Sat.Sep 21, 2024 - Fri.Sep 27, 2024

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Why Pre-Tax Retirement Contributions Are Better Than Roth In Peak Earning Years (Even If Tax Rates Increase)

Nerd's Eye View

Over the last 60 years, the top Federal marginal tax bracket has steadily decreased from over 90% in the 1950s and 60s to 'just' 37% today. However, with the national debt expanding rapidly, observers of U.S. tax policy are predicting that Congress will inevitably be forced to again increase tax rates in order to raise revenue and balance the national budget – and that the current regime of relatively low tax rates will prove to be a temporary phenomenon.

Taxes 246
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Personal finance links: assessing your financial situation

Abnormal Returns

Podcast Barry Ritholtz talks with Brian Portnoy about whether money can buy happiness. (ritholtz.com) Peter Lazaroff on the importance of simplicity in personal finance. (peterlazaroff.com) Carl Richards talks money and life with journalists Jodi Kantor and Ron Lieber. (50fires.com) Tim Ranzetta talk financial literacy with Tony and Dina Isola of Ritholtz Wealth Management.

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MiB: Kyla Scanlon on Vibecessions & Gen Z

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Kyla Scanlon , creator, host of YouTube’s,“Let’s Appreciate” podcast , writer of daily short-form videos about economy + markets. She has been published at Bloomberg, New York Magazine, FT, and the NYT. Her new book “ In This Economy?: How Money & Markets Really Work ” just came out this Summer. We discuss how she came up with the idea of a “ Vibecession ” and how it became a popular New York Times guest essay.

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The Middle Class: Feelings vs. Finances

A Wealth of Common Sense

Gallup has a poll that asks Americans what income strata they belong in. The results are relatively stable over the past 20+ years: Most people say middle class while very few people think they are upper class. The Pew Research Center has a new tool that allows you to enter your income and see where it is you fit both nationally and locally. Their numbers show the Gallup poll is right on the money as far as middle-class.

Numbers 139
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If It Aint Broke, Don’t Fix It: A Dangerous Mindset

Time and time again we tell ourselves and others NOT take action on something that is not "broken." We apply that mindset at home and at work. Sometimes, it doesn’t work out so well. Because when it's truly broken, it's usually an emergency, costs more and causes stress. Join us in this webinar where we share ways where you are able to anticipate your needs, understand benefits that you will get from getting better now instead of later, and relieving your team of tasks that they don't need to be

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7 New Lessons Learned Building A Fee-Only RIA From Scratch: Years 3–5

Nerd's Eye View

Starting a new firm can be a nerve-wracking time for an entrepreneurially minded financial advisor, as making the jump involves a significant amount of professional and financial risk. Nonetheless, after a year or 2 in business, some firm owners will find that their plate is becoming full and their available time is shrinking as they balance servicing current clients with marketing for new ones and also possibly managing staff.

Fee Only 246

More Trending

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • America may be on the brink of an epic vibe shift : Stock prices at records, gas prices falling, and the Fed is cutting. Will it be enough to lift the sour consumer mood that set in during the pandemic? ( Sherwood ) • The Mr. Beast Memo is a Guide to the Gen Z Workforce: Mr.

Assets 157
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ICE: "Home prices continued to cool in August, with prices up +3.0%" YoY

Calculated Risk

Note: This is a repeat sales index (like Case-Shiller and FHFA). ICE is releasing this index early this month. Several cities in Florida are now seeing year-over-year price declines (as inventory surges). From ICE: • Home prices continued to cool in August, with prices up +3.0% from the same time last year according to the ICE Home Price Index, marking the slowest rate of home price growth in over a year • On an adjusted basis prices rose by +0.12% in the month – the slowest adjusted monthly gro

Sales 113
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (September 28–September 29)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent study by Cerulli has shown a sharp increase in the number of affluent investors willing to pay for advice, which on the one hand reflects the increasing financial complexity in peoples' lives (while they've also gotten busier than ever at work and at home) to the extent that they're more willing to work with someone to navigate those financial challenges; while al

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Thursday links: news cynicism

Abnormal Returns

Markets U.S. earnings estimates, and margins, continue to tick higher in 2024. (carsongroup.com) Covid was boon for U.S. corporate profitability. (sherwood.news) Strategy How would you do if had tomorrow's newspaper today? (ft.com) Investing is simple but not easy. (thefinancialbodyguard.com) Finance Not every sovereign wealth fund is created alike.

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4 Things Great Companies Do to Improve Cash Flow

Speaker: Don Gallianza, Credit Manager at Chevron Phillips Chemical and Indy Chakrabarti, Chief Marketing Officer at HighRadius

4 Case Studies to Optimize DSO 26 Days Sales Outstanding. Already better than most. But, should you improve on that? Why would 3 fewer days even matter? It matters because it fundamentally transforms business outcomes. Join this webinar to explore 4 things companies do to reclaim hard dollars - not just soft costs - and go from good to great! What You'll Learn 6 operational KPIs every AR manager should track: Define and track these metrics to enhance performance, drive efficiency, and make infor

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An Epic Bull Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

The bull market of the 1980s and 1990s is the stuff dreams are made of.1 The S&P 500 was up nearly 18% per year over the course of those two decades.2 It’s one of the great bull markets in history. But if we want to get picky, the bull market didn’t truly start until 1982. There were back-to-back recessions in 1980 and 1981-82. You had a 17% correction in 1980 along with a near-30% bear market that bottome.

Marketing 113
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Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%

Calculated Risk

From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, our 3Q GDP tracking estimate is down two-tenths to 2.3% q/q saar while 2Q GDP came in at 3.0% q/q saar in the final official estimate. [Sept 27th estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: The details of yesterday’s durable goods report and this morning’s Advance Economic Indicators report were stronger than our previous GDP tracking assumptions, while the details of the PCE report were slightly softer.

Economics 113
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#FASuccess Ep 404: The Evolution Of Specializing In College Planning To Work With Mid-Career Professionals Who Save, With Ann Garcia

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 404th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Ann Garcia. Ann is a partner of Independent Progressive Advisors, an RIA based in Portland, Oregon, that oversees approximately $115 million in assets under management for 120 client households. What's unique about Ann, though, is how she crafted a nationally recognized expertise in college financial planning, and the ways that specialization has evolved as Ann’s advisor

Planning 130
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns Ted Lamade, "Is increased complexity the path to better performance, or would investors be better off if they simply removed a few things?" (collabfund.com) No matter how you spin the numbers, day trading is a losing proposition. (morningstar.com) Paying for stuff is getting complicated. (sherwood.news) Buying the dip isn't easy, or particularly profitable.

Retail 235
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Q2 GDP Third Estimate: Real GDP at 3.0%, In Line With Forecast

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. economy grew at an expected pace during the second quarter of this year. Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.99% in Q2 2024, according to the final estimate. The latest estimate is the same as the forecasted 3.0% growth and is a pickup from the Q1 2024 GDP final estimate of 1.6%.

Economy 113
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Can Skewness Identify Future Outperforming Mutual Funds

Alpha Architect

While the skewness metric did demonstrate that it could select funds with managers skilled a security selection, the fund’s expenses and implementation meant that the fund was just about able to cover its expenses, and that was before the negative impact of active management on after-tax returns—and the finding was not statistically significant at even the 10% level of confidence.

Taxes 109
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RIA Roundup: Dynasty Names Tim Oden Chief Growth Officer

Wealth Management

In other RIA news, Merchant stakes an investment banking firm, Focus partner firm Transform Wealth buys fellow Denver business Custom Portfolio Group, and Cetera's employee RIA acquires an Austin-based practice with $185 million in assets.

Banking 109
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Sunday links: too on edge

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Beware anyone offering high, guaranteed returns. (wsj.com) Better process leads to better outcomes. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Immigration Noah Smith, "Trump’s lies about the Haitians of Springfield have given America a glimpse of the dark vision that lies beneath the populist anger." (noahpinion.blog) Immigrants are helping revitalize Rust Belt cities like Springfield, OH.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.8% below 2022 peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak Excerpt: It has been over 18 years since the bubble peak. In the July Case-Shiller house price index on Tuesday, the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 74% above the bubble peak in 2006. However, in real terms, the National index (SA) is about 11% above the bubble peak (and historically there has been an upward slope to real house prices).

Numbers 111
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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income Up 0.1% in August

Advisor Perspectives

Personal income ( excluding transfer receipts ) rose 0.23% in August and is up 5.4% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.14% month-over-month and up 3.1% year-over-year.

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Advisor Sentiment Index: Confidence in the Economy Falls

Wealth Management

Financial advisors’ confidence in the current state of the economy sank last month to its lowest point year-to-date, while optimism in the stock market continued to rise.

Economy 113
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Longform links: the digital biosphere

Abnormal Returns

Books A look at "Opus: The Cult of Dark Money, Human Trafficking, and Right-Wing Conspiracy Inside the Catholic Church" by Gareth Gore. (nymag.com) An excerpt from “Fools on the Hill: The Hooligans, Saboteurs, Conspiracy Theorists and Dunces who Burned Down the House,” by Dana Milbank. (wapo.st) A Q&A with Alok Sama author of "The Money Trap: Lost Illusions Inside the Tech Bubble.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Watch Months-of-Supply!

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Watch Months-of-Supply! A brief excerpt: Both inventory and sales are well below pre-pandemic levels, and I think we need to keep an eye on months-of-supply to forecast price changes. Historically nominal prices declined when months-of-supply approached 6 months - and that is unlikely any time soon - however, as expected, months-of-supply is back to 2019 levels.

Sales 111
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Parent Companies who are coming up with IPOs of their subsidiaries

Trade Brains

India’s business landscape is buzzing with excitement. Big companies are preparing to showcase their star players in the stock market. There’s something for everyone, from electric cars to green energy, from loans to insurance. These upcoming IPOs aren’t just about raising money. They’re about shaping India’s economic future.

Banking 111
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Retail Investors Won on Fees But Are Losing on Risk

Wealth Management

Gamified trading apps and niche ETFs have a cost that’s harder to spot but is little different from the damage inflicted on portfolios by high fees.

Retail 125
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Podcast links: the century of oil

Abnormal Returns

Economy Barry Ritholtz talks with Kyla Scanlon author of "In This Economy? How Money and Markets Really Work." (ritholtz.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk industrial policy with Vivek Chibber, a professor at NYU. (podcasts.apple.com) Ted Seides Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks with Ted Seides author of "Private Equity Deals: Lessons in Investing, Dealmaking, and Operations from Private Equity Professionals.

Economy 205
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Benchmarking ROI with Forrester: Measuring the Success of Finance Transformation

Finance Transformation Myths Busted Over 75% of organizations struggle to define the right success metrics to benchmark the impact of their finance transformation investment. Whether you are just initiating your digital transformation journey or planning to pitch your next AI project to leadership, without the right metrics and a rigorous tracking process - all your efforts might go to waste!

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Rate Cuts & Historical Market Analogues

A Wealth of Common Sense

Studying market history has made me a better investor. Calculating historical performance data is one of my go-to moves for this blog. It helps provide some insight into the potential risks and range of outcomes in the markets. Market history also helps keep you grounded. It’s important to understand the booms and busts — the South Sea Bubble, the panic of 1907, the roaring 20s, the Great Depression, the Nifty.

Marketing 109
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New Home Sales Decrease to 716,000 Annual Rate in August; Median New Home Price is Down 9% from the Peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Decrease to 716,000 Annual Rate in August Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reported New Home Sales in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 716 thousand. The previous three months were revised up. The next graph shows new home sales for 2023 and 2024 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

Sales 103
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Stifel, Invesco Among 11 Firms Paying $88M To Settle SEC Off-Channel Communications Violations

Wealth Management

According to SEC Enforcement Director Gurbir Grewal, Qatalyst Partners did not have to pay a monetary penalty because it self-reported the results of its investigation.