Sat.Jun 01, 2024 - Fri.Jun 07, 2024

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BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.1 million in April

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings changed little at 8.1 million on the last business day of April , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, both the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.6 million and 5.4 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (

Numbers 331
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Thanks, Joe! Updating Brandon’s Restaurants

The Big Picture

I spend a lot of time debunking investment-related b t. Given the general innumeracy of the public, it’s easy for a dishonest publisher of economic data to create narratives that are not only false and misleading but effective at confusing the public. Typically, it takes years before sufficient data amasses to prove how wrong these people were.

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WealthManagement.com Announces 2024 'Wealthies' Finalists

Wealth Management

The tenth annual WealthManagement.com Industry Awards ceremony will be held in New York City on Sept. 5.

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Personal finance links: absolute value

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Peter Mallouk about better managing your financial affairs. (ritholtz.com) Dan Haylett talks with Stephanie McCullough, founder of Sophia Financial, about the challenges facing women planning for retirement. (humansvsretirement.com) Jonathan Clements and Peter Mallouk talk about the challenges of raising money savvy children.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Comments on May Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the May employment report was well above expectations, however March and April payrolls were revised down by 15,000 combined. The participation rate and employment population ratio decreased, and the unemployment rate increased to 4.0%. Construction employment increased 21 thousand and is now 613 thousand above the pre-pandemic level.

Numbers 318
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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (June 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the June 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that 'startup' custodian Altruist has completed a $169 million fundraising round as it continues to rebuild the RIA custodial tech stack layer-by-layer while positioning itself as the biggest RIA custodian b

More Trending

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Tuesday links: the next big boom

Abnormal Returns

Markets The best time to prepare for a bear market is before it begins. (awealthofcommonsense.com) When you own $240 million of a meme stock, does it actually own you? (sherwood.news) Companies Does Intel ($INTC) have a route forward? (spyglass.org) Weird stuff happens when a CEO controls overlapping companies. (theverge.com) Tech The rubber is hitting the road with the CHIPS Act.

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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.5% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For April, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 35.2% YoY, but still down almost 34% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 35.5% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

Sales 301
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (June 8-9)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that recent surveys indicate that consumers continue to trust human financial advisors more than Artificial Intelligence (AI)-powered tools. Nonetheless, respondents (particularly those in younger generations) do not see this as an either-or choice, but rather anticipate benefitting from working with human advisors who leverage AI tools for certain tasks (e.g., detecting fraud

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Humanizing a Brand

Wealth Management

Create a brand focused on you by being relatable and authentic helps gain clients.

Clients 300
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Wednesday links: losing the plot

Abnormal Returns

Markets Dedicated short-sellers are a dying breed. (bloomberg.com) Which should give investors pause. (herbgreenberg.substack.com) Crypto The Ether ETF fee war is already here. (barrons.com) Bitcoin miners with attractive power contracts could become targets. (coindesk.com) Finance The Texas Stock Exchange is taking steps to start trading. (wsj.com) Alphabet ($GOOGL) is stealing Eli Lilly's ($LLY) CFO.

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Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in May; Down 12.1% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Declined in May Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were down in May compared to April. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) fell to 197.3, a decline of 12.1% from a year ago. The seasonal adjustment to the index reduced the impact on the month, resulting in values that declined 0.6% month over month.

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Hiring Your First Employee: What You Need To Know To Cover Your Compliance Obligations

Nerd's Eye View

For the most part, solo advicers launching their first practice often have plenty of time and not a lot of revenue, which means they tend to take care of every aspect of the business themselves. As their practices grow and they start to serve more clients, though, advicers invariably reach a point where they simply don't have the time to do everything on their own and need to decide whether to make their first hire (or not!).

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Can a Mutual Fund Solve the Annuity Puzzle?

Wealth Management

What if your client’s annuity wasn’t an annuity?

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Longform links: the AI age

Abnormal Returns

Books Jack Raines talks with Kyla Scanlon about her new book "In This Economy?: How Money & Markets Really Work." (sherwood.news) An excerpt from "Triumph of the Yuppies: America, the Eighties, and the Creation of an Unequal Nation" by Tom McGrath. (politico.com) An excerpt from "In the Shadows: True Stories of High-Stakes Negotiations to Free Americans Captured Abroad" by Mickey Bergman.

Economy 287
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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: House Price Index Up 6.5% year-over-year in March

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.5% year-over-year in March • Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.2% Below Peak • Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly • Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April and a Look Ahead to May Sales This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housin

Sales 292
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Bloomberg’s Hedge Fund Forum 2024

The Big Picture

Today, I am participating in a few events at Bloomberg’s Hedge Fund Forum 2024. I will be moderating the Emerging Managers Panel (I did this last year as well). It is a great collection of three new(ish) managers, in a variety of areas, all of whom have put up solid numbers: 3:45 PM Panel Discussion: Emerging Managers Panelists: Vince Aita, CIO & Managing Partner, Cutter Capital Management Brian Hurst, Founder and CIO, ClearAlpha Technologies Melvin Ike, Founder and Managing Partner, The

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Will We See a Global Tax on Billionaires?

Wealth Management

The United States opposes Brazil's proposed 2% annual tax on the ultrawealthy.

Taxes 296
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Friday links: a dynamic process

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why the ranks of 'degens' are growing. (wsj.com) How to avoid the meme stock drama. (morningstar.com) Some math that traders need to know. (scheplick.com) Crypto What Robinhood ($HOOD) wants with BitStamp. (blockworks.co) Autos The car market is normalizing. (nytimes.com) Unsold Tesla ($TSLA) inventory is piling up. (sherwood.news) Tourism How much does tourism help you understand about another country?

Math 286
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Housing June 3rd Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.7% Week-over-week, Up 38.4% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.7% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 22.4% from the February bottom, and at the highest level since August 2020. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of May 31st, inventory was at 605 thousand (7-day average), compared to 595 thousand the prior week.

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America’s Piggie Banks Are Full

A Wealth of Common Sense

The pandemic housing boom means Americans have more home equity than ever. Households have added roughly $12 trillion in home equity since the end of 2019: To put this number in context, there was only ~$6 trillion in home equity following the bursting of the housing bubble following the Great Financial Crisis. Out of the $32 trillion in total equity, let’s say half of it is tappable (meaning homeowners can cash it.

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Cohen & Steers Appoints New Head of Wealth Channel Distribution

Wealth Management

Daniel Noonan joins the firm from Nuveen, filling a void created by Kimberly LaPointe’s departure in February.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Thursday links: the free-trial trap

Abnormal Returns

Markets When does 'talking your book' tip over into market manipulation? (wsj.com) Why you shouldn't be worried about index funds just yet. (thefinancialbodyguard.com) Crypto Robinhood ($HOOD) is buying BitStamp. (theblock.co) Franklin Templeton ($BEN) is exploring funds with altcoins. (coindesk.com) Former FTX customers just got a big break. (sherwood.news) Alternatives There are very good reasons why hedge fund managers are not publicly traded.

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Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $5.1 Trillion in Q1

Calculated Risk

The Federal Reserve released the Q1 2024 Flow of Funds report today: Financial Accounts of the United States. The net worth of households and nonprofits rose to $160.8 trillion during the first quarter of 2024. The value of directly and indirectly held corporate equities increased $3.8 trillion and the value of real estate increased $0.9 trillion. Household debt increased 2.9 percent at an annual rate in the first quarter of 2024.

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The Minsky Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

Through the end of May, the S&P 500 has experienced 24 new all-time highs this year alone. Volatility has been relatively low for some time now. We haven’t had a 2% down day on the S&P 500 in well over 300 trading days: That’s fast approaching the longest streak without a nasty down day over the past 10 years. The S&P 500 is up around 11% for the year on a total return basis.

Marketing 139
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The Word on WealthTech for June 2024

Wealth Management

F2 Strategy's co-founder and CEO provides his take on the most important wealth management technology news of the last month.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Adviser links: restoring confidence

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Dan Haylett talks with Jamie Hopkins about rewiring the way we think about retirement and its underlying assumptions. (humansvsretirement.com) Bogumil Baranowski talks with Brian Portnoy of Shaping Wealth about the search for funded contentment. (open.spotify.com) Charles Schwab Charles Schwab ($SCHW) will rely on iCapital to power its push into alternatives.

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Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in April

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending decreased: Construction spending during April 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,099.0 billion, 0.1 percent below the revised March estimate of $2,101.5 billion. The April figure is 10.0 percent (±1.5 percent) above the April 2023 estimate of $1,907.8 billion. emphasis added Private and public spending decreased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,611.9 billi

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The Bottom 50%

A Wealth of Common Sense

Americans are earning more income from their investments than ever before. Here’s the data from the Wall Street Journal: Americans in the first quarter earned about $3.7 trillion from interest and dividends at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, according to the Commerce Department, up roughly $770 billion from four years earlier. That’s a whole lot of passive income.

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Stratos Adds Second Team in As Many Weeks in Its Backyard

Wealth Management

Pistone Wealth Advisors brings $120 million in client assets from Beacon Financial Advisory.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.