September, 2024

article thumbnail

Marty Zweig Trading Rules

The Big Picture

Marty’s Zweig’s Trading rules 1) The trend is your friend; don’t fight the tape hard return; 2) Let profits run take losses quickly; 3) If you buy for a reason and that reason if discounted or is no longer valid then sell 4) if the values don’t make sense then don’t participate (2 + 2 = 4) 5) The cheap get cheaper the deer get deer; 6) Don’t fight the Fed (less valid than #1); 7) Every indicator eventually bites the dust; 8) Adapt to change; 9) Don’t let your

Marketing 301
article thumbnail

Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site The investment world was a different place when Josh Brown started writing. In "You Weren't Supposed to See That" he takes a look back. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week On the strange math of stock returns. (fortunesandfrictions.com) Investors have won the war on fees. Then there's risk. (wealthmanagement.com) Supplementing with magnesium?

Math 275
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Why Pre-Tax Retirement Contributions Are Better Than Roth In Peak Earning Years (Even If Tax Rates Increase)

Nerd's Eye View

Over the last 60 years, the top Federal marginal tax bracket has steadily decreased from over 90% in the 1950s and 60s to 'just' 37% today. However, with the national debt expanding rapidly, observers of U.S. tax policy are predicting that Congress will inevitably be forced to again increase tax rates in order to raise revenue and balance the national budget – and that the current regime of relatively low tax rates will prove to be a temporary phenomenon.

Taxes 246
article thumbnail

The Middle Class: Feelings vs. Finances

A Wealth of Common Sense

Gallup has a poll that asks Americans what income strata they belong in. The results are relatively stable over the past 20+ years: Most people say middle class while very few people think they are upper class. The Pew Research Center has a new tool that allows you to enter your income and see where it is you fit both nationally and locally. Their numbers show the Gallup poll is right on the money as far as middle-class.

Numbers 142
article thumbnail

If It Aint Broke, Don’t Fix It: A Dangerous Mindset

Time and time again we tell ourselves and others NOT take action on something that is not "broken." We apply that mindset at home and at work. Sometimes, it doesn’t work out so well. Because when it's truly broken, it's usually an emergency, costs more and causes stress. Join us in this webinar where we share ways where you are able to anticipate your needs, understand benefits that you will get from getting better now instead of later, and relieving your team of tasks that they don't need to be

article thumbnail

5 Tips for Getting the Right Medicare Coverage This Open Enrollment Season

Carson Wealth

Navigating Medicare can be a daunting task, especially with the numerous plans and options available. However, choosing the right Medicare plan is crucial to ensure that you have the coverage you need as you move into retirement. Whether you’re enrolling for the first time or considering a change, these tips will help you choose a plan that fits your healthcare needs and budget. 1: Know the Rules for Medicare Open Enrollment The first step in selecting the right Medicare plan is understand

More Trending

article thumbnail

MiB: Kyla Scanlon on Vibecessions & Gen Z

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Kyla Scanlon , creator, host of YouTube’s,“Let’s Appreciate” podcast , writer of daily short-form videos about economy + markets. She has been published at Bloomberg, New York Magazine, FT, and the NYT. Her new book “ In This Economy?: How Money & Markets Really Work ” just came out this Summer. We discuss how she came up with the idea of a “ Vibecession ” and how it became a popular New York Times guest essay.

article thumbnail

Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site How much would you pay for a house you couldn't insure? (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Another star manager, another disaster for investors. (awealthofcommonsense.com) You're not a billionaire. Stop trying to invest like one. (axios.com) The big index fund managers have a problem on their hands. (humbledollar.com) Why you likely don't need to focus on dividend paying stocks.

Insurance 287
article thumbnail

7 New Lessons Learned Building A Fee-Only RIA From Scratch: Years 3–5

Nerd's Eye View

Starting a new firm can be a nerve-wracking time for an entrepreneurially minded financial advisor, as making the jump involves a significant amount of professional and financial risk. Nonetheless, after a year or 2 in business, some firm owners will find that their plate is becoming full and their available time is shrinking as they balance servicing current clients with marketing for new ones and also possibly managing staff.

Fee Only 246
article thumbnail

31 Years of Stock Market Returns

A Wealth of Common Sense

I enjoy slicing and dicing historical stock market returns. I’m not naive enough to assume this helps predict the future. However, studying the past can provide a baseline to help set expectations when it comes to risk and a potential range of outcomes. Here’s a different way to look at returns over various time horizons for the S&P 500 going back to 1993: This is how to read this chart: Pick a starting.

Marketing 145
article thumbnail

4 Things Great Companies Do to Improve Cash Flow

Speaker: Don Gallianza, Credit Manager at Chevron Phillips Chemical and Indy Chakrabarti, Chief Marketing Officer at HighRadius

4 Case Studies to Optimize DSO 26 Days Sales Outstanding. Already better than most. But, should you improve on that? Why would 3 fewer days even matter? It matters because it fundamentally transforms business outcomes. Join this webinar to explore 4 things companies do to reclaim hard dollars - not just soft costs - and go from good to great! What You'll Learn 6 operational KPIs every AR manager should track: Define and track these metrics to enhance performance, drive efficiency, and make infor

article thumbnail

Trend-Following Filters – Part 8

Alpha Architect

The filters analyzed in this article are related to Savitzky-Golay filters [6]. Savitzky-Golay filters were originally developed to smooth noisy data obtained from chemical spectrum analyzers. There are two types: smoothers and differentiators. As with the filters discussed in this article, the design of Savitzky-Golay filters is also based on a least squares fit of the observations to a polynomial function, where the degree of the polynomial is selected based on the structure of the observation

128
128
article thumbnail

AIA: Architecture Billings Declined in August; Multi-family Billings Declined for 25th Consecutive Month

Calculated Risk

Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: Architecture firm billings remained sluggish in August, as the AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score declined to 45.7 It has now been nearly two years since firms saw sustained growth. However, clients are still expressing interest in new projects, as inquiries into work have continued to increase during that period.

Clients 128
article thumbnail

At the Money: Can You Have Too Much Money?

The Big Picture

At the Money: Can You Have Too Much Money? Brian Portnoy, Shaping Wealth (September 18, 2024) Can money buy you happiness? How much money is too much? Does wealth offer diminishing returns? In this edition of At the Money, I sit down with Brian Portnoy to explore these questions. Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Brian Portnoy is founder and CEO of Shaping Wealth , which helps advisors and their clients to achieve “funded contentment,” and operates as an outsourced Chief Beha

Food 272
article thumbnail

Personal finance links: mistake management

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Peter Lazaroff talks with Rubin Miller about the complexities of investing. (peterlazaroff.com) Bogumil Baranowski talks with Meir Statman author of "A Wealth of Well-Being: A Holistic Approach to Behavioral Finance." (talkingbillions.co) How to Retire A review of Christine Benz's new book “How to Retire: 20 Lessons for a Happy, Successful and Wealthy Retirement.

article thumbnail

Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

article thumbnail

Rate Cuts Will Provide a Tailwind to Private Equity Activity

Wealth Management

The changing rate environment should create a more attractive exit environment for existing private equity investments, as well as fuel new acquisitions.

article thumbnail

Why Housing is Everyone’s Favorite Investment

A Wealth of Common Sense

Each year since 2011, Gallup has asked people what they think is the best long-term investment: After a brief love affair with gold, real estate has been in the top spot every year since 2013. Stocks are a distant second. So why do we Americans love the housing market so much from an investment perspective? There is something about the American Dream of homeownership combined with the size of the price tag involved for s.

Investing 140
article thumbnail

Q2 GDP Third Estimate: Real GDP at 3.0%, In Line With Forecast

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. economy grew at an expected pace during the second quarter of this year. Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.99% in Q2 2024, according to the final estimate. The latest estimate is the same as the forecasted 3.0% growth and is a pickup from the Q1 2024 GDP final estimate of 1.6%.

Economy 113
article thumbnail

MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 14.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending September 13, 2024. Last week’s results included an adjustment for the Labor Day holiday. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 14.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

article thumbnail

2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

article thumbnail

Data-driven Approach to Clustering Similar Macroeconomic Regimes

Alpha Architect

Knowing what economic regime we might be in won’t provide you with the crystal ball allowing you to foresee what geopolitical events will drive markets, whether “black swans” will appear, or identify whatever unexpected events or government policy actions will drive markets. Data-driven Approach to Clustering Similar Macroeconomic Regimes was originally published at Alpha Architect.

article thumbnail

Sunday links: your unique personality

Abnormal Returns

Markets The U.S. is in the midst of an 'epic bull market.' (awealthofcommonsense.com) Earnings are the most important driver of stock prices. (tker.co) Consumers American consumers have access to a lot of dry powder., i.e. home equity. (carsongroup.com) There is little sign that American consumers are pulling bak. (sherwood.news) Apple Apple ($AAPL) isn't going to invest in OpenAI.

article thumbnail

AI Is a ‘Power Assist, Not a Replacement’

Wealth Management

Many advisors may view AI as a silver bullet, one that will replace their back-office staff. But panelists at the Future Proof Festival this week said it's more of an optimizer.

117
117
article thumbnail

An Epic Bull Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

The bull market of the 1980s and 1990s is the stuff dreams are made of.1 The S&P 500 was up nearly 18% per year over the course of those two decades.2 It’s one of the great bull markets in history. But if we want to get picky, the bull market didn’t truly start until 1982. There were back-to-back recessions in 1980 and 1981-82. You had a 17% correction in 1980 along with a near-30% bear market that bottome.

Marketing 123
article thumbnail

Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

article thumbnail

Retirement Beyond the Numbers

Advisor Perspectives

Christine Benz is Morningstar’s director of personal finance and retirement planning, but she’s written a book that evokes Viktor Frankl as much as Bill Sharpe, aiming to go well beyond the mathematics of saving for, and living in, retirement.

article thumbnail

The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q2

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q2 Excerpt: During the housing bubble, many homeowners borrowed heavily against their perceived home equity - jokingly calling it the “Home ATM” - and this contributed to the subsequent housing bust, since so many homeowners had negative equity in their homes when house prices declined.

article thumbnail

Can Skewness Identify Future Outperforming Mutual Funds

Alpha Architect

While the skewness metric did demonstrate that it could select funds with managers skilled a security selection, the fund’s expenses and implementation meant that the fund was just about able to cover its expenses, and that was before the negative impact of active management on after-tax returns—and the finding was not statistically significant at even the 10% level of confidence.

Taxes 109
article thumbnail

Personal finance links: assessing your financial situation

Abnormal Returns

Podcast Barry Ritholtz talks with Brian Portnoy about whether money can buy happiness. (ritholtz.com) Peter Lazaroff on the importance of simplicity in personal finance. (peterlazaroff.com) Carl Richards talks money and life with journalists Jodi Kantor and Ron Lieber. (50fires.com) Tim Ranzetta talk financial literacy with Tony and Dina Isola of Ritholtz Wealth Management.

article thumbnail

Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

article thumbnail

'Biblically Minded' Firm Settles SEC Charges Over Misleading Strategy

Wealth Management

Inspire Investing will pay $300,000 to settle allegations that its process did not support its claims of using a “data-driven” approach to biblically responsible investing.

article thumbnail

10 Money Revelations in my 40s

A Wealth of Common Sense

I wrote a post almost 10 years ago about money revelations in my 30s. Here’s an updated version now that I’m approaching my mid-40s (dammit Father Time): 1. Lifestyle creep isn’t always bad. Yes, you need to live below your means, delay gratification and avoid overspending. But I am not a fan of living like a pauper when you’re younger just so you can have more money when you’re older.

123
123
article thumbnail

CB Leading Economic Index: Continues to Fall, Triggering Recession Signal

Advisor Perspectives

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) decreased in August to its lowest level since October 2016. The index fell 0.2% from the previous month to 100.2, marking its sixth consecutive monthly decline.

Economics 113