Sat.Mar 30, 2024 - Fri.Apr 05, 2024

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Everything has an opportunity cost, everything. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week The Roaring 20's are here. Enjoy it while you can. (awealthofcommonsense.com) There's no alpha left in private equity. (linkedin.com) Patrick Mahomes finally takes an L. (sportico.com) Are index funds propping up the stock market? (awealthofcommonsense.com) Which bonds prove as the best portfolio diversifier?

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (April 6-7)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that customer arbitration claims related to the SEC's Regulation Best Interest (Reg BI) nearly doubled between 2022 and 2023, suggesting that greater awareness among investors of the increased standards for broker-dealers and their registered representatives could lead to greater accountability for violations of the regulation.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat by the fire, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Are Yor Rich? Billionaires know they are. Low-wage workers are very well aware that they aren’t. But vast swaths of America’s “regular rich” don’t feel that way, and it’s keeping everybody down. ( Bloomberg ) • Famously Obstinate, Bill Ackman Is Now Real-Life Famous.

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The Most Important Concept in Finance

A Wealth of Common Sense

I’m really late on this one, but I finally got around to reading Andre Agassi’s autobiography.1 He writes about what it was like to finally win his first Grand Slam tournament at Wimbledon. Everyone’s perception of Agassi changed from choke artist to the real deal. Winning, however, didn’t change how he felt about himself: But I don’t feel that Wimbledon has changed me.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Saturday links: making the switch

Abnormal Returns

Autos What it takes to add an EV charger in your garage. (wsj.com) Formula E is still finding its footing, especially in America. (politico.com) Shipping Cargo ships are only getting bigger. Ports need to accommodate them. (ft.com) A history of bridge collisions. (theconversation.com) Swapping trucks for barges to transport goods. (nytimes.com) Energy The U.S. economy continues to get more energy efficient.

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MiB: Ed Hyman on Using Economic Data Opportunistically

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Ed Hyman, founder and chairman of Evercore ISI International Ltd. and vice chairman of Evercore Inc. He heads Evercore ISI’s economic research team. During his career, Hyman has been ranked as #1 in economics an unprecedented 43 consecutive times by Institutional Investor’s poll of investors. He explains the genesis of the broad and deep industry surveys ISI performs; the results provide a real-time snapshot of the economy weeks or months before it shows up in the

Economics 167
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Generational Luck in the Housing Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

Millennials around my age group graduated into the teeth of the Great Financial Crisis. The labor market stunk and not just for a short while. The unemployment rate in America averaged nearly 7% from 2006 through the end of 2015: It was hard for young people to find work. And if you did find a job it probably wasn’t something you actually wanted to do.

Marketing 137
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Friday links: extremely high rates

Abnormal Returns

Markets The global universe of public equities is shrinking. (ft.com) Two stocks accounted for a third of the Russell 2000's 5.2% return in Q1. (wsj.com) Magnificent Seven earning revisions are slowing. (ft.com) Strategy Rebalancing isn't market timing. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why you should 'diversify your diversifiers.' (rogersplanning.blogspot.com) FTX Behind the scenes, former FTX customers are struggling.

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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

With a plethora of interdependent and ever-changing parts, gaining a clear (or even not-terribly-fuzzy) understanding of where the economy stands at any given moment is a daunting task, to say the least. Even more difficult is using data based on samples and surveys (and subject to constant revision!) to develop some idea about which of the myriad possible outcomes might be more likely to occur.

Economics 205
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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At the Money: Managing a Portfolio in a Higher Rate Environment

The Big Picture

At The Money: with Jim Bianco, President Bianco Research (April, 03, 2024) Interest rates have risen by over 500 basis points during the past 24 months. In this new interest rate regime, TINA is no more. Investors should be considering capturing some of that yield in their portfolios. Full transcript below. ~~~ This week’s guest: Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C.

Portfolio 157
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Helping Aging Parents Manage and Protect Their Finances

Carson Wealth

Your parents taught you everything you know about money. From opening your first checking account to taking out your first car loan, they were always there to guide you. But as your parents get older, they may begin turning to you for help with their finances. How do you begin to navigate this new reverse dynamic? It’s not always easy. There are both practical and emotional challenges to consider before you step in and take over your parents’ financial situation.

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Tuesday links: ceilings and floors

Abnormal Returns

Markets The VIX and credit spreads are both near multi-year lows. (entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) Everybody loves gold. (barrons.com) Companies GE's ($GE) split into three companies is now complete. (axios.com) Tesla's ($TSLA) inventory numbers are on the rise. (finance.yahoo.com) Sports Silver Lake is taking Endeavor ($EDR) private. (variety.com) Liberty Media ($FWONK) is taking control of MotoGP.

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (April 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the April 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news of an emerging wave of price increases from long-term AdvisorTech vendors like Orion and InvestCloud, which the companies are positioning as a necessary response to the impact of inflation on their underlyi

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Housing April 1st Weekly Update: Inventory Up 0.9% Week-over-week, Up 26.0% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 0.9% week-over-week. Inventory bottomed in mid-February this year, as opposed to mid-April in 2023, and inventory is now up 4.7% from the February bottom. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of March 29th, inventory was at 517 thousand (7-day average), compared to 513 thousand the prior week.

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Four Things I’m Thinking About Stocks, Housing & the Economy

A Wealth of Common Sense

Four things I’m thinking about at the moment: 1. The Covid Crash was our 1987 crash. In the 15 trading days from October 6th through October 26th in 1987, the S&P 500 was down 31%. That plunge includes Black Monday which saw the market fall more than 20% in a single day. Over the next four years from the bottom the S&P 500 was up a little less than 110% in total.

Economy 122
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Wednesday links: looking inward

Abnormal Returns

Markets A look back at Q1 2024 asset class returns. (novelinvestor.com) Growth and value performance flip-flopped in March 2024. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Strategy In the meme stock age is fundamental analysis dead and buried? (howardlindzon.com) On the state of the momentum factor. (ft.com) Alternatives Alternative investments aren't going to save you in an apocalypse.

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#FA Success Ep 379: Creating A Client Deliverable That Focuses On Behavior Over Returns With Custom Intelligrations, With Hans Blake

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 379th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Hans Blake. Hans is the founder of Intelligent Investing, an RIA based in Greenville, South Carolina, that oversees $50M in assets under management for 40 client households. What's unique about Hans, though, is how through a desire to create a more centralized dashboard to help his clients understand their financial health, coupled with a deep fascination with technology and i

Clients 176
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 0.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 29, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Marketing 128
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Valuing Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks

Alpha Architect

While there is literature that describes the "domain" of artificial intelligence, there are very few, if any that analyze the valuation and pricing of AI stocks. The authors attempt to fill the void with a two part methodology. Valuing Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

Valuation 123
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Personal finance links: making bad decisions

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Liz Ann Sonders about how to rebalance your portfolio. (ritholtz.com) Jesse Cramer talks with Peter Lazaroff about how to hang in there for the long run. (podcasts.apple.com) Dan Haylett talks with financial advisor Ed Combs about the relationship challenges in retirement. (humansvsretirement.com) Carl Richards talks with Hal Hershfield about aligning capital with your values.

Math 260
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J.D. Power: DIY Investors’ Satisfaction 'Stagnates' Despite Rising Market

Wealth Management

According to J.D. Power’s annual survey on self-directed investors, Fidelity took the top marks for DIY investors seeking guidance, with Charles Schwab following closely behind.

Marketing 126
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Construction Spending Decreased 0.3% in February

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during February 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,091.5 billion, 0.3 percent below the revised January estimate of $2,096.9 billion. The February figure is 10.7 percent above the February 2023 estimate of $1,889.6 billion emphasis added Private spending was unchanged and public spending decreased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate

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Tail Hedging Is Not As Easy As You Think

Alpha Architect

Convexity can provide explosive payoffs from unlikely events. It’s a powerful weapon to wield, but like most weapons, it could be inefficient or even dangerous in the hands of the untrained. Tail Hedging Is Not As Easy As You Think was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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Monday links: attention as an asset class

Abnormal Returns

Markets How major asset classes performed in March 2024. (capitalspectator.com) There has been a fair amount of equity return dispersion, YTD. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Strategy Why U.S. equity outperformance looks obvious in hindsight. (behaviouralinvestment.com) International diversification is no panacea, but what's the alternative? (morningstar.com) Finance Capital One ($COF) is going to struggle to get regulatory approval to acquire Discover Financial ($DFS).

Assets 260
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New LifeX Funds Combine TIPS with Longevity Pooling for High Safe Withdrawal Rates

Advisor Perspectives

Implementing the TIPS ladder is clunky, so I challenged the fund industry to simplify and improve with a TIPS ladder Fund. Stone Ridge Asset Management has done just that with its new LifeX Inflation Protected mutual funds.

Assets 116
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Comments on March Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the March employment report was above expectations; and January and February payrolls were revised up by 22,000 combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio both increased, and the unemployment rate decreased to 3.8%. Leisure and hospitality gained 49 thousand jobs in March and is now above pre-pandemic levels.

Numbers 126
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Americans Are Picking Colleges Not Knowing If They Can Afford It

Wealth Management

Delays stemming from a revamp of the federal financial aid application mean many students are making their higher education decisions without key information about the price.

Education 116
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Adviser links: getting really clear

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Kevin Thompson, CEO of 9i Capital Group LLC, discusses the RIA industry's impact on advisors' autonomy with Josh Brown, CEO of Ritholtz Wealth Management. (youtube.com) Christine Benz and Amy Arnott talk with Peter Mallouk, President and CEO of Creative Planning, about the 'messy' business of financial advice. (morningstar.com) Thomas Kopelman and Jacob Turner talk with Ankur Nagpal about tax considerations when selling a business.