Sat.Mar 07, 2020 - Fri.Mar 13, 2020

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The Psychology of Bear Markets

The Irrelevant Investor

The desire to feel safe when danger is lurking is a primal instinct. We feel it in the streets, we feel it in nature, and we sure as hell feel it in the stock market. Everyone has a breaking point, and it's only in times of distress that we learn where that point is. The psychology of a bear market goes something like this. Everybody's tolerance for pain is different, but for the purposes of this mental exercise let's assume your breaking point is a 40% decline.

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How To Communicate With Your Clients About The Bear Market (Free Template)

Indigo Marketing Agency

Last week, I shared this free template to communicate with your clients about the coronavirus and market volatility. But this week, the roller coaster ride continues. In light of today’s market chaos, I recommend staying in front of your clients to educate them and address their fears. If you’re a current client of ours, simply email us now and we’ll prepare a blog post to go out on your behalf.

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Finance Students Job Preparation Ideas in Times of Pandemic

International College of Financial Planning

It is not common for fresh graduates to be left in a lurch while they had planned a successful transition to becoming a working professional. Unfortunately that’s what the coronavirus pandemic has done to hundreds and thousands of students worldwide. The good news, however, is that all is not lost. The world hasn’t come to an end (and isn’t likely to), scientists are working overtime to develop a vaccine and many world economies are slowly limping back to normalcy.

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Animal Spirits Emergency Podcast: Preparing For a Recession

The Irrelevant Investor

On today’s show we discuss: Creating an overreaction plan Everything you need to know about a recession 12 charts for the recession Is the stock market going to close? Recessions are normal, but they're not healthy 20% is an important psychological number Listen here: Contact us at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, recommendations, or questions.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Stuck Inside? Save 20% On The Marketing Guide For Financial Advisors! (Buy Now)

Indigo Marketing Agency

My book, The Marketing Guide for Financial Advisors , hit the shelves on November 8, 2019, and I’m excited to share with you a recent review from FANews—the e-newsletter published by Financial Advisor. For a limited time, you can save 20% on your paperback copy of The Marketing Guide For Financial Advisors on Amazon (on sale for just $15.99). As many of you may know, Financial Advisor is the go-to company for industry-leading financial services advice.

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Animal Spirits: Oil’s 1987 Moment

The Irrelevant Investor

On today’s show we discuss: The oil price war The bond market is arguably a bigger concern than the stock market Why are rates falling so hard? Long bonds have been one of the best investments in the world Why so many Americans don't talk about money The end of pay TV "Everything is getting better" doesn't help right now Listen here Recommendations A Piece of the Action Love is Blind High Fidelity The 5 Best Mark Wahlberg Movies Stratechery Tweets [link] [link] Charts The post Animal Spirits: Oi

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Is the Stock Market Predicting a Recession?

The Irrelevant Investor

The best way to learn about anything new is with a story. One of my favorite ways to communicate how the stock market works to younger investors comes from this one in William Bernstein's Four Pillars of Investing: A superb metaphor for the long-term/short-term dichotomy in stock returns comes from Ralph Wanger, the witty and incisive principal of the Acorn Funds.

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A Random Watch Down Wall Street: The Founder

The Irrelevant Investor

Ben and I spoke about The Founder, the story of Ray Kroc and the McDonald brothers. Listen here: Trailer here [link] Books mentioned: The Fifties Contact us at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, recommendations, or questions. Follow us on Facebook , Instagram , and YouTube. Check out our t-shirts, stickers, coffee mugs, and other swag here.

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Putting Things in Perspective

The Irrelevant Investor

Not to minimize the decline, but a 60/40 portfolio is down just over 5% year-to-date Not to minimize the decline, but the S&P 500 is still up 200% over the last ten years Not to minimize the decline, but stocks are trading at the same place they were last August Not to minimize the decline, but the average intra-year drawdown is 15.8% , this morning we hit 18.9% Not to minimize the decline, but the S&P 500 declined 4% or more in a single session 44 times since 1950 Not to minimize the de

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The Fastest Bear Market Ever

The Irrelevant Investor

Bear markets are nothing new, but what makes this current edition especially painful is the speed at which its taken place. The chart below shows all declines of 20% or more from the all time high going back to 1915. The average number of days from peak to bear market territory is 255, the median is 156. The Dow is currently 19% off its high in 17 sessions, so assuming it falls another 1% over the next few days, this would make it by far the fastest all-time high to bear market ever.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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A Few Things I’m Thinking About

The Irrelevant Investor

Non Correlated Versus Negatively Correlated We (re)learned a few things about risk assets over the past few weeks. One of the most important takeaways from the recent correction is that treasury bonds are the best place to hide during a dislocation in the stock market. When the S&P 500 peaked on February 19, 30-year bonds were yielding a paltry 2%.

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Everybody’s Talking About It

The Irrelevant Investor

Our world changed last night. We learned that all flights to and from Europe are going to be cancelled for the next 30 days. We learned that the NBA is going to suspend its season. And we learned that Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson contracted the Coronavirus. It's impossible to deny the seriousness of what we're dealing with. For the first time in a long time, the world is blanketed in fear.

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What Happened Last Week?

The Irrelevant Investor

Monday The S&P 500 gained 4.6% on its strongest day since December 2018, and the 27th strongest day since 1950. It seemed fair to say that this was little more than a normal snap back that we see after extremely oversold conditions. Statistics don't make for good headlines because people understand stories better than probabilities. " The stock market was up big on Monday because we defeated socialism.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles That means it fell by 75%, then another 75%, then another 75%, and then another 75%. And then another 90%. By Drew Dickson Across business, science, and finance, power is concentrated among the elderly. By Derek Thompson It’s comforting to have strong opinions even if you have no idea what you’re talking about By Morgan Housel We crave predictability and control when it comes to our money but the stock market provides neither By Ben Carlson Running a small business means always operati

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?