May, 2023

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Sallie Krawcheck: How to Get Women to Invest

Wealth Management

In today’s world, advisors can differentiate themselves by delivering value where it’s always been—in the client relationship. The problem is, the industry has created the perfect product market fit for middle-aged white men, says Ellevest’s Sallie Krawcheck.

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Personal finance links: faith in the system

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Jonathan Hollow talks with Andrew Hallam author of "Balance: How to Invest and Spend for Happiness, Health, and Wealth." (podcasts.apple.com) Morgan Housel on the 'art of spending money.' (open.spotify.com) Taxes What Is a 83(b) election? (thomaskopelman.com) Who is eligible for the retirement savings tax credit? (humbledollar.com) Fraud How to protect yourself against check fraud.

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What’s the Best Long-Term Investment?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Each year Gallup performs a survey that asks a group of Americans what the best long-term investment is among the following options: Stocks Bonds Cash Gold Real estate These are the latest results: Real estate has been at the top of the charts for over a decade at this point but it saw a big drop from 2022 to 2023. Following the 2022 bear market stocks fell to third place behind gold.

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Recession Watch Update

Calculated Risk

Way back in 2013, I wrote a post " Predicting the Next Recession. In that 2013 post, I wrote: The next recession will probably be caused by one of the following (from least likely to most likely): 3) An exogenous event such as a pandemic , significant military conflict, disruption of energy supplies for any reason, a major natural disaster (meteor strike, super volcano, etc), and a number of other low probability reasons.

Sales 363
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Nobody Knows Anything, FedWatch Edition

The Big Picture

Imagine you had a device that allowed you to peer into the future. You enter a subject matter into this machine, requesting a specific quantitative measure, and at a specific future time. In other words, Price and Date. The machine whirrs and spins, lights flash, bells ring, and out pops a chart showing a range of answers and their probabilities. You might imagine a machine like that would be worth a lot.

Economics 363
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120,000

The Reformed Broker

Just wanted to take a moment to recognize the incredible work my media and research teams have been doing to propel The Compound channel past 120,000 subscribers this month. And that 120k is just a fragment of the audience because almost everything we do on video is also on the audio podcast channels too. For those who are new to what we’re doing at the Compound YouTube channel each week, below is the schedule of w.

Media 361

More Trending

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Podcast links: diverse decision making

Abnormal Returns

The biz Test-driving the New York Times audio app. (lefsetz.com) AI-generated podcasts are coming. (wired.com) Startups Eric Newcomer talks with Sarah Tavel of Benchmark Capital. (newcomer.co) Carolyn Levy and Jessica Livingston talk with Y Combinator founder Paul Graham. (open.spotify.com) Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks with Henry Schuck is the founder and CEO of ZoomInfo.

Startup 278
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Pass-Through Entity Taxes: Mechanics, Considerations, And Planning Opportunities For Navigating SALT Cap Workarounds

Nerd's Eye View

The 2017 Tax Cuts & Jobs Act introduced a $10,000 limit on the State And Local Tax (SALT) deduction that was previously available for taxpayers who itemized their deductions. In response to the new deduction limit, many states enacted laws creating a new Pass-Through Entity Tax (PTET) designed to help owners of pass-through businesses (partnerships, LLCs, and S corporations) avoid the limitation and preserve the deductibility of their state tax payments.

Taxes 246
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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell has been mentioning. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through March 2023. Services were up 6.8% YoY as of April 2023, down from 7.2% YoY in March. Services less rent of shelter was up 5.2% YoY in April, down from 6.1% YoY in March.

Food 363
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Want More Jobs? Raise the Minimum Wage

The Big Picture

I have been writing about issues with the minimum wage for (it seems like) decades. During that time, consuming lots of academic research, I reached a few logically supported conclusions. The least contentious of which is that modest increases in minimum wages increase economic activity and create jobs. But there are other surprises around the minimum wage.

Food 364
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Five Things That Could Knock Nvidia Down

The Reformed Broker

Okay, it’s up 10,000% since May of 2013 and is now the best performing stock in America during the past decade. Everyone is obsessed. It’s the biggest story in the market this year. Cramer has now named a second family dog after it. Jensen Huang’s name is now in the mainstream alongside Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk.

Marketing 333
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Former Wells Fargo Team Goes Independent With Summit Financial

Wealth Management

Daniel Murphy and his team left Wells Fargo to establish Great Lakes Private Wealth with capital, resources and technology support from Summit.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week 10 things we get rid of as we age. (physicianonfire.com) Money buys independence: the 16 levels of wealth. (collabfund.com) People looking to buy a house right now have three options. (awealthofcommonsense.com) A big wealth transfer is under way in the U.S. (nytimes.com) Copper prices have rolled over. (allstarcharts.com) What does it really cost to own a home?

Investing 278
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#FA Success Ep 335: Systematizing Succession And New Partner Transitions In A $1.5B Ensemble Enterprise, With Timothy Wyman

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 335th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Tim Wyman. Tim is a Managing Partner for the Center for Financial Planning, a hybrid advisory firm based in Southfield, Michigan, that oversees $1.5 billion in assets under management for 1,000 client households. What's unique about Tim, though, is how, as a second-generation partner, he helped redesign the firm’s organizational structure from siloed advisors to an ensemble practice,

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Fed Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for All Loan Types

Calculated Risk

From the Federal Reserve: The April 2023 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices The April 2023 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) addressed changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households over the past three months, which generally correspond to the first quarter of 2023.

Banking 363
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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning NFP train WFH reads: • Warren Buffett’s Formula for Success: One Good Decision Every Five Years : Berkshire Hathaway has obliterated the market in his 58 years at the company. He credits roughly 12 decisions. ( Wall Street Journal ) see also The 10 Greatest US Investors and the Virtues That Made Them : There can be few fields of human endeavor in which history counts for so little as in the world of finance.

Startup 359
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JPMorgan Steals First Republic!

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►Uber Earnings – “Based on data from Bloomberg, 262 companies in the $spx have reported, sales growth in 1Q is 4% and earnings growth is -2.69%” ►Cap Weighted Rules – “It’s rare for t.

Sales 314
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Matt Sonnen Joins Coldstream Wealth as COO

Wealth Management

The veteran executive will work to consolidate, standardize and scale the West Coast RIA.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Thursday links: failing fast

Abnormal Returns

Investing Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley on what tasks AI is going to take over. (pionline.com) Igor Tulchinsky, "Using AI to move between visual and text is an interesting way of harnessing algorithms to potentially identify opportunities or shape conclusions that may be more obvious when seen by the human eye." (semafor.com) Expect more ETFs to be marketed based on the use of AI.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (May 27-28)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that while banks have been able to attract a younger and more diverse set of financial advisors compared to the rest of the industry, thanks in part to their built-in referral stream, a relative lack of independence and dated technology could lead some of their advisors to explore options with independent RIAs.

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BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.6 million in March

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings decreased to 9.6 million on the last business day of March , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 6.1 million and 5.9 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.9 million) changed little, while layoffs and discharges (1.8 million) increased. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hire

Numbers 361
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Press Pause

The Big Picture

At least they told us what they were going to do. As much as critics of the Federal Reserve have been up in arms over the fastest rate hiking cycle in modern history, no one can claim it to be a surprise. Jerome Powell & Co. have continually warned that they are aggressively fighting inflation with a 5% target. They said it in Fed minutes, they said it in pressers, they said it in speeches; we just took them figuratively, not literally.

Economy 353
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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The Greatest Wealth Transfer in History Is Here

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►Einhorn, Burry, Buffett – David Einhorn and Michael Burry were buying regional banks in Q1. ►Positive Surprises – “This will upset a lot of gloom and doomers, but oh well” ►Wealth Transfer &#8.

Banking 291
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The New 60/40? Public Vs. Private

Wealth Management

The portfolio of the future will be crafted around exposure to public versus private markets, according to speakers at the Wealth Management EDGE conference.

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Thursday links: the new suburbanites

Abnormal Returns

Finance Zero-day options are changing how the stock market operates. (finance.yahoo.com) Managing cash is no longer an afterthought. (institutionalinvestor.com) RIP, once and for all, Libor. (economist.com) Funds Jon Hale looks at the evolution of sustainable investing over the past couple decades. (morningstar.com) ETFs are seeing increased adoption in Europe.

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5 Screening Questions To Assess Client Readiness And Appropriateness (And Why It’s Especially Useful For Some Firms)

Nerd's Eye View

Screening calls are a common part of the prospecting process for financial advisory firms, particularly those that receive a large number of inquiries, and can help determine whether a prospective client might be a good fit. At the same time, these calls can be awkward for both the prospect and the advisor, as the prospect might be asked to discuss personal information about their finances with someone they have never met before, and the advisor has to ask potentially thorny questions, such as w

Clients 246
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Housing May 1st Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.0% Week-over-week

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 2.0% week-over-week. It appears inventory has finally bottomed seasonally. This is the highest inventory level since the week ending Feb 24th. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of April 28th, inventory was at 422 thousand (7-day average), compared to 414 thousand the prior week.

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“No matter how you cut it, you’ve got to own Cisco” (2000)

The Big Picture

One of the core philosophical beliefs I hold dear is that the future is inherently unknown and unknowable. This tends to be true for the vast majority of people almost all of the time. The world is full of endless, random, often-invisible factors that greatly impact outcomes. Our own psychology works against our understanding this: Our hindsight bias allows us to see these unknowable results with perfect after-the-fact clarity; that fools us into believing our prior expectations turned out to be

Marketing 333
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Nvidia Breaks Away

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Dror Poleg, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss Nvidia’s ascent, the AI explosion, the future of work, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods! Listen here: Apple podcasts Spotify podcasts Google podcasts Everywhere else!

Marketing 284
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The Two Flavors Of Direct Indexing

Wealth Management

Direct indexing is often applied as the name for two different things, it is time to clarify.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.