Sat.May 04, 2024 - Fri.May 10, 2024

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TikTokInvestors

The Big Picture

Nestled in between lip-sync dancers and fashion influencers, financial fraud lurks on TikTok. At least one person1 has noticed the risks to young consumers of social media: Since August 2020, @TikTokInvestors has been curating the most outrageous money-losing and dangerous videos culled from the “financial experts” at TikTok. The advice ranges from wrong to risky to criminal: -401ks?

Media 336
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Widen your investing lens. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why the stock market usually goes up. (humbledollar.com) The best investors are running their own race. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) How stocks, bonds and cash have performed over the past 30 years. (awealthofcommonsense.com) How major asset classes performed in April 2024.

Assets 314
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5 Questions Using Risk Assessment Data That Help Advisors Understand Clients’ True Concerns About Risk

Nerd's Eye View

Measuring a client's tolerance for risk is an essential (and required!) step when onboarding a new client, as making any sort of recommendation is impossible without first understanding how comfortable clients may be when their portfolios inevitably experience volatility. Over the years, 2 types of measurement tools have emerged as the standards for assessing risk tolerance: 1) psychometric tests, which feature a series of questions (such as, "What amount of risk do you feel you have taken with

Clients 239
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Seinfeld on When Money Became Everything

A Wealth of Common Sense

One of my favorite pop culture developments in recent years is the famous person press tour. If you write a new book or have a new movie or TV show coming out, you have to talk to every outlet imaginable to sell your project. There is so much content and so much competition for our attention these days that even uber-successful people are forced to make the hard sell.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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US Equities: 9% Forever?

The Big Picture

It’s taken me months to organize all of my research for my next book project; it’s a lot of stuff, some dating back to 2000. Much of it reflects the bad ideas and numbers, and worse advice, that float around Wall Street. A lot of it has not aged well. But every now and then, something I saved turned out to be prescient — not because it was lucky, but because it contained a well-considered insight that has stood the test of time.

Numbers 287

More Trending

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (May 11-12)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners"– this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent analysis from Morningstar suggests that the Department of Labor's (DoL's) new Retirement Security Rule (aka Fiduciary Rule 2.0) could save retirement plan participants $55 billion over the next 10 years (due to an expectation of more low-cost fees being offered in plans) and those rolling over workplace plans into IRAs to purchase annuities another $32.5 bill

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Translating Wall Street Jargon

A Wealth of Common Sense

I saw the following headline earlier this week: I didn’t even need to read the actual article to know what the message would be. The tell here was the term ‘veteran forecaster’ In finance-speak, veteran forecaster can be translated to mean someone who is supremely confident in their predictions but almost always wrong. It has to be this way because forecasters are so unreliable.

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MiB: Jim O’Shaughnessy, O’Shaughnessy Ventures

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Jim O’Shaughnessy, founder and CEO of O’Shaughnessy Ventures. He is also chairman of the board at Stability AI. He is the host of the Infinite Loops podcast and the author of How to Retire Rich , Invest Like the Best , and Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow. We discuss how the book What Works on Wall Street set the tone for his entire career as a quant.

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Tuesday links: the idea of escape

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why TIPS are more attractive than nominal bonds at this point. (morningstar.com) Chinese stocks have badly underperformed for more than a decade. (sherwood.news) ETFs Just because somebody puts a strategy in an ETF wrapper doesn't mean you need to buy it. (rogersplanning.blogspot.com) Is there another class of investors able to push spot Bitcoin ETF adoption higher?

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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#FA Success Ep 384: Growing An Advisor Career From (Bank) Assistant To Partner While Also Growing A Family, With Hannah Provost

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 384th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Hannah Provost. Hannah is a partner and financial advisor at Lomanto Provost Financial Advisors, a hybrid advisory firm based in Plattsburgh, New York, that oversees approximately $150 million in assets under management for about 380 client households.

Banking 216
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Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory Decreased in Q1 2024

Calculated Risk

Fannie reported results for Q1 2024. Here is some information on single-family Real Estate Owned (REOs). Fannie Mae reported the number of REOs decreased to 7,791 at the end of Q1 2024, down 5% from 8,403 at the end of the previous quarter, and down 9% year-over-year from Q1 2023. For Fannie, this is down 95% from the 166,787 peak number of REOs in Q3 2010.

Numbers 131
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Most Important Skill of the Future is Being ‘Indistractable’ How the difference between traction and distraction could transform your productivity. ( Nir and Far ) • this is a teenager : In 1998, a researcher named Vincent Felitti published a paper that drastically changeed the way we think about these kids and childhood.

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Wednesday links: your median competitor

Abnormal Returns

Markets Earnings continue to be supportive of the bull market. (carsongroup.com) Measures of corporate sentiment are ticking higher. (wsj.com) ETFs The number of single-stock ETFs is growing. (wsj.com) Good performance need not equal AUM. (etf.com) Sports business Sports betting companies are looking for new ways to get your money. (cnn.com) Can a sports league have too much inventory?

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (May 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the May 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that self-directed retirement planning software provider NewRetirement has raised a $20M Series A round as the company demonstrates that its DIY tools really do turn a subset of consumers into bona fide prosp

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Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in April; Down 14.0% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Declined in April Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were down in April compared to March. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) fell to 198.4, a decline of 14.0% from a year ago. The seasonal adjustment to the index magnified the results for the month, resulting in a 2.3% month-over-month decrease.

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At The Money: Concentrated Portfolios

The Big Picture

APPLE EMBED At The Money: Concentrated Portfolios: Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley (May 8, 2024) Are your expensive active mutual funds and ETFs actually active? Or, as is too often the case, are they only pretending to be active? Do they charge a high active fee but then behave more like an index fund? AndrewToday, we discuss the advantages of concentrated portfolios.

Portfolio 146
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Podcast links: being happier at work

Abnormal Returns

The biz How the Acquired podcast became a favorite in the business world. (wsj.com) Scott Galloway is launching a new finance-focused podcast. (semafor.com) Business Rick Buhrman and Paul Buser talk with Mitch Rales, co-founder of Danaher Corp. (joincolossus.com) Derek Thompson talks with Gideon Lewis-Kraus about the prospects for eVTOLs. (theringer.com) Josh Brown and Michael Batnick talk all things Hollywood with Matt Belloni.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Using Machine Language Programs to Forecast the Equity Risk Premium

Alpha Architect

To date, the best metric we have for forecasting future equity returns and the ERP is current valuations. An interesting question is whether more complicated methods using newly developed machine learning models can provide superior forecasts. Using Machine Language Programs to Forecast the Equity Risk Premium was originally published at Alpha Architect.

Valuation 125
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Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern – Trading Strategies And More

Trade Brains

Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern: Technical analysts rely heavily on chart and candlestick patterns to conduct comprehensive analyses of stock prices and accurately predict their future movements. Each pattern formed in the market has a clear and justified reason behind its formation and indicates the market’s direction. Here in this article, we shall discuss a two-candlestick pattern called the bearish engulfing candlestick pattern with its meaning, formation, indication, and how to

Marketing 124
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Transcript: Joanne Bradford

The Big Picture

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Joanne Bradford, Domain Money , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , YouTube , and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~ Barry Ritholtz : This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest.

Startup 146
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Personal finance links: hoarding points

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Brett McKay talks with Jared Dillian author of "No Worries: How to Live a Stress-Free Financial Life." (artofmanliness.com) Cameron Passmore and Benamin Felix talk with Scott Galloway author of "The Algebra of Wealth: A Simple Formula for Financial Security." (rationalreminder.libsyn.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Larry Swedroe about the challenge of stock picking.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Is Social Security Going Bankrupt?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Your favorite tax expert Bill Sweet joined me on the show again this week to discuss questions about downshifting your risk as you approach retirement, the most tax-efficient way to pay for a medical procedure, when DIY investors should consider an advisor, the Rule of 55 and how to prepare for taxes in retirement. Further Reading: Can Young People Still Count on Social Security?

Medical 117
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Housing May 6th Weekly Update: Inventory up 0.6% Week-over-week, Up 33.1% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 0.6% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 13.3% from the February bottom. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of May 3rd, inventory was at 560 thousand (7-day average), compared to 556 thousand the prior week. Inventory is still far below pre-pandemic levels.

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Unemployment Claims Jump to 8-Month High

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending May 4, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 231,000, an increase of 22,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is higher than the forecast of 212,000 jobless claims.

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Friday links: optimized leverage

Abnormal Returns

Markets Picking 30 companies for the Dow Jones Industrial Average isn't easy in a dynamic economy. (wsj.com) The stock market doesn't love high inflation. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Apple Apple ($AAPL) is in a tough spot. (om.co) Apple ($AAPL) may be late in AI, but don't count them out. (barrons.com) If Apple ($AAPL) is no longer the world's biggest brand, what is?

Economy 264
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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The Worst Bond Bear Market Ever Marches On

A Wealth of Common Sense

I write a lot about bear markets. Here’s a random assortment of my greatest hits in recent years: The 2 Types of Bear Markets How Often Do Bear Markets Occur? Dollar Cost Averaging in a Bear Market Wins Again Bear Markets are Transitory We’re Still in a Bear Market You Know I focus on corrections, bear markets, and crashes because those are the truly important times for investors.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index Up 6.4% year-over-year in February

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.4% year-over-year in February • Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.4% Below Peak • Lawler: Update on Mortgage Rates and Spreads and also New / Renewal Rents • Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in March; Up 6.6% Year-over-year This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

Marketing 116
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FINRA Fines SoFi $1.1M For Customer ID, Identity Theft Oversight

Wealth Management

According to the settlement letter, third parties used the firm’s cash management brokerage account to withdraw funds from accounts they’d illegally accessed at other financial institutions.