Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 16, 2022
The recession callers were back in the first half of 2022, and some like ARK's Cathie Wood and Home Depot's Ken Langone claimed the US was already in a recession. I disagreed and noted I wasn't even on recession watch! We did see negative real GDP growth in Q1 and in Q2 - but that didn't mean the US economy was in a recession (and this has never been the definition of a US recession).
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
A recession so contrived and man-made that every economist, politician, business owner, college student, CEO, rapper and professional athlete has been able to see it coming in real-time for months and months… Take a picture, you may never see anything so obviously about to happen ever again. A child could have foreseen it. At a certain point, a person who is charge of price stability should probably look in the mirr.
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Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
Valian complements the firm's established Pulse portfolio management and reporting platform.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 28, 2022
Around the world, markets lost 5% or worse just last week. Year to date, the S&P 500 is down more than 23%; the Russell 2000 small caps are off more than 26%; Emerging markets are down almost 28%; and the Nasdaq Tech index is off more than 31%. All jokes aside , September has lived up to its reputation as a challenging month for equities. After the brutal sell-off, a relief rally was due, hence the green on your screen this morning.
Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker
Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 29, 2022
As an individual begins planning for retirement, one of the factors often considered is whether (and where) they might relocate to enjoy their retirement. When evaluating their potential options across the U.S., a state’s income tax rules can have a significant impact on where they might choose to live. The perception of a state as having high or low taxes could make it more or less attractive for someone choosing where to relocate, and those perceptions are often skewed by the state’
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 28, 2022
Rates Yields on cash equivalents are rising rapidly. (wealthmanagement.com) Rapidly rising real interest rates provide competition for stocks. (capitalspectator.com) Expected returns on bonds are finally attractive. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Markets Lumber prices are back down to pre-pandemic levels. (wsj.com) Don't fight the last war: this isn't 2008.
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The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 26, 2022
All of the value creation for investors comes from the actions they take in falling markets, not rising ones. If you’re not yet in retirement and not finished putting money into your retirement accounts, every 5% the market falls is an increased opportunity for you to buy things that will be worth much more in the future when you eventually sell them.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 8, 2022
Overall, nearly 40 new ETFs came to the market in the past month.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 14, 2022
The First Totally Honest Stock Market Story. FRIDAY’S MARKETS. By Vinnie Foster Wynans III. Staff Reporter of The Wall Street Journal. The market rallied early this morning for reasons nobody understands and nobody predicted. CNBC analysts confidently asserted it had something to do with the Senegalese money supply but others pointed to revised monthly figures showing a poor tuna haul off the Peruvian coast.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
There are many financial advisors who take issue with the financial advice offered by popular personal finance personalities such as Dave Ramsey. Some disagree on technical details like the plausibility (or purported lack thereof) of his assumptions for future investment returns, while others criticize broader elements of his approach (like his reliance on rules of thumb and a one-size-fits-all approach to building wealth).
Speaker: Erroll Amacker
As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 29, 2022
Podcasts Brett McKay talks with Nick Maggiulli about his book "Just Keep Buying: Proven Ways to Save Money and Build Your Wealth." (artofmanliness.com) Six questions you should ask your financial advisor, including 'If something happens to you, who will take over my account?' (peterlazaroff.com) Housing There is a lot about our financial lives we can't control, including home prices.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 28, 2022
The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 685 thousand. The previous three months were revised up, combined. Sales of new single?family houses in August 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 25, 2022
Okay don’t press the <Buy> because of this but maybe reconsider pressing the <Sell> button if you haven’t already… The AAII sentiment poll hit 60% Bears this week. History says the more pessimistic the investor class becomes, the better the prospective returns look six months out. The way I think about this is that the only thing that could make investors really bearish is a big sell-off in t.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 28, 2022
A new Bank of America survey offers data on workplace benefits and their impact on employee satisfaction and retention.
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The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 16, 2022
The traditional finance conference was murdered this week. A stake was driven through its heart by innovators tired of the old ways. It was, to be fair, a mercy killing. Living in the past, running on inertia, nobody bothered to tell the patient that it was time to say your goodbyes before we pull the plug. The industry had forgotten why it even exists: To serve an audience that wants to get out of the office, hang with its peers, and learn how to be better at what it does.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the SEC has issued a risk alert putting advisors on notice that examiners will be conducting a number of reviews to evaluate how firms are complying with the Commission’s new marketing rule, which it will begin to enforce starting November 4.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 7, 2022
Retirement Dror Poleg, "Telling people you're retired gives you a legitimate, socially-acceptable identity. Saying you're unemployed doesn't." (drorpoleg.com) Jim, "Early retirement shouldn’t just be defined as a solution for those who dislike their jobs." (routetoretire.com) Mortgages Higher mortgage rates no longer make paying off a mortgage early a no-brainer.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 12, 2022
These indicators are mostly for travel and entertainment. It is interesting to watch these sectors recover as the pandemic subsides. Notes: I've added back gasoline supplied to see if there is an impact from higher gasoline prices. -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data is as of September 11th.
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The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 25, 2022
And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 2, 2022
Twelve financial advisors describe how their first paying work taught them enduring lessons for professional success.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
One of the things we know about inflation expectations is that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell relies heavily on them. He thinks about expectations, gives speeches on them, and uses the data series when enacting Federal Reserve policies to combat inflation. The problem is that all consumer surveys (including inflation expectations) are deeply problematic.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 6, 2022
Welcome back to the 297th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Andy Panko. Andy is the owner of Tenon Financial, a virtual independent RIA that oversees $70 million in assets under management for 43 retired client households. What's unique about Andy, though, is how, shortly after launching his practice, he created a Facebook group so that he could share his expertise directly with the types of clients he wanted to serve… which unexpectedly beca
Speaker: Aaron Berson
Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
Podcasts Daniel Crosby talks with Morgan Housel author of "The Psychology of Money." (standarddeviationspod.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Farnoosh Torabi about navigating family money dynamics. (morningstar.com) Cody and Justin talk with Vitaliy Katsenelson about his new book "Soul in the Game." (thefishow.com) College Parent PLUS loans are a disaster.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 9, 2022
The Federal Reserve released the Q2 2022 Flow of Funds report today: Financial Accounts of the United States. The net worth of households and nonprofits fell to $143.8 trillion during the second quarter of 2022. The value of directly and indirectly held corporate equities decreased $7.7 trillion and the value of real estate increased $1.4 trillion. Household debt increased 7.4 percent at an annual rate in the second quarter of 2022.
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 4, 2022
Happy Labor Day Weekend! We did some amazing stuff on the blogs and podcasts this week. Volatile markets really bring the best out in our writers. Hope you’ve been checking out Ben’s blog, Nick’s blog, Animal Spirits, Portfolio Rescue and all the rest this summer. I think we’re balancing a dose of realism about the current situation with plenty of constructive commentary and some optimism about the.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 1, 2022
The industrial development pipeline is at its highest level in years. But developers are facing a host of new challenges.
Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant
Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
How would you like to buy a Rolex — brand new, with papers and box — for MSRP? Prices have skyrocketed for used timepieces, and it would be perfect to nab that Daytona or Batman you have been eyeballing all pandemic for a reasonable amount of cash. Watch Rapport (link omitted on purpose) has every Rollie for sale up for pre-order at MSRP.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 16, 2022
Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with a report from Future Proof, dubbed the “world’s largest wealth festival”, held this week on(!) Huntington Beach, California. In addition to being held outdoors, the event stood out from ‘standard’ industry conferences in other ways, from the wide scope of its content to the diverse makeup of its attendees.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 2, 2022
Strategy Investors can now get non-zero yields on risk-free assets. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Investing lessons learned from Julian Robertson. (ft.com) Companies Starbucks ($SBUX) has a new CEO. (marketwatch.com) Shopify ($SHOP) is still rightsizing its workforce. (theglobeandmail.com) Micron ($MU) is building a big new semiconductor plant in Idaho.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 26, 2022
Active inventory increased for the 2nd consecutive week, increasing 0.9% last week, and hitting a new peak for the year. Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years: 2022: +4.9K 2021: -3.7K 2020: -5.2K 2019: -0.3K Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 131% since then. More than double! Altos reports inventory is up 28.7% year-over-year.
Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
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