Sat.Jun 24, 2023 - Fri.Jun 30, 2023

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Learning Experiences Advisor Firm Owners Wished They Knew Before Merging Or Selling

Nerd's Eye View

One of the biggest challenges for small, independent RIA firms is that they are self-reliant with respect to designing, choosing, and implementing the systems, technology, and processes that they use. Some firm owners relish the responsibilities of building and maintaining a firm from the ground up, but others – who may be happier with simply advising and building relationships with clients – might find it more appealing to merge with or sell to a larger firm that has the resources t

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New Home Sales increase to 763,000 Annual Rate in May

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 763 thousand. The previous three months were revised down slightly, combined. Sales of new single‐family houses in May 2023 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 763,000 , according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Sales 363
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Nobody Knows Anything, 2023 First Half Edition

The Big Picture

A quick note as the first half of 2023 draws to a close, shocking the locals with its intensity. Why? Because almost nobody saw this rally coming. 1 As of this moment, the indices stand appreciably higher than where they were on January 1, 2023: The NASDAQ 100 is up >38%, the S&P 500 is up ~15.5%, and the Russell 2000 small cap index is up almost 7%.

Numbers 325
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Are You Smarter Than a College Financial Planning Student?

Wealth Management

This quiz is based on actual questions from The Financial Planning Challenge.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Why we all need regular doses of Vitamin O, i.e. optimism. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Warren Buffett's advice on active vs. passive investing is clear. (monevator.com) Joshua Brown, "The thing that everyone’s talking about is not always the thing that ends up mattering." (thereformedbroker.com) What the CIA can teach investors.

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PCE Measure of Shelter Finally Slowing YoY

Calculated Risk

Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through May 2023. CPI Shelter was up 8.0% year-over-year in May, down from 8.1% in April, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 8.3% YoY in May , down from 8.4% in April (April was the cycle peak).

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More Trending

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The 20 States With the Most Investment Fraud

Wealth Management

The top 20 states ranked by rate of investment fraud per 100,000 residents.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (July 1-2)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that NAPFA has announced that it will no longer exclude advisors who receive up to $2,500 in annual trailing commissions from previous product sales, if they agree to donate that money to a non-profit organization and are otherwise fully dedicated to fee-only principles with their clients going forward.

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Update on Four High Frequency Indicators

Calculated Risk

I stopped the weekly updates of high frequency indicators at the end of 2022. Here is a mid-year look at four indicators: -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data is as of June 25th. Click on graph for larger image. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue), 2022 (Orange) and 2023 (Red).

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What Recession?

The Big Picture

Rising rates, falling savings, increased deficits, dubious GDP : Ever since the yield curve inverted and warnings of “imminent recession” filled the air, the Philly Fed’s map of State Coincident Indexes has provided a good real-time snapshot of the state of the economy. Friday’s release might have snuck by, but its filled with upside surprises that are worth looking at.

Economy 322
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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The Problem with Saying ‘She’s in a Better Place’

Wealth Management

Grief comes with mixed emotions. Help a client work through both their financial issues and their emotional struggles, and you’ll have a client for life.

Clients 312
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Podcast links: generational differences

Abnormal Returns

Audio YouTube will soon allow automatic dubbing. (engadget.com) How many streams it takes an artist to earn $1,000 on different platforms. (genuineimpact.substack.com) Companies Matt Reustle talks with Tom Walsh, a portfolio manager at Baillie Gifford, about ASML Holdings ($ASML). (joincolossus.com) Benjamin Gilbert and David Rosenthal talk about the history of Porsche AG with Doug DeMuro.

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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down Slightly YoY; New Listings Down 29% YoY

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report from economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending June 24, 2023 • Active inventory growth stalled completely, with for-sale homes lagging behind year ago levels for the first time in 59 weeks. As mortgage rates surged in 2022, buyers saw costs soar, and a large number of shoppers reoriented their housing plans.

Numbers 336
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S&P 500 Companies: A Visual Breakdown

The Big Picture

All of the companies in the S&P 500 are worth $7.1 trillion in assets, accounting for close to 80% of available market capitalization on U.S. stock exchanges. Visual Capital notes: “Over the last decade, big tech names have dominated the index. The tech sector makes up over 26% , with Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia as the top S&P 500 companies by market capitalization.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Woman Accused of Murdering Her Husband Sues His Estate

Wealth Management

Eric Richins had made plans to exclude his wife from inheriting his assets

Assets 312
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Longform links: the most informed experts

Abnormal Returns

Technology AI is making for a spate of new junk websites powered by programmatic ads. (technologyreview.com) The FTC thinks Amazon ($AMZN) customers are stupid. (stratechery.com) The many ways in which data brokers label you. (themarkup.org) The Internet is a beast that needs to be fed with content. (om.co) Water Can Utah's Great Salt Lake be saved?

Economics 246
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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 239,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending June 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 239,000 , a decrease of 26,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 264,000 to 265,000. The 4-week moving average was 257,500, an increase of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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Flip ‘Plan Presentation’ Into ‘Plan Engagement’ Meetings To Generate More Focus And Reflective Questions From Clients

Nerd's Eye View

One of the key steps in the financial planning process is presenting the plan to the client, which has traditionally been done as part of a single 'plan presentation' meeting that takes place once the advisor has gathered and analyzed all of the client's data. While this approach may have made sense in a time when the 'plan' itself was mostly limited to investment recommendations (which the advisor would be able to go on and implement themselves since they were managing the client's assets), fin

Planning 246
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Seven Simple Standard Operating Procedures for Financial Advisors

Wealth Management

Checklists serve as a great starting point for systematizing your business.

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Wednesday links: hundreds of small decisions

Abnormal Returns

Markets The world has passed gold by. (bloomberg.com) Natural gas prices are wicked cheap. (wsj.com) Why everyone is now betting on a spot Bitcoin ETF. (ft.com) Finance PE firms have a recruiting problem. (institutionalinvestor.com) The European market for IPOs is moribund. (ft.com) Sequoia Capital had to choose between China and the U.S. (wsj.com) Fund management Do investors know what they are getting in the popular JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF ($JEPI)?

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NAR: Pending Home Sales Down 2.7% in May; Down 22.2% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Shrunk 2.7% in May Pending home sales shrunk 2.7% in May from the previous month , according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Three U.S. regions posted monthly losses, while sales in the Northeast surged. All four regions saw year-over-year declines in transactions. “Despite sluggish pending contract signings, the housing market is resilient with approximately three offers for each listing,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, “The lack of housing inv

Sales 320
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Kitces & Carl Ep 115: Setting The Right Minimum Fee Per Client And The Revenue Model Generator

Nerd's Eye View

For most financial advisory firm owners, ensuring that their business or practice is remunerative and that it can remain viable is often a key priority. And while there are many factors that help owners determine whether their firm is making enough money to profitably sustain itself, one common variable that can help them adjust their net revenue is the fee they charge to clients for financial planning services.

Clients 244
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Most Rookie Advisors Washed Out in 2022

Wealth Management

Seven in 10 rookie advisors left the industry last year, as most of the training programs are still very sales-based, according to Cerulli.

Sales 306
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Friday links: a trustworthy voice

Abnormal Returns

Markets Real yields are on the rise. (allstarcharts.com) T-bill yields are currently above that of AAA-rated bonds. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Strategy The stock market has had a good year, in only six months. (ritholtz.com) The feedback loop in the markets is no joke. (ritholtz.com) Companies Where Apple ($AAPL) stands as a $3 trillion company. (bigtechnology.com) How Amazon ($AMZN) is trying to cut down on customer returns.

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Housing June 26th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.0% Week-over-week

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 2.0% week-over-week. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of June 16th, inventory was at 460 thousand (7-day average), compared to 451 thousand the prior week. Year-to-date, inventory is down 6.3%. And inventory is up 13.4% from the seasonal bottom ten weeks ago.

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MiB: Peter Borish, Tudor Investments & Robin Hood

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Peter Borish, who is chairman and chief executive officer of Computer Trading Corporation, an investment and advisory firm. Borish was founding partner and right-hand man to Paul Tudor Jones at Tudor Investment Corporation , where he was director of research for 10 years. Borish also previously served as chief strategist for Quad Group LLC.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Wealth.com Debuts ‘Ester,’ An AI-Powered Estate Planning Legal Assistant For Advisors

Wealth Management

Wealth.com's Ester is a proprietary model that can read and restate documents and hold both short and long-term memories of previous client actions.

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Adviser links: a decent place

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Ashby Daniels talks about turning vague customer desires into clear goals. (wiredplanning.com) Daniel Crosby talks with advice non-compliance with Derek Hagen who is the founder of Money Health Solutions. (standarddeviationspod.com) Michael Kitces talks about the challenges of retirement with Tony Hixon who is the Co-founder and COO for Hixon Zuercher Capital Management.

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A Very Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base

Calculated Risk

The BLS reported on June 13th: The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 3.6 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 298.382 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.2 percent prior to seasonal adjustment. CPI-W is the index that is used to calculate the Cost-Of-Living Adjustments (COLA).

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#FA Success Ep 339: Resetting The Business For Its Next Stage Of Growth After Hitting The 10-Year Capacity Wall, With Eric Roberge

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 339th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Eric Roberge. Eric is the Founder and CEO of Beyond Your Hammock, an independent RIA based in Boston, Massachusetts, that oversees $47 million in assets under management for more than 80 client households. What's unique about Eric, though, is how, 10 years after launching his firm and enjoying strong and steady growth, he hit a capacity wall as a solo advisor and suddenly found the busines

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.