Sat.Mar 09, 2024 - Fri.Mar 15, 2024

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U.S. population distribution, 1975-2050

The Big Picture

We sometimes say “Demographics is Destiny,” but that’s abstract. To get a visual sense of what that looks like, see the above chart (via Blackrock ) showing the distribution of various age groups from 2075 to 2050. Note bars in Red are not in the workforce. The post U.S. population distribution, 1975-2050 appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Wednesday links: a good process

Abnormal Returns

Crypto Travis Kling, "The evidence for the rise of Financial Nihilism is all around us." (epsilontheory.com) How much is Bitcoin worth? Nobody really knows. (wired.com) The spot Bitcoin ETF fee war is here. (etf.com) Finance Why Evercore ($EVR) is outperforming other investment banks. (on.ft.com) There is still a lot of uncertainty around office building valuations.

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How Advisors Can Get Client Referrals Identifying “Active Promoters”

Nerd's Eye View

Referrals can play a vital role in the growth of financial advisory firms since finding prospective clients via referral requires virtually no hard-dollar costs, and it takes only a fraction of the time needed for other marketing channels like social media, blogging, and seminars. However, finding reliable sources of referrals can sometimes be challenging for advisors: Centers of Influence (COIs) like accountants and attorneys may not be as attuned to the advisor's services as the advisor's clie

Clients 246
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Inflation at the Grocery Store

A Wealth of Common Sense

There are two types of inflation rates that matter. Economists and market observers care about the government reported data — CPI, core PCE, ex-shelter, whatever your preferred method is. Everyday Americans only care about two price points — gas and grocery store prices. Why is this the case? These are the prices you experience on a regular basis.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat by the fire, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The economy is roaring. Immigration is a key reason. Momentum in the job market picked up aggressively over the past year — all while Washington is deadlocked on a border deal ( Washington Post ) • The Errors Tour: How the Pros Bungled the End of Zero Interest Rates : A look at the ways forecasters, traders and executives missed the mark over the past two years.

Medical 305

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How Advisors Can Get Client Referrals By Identifying “Active Promoters”

Nerd's Eye View

Referrals can play a vital role in the growth of financial advisory firms since finding prospective clients via referral requires virtually no hard-dollar costs, and it takes only a fraction of the time needed for other marketing channels like social media, blogging, and seminars. However, finding reliable sources of referrals can sometimes be challenging for advisors: Centers of Influence (COIs) like accountants and attorneys may not be as attuned to the advisor's services as the advisor's clie

Clients 246
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20 Lessons From 20 Years of Managing Money

A Wealth of Common Sense

I entered the workforce in 2005. That means I’ve been working in the investment business for 20 years now. The longer I’m in the money management business the more there is to learn but these are some of the things I’ve learned thus far: 1. Experiences shape your perception of risk. Your ability and need to take risk should be based on your stage in life, time horizon, financial circumstances and goals.

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At the Money: How To Know When The Fed Will Cut

The Big Picture

At the Money: How To Know When The Fed Will Cut with Jim Bianco (March 13, 2024) Markets have been waiting for the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates for over a year. What data should investors be following for insight into when they will begin? Jim Bianco discusses initial unemployment claims data and wage gain to identify when the Fed will start lowering rates.

Numbers 288
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Thursday links: infinite patience

Abnormal Returns

Crypto How Grayscale nabbed the coveted $BTC ticker. (axios.com) Clients are asking advisers about crypto. (wsj.com) Finance Swearing on company conference calls is on the rise. (ft.com) ARMs are no longer a bargain. (wsj.com) Media Hollywood is rethinking the value of mergers. (hollywoodreporter.com) Derek Thompson talks with Lucas Shaw about the end of the franchise formula.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Why Moving To A Lower-Tax State Doesn’t Always Result In Lower State Taxes On Deferred Income

Nerd's Eye View

Most of the time, people are subject to state taxes in the states where they live and/or earn their income. So when moving to a lower-tax state or another, their income tax burden likewise shifts to the new state along with them. Which is, for example, why so many people opt to move to lower-tax or no-tax states like Florida or Texas in retirement, where they can enjoy lower state income taxes and preserve more of their retirement savings for use by themselves or their heirs.

Taxes 189
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Long-Term Recency Bias

A Wealth of Common Sense

Market cycles operate on numerous time horizons. Short-term trends which are often impacted by momentum and emotions. Intermediate-term trends which are more impacted by some combination of flows, themes and fundamentals. And long-term trends which are impacted mainly by fundamentals. The hard part about investing is it’s difficult to know in real-time if you’re experiencing secular or cyclical markets.

Investing 144
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4 Moves You Can Make with Your Old 401(k)

Carson Wealth

By Matt Kory, Vice President, Retirement Programs Changing careers is an emotional move – there’s excitement for the new opportunity, sadness about leaving your favorite coworkers behind, depression if you weren’t ready to leave, worry about how to financially bridge the unemployment gap and anticipation of the new career all at once. Take a breath, you can take some time to understand your options.

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Adviser links: assuming future returns

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Zach Conway and Kelsey McKenna talk with Michael Batnick about Ritholtz Wealth's discuss leading with culture, effective hiring strategies, and building a strong foundation for your business. (youtube.com) Brendan Frazier on the benefit to shifting from “Advisor-Driven” to “Client-Inspired” advice. (wiredplanning.com) Jonathan Fields talks with Ashton Applewhite, author of "This Chair Rocks: A Manifesto Against Ageism.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Breaking Bad Momentum Trends

Alpha Architect

In their two papers, Goulding, Harvey, and Mazzoleni showed that observed market corrections and rebounds carry predictive information about subsequent returns and showed how that information could be utilized to enhance the performance of trend-following strategies by dynamically blending slow and fast momentum strategies based on four-state cycle-conditional information.

Marketing 134
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Retirement Planning in your 20s, 30s and 40s

A Wealth of Common Sense

This past week, I received three questions about retirement, all of which concern long-term planning at different stages of life. A reader asks: Chatting with the friends, we all seemed to be relatively close to one another in terms of cash on hand, investments in the market and current incomes. I would love to get your perspective as a professional to understand if we are behind, on par or ahead of the curve for a 28 yea.

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Orion Launches BeFi, Proposal Generation Tools at Annual Conference

Wealth Management

The wealthtech company introduced several new features that bring it one step closer to creating a unified system.

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Longform links: false empowerment

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Abigail Shrier’s new book, “Bad Therapy: Why the Kids Aren’t Growing Up.” (wsj.com) An excerpt from "The Human Disease: How We Create Pandemics, From Our Bodies to Our Beliefs" by Sabrina Sholts. (smithsonianmag.com) An excerpt from "Supercommunicators: How to Unlock the Secret Language of Connection" by Charles Duhigg. (behavioralscientist.org) American Flannel An excerpt from "American Flannel: How a Band of Entrepreneurs Are Bringing the Art and Business of Making Clothe

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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#FA Success Ep 376: Accelerating Growth To 30 Clients/Month With Affordable Advice(-Only) Services Where Clients Can Keep Control, With Eric Simonson

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 376th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Eric Simonson. Eric is the Founder & CEO of Abundo Wealth, an Advice-Only RIA based in Minneapolis, Minnesota, that oversees $600M in assets under advisement for 420 client households. What's unique about Eric, though, is that Abundo has grown its base of 420 clients, and is on pace for well over $1M of revenue in 2024, despite having launched barely 4 years ago… with an "advice-

Clients 130
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Exchange Funds 2.0: A Newly Accessible Way to Diversify Concentrated Positions

Alpha Architect

When investors have a concentrated stock position that has performed well, they eventually face the same tough question: Should they continue to hold the position (and the outsized exposure it brings to their portfolio) or diversify – and face significant capital gains taxes? Exchange Funds 2.0: A Newly Accessible Way to Diversify Concentrated Positions was originally published at Alpha Architect.

Taxes 124
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Getting into the Game: How Private Equity Funds Have Jumped into Professional Sports

Wealth Management

Rising valuations and growing opportunities for media rights and sponsorships make professional sports teams an attractive bet. However, data on how these investments will work in the long term remains scarce.

Valuation 127
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Friday links: a less predictable world

Abnormal Returns

Crypto How spot Bitcoin ETFs are managed in real life. (davenadig.substack.com) Wealth management firm Cetera Financial Group has approved four spot Bitcoin ETFs. (theblock.co) Matt Reustle talks the FTX restructuring with Erin Broderick who is a restructuring and insolvency specialist at Eversheds Sutherland. (joincolossus.com) Crypto riches could fuel another bull market in used Rolexes.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Animal Spirits: The Richest Country in the World

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Texas Capital Management: See here for more information on The Texas Small Cap Equity Index ETF RWM is coming to LA! Reach out to us at info@ritholtzwealth.com subject line “LA” to set up a time to meet! On today’s show, we discuss: Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2024 15 funds that have destroyed the most wealth over the past decade Cliff Asness.

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Inflation is Still in a Downtrend

Discipline Funds

Tuesday’s CPI report came in a touch hotter than expected at 3.2% on the headline and 3.8% on the core. Analysts were looking for 3.1% and 3.7%. Bonds sold off on the news as investors started to project the likelihood of later rate cuts. Some analysts will say that this is the beginning of a big resurgence in inflation or a sign that disinflation isn’t entrenched, but the early 2024 stickiness in inflation is largely unsurprising and doesn’t change the broader trend here which

Economy 123
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The WealthStack Podcast: Going From Wealth Advisor to Wealth Coach With Urs Bolt

Wealth Management

Advisors are increasingly relying on technology to become more efficient and streamline operations. Urs Bolt details what's driving this shift.

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Podcast links: understanding the past

Abnormal Returns

Immigration Cardiff Garcia talks immigration with Andrew Selee who is the head of the Migration Policy Institute. (podcasts.apple.com) Stephen Dubner and guests on America's 'supremely messed-up immigration system.' (freakonomics.com) Innovation Cameron Passmore and Justin Carbonneau talk with Adam Alter, whose new book "Anatomy of a Breakthrough: How to Get Unstuck When It Matters Most.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024 A brief excerpt: Yesterday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales. In Part 2, I will look at house prices, mortgage rates, rents and more - and review the house price outlook for 2024.

Marketing 122
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Retail Sales Rebound in February

Advisor Perspectives

The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report for February revealed a 0.6% rebound in headline sales from January, the largest monthly rise in consumer spending since September. The latest increase, however, was lower than the anticipated 0.8% monthly growth.

Retail 119
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AI Is an Advisor’s Co-pilot, Not Its Competitor

Wealth Management

Understanding generative artificial intelligence to maximize opportunities in estate planning and beyond.