Sat.Dec 31, 2022 - Fri.Jan 06, 2023

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (January 2023)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the January 2023 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Envestnet has decided to enter the RIA custodial business through a partnership with Australian bank FNZ to white-label what was once the State Street RIA custodial platform of many years ago –

Insurance 246
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December Employment Report: 223 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in December, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, health care, construction, and social assistance. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for October was revised down by 21,000, from +284,000 to +263,000, and the change for November was revised down by 7,000, from +263,000 to +256,000.

Numbers 363
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Freudenschaude

The Big Picture

Merry Christmas, Happy New Year, and all the rest of the seasonal glad tidings for you and yours in 2023. Before we roll up our sleeves and start to engage in the serious business of managing risk in the capital markets, I wanted to share a story that is more in keeping with the spirits of the season. I ran track in high school. My father’s advice when I joined the team was: Find the fastest guy on the team and keep up with him.

Startup 346
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Five Must-Haves for Financial Advisor Websites

Wealth Management

A bad website can be just as harmful for your business as having no website at all.

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Think you have it bad?

The Reformed Broker

If you’re a financial advisor or a fund manager and you weren’t down 20% last year, you won, basically. The S&P fell into a 20% bear market while the Nasdaq crashed almost 40%. Bonds were down double digits as an asset class. International stocks, while outperforming the US and not down as much, were still down a lot. Except for Turkey, which inexplicably doubled last year – here’s the TUR ETF, The post Think you have it bad?

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Comments on December Employment Report

Calculated Risk

With 4.50 million jobs added, 2022 was the 2nd best year for job growth in US history behind only 2021 with 6.74 million. The headline jobs number in the December employment report was above expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 28,000, combined. The participation rate increased, and the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5%.

Retail 363

More Trending

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Ten Ways Advisors Can Set Themselves Up for Success in 2023

Wealth Management

The new year can be an opportunity to take stock and reflect.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Why you should choose simplicity over complexity: the case against FSAs. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Here is Eddy's 2023 Buy List. (crossingwallstreet.com) The best books Ben read in 2022 including "Die With Zero" by Bill Perkins. (awealthofcommonsense.com) A look at the best charts of 2022. (topdowncharts.substack.com) Six things that don't change in financial markets including the attraction of 'shiny objects.

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Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 67% YoY, Slightly Below Pre-Pandemic Levels

Calculated Risk

Here is another monthly update on framing lumber prices. This graph shows CME random length framing futures through January 3rd. Lumber was at $374 per 1000 board feet this morning. This is down from the peak of $1,733, and down 67% from $1,148 a year ago. Prices are slightly below the pre-pandemic levels of around $400. Click on graph for larger image.

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Stocks That Lost the Most Market Cap in 2022

The Big Picture

Source: Reddit. The post Stocks That Lost the Most Market Cap in 2022 appeared first on The Big Picture.

Marketing 318
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Revised Retirement Rules in the SECURE Act 2.0

Wealth Management

New law includes significant changes to the rules for individual retirement accounts and employer plans.

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Sunday links: the role of work

Abnormal Returns

Markets Global stocks and bonds lost more than $30 trillion for 2022. (ft.com) The 60/40 portfolio had a historically bad year. (finance.yahoo.com) Apple ($AAPL) lost $846 billion in market cap in 2022. (marketwatch.com) 2022 was a big year for ETFs, except for a spot Bitcoin ETF. (theetfeducator.com) IPO proceeds fell off the table in 2022. (cnbc.com) Strategy Average annual stock market returns are not-so average.

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Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q4 as "demand plummeted", Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged

Calculated Risk

From Moody’s Analytics Senior Economist Lu Chen and economist Xiaodi Li: Apartment struck a balance, Office demand plummeted, and Retail remains flat Corporate profits squeezed under macroeconomic uncertainties and flexible work arrangements weakened office demand and continued to transform the sector’s fundamental. Moreover, new office demand isn’t always reflected through direct leases.

Retail 363
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Billionaires Index

The Big Picture

Source : Bloomberg Billionaires Index. I was in the midst of my analysis of how the Fed would react to softening wage gains in the NFP data, when the markets exploded 2.5% higher. The Fed is very concerned that the perennially underpaid median worker has been seeing wage increases. The past few years follows 3 decades of lagging income. It kinda killed my motivation to write yet another pierce discussing Fed actions.

Marketing 313
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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2023 Predictions for the Digital Asset Ecosystem

Wealth Management

While cryptocurrencies have experienced recent collapses, the underlying blockchain technology still has immense potential to propel the modern innovation of finance.

Assets 306
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Wednesday links: what winning looked like

Abnormal Returns

Markets 15 charts that explain 2022 returns. (morningstar.com) 2022 was a good year for value. (blog.validea.com) Consumer sentiment is awful. (alhambrapartners.com) Commodities Managed futures returns in 2022 were front-end loaded. (rcmalternatives.com) Natural gas prices in Europe have fallen to pre-war levels. (axios.com) Lumber prices are back down to pre-pandemic levels.

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BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 10.5 million in November

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings was little changed at 10.5 million on the last business day of November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations changed little at 6.1 million and 5.9 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.4 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (dar

Numbers 356
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State Coincident Indicators: November 2022

The Big Picture

The Philly Fed’s November State Coincident Indicators snuck out while I was away (1/28/22). There are increasing signs of local distress revealed in the midwest, and lots of softness elsewhere. As detailed here , over the past month, the SCI indicies increased in 30 states, decreased in 13 states, and remained stable in seven, for a one-month diffusion index of 34.

Numbers 291
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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The Telecommuting State Tax Battle

Wealth Management

The shift to working remotely comes with tax return implications.

Taxes 306
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Longform links: owning your content

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Sheila Liming’s forthcoming book, "Hanging Out: The Radical Power of Killing Time." (theatlantic.com) An excerpt from Dacher Keltner’s new book, "Awe: The New Science of Everyday Wonder and How It Can Transform Your Life." (theatlantic.com) Society Americans are spending more time and money on pets. (washingtonpost.com) There seems to be a marked shift in attitudes toward work for younger generations.

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Housing January 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 3.4% Week-over-week

Calculated Risk

Altos reports inventory is down 3.4% week-over-week and down 15.0% from the peak on October 28, 2022. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of December 30th, inventory was at 491 thousand (7-day average), compared to 508 thousand the prior week. Inventory has declined sharply over the holidays. The second graph shows the seasonal pattern for active single-family inventory since 2015.

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10 New Year’s Eve Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here — AND it’s New Year’s Eve! Pour yourself a mug of Porto Rico Importing coffee, grab a seat by the fire, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Backstory of ChatGPT Creator OpenAI : Behind ChatGPT and other AI breakthroughs was Sam Altman’s fundraising—but skeptics remain. ( Wall Street Journal ). • 52 things I learned in 2022 : This year I worked on fascinating projects in energy, media and health* at Magnetic, and learned many learnings. ( M

Media 280
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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WMIQ: Stark Differences Exist Between High-Growth Firms, Others in Marketing and Client Communications

Wealth Management

New research from WealthManagement.com's WMIQ suggests firms are inhibiting growth by minimizing, and in many cases mishandling, marketing and client communications.

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Implementing Retirement Income Guardrails To Facilitate (The Right) Spending Raises And Spending Cuts

Nerd's Eye View

Financial advisors have a wide range of strategies at their disposal to create financial plans for their clients. And when it comes to retirement planning, one popular technique is the use of ‘guardrails’, which set an initial monthly withdrawal rate that can be later adjusted as the size of the client’s portfolio changes. This strategy is valuable because it generally allows for higher initial withdrawal rates than more static approaches that don’t accommodate clients wi

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Trade Deficit decreased to $61.5 Billion in November

Calculated Risk

From the Department of Commerce reported : The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $61.5 billion in November , down $16.3 billion from $77.8 billion in October, revised. November exports were $251.9 billion, $5.1 billion less than October exports. November imports were $313.4 billion, $21.5 billion less than October imports emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

Economics 338
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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My early morning train WFH reads: • Get Ready for the Richcession : Well-off Americans could get hurt more than usual in the next downturn ( Wall Street Journal ). • Why Markets Were Down in 2022 : there was also an Occum’s razor answer for the losses in financial markets in 2022. Sometimes the reason asset prices fall is because they went up too much in the first place. ( Wealth of Common Sense ) see also Observations to Start 2023 : From 2010 through 2021, The S&P500 Index gained 330% — a

Food 265
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Securing Office Financing Will Be More Difficult in 2023

Wealth Management

Many lenders have stopped financing office assets, and those that do are offering less favorable terms and scrutinize deals closely.

Assets 299
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Jan 7-8)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has received significant pushback from investment adviser and financial industry trade groups to the regulator’s recent proposal that would establish formalized due diligence and monitoring obligations for investment advisers that outsource certain advisory functions.

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1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December A brief excerpt: This is the first look at local markets in December. I’m tracking about 40 local housing markets in the US. Some of the 40 markets are states, and some are metropolitan areas. I’ll update these tables throughout the month as additional data is released.

Marketing 252
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Research links: the downside of diversification

Abnormal Returns

Research How do bonds perform after a 2-10 yield curve inversion? (simplify.us) What accounts for the difference between brown and green stocks? (alphaarchitect.com) A look at how various factors performed during different market cycles. (quantpedia.com) How is geopolitical risk measured? (alphaarchitect.com) Contrary to the life-cycle hypothesis, the elderly don't uniformly engage in decumulation of assets.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.