Sat.Sep 28, 2024 - Fri.Oct 04, 2024

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Thursday links: an increasingly automated world

Abnormal Returns

Markets Bonds, stocks AND gold are all having a good year. (carsongroup.com) Utilities are crushing it in 2024. (on.spdji.com) Market quilts, including global markets, updated through Q3. (novelinvestor.com) Crypto MicroStrategy ($MSTR) is not the only company that has Bitcoin on the balance sheet. (blockworks.co) The SEC is not done with Ripple. (theverge.com) Finance Election betting is another sign that gambling and trading are becoming indistinguishable.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (October 5–6)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent survey from Charles Schwab indicates that advisors see technology as the biggest driver of change in the RIA industry, with the growing number of AdvisorTech solutions as the most frequently cited tech-related driver of change.

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At the Money: Finding Overlooked Private Investments

The Big Picture

 At The Money: Finding Overlooked Private Investments , with Soraya Darabi, TMV (October 02, 2024) The Efficient Market Hypothesis informs us that stock markets reflect all of the information known about any company. But is that also true for start-ups and venture-funded private companies? As it turns out, it depends on where you look… Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest : Soraya Darabi, partner in the venture firm TMV.

Investing 176
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Comments on September Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the September employment report was well above expectations, and July and August payrolls were revised up by 72,000 combined. The participation rate was unchanged, the employment population ratio increased, and the unemployment rate decreased to 4.1%. Construction employment increased 25 thousand and is now 688 thousand above the pre-pandemic level.

Numbers 120
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If It Aint Broke, Don’t Fix It: A Dangerous Mindset

Time and time again we tell ourselves and others NOT take action on something that is not "broken." We apply that mindset at home and at work. Sometimes, it doesn’t work out so well. Because when it's truly broken, it's usually an emergency, costs more and causes stress. Join us in this webinar where we share ways where you are able to anticipate your needs, understand benefits that you will get from getting better now instead of later, and relieving your team of tasks that they don't need to be

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site The investment world was a different place when Josh Brown started writing. In "You Weren't Supposed to See That" he takes a look back. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week On the strange math of stock returns. (fortunesandfrictions.com) Investors have won the war on fees. Then there's risk. (wealthmanagement.com) Supplementing with magnesium?

Math 275

More Trending

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MiB: Vincent Aita of Cutter Capital on the DNA of Biotech Investing

The Big Picture

 This week, we speak with Vincent Aita, Founder and CIO of Cutter Capital Management. Prior to founding Cutter Capital in November 2022, Vincent spent time as a Senior Analyst for Millennium Partners and a Portfolio Manager at Citadel. He also received a Ph.D. in molecular genetics from Columbia University. We discuss the launch of Cutter Capital and how he managed to combine a love for genetics and business into a successful career.

Investing 144
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The Great Wealth Transfer: Five Tips for RIAs to Attract New Clients

Advisor Perspectives

Expanding outreach to include a well-orchestrated digital lead generation strategy is the most effective and efficient way to grow a client roster and help new generations navigate the Great Wealth Transfer with optimal financial strategies.

Clients 122
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Podcast links: AI episodes

Abnormal Returns

Listening Why chat podcasts rule the industry. (wired.com) CEOs are increasingly going on (and hosting) podcasts. (ft.com) Would you listen to a AI-generated podcast discussion? (tomtunguz.com) Economy Tyler Cowen talks with Kyla Scanlon author of "In This Economy? How Money & Markets Really Work." (conversationswithtyler.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk with Kevin Brady about the coming expiration of the TCJA.

Economy 253
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Kitces & Carl Ep 148: Making It Easier To Get Started By NOT Building In Public And Focusing On Version 0 Instead

Nerd's Eye View

"Building in public" is a common piece of advice for tackling new challenges – whether launching content, starting a business, or setting personal or professional goals – as public commitment fosters accountability and motivation, tapping into the human desire to avoid embarrassment. While this approach can be effective, it ultimately poses its own difficulties; for example, when stakes are public, advisors may feel pressured to endlessly perfect their offerings and over-commit their

Clients 130
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4 Things Great Companies Do to Improve Cash Flow

Speaker: Don Gallianza, Credit Manager at Chevron Phillips Chemical and Indy Chakrabarti, Chief Marketing Officer at HighRadius

4 Case Studies to Optimize DSO 26 Days Sales Outstanding. Already better than most. But, should you improve on that? Why would 3 fewer days even matter? It matters because it fundamentally transforms business outcomes. Join this webinar to explore 4 things companies do to reclaim hard dollars - not just soft costs - and go from good to great! What You'll Learn 6 operational KPIs every AR manager should track: Define and track these metrics to enhance performance, drive efficiency, and make infor

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At The Money: At the Money: Finding Overlooked Private Investments

The Big Picture

 At The Money: Finding Overlooked Private Investments , with Soraya Darabi, TMV (October 02, 2024) We expect our investments to generate positive financial returns, but can they also have a positive societal effect? Can your capital make an impact? Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest : Soraya Darabi, partner in the venture firm TMV. She has been an early investor in companies that went public such as FIGS, Casper, and CloudFlare, as well as startups like Gimlett and Lightwell, th

Investing 130
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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: How a Former Merrill Advisor Found His 'North Star' in the IBD Model

Wealth Management

Covenant Capital founder Nate Harris explains why he left Merrill and opted for the independent broker/dealer model, which he felt would allow him to achieve all he desired and then some.

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Wednesday links: monetizable slop

Abnormal Returns

Markets The U.S. is roughly 50% of global market cap. (apolloacademy.com) Are small cap stocks declining in quality? (advisorperspectives.com) Finding and exploiting an edge costs both time and money. (riskofruinpod.substack.com) Gen Z is getting a jump start on investing compared to prior generations. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Eli Lilly Can Eli Lilly ($LLY) avoid the boom/bust cycle of other pharma companies?

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#FASuccess Ep 405: When Being ‘Youthful’ Turns From A Liability To An Asset In Building Your (Long-Term) Advisory Business, With Gaetano Sacco

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 405th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Gaetano Sacco. Gaetano is a partner and senior financial advisor at Fountainhead Advisors, an RIA based in Warren, New Jersey, that oversees approximately $900 million in assets under management for 1,000 client households. What's unique about Gaetano, though, is how after breaking away from an insurance broker-dealer with barely $5M in assets under management, he has been abl

Assets 130
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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September Employment Report: 254 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Employment Situation Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 254,000 in September , and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in food services and drinking places, health care, government, social assistance, and construction. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for July was revised up by 55,000, from +89,000 to +144,000, and the change for August was revised up by 17

Food 113
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SEC Enforcement Director Gurbir Grewal to Leave Agency

Wealth Management

Grewal’s last day will be Oct. 11. He joined the commission in 2021 and has overseen numerous notable cases, including the first actions related to Regulation Best Interest.

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Research links: strategic beta blues

Abnormal Returns

Alpha Can skewness help identify outperforming mutual funds? (alphaarchitect.com) Is having tomorrow's newspaper today sufficient to make for profitable trades? (papers.ssrn.com) A historical estimate of private equity alpha. (papers.ssrn.com) Bonds Treasury market liquidity is centered around month-end. (libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org) What happens when the stock-bond correlation declines.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: September Employment

Advisor Perspectives

There is a general belief that there are four big indicators that the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. This commentary focuses on one of those indicators, nonfarm employment. September saw a 254,000 increase in total nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment fell to 4.1%.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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5 Years of Spending in Retirement

A Wealth of Common Sense

We emptied the inbox this week covering other questions about getting your CFA designation, the types of bonds you should own in retirement, how pensions fit into a retirement plan, how to spend more money, teaching your kids about money, becoming a landlord, using a HELOC as an emergency fund, how analysts rate stocks and adding international exposure to your portfolio.

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Analysts Largely View LPL CEO’s Firing as ‘Isolated Incident’

Wealth Management

Analysts don’t expect Dan Arnold’s termination to disrupt the day-to-day, and they have confidence in interim CEO Rich Steinmeier and the rest of the management team.

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Sunday links: your unique personality

Abnormal Returns

Markets The U.S. is in the midst of an 'epic bull market.' (awealthofcommonsense.com) Earnings are the most important driver of stock prices. (tker.co) Consumers American consumers have access to a lot of dry powder., i.e. home equity. (carsongroup.com) There is little sign that American consumers are pulling bak. (sherwood.news) Apple Apple ($AAPL) isn't going to invest in OpenAI.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators

Advisor Perspectives

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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The Biggest Risk in Real Estate

A Wealth of Common Sense

The pictures and videos from the wake of Hurricane Helene are unfathomable. One emergency respondent said the flooding in parts of North Carolina resembles biblical devastation. I can’t imagine trying to pick up the pieces if your town, home or business was destroyed by the storm. The good news is this country is pretty good about rallying the troops to help in situations like these.

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Ask the Experts: Prepare for Possible Sunset of High Estate Tax Exemption

Wealth Management

The estate and gift tax exemption (set at $13.61 million per individual in 2024) is due to expire on Jan. 1, 2026. If Congress doesn’t act, that tax exemption will be cut in half to about $6 million.

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Personal finance links: enjoying your money

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Jill Schlesinger talks with Bill McBride of Calculated Risk about the state of the housing market. (youtube.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Jeremy Schwartz about stocks for the long run. (ritholtz.com) Khe Hy talks about the pros and cons of cashing out in a company IPO with Rick Foerster. (youtube.com) Dan Haylett talks about the evolution of the 4% safe withdrawal rate with Bill Bengen.

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FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores A brief excerpt: Here are some graphs on outstanding mortgages by interest rate, the average mortgage interest rate, borrowers’ credit scores and current loan-to-value (LTV) from the FHFA’s National Mortgage Database through Q2 2024 (just released).

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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“$500 is basically free these days”

A Wealth of Common Sense

Housing can be a good investment. Anyone who bought a home before the pandemic can attest to that. The gains this cycle have been spectacular. But housing is also a form of consumption. You not only have property taxes and homeowners insurance but ongoing maintenance, lawn care, wear & tear, renovations, decorations, furniture, etc. I was reminded of this when we had a minor roof leak issue this week.

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Former Edelman Advisor Sues To Break Non-Solicitation Agreement

Wealth Management

Josh Hederick filed his complaint in North Carolina federal court, alleging that Edelman’s litigation record means he can’t trust they’ll work with him on his departure “in good faith.

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Monday links: selling you something

Abnormal Returns

Markets The China stock market rally is very broad. (sherwood.news) China's stock market is on board with economic stimulus. (axios.com) The China stock market rally has gotten U.S. ETF investor attention. (sherwood.news) Strategy The time to prepare for a bear market is before it is on the horizon. (optimisticallie.com) 42% of the Russell 2000 companies have negative earnings.