The Big Picture
OCTOBER 26, 2022
Today’s edition of “ Nobody Knows Anything ” is about a once-dominant mobile phone maker. Exactly 15 years ago, Forbes’s new cover story lauded Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo, Nokia’s CEO. The headline trumpeted: “Nokia, one billion customers – can anyone catch the cell phone king?” It was posted online October 26, 2007 — 15 years ago today.
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 20, 2022
Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released today from Chief Economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Oct 15, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, increasing 34% above one year ago.
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The Reformed Broker
OCTOBER 3, 2022
I’m going to tell you a quick story in the order in which it happened. You were there. You will be familiar with the sequence of these events. But you may not have reached the shocking conclusion that I have. At least not yet. Wait for it… Our story begins in 2019… It was the best of times, it was the best of times. The tail end of a decade of uninterrupted asset price appreciation for the top decile of.
Wealth Management
OCTOBER 13, 2022
“We know firsthand from deals we’ve been working on that buyers have pulled back and lenders are more conservative,” says one broker. Nevertheless, the medical office sector is still considered a favored asset class among investors.
Speaker: Erroll Amacker
As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R
Nerd's Eye View
OCTOBER 26, 2022
Roth conversions are, in essence, a way to pay income taxes on pre-tax retirement funds in exchange for future tax-free growth and withdrawals. The decision of whether or not to convert pre-tax assets to Roth is, on its surface, a simple one: If the assets in question would be taxed at a lower rate by converting them to Roth and paying tax on them today, versus waiting to pay the tax in the future when they are eventually withdrawn, then the Roth conversion makes sense.
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 24, 2022
Strategy How much has indexing saved investors in fees? (evidenceinvestor.com) Some investors may not understand when they take on leverage. (rogersplanning.blogspot.com) Companies Brad Gerstner on how to turn Meta's ($META) stock around. (medium.com) Big tech companies are sitting on their own bond market losses. (theinformation.com) Snowflake ($SNOW) is growing into its valuation.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 17, 2022
Active inventory increased again, hitting a new peak for the year. Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years ( usually inventory is declining at this time of year ): 2022: +5.0K 2021: -2.4K 2020: -0.9K 2019: -10.9K Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 135% since then. Altos reports inventory is up 33.7% year-over-year.
The Reformed Broker
OCTOBER 3, 2022
Every bear market has these two things in common: They end Expected returns go up The first thing is self-explanatory. The second thing should be obvious but from my talks with thousands of investors over the years, I have found that it is most certainly not intuitive to most people. When I tell you that expected returns are rising as stock prices fall, this is an overly simplistic way of saying that investors only get.
Wealth Management
OCTOBER 11, 2022
The new teams come from Private Advisor Group, Raymond James and New York Life subsidiary Eagle Strategies.
Nerd's Eye View
OCTOBER 14, 2022
Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the Cost Of Living Adjustment (COLA) for Social Security beneficiaries will be 8.7% for 2023, the largest COLA since 1981. While this will help seniors keep pace with rising prices, it also creates tax planning opportunities for advisors and raises the possibility that the Social Security Trust Fund could be depleted sooner than expected.
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Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 18, 2022
Research Are index funds to blame for the lack of investment in oil and gas production? (ft.com) On the relationship between asset growth and lottery stock status. (alphaarchitect.com) The problem with growth: persistence is fleeting. (mailchi.mp) Why companies see a jump in their stock price when they hire a black CEO. (wapo.st) Is democracy good for the stock market?
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 10, 2022
Imagine the impact of markets losing a ~quarter of their value in one trading session. That was what happened 35 years ago today: October 13 th , Black Monday a/k/a the 1987 crash. If you are a relatively young investor, you may be unfamiliar with what happened that day or why. The 87 crash impacted many market-related elements. We can trace lots of today’s market structure to that event, and the changes it wrought subsequently.
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 31, 2022
Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency decreased to 0.69% in September from 0.72% in August. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.62% in September 2021. This is close to pre-pandemic levels. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure". The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59% following the housing bubble and peaked at 3.32% in August 2020 during the pandemic.
The Reformed Broker
OCTOBER 8, 2022
Thanks for checking out piece from last Sunday “You weren’t supposed to see that” – it went crazy viral all over the place. I can’t believe how much feedback came in. Mostly in agreement with my conclusion but not all of it, there were some reasonable counterarguments too. And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait.
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Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?
Wealth Management
OCTOBER 17, 2022
Some sources of financing are drying up, but overall multifamily fundamentals are strong enough to keep funds flowing to borrowers.
Nerd's Eye View
OCTOBER 28, 2022
Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the SEC has proposed a rule that would require RIAs to conduct enhanced due diligence and recordkeeping when using certain outsourced investment management services and other third-party service providers. While the rule is currently in the public comment stage, given the growing popularity of outsourcing certain tasks to free up time for other planning a
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 12, 2022
Work There is a difference between avoiding failure and achieving success. (bankeronfire.com) Companies are not looking out for your financial needs. (tonyisola.com) Ambition comes with a price. (radreads.co) Investing Under what circumstances should you tweak an off-the-shelf portfolio? (morningstar.com) Don't let a market downturn prevent you from doing things you love.
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 16, 2022
This is pretty mind-blowing: a podcast that is entirely generated by artificial intelligence where Joe Rogan interviews Steve Jobs. One of the most important women in Apple’s history never worked for Apple Margot Comstock took her winnings from a TV game show and bought a computer. It led to a magazine, which turned into a major hub for the nascent community of developers and fans of one of the most important computers in history.
Speaker: Aaron Berson
Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 13, 2022
Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released today from economist Jiayi Xu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Oct 8, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, increasing 31% above one year ago.
The Reformed Broker
OCTOBER 15, 2022
Hey guys, didn’t get a chance to do any writing this week but we did two really good shows on the YouTube / podcast front I wanted to make sure you don’t miss… And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
Wealth Management
OCTOBER 18, 2022
Once a niche play, DSTs have drawn the interest of institutional-grade sponsors to offer as an option to retail investors managing their real estate plays.
Nerd's Eye View
OCTOBER 12, 2022
Prospective clients often approach a financial advisor because they have a problem. Perhaps they are approaching retirement and do not know whether their current path is financially sustainable, or maybe they have a complicated equity compensation problem to sort through. But after this initial problem is solved, long-term goals are discussed, and a financial plan is implemented, what comes next?
Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 21, 2022
Finance Per AngelList, the Q3 drop in venture activity was substantial. (angellist.com) Questions keep getting raised about TikTok's data practices. (forbes.com) Fidelity is not abandoning crypto. (bloomberg.com) InstaCart has paused its IPO. (axios.com) Global Why isn't Japan raising rates? (nytimes.com) The backlog of container ships off the coast of Southern California is effectively gone.
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 14, 2022
There’s nothing like confusing market action to send people into narrative creation overdrive. Yesterday’s 2% collapse on hotter-than-expected CPI data, followed by ~5% recovery to finish the day up more than 2% is a perfect example of random market action begetting endless explanations. What was the takeaway from CPI? Check out the BAML chart above: Core goods are coming down ( that’s good!
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 28, 2022
The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for June: Personal income increased $78.9 billion (0.4 percent) in September , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $71.3 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $113.0 billion (0.6 percent).
The Reformed Broker
OCTOBER 3, 2022
TONIGHT AT 5:30PM EST! Skylar Olsen joins Michael Batnick and I on a special episode of Live from The Compound! Dr. Skyler Olsen is the Chief Economist at Zillow. Previous to her current position, Skyler founded a consultancy supporting public-facing economic data program, was head of economics at a digital mortgage start-up, and spent 8 years supporting the Zillow economic research department.
Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant
Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.
Wealth Management
OCTOBER 4, 2022
Office-to-multifamily conversions have ticked up lately. But such redevelopments remain difficult to pull off and represent a small percentage of the apartment pipeline.
Nerd's Eye View
OCTOBER 3, 2022
Welcome to the October 2022 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that DPL Financial Partners has raised $20M of capital to continue scaling up its marketplace of no-commission annuities for RIAs, as the ongoing development of new fee-based products – combined wit
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 1, 2022
The biz Podcasters are not above using tricks to boost downloads. (bloomberg.com) Why the podcasting world seems so tired these days. (garbageday.email) Business Barry Ritholtz talks with Steve Case about his career at AOL and investing in startups today. (ritholtz.com) Benjamin Gilbert and David Rosenthal take a deep dive into the history and strategy of Benchmark Capital.
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 7, 2022
One of the really strange things about watching Federal Reserve policy is the excess of deference that is given to the Fed’s judgment. While the Fed deserves credit for when they get things right – e.g., rescuing the credit system from the great financial crisis (GFC) – they also deserve plenty of blame for the multitude of sins they commit. I am not a Fed hater or part of the crew that wants to “End the Fed.
Speaker: Sierre Lindgren
Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.
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