Sat.Jul 20, 2024 - Fri.Jul 26, 2024

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site this week Why meme stocks and sh*tcoins are the logical outgrowth of the analytics revolution. (abnormalreturns.com) A lifetime subscription is anything but. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Seven reasons you may want to venture away from the market portfolio. (humbledollar.com) Rebalance your portfolio to tame risk, not to increase returns.

Portfolio 308
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (July 27-28)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that Charles Schwab's latest RIA benchmarking study shows that firms saw significant AUM growth in 2023, thanks in part to strong equity market performance, but also thanks to organic growth initiatives that brought in additional assets from new and existing clients.

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At The Money: Behavior Beats Intelligence

The Big Picture

At The Money: Behavior Beats Intelligence (July 24, 2024) We focus most of our investing efforts on information and knowledge. But is that where we generate the highest ROI? As it turns out, managing your behavior has a much greater impact on your returns than does any single data point. Full transcript below : ~~~ About this week’s guest: Morgan Housel is a partner at the Collaborative Fund and author of “ The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness.

Math 200
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Life Insurance Strategies for Business Owners

Carson Wealth

Owning a business can be like parenting. You’ve likely experienced many sleepless nights and spent a countless amount of energy on your “baby.” Like parenting, being a business owner can be an enriching journey and make life worth the trip. To protect your business, you need the right mix of insurance. From the relationships that make your business run to the building it’s housed in, insurance can help prevent devastating financial losses or legal consequences.

Insurance 143
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Tuesday links: premium multiples

Abnormal Returns

Markets Small caps have, relative to large caps, seen a lost decade. (ft.com) Joe Wiggins, "Everything within us and around us seems designed to interrupt the positive force of compounding." (behaviouralinvestment.com) Crypto What you need to know about the new spot Ethereum ETFs. (theblock.co) The players in the spot Ethereum space look familiar. (blockworks.co) What happens when you at Ethererum to a 60/40 portfolio.

More Trending

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The Biggest Winners in the Stock Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

Hendrik Bessimbinder has produced some of my favorite stock market research. Bessimbinder discovered that four out of every seven stocks in the U.S. have underperformed cash (one-month T-bills) since 1926. And just 4% of companies accounted for all the wealth gains for the entire stock market in that time. The stock market runs on power laws over the long run.

Marketing 137
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PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 5.3% YoY in June

Calculated Risk

Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through June 2024. CPI Shelter was up 5.1% year-over-year in June, down from 5.4% in May, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 5.3% YoY in June , down from 5.5% in May, and down from the cycle peak of 8.3% in April 2023.

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Personal finance links: the big picture

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Peter Lazaroff talks with Darius Foroux, author of "The Stoic Path to Wealth: Ancient Wisdom for Enduring Prosperity." (peterlazaroff.com) Larry Wilmore talks with Scott Galloway author of "The Algebra of Wealth." (theringer.com) Noah Kagan talks with Bill Perkins author of "Die With Zero." (noahkagan.com) Dan Haylett talks about repurposing your life in retirement with Suzanne Campi.

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#FASuccess Ep 395: The Rise Of Bank Financing To Fund Independent Advisor Acquisitions And Succession Plans, With Dustin Mangone

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 395th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Dustin Mangone. Dustin is the Director of Investment Advisor Services of PPC LOAN, a firm based in The Woodlands, Texas that facilitates conventional bank loans to financial advisors. What's unique about Dustin, though, is how his firm allows financial advisors to tap into bank lending, an historically challenging source of debt capital for the advisory industry, to finance both RIA and in

Banking 130
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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The 11th Commandment

A Wealth of Common Sense

There’s an old saying that people don’t attend church on Sundays expecting to hear an eleventh commandment. You go to reinforce what you’ve already learned or learn it all over again. And so it is with the basic principles of finance. Jason Zweig once wrote the following: My job is to write the exact same thing between 50 and 100 times a year in such a way that neither my editors nor my readers will ever.

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Using Bayesian Solutions to Resolve the Factor Zoo

Alpha Architect

We propose a novel framework for analyzing linear asset pricing models: simple, robust, and applicable to high-dimensional problems. Using Bayesian Solutions to Resolve the Factor Zoo was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

Assets 128
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Podcast links: cultivating curiosity

Abnormal Returns

The biz Spotify ($SPOT) is planning to add an even higher paid tier. (theverge.com) Is the worst over for the podcasting industry? (bloomberg.com) What's new in Overcast. (marco.org) Finance Matt Zeigler talks with Ryan Krueger, founder of Freedom Day Solutions, about his career path. (epsilontheory.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk with Rich Falk-Wallace, founder and CEO of Arcana, about building risk management tools for pod shops.

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Evolving From Dysfunctional Team To Advisory Dream Team To Improve Retention And Attract Better-Fit Clients

Nerd's Eye View

Although many advisory firms start out with a single person handling all the work of advising clients, bringing in new business, and managing operations and compliance, there's a limit to how many hours any one person can work, which also means that there's a cap on the amount of client growth a solo advisor can achieve before running up against their capacity limit.

Clients 130
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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"Snow Belt to Sun Belt Migration: End of an Era?"

Calculated Risk

Here is new working paper from Sylvain Leduc and Daniel J. Wilson at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Snow Belt to Sun Belt Migration: End of an Era Given climate change projections for coming decades of increasing extreme heat in the hottest U.S. counties and decreasing extreme cold in the coldest counties, our findings suggest the “pivoting” in the U.S. climate-migration correlation over the past 50 years is likely to continue, leading to a reversal of the 20th century Snow Belt to Su

Banking 122
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Are Higher Rates Finally Starting to Impact Consumer Finances?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Inflation went from 9% to 3% without a recession. Some people want to give all the credit to the Federal Reserve. I think they got lucky. The soft landing, or whatever you want to call it, happened despite the Fed’s best efforts to cause people to lose their jobs and throw the economy into a recession. It helped that corporations and households came into the rising rate environment prepared.

Economy 113
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Friday links: witnessing reality

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Our brains weren't built for investing. (safalniveshak.com) The small cap bounce back will make stock picking fun again. (scheplick.com) Fund management Is Vanguard, and by extension Blackrock ($BLK), getting too big for its own good? (riabiz.com) The Russell 2000 is a flawed index. (wsj.com) Manager selection is becoming more transparent. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Companies Alphabet ($GOOGL) makes more in interest income than the majority of the S&P 500 makes in earnings.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 143: Taking Over Clients From An Advisor With A Different Personality And Communication Style

Nerd's Eye View

About a decade or so ago, one of the most pressing issues facing the financial advice industry was the threat of an imminent deluge of advisor retirements coupled with a paucity of succession plans to transition clients to the next generation. While that scenario has yet to materialize as initially feared, the fact remains that transitions do occur on a regular basis, often as older advisors either sell their practices in one fell swoop or gradually offload part of their book while still staying

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Alpha Capital Family Office Attracts $3B Duo from Citi Private Bank

Wealth Management

Alexandra Romeo Boyles and Will Coughlin will be based out of Denver. The additions follow the firm attracting Northern Trust alum Tom Riley earlier this year.

Banking 122
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RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index

Advisor Perspectives

The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of July 12th, the index was at 19.785, up 1.106 from the previous week, with 4 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

Economics 111
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Wednesday links: untold moving pieces

Abnormal Returns

Strategy For investors, inflation is the enemy. (disciplinefunds.com) Three investment myths, debunked. (morningstar.com) Crypto A big opening day for spot Ethereum ETFs. (theblock.co) An option for those who still want to custody their own Bitcoin. (theblock.co) AI Charlie Warzel, "Whether you believe that AI executives are delusional or genuinely on the verge of constructing a superintelligence, you should be concerned about how much power they’ve amassed.

Math 262
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What’s the Worst Long-Term Return For U.S. Stocks?

A Wealth of Common Sense

My colleagues Dan LaRosa and Cameron Rufus joined me on the show this week to discuss questions about how to find the best auto insurance rates, owner-only defined benefit plans, finding clients as a financial advisor and how much of your portfolio should be in alternative investments. Further Reading: When is Mean Reversion Coming in the Stock Market The post What’s the Worst Long-Term Return For U.S.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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New Home Sales Decrease to 617,000 Annual Rate in June; Median New Home Price is Down 9% from the Peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Decrease to 617,000 Annual Rate in June Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 617 thousand. The previous three months were revised up sharply, combined. The next graph shows new home sales for 2023 and 2024 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

Sales 109
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LPL Has 'No Plans' to Change Cash Sweep Pricing

Wealth Management

CEO Dan Arnold said the firm “can only speculate” on why other industry peers announced changes to their sweep pricing during its Q2 earnings call this week.

Planning 116
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Adviser links: eschewing certainty

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Daniel Crosby talks practice management with Matt Ackermann, Chief Content Officer at Integrated Partners. (standarddeviationspod.com) Michael Kitces talks with Christi Van Rite who is the Founder of White River Consultants, a firm that provides administrative family office services to 17 ultra-high-net-worth households. (kitces.com) Thomas Kopelman and Jacob Turner talk about the pros and cons of Solo 401(k)s and SEP-IRAs.

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Q2 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP at 2.8%, Above Forecast

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. economy grew at a faster than expected pace during the second quarter of this year. Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.8% in Q2 2024, according to the advance estimate. The latest estimate is above the forecasted 2.0% growth and is a pickup from the Q1 2023 GDP final estimate of 1.4%.

Economy 105
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Housing July 22nd Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.6% Week-over-week, Up 39.1% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 2.6% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 35.3% from the February seasonal bottom. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of July 19th, inventory was at 668 thousand (7-day average), compared to 651 thousand the prior week. Inventory is still far below pre-pandemic levels.

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$1B New Jersey Firm Leaves Osaic for LPL Financial

Wealth Management

Investment Advisors Financial Group sought more autonomy, which led them to the IBD. It’s the latest team to leave Osaic after the firm’s rebranding from Advisor Group.

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Longform links: beliefs over evidence

Abnormal Returns

Books A rave review of "How Tyrants Fall" by Marcel Dirsus. (forkingpaths.co) Insights from "Maxims for Thinking Analytically" by Dan Levy. (novelinvestor.com) Jim Pethokoukis talks with Ruchir Sharma, author of "What Went Wrong with Capitalism." (fasterplease.substack.com) Business PE firm Patricof & Co. is doubling down on its relationships with pro athletes.

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