Sat.Jul 13, 2024 - Fri.Jul 19, 2024

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week How the rise of automated investing has changed the stock market. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why Bill Ackman spends so much time on Twitter. (sherwood.news) The CAPM doesn't work. Maybe this measure does. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Why young men around the world are breaking hard to the right. (politico.com) Today's constructive CPI report rang a bell for financial markets.

Economy 317
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Will Presidential Immunity Ruling Weaponize the IRS?

Wealth Management

A recent U.S. Supreme Court decision raises concerns among tax lawyers.

Taxes 306
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Single Family Starts Up Year-over-year in June; Multi-Family Starts Down 23% YoY

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Single Family Starts Up Year-over-year in June; Multi-Family Starts Down 23% YoY A brief excerpt: Total housing starts in June were above expectations and starts in April and May were revised up. The third graph shows the month-to-month comparison for total starts between 2023 (blue) and 2024 (red).

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (July 20-21)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" – this week's edition kicks off with the news that Charles Schwab and other brokerage platforms are planning to increase the interest rates they pay on client cash held in their platform or cash sweep programs, which could boost the income of clients who maintain a cash balance in their accounts.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Tuesday links: a major driver

Abnormal Returns

Rates Widening deficits don't seem to be putting a crimp on Treasury funding. (wsj.com) What an inverted yield curve (still) says about the odds of a recession. (econbrowser.com) Real estate Striking out on your own these days is expensive. (housingwire.com) Evictions are on the rise in a lot of localities. (wsj.com) Economy National homebuilder confidence is soft.

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ACA Survey: Most Advisory Firms Have No Plans To Use AI Tools

Wealth Management

Some 64% of advisory firms have no plans to develop or use client-facing artificial intelligence, yet 46% said it was a chief compliance concern, according to the ACA Group's latest survey.

Planning 305

More Trending

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Business Buy-Sell Agreements In The Wake of Connelly V. IRS: Ensuring Clients’ Business Succession Plans Don’t Create Future Estate Tax Issues

Nerd's Eye View

Buy-sell agreements are a common succession planning tool for business owners where, upon a triggering event like the death of one owner, the surviving owners have either the option or the contractual obligation to purchase the deceased owner's shares of the business. Traditionally, buy-sell agreements are structured either as cross-purchase agreements (where the surviving owners buy the deceased owners' shares directly from their estate) or entity-purchase agreements (where the business itself

Taxes 237
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Wednesday links: manic participants

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Rebalance your portfolio to tame risk, not to increase returns. (morningstar.com) It's never been easier to get distracted by other people's wealth. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Finance The commercial real estate mess is well under way. (wsj.com) How Charles Schwab ($SCHW) is changing its banking business. (riabiz.com) Apple Taboola is going to sell ads for Apple ($AAPL).

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Global IT Outage Affecting Microsoft Systems Hits Wealth Management

Wealth Management

The outage began early Friday morning with a software update from the cybersecurity provider Crowdstrike as the likely culprit. Schwab posted on its website a message warning users of potential issues.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: A Discussion of the Housing Market

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in June • Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2024 • A Discussion of the Housing Market with Lance Lambert (ResiClub) • Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in May, Multi-family Increased Slightly • 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in June This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-dep

Marketing 275
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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A Balanced Portfolio Always Comes with Regrets

A Wealth of Common Sense

Here’s a scenario I was presented with recently: Five years ago, a relatively conservative investor was sitting on some cash and seeking a more balanced portfolio. To keep things simple, this investor split the difference between stocks and bonds by allocating 50% to equities and 50% to fixed income. Five years later there is a clear winner in terms of performance within this 50/50 portfolio: You basically doubled.

Portfolio 141
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Research links: a costly technology

Abnormal Returns

Managed futures Why managed futures stand out among hedge fund strategies. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Comparing the correlation benefits of managed futures vs. market-neutral multi-factor investing. (insights.finominal.com) Michael and Ben talk with Eric Crittenden of Standpoint Funds. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Research What role do commodities play in a portfolio?

Valuation 264
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10 Investment Must Reads for This Week

Wealth Management

BlackRock’s plans to leverage its recent acquisition of Preqin to build private market ETFs have drawn skeptics, reports the Financial Times. Fortune profiled nine executives in the burgeoning private credit arena. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.

Investing 302
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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June A brief excerpt: From housing economist Tom Lawler: Based on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.93 million in June , down 4.4% from May’s preliminary pace and down 4.4% from last June’s seasonally adjusted pac

Sales 264
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Carson Investment Research Forecasts the Rest of 2024

Carson Wealth

Carson Investment Research 2024 Midyear Outlook: Eyes on the Prize The economy continues to see a solid rate of expansion with low risk of a recession. We are targeting a total return for the S&P 500 of 17-20% in 2024. The Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index outperforms short-term Treasuries in the second half of the year. Here we sit at midyear, and many investors should be feeling pretty good.

Investing 138
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Thursday links: simplistic trading

Abnormal Returns

Markets A great visualization of how calm the U.S. stock had been up until this week. (sherwood.news) Legalized gambling is illegal in India, but online stock trading is not. (on.ft.com) Finance Private equity is sitting on record dry powder. (institutionalinvestor.com) No one really knows where that capital is headed. (ft.com) Private credit has plenty of capital to put to work as well.

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3 Underutilized Estate Planning Strategies for Business Owners

Wealth Management

With the estate tax exemption sunset looming, the time to begin planning is now.

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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.8% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For June, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 36.7% YoY, but still down 32.4% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 35.8% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

Sales 262
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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How Many Millionaires Are There?

A Wealth of Common Sense

There aren’t all that many millionaires in the world. People with wealth in excess of $1 million make up just 1.5% of the world’s population. Yet this group controls nearly half of the world’s wealth (around $214 trillion in total). There are even fewer billionaires — a little less than 2,700 worldwide or a number that rounds down to 0% of the global population.

Numbers 136
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Friday links: banned bettors

Abnormal Returns

Markets How climate change could strand trillions in investments. (bloomberg.com) Why the stock-bond correlation matters. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Companies Crowdstrike ($CRWD) has some explaining to do as the world's computers go down. (theverge.com) Google ($GOOGL) just keeps getting worse. (om.co) Have we already passed peak AI hype? (bigtechnology.com) Media Netflix ($NFLX) is unique in its ability to turn old shows into hits.

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Osaic Launches More Sophisticated Retirement Income Planning Tools

Wealth Management

Osaic's updated NextPhase platform was completed in partnership with IncomeConductor software.

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Schedule for Week of July 14, 2024

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are June Retail Sales and Housing Starts. For manufacturing, the June Industrial Production report and the July New York and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. -- Monday, July 15th -- 8:30 AM: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for July. The consensus is for a reading of -6.0, unchanged from -6.0. 12:30 PM: Discussion, Fed Chair Jerome Powell , Conversation with David M.

Retail 182
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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#FASuccess Ep 394: Launching An Administrative Family Office Practice To Deliver Your Best Support To (HNW) Clients, With Christi Van Rite

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 394th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Christi Van Rite. Christi is the Founder of White River Consultants, a firm that provides administrative family office services to 17 ultra-high-net-worth households, and is on track to generate nearly $1.5M in revenue this year from its specialized services.

Clients 130
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Saturday links: creating wealth

Abnormal Returns

Autos Need a used car? Think EV. (msn.com) Rivian ($RIVN) is the anti-Tesla ($TSLA). (bloomberg.com) What it's like to drive a Tesla ($TSLA) Cybertruck around for a day. (sfgate.com) Energy Wind now generates more power than coal in the U.S. (sherwood.news) Energy costs are the key decision for Century Aluminum ($CENX) to build a new smelter in the U.S.

Food 264
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Is Gold Always a Safe-Haven Asset?

Wealth Management

Time to bust the myth of gold as a safe-haven asset.

Assets 290
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Q2 GDP Tracking: Mid-2%

Calculated Risk

The advance estimate of 2nd quarter GDP will be released next week. From BofA: Our 2Q GDP tracking estimate is up two-tenths to 2.4% q/q saar since our last publication, largely due to higher-than-expected industrial production (IP) and housing starts and permits [July 18th estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: We boosted our Q2 GDP tracking estimate by 0.3pp to +2.6% (qoq ar) and our Q2 domestic final sales forecast by 0.1pp to 2.2%.

Sales 162
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Waiting For the Coast to Clear on Inflation

A Wealth of Common Sense

The Fed will likely begin cutting interest rates in the months ahead, for good reason. Last week felt like a victory against high inflation: We’ve now had no price increases on the overall inflation rate for two months.1 Some pundits still aren’t so sure it’s time to take a victory lap just yet. What about the 1970s? There was a spike in inflation at the outset of the decade, it fell, then re-accelerate.

Marketing 127
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Monday links: falling profitability

Abnormal Returns

Markets When it comes to markets, speed isn't always better. (forkingpaths.co) Europe's luxury good stocks have had a good decade. (sherwood.news) Asset management Asset managers are seeing falling profitability. (institutionalinvestor.com) Goldman Sachs' ($GS) asset and wealth management division saw a boost in revenue. (cnbc.com) Funds The outskirts of the ETF industry are growing and getting weirder.

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Abacus Life to Acquire $2B Alts Manager

Wealth Management

Dynasty Investment Bank advised Abacus, which launched a wealth management division last year, on the deal with Carlisle Management.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 3.7% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 13 July The U.S. hotel industry reported higher performance results than the previous week but lower comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 13 July. 7-13 July 2024 (percentage change from comparable week in 2023): • Occupancy: 69.2% (-3.7%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$158.21 (-1.5%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$109.51 (-5.2%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occu

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.