Sat.Jul 01, 2023 - Fri.Jul 07, 2023

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The Broker Who Saved America

The Reformed Broker

You know Hancock and Washington and Franklin and Jefferson. You might even know Greene and Knox, Henry and Hale. And we know you know Hamilton, pretty tough to escape that one these days! But it is very unlikely that you know the name Haym Solomon. This is unfortunate, because he’s the guy who arranged financing to keep the Continental Army alive during its darkest days, finding the money to keep the revolution goin.

Marketing 361
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Why International Diversification Is Still The Prudent Strategy (While Keeping Behavioral Biases, Risks, And Results In A Healthy Perspective)

Nerd's Eye View

As the U.S. stock market has, on average, outperformed international equities over the last 15 years since emerging from the Great Recession of 2008, many investors argue that international diversification is a poor allocation of dollars that would otherwise be earning more in the U.S. market. The outperformance of U.S. stocks has led to the favoritism of ‘local’ investments over international ones through behavioral biases (e.g., recency bias and the tendency to confuse the familiar

Valuation 246
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Housing July 3rd Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.3% week-over-week. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of June 30th, inventory was at 466 thousand (7-day average), compared to 460 thousand the prior week. Year-to-date, inventory is down 5.1%. And inventory is up 14.9% from the seasonal bottom eleven weeks ago.

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500!

The Big Picture

Today, the 500 th episode of Masters in Business drops. 1 I have described the inspiration for the show as “ an audio version of Market Wizards ” but the actual pitch to Bloomberg was “Mark Maron’s WTF meets Charlie Rose” (that was before we knew about his, um, behavior). It has been a wonderful ride, one that I feel grateful and privileged to be on.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Industrial Outdoor Storage Rises in Popularity Among Institutional Investors

Wealth Management

While much of the sector continues to be dominated by small owners/operators, its solid property fundamentals, credit tenants and low capital expenditures are beginning to bring in institutional money.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (July 8-9)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that recent survey data indicate that advisors are more satisfied and productive when they have more time to spend with their clients and when those clients fit within their ideal client profile, in terms of needs, specialties, or engagement levels.

More Trending

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U.S. Home Price Growth 1983-2023

The Big Picture

Fascinating chart from Visual Capitalist showing the history of housing prices in the United States. I recall the 1990 Home Price recession — I was too broke to afford a condo, but I knew lots of recent grad school friends who took high-paying jobs and bought a place in the 1980s; more than a few were freaked out about falling prices. The issue with rising prices is the ongoing shortage of single-family homes relative to both population and job locations.

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Political Risk and International Stock Returns

Wealth Management

For investors seeking higher returns, there are no free lunches—they have to accept greater risk.

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Personal finance links: types of uncertainties

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Ben Carlson and Michael Batnick talk credit card points with Chris Hutchins, Host of All The Hacks Podcast. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Chris Alacron talks with Jonathan Clements author of “My Money Journey: How 30 People Found Financial Freedom and You Can Too.” (financiallywelloff.com) Peter Mallouk and Jonathan Clements on the key ingredients of a good retirement.

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BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.8 million in May

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings decreased to 9.8 million on the last business day of May , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 6.2 million and 5.9 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.0 million) increased, while layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires

Numbers 328
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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More Inflation Expectations Silliness

The Big Picture

This morning, the WSJ reported that “Consumers expect to see 4.1% inflation a year from now, the lowest such reading in two years and down sharply from its recent peak of 6.8%.” There are some who believe this is good news, but as we pointed out in May , it’s a meaningless, lagging survey. In fact, it may be even worse than that, because it appears that some at the Federal Reserve actually believe the Fed’s own survey of consumers contains information.

Economy 306
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JD Power: Advisors Increasingly Bogged Down By Administration, Compliance

Wealth Management

Advisors who said they don't have enough time with their clients spend an average 41% more time every month than peers on compliance, administrative and other “non-value-added” tasks, according to a new J.D. Power survey.

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#FA Success Ep 340: Operating Agreement As Pre-Nup: Splitting Away From Ensemble Partnership To Launch Your Own Firm, With Melissa Joy

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 340th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Melissa Joy. Melissa is the Founder of Pearl Planning, an independent RIA based in Dexter, Michigan, that oversees more than $175 million in assets under management for 251 client households. What's unique about Melissa, though, is how she originally built her career following a path of becoming a partner in a large ensemble firm, but when she finally got the opportunity to make partner sh

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Construction Spending Increased 0.9% in May

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during May 2023 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,925.6 billion, 0.9 percent above the revised April estimate of $1,909.0 billion. The May figure is 2.4 percent above the May 2022 estimate of $1,880.9 billion. emphasis added Both private and public spending increased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,513.2 billion, 1.1 percent a

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Majority of Hedge Funds Fail to Meet Benchmarks

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, “Masters in Business” Radio and Podcast Host discusses the environment of hedge funds and the war on talent between them. He speaks with Romaine Bostick and Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg Markets: The Close Vast Majority of Hedgefunds Are Failing to Meet Targets: Ritholtz Source: Bloomberg See also : MiB: Ilana Weinstein Discusses the Hedge Fund War for Talent (July 1, 2023) The post Majority of Hedge Funds Fail to Meet Benchmarks appeared first on The Big Picture.

Marketing 269
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10 Must Reads for Real Estate Investors to End the Week (July 7, 2023)

Wealth Management

Boston Business Journal looked at which metros might have the most exposure to upcoming real estate debt maturities. EQT Exeter closed a $4.9 billion fund earmarked for U.S. industrial assets, reported Bisnow. These are among today’s must reads from around the commercial real estate industry.

Assets 305
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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (July 2023)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the July 2023 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Pershing X has announced the launch of its long-awaited (and newly renamed) “Wove” advisor technology platform – which despite purporting to be an open-architecture, multi-custodian so

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Comments on June Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the June employment report was at expectations, however, employment for the previous two months was revised down by 110,000, combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio were unchanged, and the unemployment rate decreased to 3.6%. Leisure and hospitality gained 21 thousand jobs in June. At the beginning of the pandemic, in March and April of 2020, leisure and hospitality lost 8.2 million jobs, and are now down 369 thousand jobs since February 2

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Friday links: the next X

Abnormal Returns

Markets Stop dissing the Dow. (allstarcharts.com) Bitcoin has survived another bear market. (blockworks.co) Strategy Professional investors do better when thinking long term. (sapientcapital.com) What exactly is the problem with index fund concentration? (ft.com) Rates Higher for longer means investors can feast on short term rates. (disciplinefunds.com) Main street banks can no longer get away with paying under-market interest rates on deposits.

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Delegate, Don't Manage

Wealth Management

Hoarding work and not giving your employees the chance to evolve in their roles will stunt their growth.

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Leadership Wins: American Entrepreneurs

The Reformed Broker

Last month Michael, Duncan and I traveled down to St Petersburg for an event and, while we were there, my friend Shirl Penney set up a conversation with Scotty Neil, the founder of Horse Soldier Bourbon. Scott was part of the elite team of Green Berets who were sent behind the lines in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 to link up with our old mujahideen allies and knock the Taliban out of key Afghan cities.

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FOMC Minutes: Staff Predicts Mild Recession; Additional Increases in Fed Funds Rate "Appropriate"

Calculated Risk

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, June 13-14, 2023. Excerpt: The economic forecast prepared by the staff for the June FOMC meeting continued to assume that the effects of the expected further tightening in bank credit conditions, amid already tight financial conditions, would lead to a mild recession starting later this year , followed by a moderately paced recovery.

Economics 305
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Saturday links: putting students first

Abnormal Returns

EVs U.S. pedestrian deaths are soaring. (npr.org) Heavier EVs make for heavier auto haulers. RIP, our roads. (slate.com) Recent developments could doom the CSS charging standard in the U.S. (nytimes.com) Oregon is legalizing self-serve pumps. (oregonlive.com) Transport Zero-emission buses are coming. (theverge.com) Joby Aviation ($JOBY) is nearing commercial eVTOL production.

Startup 245
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Advisor Reviews: Don't Get Left Behind

Wealth Management

Our technology columnist points out that we have become a reviews-based culture, whether we are looking at cars, technology or services, and shopping for an advisor will soon follow suit.

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MiB: Ilana Weinstein Discusses the Hedge Fund War for Talent 

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Ilana Weinstein, CEO of hedge fund executive search firm IDW Group. The firm’s practice places senior hedge fund and business professionals across the investment landscape. She holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a bachelor’s degree from the University of Pennsylvania. We discuss the challenges of attracting and retaining the best talent.

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June Employment Report: 209 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.6 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in government, health care, social assistance, and construction. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for April was revised down by 77,000, from +294,000 to +217,000, and the change for May was revised down by 33,000, from +339,000 to +306,000.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Wednesday links: the pool of available workers

Abnormal Returns

Markets It's not just the U.S. stock market that is rallying YTD. (ft.com) Bitcoin and Ethereum are at 52-week highs. (allstarcharts.com) Strategy Six signs to help you avoid 'value traps.' (blog.validea.com) These two quality financials trade at 10-11x earnings. (brklyninvestor.com) Finance If ESG investing can be restricted, then so can religious-focused funds.

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Convergence Dominates the Financial Advisor M&A Market

Wealth Management

Wise Rhino Group’s quarterly report highlights importance of convergence, scale and integration.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. These are the most read posts on the site this week, in case you missed it: . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Heavy Truck Sales Up 15% Year-over-year in June

Calculated Risk

The BEA released their estimate of vehicle sales for June yesterday. This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the June 2023 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR). Heavy truck sales really collapsed during the great recession, falling to a low of 180 thousand SAAR in May 2009. Then heavy truck sales increased to a new all-time high of 570 thousand SAAR in April 2019.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.