Wealth Management
JANUARY 11, 2024
The ongoing case before the Supreme Court, which questions the constitutionality of taxing unrealized capital gains, holds significant implications for the future of wealth management.
The Big Picture
JANUARY 8, 2024
What are the Bull and Bear cases for 2024? I don’t do annual forecasts1 because the short-term is way too random. Instead, I prefer to consider market history and recent data, and ask “What are the possible and probable outcomes for this year?” I find it very useful as an investor to be able to see both sides of the bull-bear debate.
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Calculated Risk
JANUARY 10, 2024
Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I’ll post thoughts on those in the newsletter (others like GDP and employment will be on this blog). I'm adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 2) Employment: Through November 2023, the economy added 2.6 million jobs in 2023.
Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 7, 2024
Top clicks this week Some of the best charts of 2023. (entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) 10 predictions for 2024 including 'The economy overheats.' (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Don't get caught sitting in cash in 2024. (allstarcharts.com) How major asset classes performed in December 2023. (capitalspectator.com) Good years tend to cluster for the stock market.
Speaker: Erroll Amacker
As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R
Wealth Management
JANUARY 11, 2024
In conjunction with the funding, which included investments from Ritholtz Wealth Management and Mariner, the company is also rebranding as Dispatch.
The Big Picture
JANUARY 12, 2024
This week, we speak with Cathy Marcus , co-chief executive officer and global chief operating officer of PGIM Real Estate , which manages over $200 billion in assets. As co-CEO, Marcus develops and leads the company’s global strategy; as global COO, she is responsible for overseeing business and investment operations globally. She is also co-chair of the board of directors of RealAssetX , PGIM Real Estate’s innovation lab aimed at accelerating advancement in the real assets industry.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 8, 2024
Markets Six reasons to bullish. Six reasons to be bearish. (ritholtz.com) The 10 biggest FTSE 100 companies by market cap, over time. (ft.com) What you need to know about the spread on mortgage bonds. (housingbrief.com) Finance The spot Bitcoin ETF price war is already on. (axios.com) Property and casualty insurance providers are struggling to keep up with weather-related claims.
Wealth Management
JANUARY 11, 2024
Two fellowship participants share their experiences in the estate planning field.
The Big Picture
JANUARY 10, 2024
At The Money: David Dunning professor of psychology at the University of Michigan ( Go Blue! ) (January 10, 2024) Investor incompetence might play a larger role in poor performance than you think. That’s thanks to a phenomenon called the Dunning-Kruger Effect. Full transcript below. ~~~ About this week’s guest: David Dunning is a professor of psychology at the University of Michigan.
Calculated Risk
JANUARY 11, 2024
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2024 A brief excerpt: “If you do not know where you come from, then you don't know where you are, and if you don't know where you are, then you don't know where you're going. And if you don't know where you're going, you're probably going wrong.
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Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.
Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 12, 2024
Markets Stocks don't always beat bonds. (morningstar.com) A visualization of the top 10 S&P 500 stocks by market cap. (politicalcalculations.blogspot.com) Strategy Bob Seawright, "We will never act with perfect foresight. We will rarely act with decent foresight." (betterletter.substack.com) You can't use P/E ratios to value growth stocks. (downtownjoshbrown.com) A lot of strategies just aren't worth the hassle.
Wealth Management
JANUARY 10, 2024
The decision comes a day after the commission’s X handle was hacked, with someone falsely posting the SEC had decided to approve the funds.
Nerd's Eye View
JANUARY 12, 2024
Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the Securities and Exchange Commission this week authorized 11 Spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which could provide financial advisors and their clients with a convenient way to invest in the cryptocurrency without many of the security issues or price tracking challenges of other methods (though the new products will still be subject to Bitcoin's notorious price
Calculated Risk
JANUARY 12, 2024
From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Rail Time Indicators. Graphs and excerpts reprinted with permission. U.S. railroads originated 11.70 million total carloads in 2023 — up 0.7% (81,504 carloads) over 2022 , up 0.7% (78,633 carloads) over 2021, and the most for a full year since 2019. For all of 2023, U.S. intermodal originations totaled 12.67 million containers and trailers — down 4.9% (657,165 units) from 2022 , down 9.6% (1.35 million) from 2021, and the lowest annual volume sinc
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Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 8, 2024
Podcasts Michael Kitces talks adviser well-being with Stevyn Guinnip who is the founder of Grow Wellthy, a health and wellness consulting firm. (kitces.com) Thomas Kopelman and Jacob Turner talks with Julia Gurner about the power of working with a coach. (podcasts.apple.com) Career Why it's so important to invest in the next generation of advisers. (riaintel.com) Some things veteran advisers wished they knew when starting out including 'Run your business like a business.
Wealth Management
JANUARY 12, 2024
With healthy property fundamentals and a favorable interest rate environment, REIT fund managers expect the sector to deliver double digit returns this year.
Nerd's Eye View
JANUARY 10, 2024
In initial discovery meetings, financial advisors face the challenge of eliciting specific goals from new clients – a crucial step for crafting a comprehensive financial plan. Asking direct queries may elicit vague responses like "I want to be on track for retirement", which tends to lack the detail needed to plan effectively and spark the client's motivation to actually accomplish those goals.
Calculated Risk
JANUARY 8, 2024
Altos reports that active single-family inventory was down 2.7% week-over-week. Inventory will likely decrease seasonally until the Spring. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of January 5th, inventory was at 499 thousand (7-day average), compared to 513 thousand the prior week. Inventory is still far below pre-pandemic levels.
Speaker: Aaron Berson
Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g
Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 9, 2024
ERP Does new data put the idea of equity superiority, over bonds, into doubt? (morningstar.com) The risks that come along with a 100% U.S. equity portfolio, not least of which are behavioral. (ofdollarsanddata.com) Research What factors are appropriate for defensive investors? (alphaarchitect.com) Crowded trades increase crash risks. (alphaarchitect.com) How the sensitivity to interest rates of factors, and sectors, vary in the U.S.
Wealth Management
JANUARY 8, 2024
Record keepers are the biggest inhibitors to more extensive implentation of PEPs, or pooled employer plans.
Nerd's Eye View
JANUARY 9, 2024
Welcome back to the 367th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Kimberly Enders. Kimberly is the Lead Financial Planner and Managing Partner of Enders Wealth Management, a hybrid advisory firm based in Sterling Heights, Michigan, that oversees $50M in assets under management for 85 client households. What's unique about Kimberly, though, is that after building a practice jointly with her husband, in 2015, she had to reinvent herself after a divorce lef
The Big Picture
JANUARY 11, 2024
I am popping out of book leave to just throw a few charts at you regarding the Inflation data for December. CPI came in a 0.3% versus 0.2% expected month over month. But the devil is in the details. BLS pointed to shelter as the source of the increase: “The index for shelter continued to rise in December, contributing over half of the monthly all items increase.” In the real world, shelter measures were flat or negative.
Speaker: Sierre Lindgren
Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.
Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 11, 2024
Books A Q&A with Hannah Ritchie "Not the End of the World: How We can Be the First Generation to Build a Sustainable Planet." (fasterplease.substack.com) An excerpt from "Silent Cavalry: How Union Soldiers from Alabama Helped Sherman Burn Atlanta — and Then Got Written Out of History" by Howell Raines. (washingtonpost.com) Technology Does the NY Times ($NYT) have a case against AI and OpenAI specifically?
Wealth Management
JANUARY 9, 2024
The IBD has created a new RIA, BridgePort Financial Solutions, to execute on its flexible acquisition strategy; it launches with three transactions and $1 billion in assets under advisement.
Nerd's Eye View
JANUARY 8, 2024
Professional service industries tend to evolve over time as the regulatory environment evolves and new technologies emerge. For instance, the financial advice industry has seen many changes to regulations (for both advisors and their clients), advisor business models, and the advisor technology landscape. These changes all have the potential to change the industry by shifting the current focus on selling financial products (including financial plans themselves) to providing a more in-depth and p
Calculated Risk
JANUARY 11, 2024
The DOL reported : In the week ending January 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 202,000 , a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 202,000 to 203,000. The 4-week moving average was 207,750, a decrease of 250 from the previous week's revised average.
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Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 10, 2024
Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Michael Mauboussin about why it is so hard to buck the crowd. (ritholtz.com) Claer Barrett talks with Morgan Housel about his book "Same As Ever." (ft.com) Jim O'Shaughnessy talks with Jared Dillian about his new book "No Worries: How To Live a Stress-free Financial Life." (infiniteloopspodcast.com) Khe Hy talks with Manisha Thakor about separating your self-worth from your net-worth.
Wealth Management
JANUARY 8, 2024
What were the significant tax and non-tax issues of last year? Speakers at Heckerling discuss tax planning, estate planning and philanthropy cases.
The Big Picture
JANUARY 11, 2024
Hey, this is a really nice surprise: Masters in Business was the winner in the Best Business-to-Business Podcast. I am Thrilled and humbled to win anything! Here’s what Adweek says: “In a world of shrinking attention spans where long-form journalism is an endangered species, Masters in Business sounds a refreshingly contrarian note. Creator and host Barry Ritholtz not only invites some of the most dynamic and creative business thinkers to the microphone–he’ll also often s
Calculated Risk
JANUARY 11, 2024
Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned early last year when services less rent of shelter was up 7.6% year-over-year. This declined sharply and is now up 3.4% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through November 2023.
Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
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