Sat.Nov 02, 2024 - Fri.Nov 08, 2024

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The Contrarian’s Guide: Inside David Dreman’s Value Investment Strategy

Validea

David Dreman made his name and fortune by going against the crowd. As one of the pioneers of contrarian investing, he built an impressive track record by systematically targeting stocks that were out of favor with the market. Let’s explore how Dreman developed his contrarian approach and break down the key elements of his quantitative strategy.

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Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in October; Down 3.2% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Declined in October Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were lower in October compared to September. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) fell to 202.8, a decline of 3.2% from a year ago. The seasonal adjustment to the index reduced the change for the month, as non-seasonally adjusted values declined at a higher rate.

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Holistiplan Launches Estate Plan Document Extraction Tool (And More Of The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech – November 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the November 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Holistiplan has announced the rollout of a new estate plan document extraction tool to stand alongside its highly popular tax return scanning tool – which highlights how advances in AI technol

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Personal finance links: a worthy goal

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Amy Arnott talk the state of retirement with Anne Tergensen of the WSJ. (morningstar.com) Barry Ritholtz talks shareholder yield with Meb Faber of Cambria Investments. (ritholtz.com) Carl Richards talks avoiding burnout with Jonny Miller. (podcasts.apple.com) Taxes A year-end tax planning checklist. (kindnessfp.com) How to think about taxes in early retirement.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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MiB: Peter Goodman, How the World ran Out of Everything

The Big Picture

 This week, we speak with New York Times Global Economic Correspondent Peter Goodman. Prior to the New York Times, Peter began his career as a freelance writer in Southeast Asia before serving as The Washington Post’s Asia Economic Correspondent and later Shanghai Bureau Chief. He has since reported from over 36 countries, holds two Gerald Loeb awards and eight prizes from the Society of American Business Editors and Writers.

Economics 189
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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 10.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending November 1, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 10.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Marketing 284

More Trending

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Why rates are bucking the Fed. (sherwood.news) How major asset classes performed, or didn't, in October 2024. (capitalspectator.com) What's behind weakness in the long end of the curve? (apolloacademy.com) Why mortgage rates are rising. (axios.com) This device is the equivalent of an 'EV gas can.' (newatlas.com) Institutional investor ownership of single-family homes is concentrated in certain geographies.

Assets 182
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Values, Purpose, Action: A 3-Part Approach To Establish A “Statement Of Financial Purpose” And Unlock Deeper, More Meaningful Planning Conversations With Clients

Nerd's Eye View

In the early days of financial planning, serving clients often meant developing transactional relationships focused on facilitating trades and selling insurance. Over time, advisors shifted toward more analytical approaches, such as investment management and retirement planning. Today, the industry has evolved further, with a growing emphasis on aligning financial decisions with clients' personal priorities and life goals.

Clients 130
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MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Decreased Slightly in Q3 2024

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Decreased Slightly in Q3 2024 A brief excerpt: From the MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease Slightly in the Third Quarter of 2024, Up on Annual Basis The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties decreased slightly to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.92 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the third quarter of 2024 compared to one year ago, according to the Mortgage Ba

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SEC: Firm Used Athlete Endorsements Without Disclosing Payment

Wealth Management

The commission settled charges that Wahed Invest violated the ad rule when including a pro soccer player and MMA athletes in marketing without clarifying that they weren’t clients and were compensated.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Podcast links: online slop

Abnormal Returns

Listening Streaming services are filled with pirated songs under sound-alike names. (arstechnica.com) Why you shouldn't get your economic insights from VC podcasts. (passingtime.substack.com) Economy Barry Ritholtz talks with Peter Goodman author of "How the World Ran Out of Everything: Inside the Global Supply Chain." (ritholtz.com) Matt Reustle talks demographics and real estate with Fernando De Leon who is the founder of Leon Capital.

Economy 147
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ATM: What Never Changes with Money

The Big Picture

 ATM: Title At the Money: What Never Changes with Money (November 6, 2024) As much as our era seems to be unprecedented, Human nature is same as it ever was. Our behavior around risk and reward has been very consistent over the millennia. Full transcript coming soon. ~~~ About this week’s guest: Morgan Housel is a partner at the Collaborative Fund and author of “ The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness.

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ICE Mortgage Monitor: "Annual home price growth cooled for the seventh consecutive month"

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: ICE Mortgage Monitor: "Annual home price growth cooled for the seventh consecutive month" Brief excerpt: One of the key metrics to watch for mortgage stress is early-stage delinquencies. These are borrowers that are delinquent within 6 months of origination. This was one of the obvious warning signs during the housing bubble.

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Advisors Want Clients to Consider History When Assessing Election’s Aftermath

Wealth Management

Advisors are telling clients to remain calm and remember the stability of markets throughout tumultuous historical times.

Clients 327
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Wednesday links: little acts of humanity

Abnormal Returns

Prediction markets Prediction markets got things right this go round. (coindesk.com) When election prediction markets pay out. (axios.com) One thing prediction markets got wrong. (axios.com) Finance Now is a good time to be selling a private credit manager. (ft.com) More ETFs, means a need for more tickers. It's getting cutthroat out there. (finance.yahoo.com) Apple Apple ($AAPL) is investing in Globalstar to support satellite capabilities.

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Some Things I Don’t Believe About Investing

A Wealth of Common Sense

As Charlie Munger liked to say, “Invert, always invert.” Here are some things about investing that I don’t believe: I don’t believe there is a sole way to invest. Everyone has a different emotional make-up and lesser version of themself. Plus, experiences and circumstances can shape your attitudes towards risk and return. There are a lot of strategies that can work.

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CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 3.4% Year-over-year in September, "Slowest growth rate in over a year"

Calculated Risk

Notes: This CoreLogic House Price Index report is for September. The recent Case-Shiller index release was for August. The CoreLogic HPI is a three-month weighted average and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA). From CoreLogic: CoreLogic: Annual Home Price Slowdown Continues in September • On an annual basis, home prices rose by 3.4% in September, the slowest growth rate in over a year, and are projected to slow to 2.3% by the same time next year. • Miami continued to post the highest gain of track

Economy 254
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Don’t Fall into the Tax-Deferment Trap

Wealth Management

A single-minded strategy of tax avoidance is often not in a client’s best interest.

Taxes 320
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Research links: a whole lot of factors

Abnormal Returns

ETFs Passive investing continues to take share. Where is the evidence that it is fundamentally changing the stock market? (on.ft.com) 'Peak ETF' is nowhere on the horizon, especially overseas. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Portfolio construction How portfolio diversification works. (caia.org) How to use trading volume to optimize portfolio construction.

Portfolio 162
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1999 vs. 2024

A Wealth of Common Sense

It’s been a good year in the stock market. Through the close on Friday, the U.S. stock market is up 20% in 2024. The Russell 3000 Index is a good approximation of the total U.S. stock market. The index now has a little less than 2,700 stocks. Out of 2,670 stocks, 101 are up 100% or more this year (3.8% of the total). Thirteen stocks are up 300% or more, five are up 500% or greater and there is one stock in the one c.

Marketing 145
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Schedule for Week of November 3, 2024

Calculated Risk

The FOMC meets this week and is expected to cut rates. -- Monday, November 4th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, November 5th -- All day: U.S. Election 8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for September from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for the deficit to be $73.5 billion in September, from $70.4 billion in August. This graph shows the U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum, through the most recent report.

Economics 272
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Wealthfront Shutters Fund That Brought Dalio Playbook to Masses

Wealth Management

The Wealthfront Risk Parity Fund will be liquidated and dissolved on or about January 3.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Markets Becoming More Efficient: The Disappearing Index Effect

Alpha Architect

Greenwood and Sammon’s findings of a disappearing index effect provides further support for the findings of McLean and Pontiff, Does Academic Research Destroy Stock Return Predictability? 2016. Once anomalies are well recognized by the market they decline and may even disappear, though limits to arbitrage can allow them to persist. Their findings also provide support for Andrew Lo’s The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis (2004).

Marketing 118
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How to invest in real estate with only 500 rupees?

Trade Brains

The Indian real estate market, traditionally requiring substantial investments, is evolving with the rise of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Now even small investors can participate in property investments with minimal capital. What are REITs? Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have revolutionised property investment in India. These companies manage profitable real estate portfolios across various sectors.

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Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range

Calculated Risk

Fed Chair Powell, Nov 7, 2024: "It's actually remarkable how strong the U.S. economy is performing. We're performing better than all of our global peers. Ultimately, if you look at the U.S. economy, its performance has been very good." From BofA: Next week, we will initiate our 4Q GDP tracker with the October retail sales print and Oct industrial production and Sep business inventories. [ Current forecast 2.0% , Nov 8th] emphasis added From Goldman: We left our Q4 GDP tracking estimate unchanged

Retail 260
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The Ideal Welcome Email Sequence

Wealth Management

A three-step process that delivers enough value without being over-the-top.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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2025 IRS Contribution Limits For IRAs, 401(k)s & Tax Brackets

Darrow Wealth Management

The IRS released the 2025 401(k), 403(b), and SEP IRA contribution limits, including a new special catch-up contribution for workers age 60 to 63. The IRA and Roth IRA contribution limits are unchanged but income eligibility for tax-deductible IRA contributions and Roth IRA contributions have changed. Also updated: health savings accounts, flexible spending accounts, estate and gifting limits, qualified charitable distributions and other cost-of-living adjustments.

Taxes 93
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Stocks that are currently trading in the oversold zone with RSI less than 30

Trade Brains

The Nifty 50 index has experienced a significant correction, falling from a high of 26,277 to a low of 24,400, representing a decline of approximately 7.14%. This sharp pullback has led to broader market volatility, but it has also created opportunities for investors. Many fundamentally strong Nifty 50 stocks are now trading at attractive valuations, For long-term investors, this dip could provide a chance to accumulate quality stocks at lower prices, particularly those with strong financials, s

Banking 98
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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.2% year-over-year in August

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.2% year-over-year in August • Fannie and Freddie: Single Family and Multi-Family Serious Delinquency Rates Increased in September • Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak • Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in September; Up 3.6% Year-over-year • Lawler: Mortgage Rates Have Surged Since the Federal Reserve Cut Interest Rates Last Month • A P

Marketing 264
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Why Younger Investors Are Embracing Private Markets

Wealth Management

Private markets are where the public markets were 30 years ago when investment choices were abundant and information sporadic.

Marketing 286
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.