Sat.Dec 23, 2023 - Fri.Dec 29, 2023

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AI-Generated Financial Advice And The Fiduciary Catch-22

Nerd's Eye View

Financial advisors have a fiduciary obligation to act in their clients' best interests, and at the same time are prohibited by state and SEC rules from making misleading statements or omissions about their advisory business. These responsibilities also extend to the use of any technology used in the process of giving advice: A recommendation made with the aid of technology still needs to be in the client's best interests, while the technology also needs to carry out any function as it's describe

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Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in November: Single Family Mostly Unchanged, Multi-Family Increased

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in November: Single Family Mostly Unchanged, Multi-Family Increased Brief excerpt: Single-family serious delinquencies were mostly unchanged in November, however, multi-family serious delinquencies increased. Freddie Mac reports that multi-family delinquencies increased to 0.28% in November, up from 0.15% in November 2022.

Marketing 306
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Six charts that defined markets in 2023. (axios.com) If you're such a great trader why are you spending all your time and effort selling a trading course? (ofdollarsanddata.com) Ben Carlson, "I will never understand the permabear mindset – these people that prey on the fears of others for personal gain." (awealthofcommonsense.com) What do you get when you combine momentum and quality?

Marketing 306
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Have Yourself a Merry Little Christmas

The Big Picture

Billie Eilish may be only 22, but she sings like a chanteuse with decades of hard living behind her — a world-weary angel. Her version of this little tune gives it an entirely different read than the original Judy Garland take from Meet Me in St Louis. I imagine this version has some studio exec suggesting she do an album of Christmas songs; but not only is it way too early in her career) for that, it’s a bit lightweight and ephemeral for her wonderful voice and phrasing; instead, sh

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

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Empowering Wealth Managers: The Hidden Value in Asset Management Programs

Wealth Management

Unlock the secrets behind successful financial advising.

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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.8% year-over-year in October

Calculated Risk

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for October ("October" is a 3-month average of August, September and October closing prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. From S&P S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Accelerates in October The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.

Assets 298

More Trending

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The Best Of Weekend Reading 2023: Top 25 Articles You Might Have Missed

Nerd's Eye View

Each week in Weekend Reading For Financial Planners, we seek to bring you synopses and commentaries on 12 articles covering news for financial advisors including topics covering technical planning, practice management, advisor marketing, career development, and more. And as 2023 draws to a close, we wanted to highlight 25 of the most popular and insightful articles that were featured throughout the year (that you might have missed!).

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MiB: Stephen Suttmeier, BAML Chief Equity Technical Strategist

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Stephen Suttmeier , director and chief equity technical strategist at B of A Merrill Lynch. His Monthly Chart Portfolio of Global Markets and Market Analysis Commentary are both widely read among professional traders. He has been highly ranked in Institutional Investors’ Research Poll and was the winner of the Best Bank for Equity Research category in the Technical Analyst Awards.

Retail 200
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Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in November; Up 6.3% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in November; Up 6.3% Year-over-year A brief excerpt: On a year-over-year basis, the National FMHPI was up 6.3% in November , from up 5.6% YoY in October. The YoY increase peaked at 19.1% in July 2021, and for this cycle, bottomed at up 0.9% YoY in April 2023.

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Research links: replacing anomalies

Abnormal Returns

Quant stuff You don't want your AI model to 'hallucinate' when analyzing SEC filings. (cnbc.com) A round-up of recent research on portfolio design including 'Outperforming Equal Weighting.' (capitalspectator.com) Regime changes happen in markets. (priceactionlab.com) Research Can machine learning help select outperforming mutual funds? (alphaarchitect.com) The Achilles heel of momentum strategies is tail risk.

Economics 290
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 128: Noticing What You Spend Money On That’s Actually An Investment

Nerd's Eye View

Throughout history, there has been an age-old question of the difference between an investment and an expense. Society often views expenses as a permanent fixture in life, suggesting that there is no path away from their burden. But what if there was an alternative path? What if there was a way to shift our financial mindset about expenses from one of endless sunk costs to one of intentional investment?

Investing 244
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Hitting the Accelerator: Strategies for Growing and Scaling Your Advisory Business

Wealth Management

Unlock the keys to intentional and purposeful growth as an independent financial advisor.

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Question #10 for 2024: Will inventory increase further in 2024?

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Question #10 for 2024: Will inventory increase further in 2024? Brief excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I’ll post thoughts on those in the newsletter (others like GDP and employment will be on my blog).

Economics 290
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Adviser links: forces you cannot control

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Michael Kitces talks with Ted Jenkin who is the consultant of JTPD Partners, a firm that helps financial advisors gather offers, negotiate, and ultimately sell their advisory firms. (kitces.com) Broc Buckles and Peter Ciravolo talk with Peter Lazaroff, CIO of Plancorp, about his career path. (open.spotify.com) Ben Johnson and Julie Willoughby talk with Nicole Hunter and Ugo Egbunike about the day-to-day operations of the ETF business.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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#FA Success Ep 365: Scaling Expanded Advice Services To 100+ Team Members In A $5B AUM Enterprise, With Rob Nelson

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 365th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Rob Nelson. Rob is the CEO and Founder of NorthRock Partners, an RIA based in Minneapolis, Minnesota, that oversees $5 billion in assets under management for 1,500 client households. What's unique about Rob, though, is how while many advisory firms increasingly talk about being more than 'just' their client's financial advisor and instead their entire 'personal CFO', Rob has b

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat by the fire, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The 2024 research dump! A comprehensive round-up of all the 2024 investment outlook reports ( Financial Times ) • Christmas Didn’t Start Out as a Shop Fest. Here’s How It Became One. the holiday season accounts for nearly a fifth of U.S. annual retail sales, and more for sellers of clothes, toys, and other prime gift items.

Retail 162
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FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores A brief excerpt: Here are some graphs on outstanding mortgages by interest rate, the average mortgage interest rate, borrowers’ credit scores and current loan-to-value (LTV) from the FHFA’s National Mortgage Database through Q3 2023 (released last Friday).

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Thursday links: unoriginal thinking

Abnormal Returns

Markets The top 23 charts from 2023 including volatile mortgage rates. (bilello.blog) Cocoa, Solana, and uranium had a good year. (ft.com) Strategy 10 questions for 204 including 'What happens to all the cash on the sidelines?' (awealthofcommonsense.com) 23 ideas from 2023 including 'Kind>Clever.' (safalniveshak.com) Finance The bond market rally is helping to repair Schwab's ($SCHW) balance sheet.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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The Biggest Risk in 2024

A Wealth of Common Sense

In late-2019, The Economist put out a 150 page report called The World in 2020 that offered some predictions for the coming year in geopolitics and the economy. The issue was full of thoughts and ideas from CEOs, economists, scientists, politicians and business leaders about what was coming in the year ahead. These thought leaders were worried about the lasting impacts of Brexit, the upcoming U.S.

Economy 141
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At The Money: The Best Way to Sell Your House

The Big Picture

 The Best Way to Sell Your House with Jonathan Miller, Miller Samuel, December 27, 2023 Is it a seller’s market? That seems to be the consensus, but there are still tips and tricks to getting the biggest return for your home. On today’s episode, we discuss what to do, and NOT do, when selling a house. Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Jonathan Miller is founder and President of Miller Samuel.

Sales 147
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Ten Economic Questions for 2024

Calculated Risk

Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2023 Below are my ten questions for 2024 (I've been doing this online every year for almost 20 years!). These are just questions; I'll follow up with some thoughts on each of these questions. The purpose of these questions is to provide a framework of how the U.S. economy will likely perform in 2024, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking. 1) Economic growth: Economic growth was probably close to 2.6%

Economics 226
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Longform links: intellectual humility

Abnormal Returns

Business The story of the chaotic rise and fall of electric scooter rental company Bird. (wired.com) A big profile of Open AI CEO Sam Altman who keeps landing on his feet. (wsj.com) A profile of Byrne Hobart of The Diff. (meridian.mercury.com) Environment China is rapidly making the EV transition. (bloomberg.com) Where farmers are pulling more water from aquifers than can be replaced.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Investing in Middle Age

A Wealth of Common Sense

A podcast listener asks: Michael and Ben are so optimistic it makes me nervous. This past month+ has been so good it can’t be real. The market goes up and gas goes down every day, the VIX is at 12, etc. Life and investing is not this easy! Help us explore the potential downsides. Do you see consumer credit risk after holiday bills come due? My wife and I are 43 and entering our peak earning years.

Investing 130
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Are stock returns predictable at different points in time?

Alpha Architect

For many benchmark predictor variables, short-horizon return predictability in the U.S. stock market is local in time as short periods with significant predictability (“pockets”) are interspersed with long periods with no return predictability. Are stock returns predictable at different points in time? was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

Marketing 124
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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 218,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending December 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000 , an increase of 12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 205,000 to 206,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,000, a decrease of 250 from the previous week's revised average.

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Personal finance links: maximizing returns

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Jeff Hirsch about stock market seasonality. (ritholtz.com) Morgan Housel on why we are better spotting other people's flaws than our own. (open.spotify.com) Real estate Trying to time the housing market is folly. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The rent vs. buy decision depends, in part, on time horizon. (home-economics.us) Apartment companies are changing how they build with long term renters in mind.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Jeremy Siegel: Expect 10% to 15% Returns on Equities in 2024

Advisor Perspectives

“I believe the overall market will be up 10% to 15% from today's level by the end of 2024,” said Jeremy Siegel in our annual interview.

Marketing 122
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10 Questions For 2024

A Wealth of Common Sense

I have more questions than answers because predicting the future is hard. Here are 10 questions I’m contemplating heading into 2024: 1. What’s something people are generally certain about that will be proven wrong? Back in December 2022, the Financial Times published a survey that showed 85% of economists were projecting a recession in 2023: Whoops.

Marketing 122
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Dec 29th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated. For deaths, I'm currently using 3 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent two weeks will be revised significantly. Hospitalizations have quadrupled from a low of 5,150 in June 2023. Hospitalizations are far below the peak of 150,000 in January 2022.

Numbers 182
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Friday links: an unfair advantage

Abnormal Returns

Markets Putting an estimate on long term equity market returns. (morningstar.com) Cybersecurity is a growing industry. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Cash Cash provides you optionality. (wealthfoundme.com) Be careful not to overdo your cash holdings in 2024. (morningstar.com) Reading Some investment sites worth reading every week including Sam Ro's TKer. (blakebmillard.substack.com) 2023 wasn't a bumper year for business books excluding "Power and Progress: Our Thousand Year Struggle Over Technology an

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.