).
Why Do I Need a Will? Everything You Need to Know
Carson Wealth
OCTOBER 5, 2023
By Beth Schanou, JD, CExP, Senior Wealth Planner Who wants to spend an afternoon thinking about their mortality? No one, which is why more than half of Americans don’t even have a will. The foundation of your estate plan is a Last Will and Testament. Without a will, you are leaving the disposition of your assets and the guardianship of your minor children to a court.
International Value Stocks Offering “More Bang for the Buck”
Alpha Architect
OCTOBER 5, 2023
Over the very long term, while value stocks have been less profitable and have had slower growth in earnings than growth stocks, they have provided higher returns. International Value Stocks Offering “More Bang for the Buck” was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.
Back to Basics with Reconciliations
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Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.
The Greatest Missed Opportunity of Our Lifetimes
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 23, 2023
The chart in this morning’s reads shows what it is going to cost to fund the interest payments on the federal debt. It’s gone vertical as rates have moved from effectively 0 to over 5%. When rates were zero all of corporate America refinanced, lowering the cost of their debt to historically low levels. Households did the same; today 61% of homeowners with a mortgage are paying 4% or less in interest.
Adviser links: choosing to work
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 9, 2023
Podcasts Dan Haylett talks with George Kinder on the true impact of Life Planning on retirement. (humansvsretirement.com) Daniel Crosby talks financial wellness and therapy with Amanda Clayman. (standarddeviationspod.com) Brendan Frazier talks about why advisers should shift from "advice giver" to "thinking partner." (wiredplanning.com) Michael Kitces talks with Brett Danko who is the Founder of Brett Danko Educational Center, and the CEO and Managing Partner for Main Street Financial Solutions.
Another Rep Challenges FINRA’s Constitutionality
Wealth Management
OCTOBER 30, 2023
Former rep Sidney Lebental is citing FINRA’s legal sparring match with Alpine Securities to halt disciplinary proceedings against him. Meanwhile, FINRA has responded to Alpine’s allegations.
The Crash Callers Won’t Save You
A Wealth of Common Sense
OCTOBER 27, 2023
Here’s something Henry Blodget wrote about notorious stock market bear John Hussman: Every historical indicator Hussman is looking at is suggesting that the stock market is wildly overvalued and headed for a period of lousy returns. How lousy? John Hussman thinks there’s a good chance the stock market will soon crash 40-50 percent. And even if the market doesn’t crash, Hussman thinks stocks are priced to.
2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector
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As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.
Update: Lumber Prices Down 11% YoY
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 3, 2023
Here is another monthly update on lumber prices. SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the Random Length Lumber Futures contract on May 16th. I've now switched to a new physically-delivered Lumber Futures contract that was started in August 2022. Unfortunately, this impacts long term price comparisons since the new contract was priced about 24% higher than the old random length contract for the period both contracts were available.
Market Commentary: Another October Bottom?
Carson Wealth
OCTOBER 9, 2023
Stocks had a solid late-week reversal higher, even as many worries and concerns piled up. From the U.S. House not having a speaker for the first time ever, to yields soaring, to deficits and spending, the list of worries was high. But there’s an old saying that the market tends to rally on a wall of worry. As we noted in early August, there was a little too much optimism as long-term bears turned bullish, opening the door for seasonal third-quarter weakness.
The Enshittification of Amazon Continues…
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 12, 2023
In August of 2022, I explained how Amazon became ordinary. Today I want to discuss how they have become bad. Since I first discussed the companies that lost my affection during the pandemic nearly two years ago, Amazon continues to stand out as delivering an ever-worsening set of experiences. I wanted to wait until after the (faux retail holiday) Prime Day(s) ended before sharing a few tales of further (to use Cory Doctorow’s phrase) “ Enshittification.” There are many problem
Sunday links: the doomer narrative
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 8, 2023
Markets Good luck getting a good handle on this stock market. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Under what conditions is the stock market more likely to crash. (morningstar.com) Rates The increase in bond yields is as impressive as the actual rise in rates. (econbrowser.com) Why higher interest rates aren't have a bigger effect on the economy. (tker.co) Why are mortgage rates are as high as they are.
Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth
Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor
During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.
Growth, Growth Baby!
Wealth Management
OCTOBER 6, 2023
Nitrogen’s annual Fearless Investing Conference was a clarion call to advisors for navigating waves of change, with a curated agenda laser-focused on growth through adaptation, agility and optimism.
What Returns Should You Expect in the Stock Market?
A Wealth of Common Sense
OCTOBER 26, 2023
Further Reading: Do Valuations Even Matter For the Stock Market? 1I would argue real estate would be a close second on this list from an inflation hedge perspective but the long run returns are much harder to calculate when you include things like ancillary costs, mortgage rates, refinancing, leverage, etc. 2And this is real since stocks are a real asset.
Vehicles Sales increase to 15.67 million SAAR in September; Up 15% YoY
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 3, 2023
Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for September: September U.S. Light-Vehicles Sales Bounce Back Despite Gloomy Conditions (pay site). Hard to say exactly how much but sales could have been slightly stronger in September if not for some lost inventory caused by production cuts related to plant shutdowns from UAW strikes at Ford, General Motors and Stellantis.
Dissecting the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle
Alpha Architect
OCTOBER 27, 2023
Idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) is the volatility of a security that cannot be explained by overall market volatility—it is the risk unique to a particular security. IVOL contrasts with systematic risk, which is the risk that affects all securities in a market (such as changes in interest rates or inflation) and, therefore cannot be diversified away.
Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets
Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC
In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.
MiB: Michael Lewis on SBF & FTX
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 7, 2023
This week, we speak with Michael Lewis, whose latest book is “ Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon , ” on FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried. He takes readers into the mind of Bankman-Fried, whose rise and fall offers an education in high-frequency trading, cryptocurrencies, philanthropy, bankruptcy, and the justice system. We discuss his writing process, and what made this book so different than his prior ones: A focus on personalities instead of some broad social upheaval.
Research links: value traps
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 31, 2023
Factors Why corporate bond factor research is more challenging. (papers.ssrn.com) Why do stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility underperform? (alphaarchitect.com) Momentum Fund investors are momentum chasers. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Momentum in the sports betting markets. (papers.ssrn.com) Research Do stocks really become less risky over the long run?
Why Things Feel Worse Than They Are
The Irrelevant Investor
OCTOBER 27, 2023
You cannot be online and think things are getting better. Let me show you one example. This was on the front page of The Wall Street Journal yesterday. Instead of a headline like “U.S. Economy Grows at Fastest Pace in Two Years,” they wrote: “U.S. Economy’s Summer Surge May Not Last” And below it, “There are warning signs underlying the eye-popping numbers.” Charlie Munger once.
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