The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
A quick note to answer this question: What happens after markets make a new all-time high (after a year w/o one)? Check out the table above, via Warren Pies. He spoke with Batnick and Josh earlier this month. Going back to 1954, markets are always higher one year later – the only exception was 2007. That was after housing had peaked, subprime mortgages were defaulting, and the great financial crisis was about to start.
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 20, 2024
All eyes are on the Federal Reserve and the timing of rate cuts.
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Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 23, 2024
From ICE (formerly Black Knight): ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Foreclosures Up but Delinquencies Improve as the Mortgage Market Kicks Off 2024 • In an expected rebound from December’s calendar-driven rise, t he national delinquency rate dropped to 3.38% in January , the lowest since October, and flat from the same time last year • Past-due mortgages were down across the board, as inflows and rolls to later stages of delinquency fell, while early- and late-stage delinquency cures impro
Abnormal Returns
FEBRUARY 18, 2024
Also on the site At a certain age it's time to just say no to more stuff. (abnormalreturns.com) There is no holy grail in investing. (abnormalreturns.com) It may take time, but markets eventually work. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week A look at five new finance books including "The Trading Game" by Gary Stevenson. (axios.com) Why you should diversify internationally.
Speaker: Erroll Amacker
As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R
The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 17, 2024
Over the past few years, my automotive focus has been drawn from achingly beautiful classic cars , toward something newer: Hybrids, EVs, and assorted new technologies. I like to keep current, and that means tracking recent trends and developments in the automotive industry. But when the most beautiful car I have seen in decades comes along — and has a beastly 656+ HP — well, I revert to my default petrolhead status and drool something that sounds like arghgeghh … The photos are
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 21, 2024
Kitces discusses the 2023 Advisor Wellbeing Study and the factors contributing to advisors’ happiness.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
Abnormal Returns
FEBRUARY 19, 2024
Podcasts Peter Lazaroff dives deeper into equity compensation with Derek Jess of Plancorp. (peterlazaroff.com) Why older women are saying no to marriage, largely for money reasons. (washingtonpost.com) Daniel Crosby offers another sneak preview of an essay from his upcoming book, "The Soul of Wealth." (standarddeviationspod.com) Trends The wealth management industry is going to be slammed with demand.
Nerd's Eye View
FEBRUARY 23, 2024
Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that while both the total number of RIAs and advisor headcount have seen significant gains in recent years, client assets remain concentrated among the largest firms, according to data from Cerulli Associates, with the 7% of RIAs with at least $1 billion of AUM managing 71% of total RIA assets.
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
Investors tend to appreciate private credit for delivering current income and lower volatility. In a world of higher interest rates, it also gives them the opportunity to achieve higher yields.
Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 21, 2024
Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index Reports Sluggish Conditions to Start 2024 rchitecture firm billings remained soft entering into 2024, with an AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score of 46.2 in January. Any score below 50.0 indicates decreasing business conditions. “ This now marks the lengthiest period of declining billings since 2010 , although it is reassuring that
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Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.
Abnormal Returns
FEBRUARY 21, 2024
Markets The list of Europe's biggest stocks are filled with pharma companies. (euronews.com) Hedge funds have been underweight the Magnificent Seven. (ft.com) Strategy Certainty sells. Nuance is what matters. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Don't invest in alternatives unless you are in it for the long run. (morningstar.com) Private equity Private equity distributions are way off their highs.
Nerd's Eye View
FEBRUARY 19, 2024
The 2024 Technology Tools for Today (T3) Advisor Conference, held last month in Las Vegas, Nevada, featured a large gathering of financial advisors and representatives from across the fintech industry. Hosted by Joel Bruckenstein and his team from T3 Consulting, the conference focused heavily on the relationship between financial advice and its accompanying fintech, covering everything from how AI and other tech developments are changing the advisor landscape in unprecedented ways to the importa
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
Technology innovations have made it easier than ever for non-retirement-expert advisors to offer retirement solutions.
Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 20, 2024
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Single Family Built-for-Rent Almost Doubled Since 2020 A brief excerpt: Along with the monthly housing starts report for January released last week, the Census Bureau also released Housing Units Started by Purpose and Design through Q4 2023. The first graph shows the number of single family and multi-family units started with the intent to rent.
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Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?
Abnormal Returns
FEBRUARY 21, 2024
Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Jeffrey Hirsch about how the stock market performs during war. (ritholtz.com) Khe Hy talks with Kyla Scanlon about lessons learned from the attention economy. (open.spotify.com) Thomas Kopelman and Jacob Turner discuss some common personal finance misconceptions. (podcasts.apple.com) Chris Williamson talks the laws of human psychology with Morgan Housel.
Nerd's Eye View
FEBRUARY 21, 2024
In 2021, Congress passed the Corporate Transparency Act, which, for the first time, required small business entities such as LLCs and corporations to report identifying information on their "beneficial owners" (i.e., those who own at least 25% of, or who otherwise exercise substantial control over the business). The law's provisions became effective on January 1, 2024, and so many small businesses – including a good number of RIA firms – will be required to submit a Beneficial Owners
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 23, 2024
Wintrust will move two businesses and 85 advisors to the LPL Institution Services platform from Wells Fargo.
Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 20, 2024
From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Modestly Lower To Start The Week Most mortgage lenders set rates for the first time this week on Tuesday (today) due to yesterday's holiday. In the bigger picture, rates are still very close to their highest levels in more than 2 months following a series of higher inflation readings last week. [ 30 year fixed 7.11% ] emphasis added Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortga
Speaker: Aaron Berson
Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g
Abnormal Returns
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
Japan The Nikkei 225 has reach an all-time high for the first time since year-end 1989. (axios.com) Just a reminder the Nikkei is still below its high on a real basis. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) ETFs Higher short term yield have been a tailwind for the innovative Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF ($BOXX). (bloomberg.com) The ECB isn't crazy about spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Nerd's Eye View
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
At the end of each calendar year, social media platforms compile a wrap-up of each user's metrics, showing a theoretical reach for every account's best-performing piece of created media content and highlighting the "Best Of The Best" on the web, while revealing social media 'superstars' who have millions of impressions and followers. But how much do these numbers really matter for financial advisors driving the growth of their businesses?
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
The capital from Allianz and Constellation Wealth will be used AlTi Global to pursue organic and acquisition-based growth strategies.
Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 23, 2024
Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated. For deaths, I'm currently using 4 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Hospitalizations are more than three times the low of 5,386 in June 2023, however, they have declined significantly from 30,018 earlier this year.
Speaker: Sierre Lindgren
Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.
Abnormal Returns
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
Books A Q&A with Kara Swisher author of "Burn Book: A Tech Love Story." (wired.com) A Q&A with Margot Susca author of "Hedged: How Private Investment Funds Helped Destroy American Newspapers and Undermine Democracy." (politico.com) A Q&A with Kurt Wagner's author of "Battle for the Bird: Jack Dorsey, Elon Musk, and the $44 Billion Fight for Twitter's Soul.
The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 23, 2024
This week, we speak with Andrew Slimmon , managing director at Morgan Stanley Investment Management , where he leads the Applied Equity Advisors team. He is also the lead senior portfolio manager on all long equity strategies for the applied equity advisors team, as well as a member of the Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Global Investment Committee.
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
Clients and advisors alike can benefit from a focus on mitigating taxes.
Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.00 million SAAR in January Excerpt: Sales Year-over-Year and Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) The fourth graph shows existing home sales by month for 2023 and 2024. Sales declined 1.7% year-over-year compared to January. This was the twenty-ninth consecutive month with sales down year-over-year.
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Abnormal Returns
FEBRUARY 23, 2024
Strategy There are no iron laws in finance. (youngmoney.co) Investors need to match decision making with the time frame. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Exchanges The Nasdaq ($NDAQ) has a reverse stock split problem. (wsj.com) A look at some of the most shorted stocks in the world. (ft.com) Finance The biggest multi-manager hedge funds, Citadel, Millennium and Point72, keep getting bigger.
The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 17, 2024
The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • NFL Succession Crisis Forces Teams to Let Private Equity In : Once treated as heirlooms, pro football franchises are now billion-dollar businesses, and a new class of investors is circling. ( Bloomberg ) • Boeing is a wake-up call : America’s businesses gambled that ‘greed is good.’ Now they’re losing that bet, big time. ( Business Insider ) • Offic
Wealth Management
FEBRUARY 22, 2024
Pettinelli Financial Partners, a Calif.-based firm with $700 million in client assets, is moving to Stratos Wealth Partners from Osaic's Royal Alliance.
Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 21, 2024
From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 30–31, 2024. Excerpt: In discussing risk-management considerations that could bear on the policy outlook, participants remarked that while the risks to achieving the Committee's employment and inflation goals were moving into better balance, they remained highly attentive to inflation risks.
Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
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