Sat.Dec 24, 2022 - Fri.Dec 30, 2022

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SECURE 2.0 Act Aims to Increase Retirement Savings for Americans

Carson Wealth

By Jamie Hopkins, Managing Partner, Wealth Solutions. The SECURE 2.0 Act has passed, making it the largest retirement legislation since the original Secure Act hit in the late 2019. As 55% of Americans say they don’t have enough saved for retirement, this bipartisan legislation primarily seeks to make it easier to contribute to retirement plans and use those funds appropriately for their needs in retirement.

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Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in November

Calculated Risk

Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency decreased to 0.64% in November from 0.67% in October. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.33% in November 2021. This is slightly below the pre-pandemic lows. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure". The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59% following the housing bubble and peaked at 3.32% in August 2020 during the pandemic.

Portfolio 361
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History of Industries Listed on S&P 500

The Big Picture

Source: QAD Blog. A perfect way to end the 2022 annus horriblis is to remind readers that not just individual stocks, but entire sectors fall in and out of favor. It iss extremely challenging to select the right sector at the right time (and for the right reasons). Almost nobody does this well consistently over time. Here is QAD from 2019: In business, change is inevitable , and those that fail to adapt and innovate are often doomed to failure.

Economy 312
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2022 Year-in-Review: CRE's 11 Most Important Stories

Wealth Management

A strong start to 2022 marked by robust fundamentals and record levels of investment sales activity transitioned into a second half marked by uncertainty, leaving commercial real estate on unsteady footing heading into 2023.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Thursday links: failing utterly

Abnormal Returns

Markets The energy sector dominated in 2022, and it wasn't even close. (capitalspectator.com) The stock market is not a Ponzi scheme. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Here is Eddy's 2023 Buy List. (crossingwallstreet.com) Companies Inside the Southwest Airlines ($LUV) meltdown. (wsj.com) Cal-Maine Foods ($CALM) stock rode higher egg prices all year, until today.

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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 63% YoY; New Listings Down 6% YoY

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. For the week ending December 24th, active inventory was up 63.1% year-over-year (YoY), up from 58.1% YoY last week. New listings were down 5.7% YoY , the smallest YoY decrease since July. This small YoY decrease in new listings might be related to the holidays. Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in inventory according to realtor.com.

Marketing 357

More Trending

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Highlights of Heckerling

Wealth Management

Wednesday, February 01, 2023 | 2:00 PM Eastern Standard Time

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SECURE Act 2.0: Later RMDs, 529-to-Roth Rollovers, And Other Tax Planning Opportunities

Nerd's Eye View

The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (SECURE) Act, passed in December 2019, brought a wide range of changes to the retirement planning landscape, from the death of the ‘stretch’ IRA to raising the age for Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) to 72. And nearly 3 years to the day after its predecessor was passed, the U.S.

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A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices

Calculated Risk

Two key points: 1) There is a clear seasonal pattern for house prices. 2) The surge in distressed sales during the housing bust distorted the seasonal pattern. For in depth description of these issues, see Jed Kolko's article from 2014 "Let’s Improve, Not Ignore, Seasonal Adjustment of Housing Data" Note: I was one of several people to question the change in the seasonal factor (here is a post in 2009 ) - and this led to S&P Case-Shiller questioning the seasonal factor too ( from April 2010

Sales 355
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Tuesday links: the tech set

Abnormal Returns

Markets The markets were bad in 2022, but things could always be worse. (humbledollar.com) Commodity returns stood out in 2022. (capitalspectator.com) A look at the best charts of 2022. (topdowncharts.substack.com) Strategy There is a big difference between forecasting stock and bond returns. (fortunesandfrictions.com) Why you need to look at base rates when forecasting stock returns.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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2022 Year-in-Review: WMRE's Top Eight Podcast Episodes

Wealth Management

A look back at some of the best conversations we had with commercial real estate pros in 2022.

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SECURE Act 2.0: Later RMDs, 529-to-Roth-Rollovers, And Other Tax Planning Opportunities

Nerd's Eye View

The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (SECURE) Act, passed in December 2019, brought a wide range of changes to the retirement planning landscape, from the death of the ‘stretch’ IRA to raising the age for Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) to 72. And nearly 3 years to the day after its predecessor was passed, the U.S.

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Ten Economic Questions for 2023

Calculated Risk

Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2022 Below are my ten questions for 2023 (I've been doing this every year for over a decade!). These are just questions; I'll follow up with some thoughts on each of these questions. The purpose of these questions is to provide a framework to think about how the U.S. economy will perform in 2023, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 - to adjust my thinking. 1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably under 1% in 2022 as the economy slo

Economics 347
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Personal finance links: ever increasing needs

Abnormal Returns

Personal finance Nobody knows what is going to happen in the stock market next year. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Three ways to simplify your portfolio in 2023. (morningstar.com) Some common personal finance misunderstandings including 'Extending your tax return filing doesn’t extend your ability to pay.' (flowfp.com) The more you know about money, the less you need to think about it.

Taxes 246
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Credit Market Cracks Widen as Distressed Debt Nears $650 Billion

Wealth Management

The strains in the credit market are largely linked to aggressive rate increases by the Federal Reserve and central banks around the world.

Marketing 243
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Dec 31-Jan 1)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the passage of “SECURE Act 2.0” has brought a wide range of changes to the world of retirement planning. And given the variety of planning opportunities created by the legislation – from the raising of the beginning age for RMDs to the ability to transfer funds from 529 plans to Roth IRAs – advisors have a significant opportunity t

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Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2022

Calculated Risk

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2022). I followed up with a brief post on each question. Here is review (we don't have all data yet, but enough). I've linked to my posts from the beginning of the year, with a brief excerpt and a few comments. I don't have a crystal ball, but I think it helps to outline what I think will happen - and understand - and change my mind, when the outlook is wrong.

Economics 285
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Research links: quick alpha

Abnormal Returns

Research A look at the trade-offs of rebalancing frequency. (corporate.vanguard.com) How trend following works during different market regimes. (quantpedia.com) Why ESG portfolios need to be optimized. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) A rave review for Eric Balchunas' book "The Bogle Effect." (alphaarchitect.com).

Portfolio 246
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Sustainable Strategies for the Modern Investor

Wealth Management

Tuesday, January 31, 2023 | 2:00 PM ET

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2022 Highlights — The Top 22 Nerd’s Eye View Blog Posts You Might Have Missed

Nerd's Eye View

As 2022 comes to a close, I am once again so thankful to all of you, the ever-growing number of readers who continue to regularly visit this Nerd’s Eye View Blog (and share the content with your friends and colleagues, which we greatly appreciate!). This year has been challenging for many financial advisors as they help their clients (and their own firms!

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Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak; Houses are the least “affordable” since 1982 when 30-year mortgage rates were over 14% Excerpt: It has been over 16 years since the bubble peak. In the October Case-Shiller released Tuesday , the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 62% above the bubble peak in 2006.

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Wednesday links: a gambling instinct

Abnormal Returns

Lists 9 surprising things that happened in 2022 including 'The Federal Reserve opening pushed for the stock market to fall.' (awealthofcommonsense.com) 4 mistakes from 2022 including the idea of more funds equaling more diversification. (morningstar.com) 35 ideas from 2022 including 'Long term investing is hard.' (safalniveshak.com) 11 ideas that stuck from 2022 including the 'power of quitting.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Commodity Investing in the Era of Inflation

Wealth Management

Wednesday, January 25, 2023 | 2:00 PM ET

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Kitces & Carl Ep 102: Reflecting On The Journey Of Building A Career And Business

Nerd's Eye View

For many seasoned financial advisors, the road toward building a career and a business can be challenging and rewarding. And even though most advisors would agree that the road to success involves many years of hard work and sacrifice, each advisor’s path to ultimate success can consist of massively different experiences. In our 102nd episode of Kitces & Carl, Michael Kitces and client communication expert Carl Richards discuss the challenges they have each faced in their decades-long

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Question #10 for 2023: Will inventory increase further in 2023?

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Question #10 for 2023: Will inventory increase further in 2023? Brief excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I’ll post thoughts on those in the newsletter (others like GDP and employment will be on my blog).

Economics 264
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Adviser links: fee increases

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Michael Kitces talks setting boundaries with Emily Rassam who is the Senior Financial Planner for Archer Investment Management. (kitces.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak discuss the recent "The State of Retirement Income" report. (morningstar.com) Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese talk with Phil Pearlman about the connection between health and wealth planning.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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2022 Year-in-Review: WMRE's Top 10 Galleries

Wealth Management

The top galleries assembled in 2022 by WMRE reflected the impact of a changing world on commercial real estate trends.

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2023 Investment Outlook (Video)

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here is our 2023 investment outlook. I did this a little differently this year by providing a scenario analysis with different probability distributions.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 9.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019

Calculated Risk

From CoStar: STR: US Hotel Performance Slows During Lead-Up to Christmas U.S. hotel performance came in lower than the previous week and showed weakened comparisons to 2019 on the unfavorable side of a holiday calendar shift, according to STR‘s latest data through Dec. 24. At the same time, occupancy on the 24th was the highest for any Christmas Eve on record.

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Friday links: the problem with inflation

Abnormal Returns

Markets A great reminder that S&P 500 industries go in and out of fashion. (ritholtz.com) Leveraged, long Bitcoin was not a good strategy in 2022. (bloomberg.com) Airlines Southwest Airlines ($LUV) seems to be back on track. (finance.yahoo.com) Fliers and front line workers bear the brunt of airline chaos. (nytimes.com) Food The price of cultivated meat is rapidly coming down.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.