The Upward Drift
The Irrelevant Investor
NOVEMBER 12, 2015
Cliff Asness is out with a new interesting paper, "Market Timing Is Back In The Hunt For Investors." In it, he discusses the efficacy of using valuations, specifically the CAPE ratio, to help time the market. One thing Asness addresses is the valuation drift upward which U.S. stocks have experienced over the last century. Here's Cliff: "As alluded to earlier when discussing the long-term upward drift in CAPE, another related but distinct headwind for contrarian stock market timing in the second
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