October, 2023

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Five Shifts Transforming Advisor Growth

Advisor Perspectives

The financial planning landscape is undergoing a great transformation, driven by emerging trends that have accelerated in recent years.

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Dollars Are For Spending & Investing, Not Saving

The Big Picture

“I need the US Dollar to be a store of value between the time I make it until I spend it, invest it, pay my taxes with it, or give it away. It does that splendidly.” 1 Today, we’re going to look at a perennial (un)favorite #chartfail. To be more precise, I want to discuss the type of chart that reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of money, currency, spending, investing, and taxes.

Investing 340
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10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy

The Big Picture

We all love to use quotations in our arguments. It’s both an appeal to higher authority as well as social proof ( Hey! I’m not the only one who believes this stuff ). I find it useful occasionally to go back to first principles and reconsider the sources that have influenced my thinmking. Along those lines, here are in chronological order, the thinkers who have helped shape how I view the world view, including how I philosophically think about the economy, markets, and investing.

Investing 345
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week We are living through the worst bond bear market in history. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Just how expensive are the 'Magnificent Seven' stocks? (blog.validea.com) Why TIPS now merit 'serious consideration.' (morningstar.com) There is no single definitive model for the term premium. (wsj.com) Do investors really understand the return profile of options-writing funds?

Marketing 310
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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There are four million households in North Carolina

The Reformed Broker

Conservatory at Biltmore, by Ann Vasilik via Our State There are four million households in North Carolina. Approximately half of those households (1.922 million) are comprised of a married male and female with children. Another half million are a female head of household with kids. There’s 180,000 or so male-led homes with children and then 1.4 million non-family households.

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The Crash Callers Won’t Save You

A Wealth of Common Sense

Here’s something Henry Blodget wrote about notorious stock market bear John Hussman: Every historical indicator Hussman is looking at is suggesting that the stock market is wildly overvalued and headed for a period of lousy returns. How lousy? John Hussman thinks there’s a good chance the stock market will soon crash 40-50 percent. And even if the market doesn’t crash, Hussman thinks stocks are priced to.

Marketing 145
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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

A late week sell-off saw stocks barely break their early October lows, with the S&P 500 now down 7.9% from the late-July peak. Although the weakness the past few months hasn’t been fun for investors, it is important to note that stocks are still up more than 10% for the year and a fourth-quarter rally is still expected. October volatility continued, but a major late-October low could be forming.

Marketing 143
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What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?

The Big Picture

One of my favorite responsibilities as chief investment officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management is the quarterly conference call I do for our clients. I run through 30 charts in 30 minutes that explain where we are in the economic cycle, what markets are doing, and what it means to their portfolios. I like to finish with a thought-provoking, often “investing-adjacent” idea they might not have previously considered.

Media 351
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. (ritholtz.com) The bond market bear market is pretty epic. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Byron Wien's 20 rules for investing and life. (ritholtz.com) Why aren't stocks down more? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Remember the guy who forgot the password for a hard drive with 7,002 Bitcoin on it?

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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A Luxury Slowdown

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►Earnings – “Average commercial and consumer loans were both down from the second quarter as higher rates and a slowing economy have weakened loan demand, and we’ve continued to take some credit tighteni.

Economy 289
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The 10 Best Financial Advisor Conferences To Attend In 2024

Nerd's Eye View

After several years of turmoil caused by the pandemic, financial advisor conferences seem to have found a "new [post-pandemic] normal", with events once again growing (some already surpassing their pre-pandemic highs). But that's not to say that the conference landscape was not altered by the pandemic; instead, the pandemic appears to have served as a catalyst that accelerated trends that were already underway, such that financial advisor conferences today look substantively different than they

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Americans Have Never Been Wealthier & No One is Happy

A Wealth of Common Sense

Every three years the Federal Reserve puts out a report that summarizes the changes to family finances in the United States. I know averages, aggregates, medians and such never tell the entire story but directionally this stuff can be helpful in terms of understanding where things stand. Let’s dig in. Real median net worth for U.S. households was up a stunning 37% from 2019-2022.

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Why Do I Need a Will? Everything You Need to Know

Carson Wealth

By Beth Schanou, JD, CExP, Senior Wealth Planner Who wants to spend an afternoon thinking about their mortality? No one, which is why more than half of Americans don’t even have a will. The foundation of your estate plan is a Last Will and Testament. Without a will, you are leaving the disposition of your assets and the guardianship of your minor children to a court.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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The Greatest Missed Opportunity of Our Lifetimes

The Big Picture

The chart in this morning’s reads shows what it is going to cost to fund the interest payments on the federal debt. It’s gone vertical as rates have moved from effectively 0 to over 5%. When rates were zero all of corporate America refinanced, lowering the cost of their debt to historically low levels. Households did the same; today 61% of homeowners with a mortgage are paying 4% or less in interest.

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Adviser links: choosing to work

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Dan Haylett talks with George Kinder on the true impact of Life Planning on retirement. (humansvsretirement.com) Daniel Crosby talks financial wellness and therapy with Amanda Clayman. (standarddeviationspod.com) Brendan Frazier talks about why advisers should shift from "advice giver" to "thinking partner." (wiredplanning.com) Michael Kitces talks with Brett Danko who is the Founder of Brett Danko Educational Center, and the CEO and Managing Partner for Main Street Financial Solutions.

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Barry interviews Michael Lewis

The Reformed Broker

My partner Barry Ritholtz speaks to Michael Lewis, whose latest book is “Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon,” on FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried. Lewis has been the subject of a massive uproar on social media for the way his book portrays SBF and the way he’s spoken about his subject during the promotion tour, specifically on ’60 Minutes’ last Sunday.

Media 177
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (October 28-29)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the shift in financial advice from pure investment management to comprehensive financial planning continues, with more individuals becoming CFP professionals than CFAs in the past few years as consumers increasing the diversity of their financial goals.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Stop Betting Against America

A Wealth of Common Sense

There’s this guy on Twitter, Paul Fairie, who does these threads using old newspaper clippings to show how the stuff we worry about today is the same stuff people have been worrying about for decades. There was one called a brief history of we are raising a generation of wimps. Every older generation thinks this (and will always think this…it’s called progress).

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Firms Not Offering Tax, Retirement Planning Are Getting it Wrong

Wealth Management

Advisors are overdelivering services such as health care, estate and business planning, while falling short in the areas their clients most desire.

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The Enshittification of Amazon Continues…

The Big Picture

In August of 2022, I explained how Amazon became ordinary. Today I want to discuss how they have become bad. Since I first discussed the companies that lost my affection during the pandemic nearly two years ago, Amazon continues to stand out as delivering an ever-worsening set of experiences. I wanted to wait until after the (faux retail holiday) Prime Day(s) ended before sharing a few tales of further (to use Cory Doctorow’s phrase) “ Enshittification.” There are many problem

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Sunday links: the doomer narrative

Abnormal Returns

Markets Good luck getting a good handle on this stock market. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Under what conditions is the stock market more likely to crash. (morningstar.com) Rates The increase in bond yields is as impressive as the actual rise in rates. (econbrowser.com) Why higher interest rates aren't have a bigger effect on the economy. (tker.co) Why are mortgage rates are as high as they are.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

ALERT: Michael, Barry, Ben and about twenty of our most highly skilled advisor / client service superstars are coming to North Carolina from November 6th through 8th to meet with clients and celebrate our new branch office in downtown Charlotte. I’ll be there too, of course. If you’d like to chat with us about your financial plan and portfolio in-person and you’re within driving distance of CLT, hit us u.

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Extracting Actionable Takeaways From The SEC’s Staff Bulletin Regarding An RIA’s Standard Of Care

Nerd's Eye View

There is a general understanding that investment advisers have a fiduciary relationship with their clients – in other words, that they are required to act in the client's best interests. But although this concept makes sense in the abstract, it isn't always clear what an adviser needs to do to fulfill their fiduciary duty in real-life situations.

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What Returns Should You Expect in the Stock Market?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Further Reading: Do Valuations Even Matter For the Stock Market? 1I would argue real estate would be a close second on this list from an inflation hedge perspective but the long run returns are much harder to calculate when you include things like ancillary costs, mortgage rates, refinancing, leverage, etc. 2And this is real since stocks are a real asset.

Marketing 145
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Fifteen of the Best Investment Books of All Time

Wealth Management

Wealth Management recently asked readers to nominate the investment book that most helped them in their investing careers.

Investing 140
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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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$109 Trillion Global Stock Market

The Big Picture

Source: Visual Capitalist Batnick also takes a swing at this: What’s the Stock Market Worth? The post $109 Trillion Global Stock Market appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Research links: value traps

Abnormal Returns

Factors Why corporate bond factor research is more challenging. (papers.ssrn.com) Why do stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility underperform? (alphaarchitect.com) Momentum Fund investors are momentum chasers. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Momentum in the sports betting markets. (papers.ssrn.com) Research Do stocks really become less risky over the long run?

Investing 291
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Stop Crying and Buy Bonds

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►4th Quarter Rally? – Positive economic surprises say we are due for a Q4 meltup. ►Great News – American wealth hitting new highs. ►Effective Interest Rates – “This increased cost of capital is.

Economics 161