Sat.May 25, 2024 - Fri.May 31, 2024

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 5.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 24, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Sales 328
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The Kids Are Alright—But Are They Right for the Family Business?

Wealth Management

Understanding the outsized influence of Gen Z.

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Wednesday links: evolving living standards

Abnormal Returns

Nvidia It's hard to overstate just how big a rally Nvidia ($NVDA) has seen. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Then again, few large companies have grown this fast. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) AI A look at the AI tech stacks for various players in the industry. (stratechery.com) Why Zuck and Meta ($META) have embraced an open AI standard. (nytimes.com) AI spending is going to grow as more countries jump into the game.

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Why “Deferred Sales Trusts” Can Be A Risky Way To Defer Taxes On A Business Sale

Nerd's Eye View

Small business owners often treat their businesses not only as their source of income during their working years, but also as an asset that can be sold to fund their retirement. And while many businesses can build up substantial value over the years, the downside is that, when that value is realized upon the sale of the business, a large amount of it is treated as taxable income.

Sales 246
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 5.6% YoY in April

Calculated Risk

Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through April 2024. CPI Shelter was up 5.5% year-over-year in April, down from 5.6% in March, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 5.6% YoY in April , down from 5.8% in March, and down from the cycle peak of 8.3% in April 2023.

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$1B Former First Republic Team Joins Citizens From JPMorgan

Wealth Management

A Boston advisory team with $1 billion in assets is joining Citizens, the latest of a number of former First Republic advisors and teams to leave JP Morgan.

Numbers 296

More Trending

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How Advisory Firm Owners Can Overcome The Marketing “Capacity Crossroads” And Options For Continuing (Sustainable) Growth

Nerd's Eye View

The first few years of building an advisory firm from scratch are typically the most demanding for solo advisors since this often means putting oneself 'out there' as much as possible – working through lead generation services, trying to network with Centers Of Influence (COIs) and the community at large, and battling through all of the "no" s needed to get a "yes" (and therefore a client).

Marketing 245
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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 219,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending May 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 219,000 , an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 215,000 to 216,000. The 4-week moving average was 222,500, an increase of 2,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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Missouri Regulators Send Warning Letter to Advisors Using Data Aggregation Tech

Wealth Management

After Washington, Missouri is the second known state to send warning letters to advisors over the use of wealthtech tools that can access data in client retirement and banking accounts.

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Research links: social phenomena

Abnormal Returns

Research Average performance can obscure some bad outcomes. (portfoliocharts.com) No matter where you look, momentum shows up. (alphaarchitect.com) Why don't more investors use equal-weighted indices? (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) How LLMs can be used to do security analysis. (papers.ssrn.com) Hedge funds outperform when markets are expensive. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) How fund flows can cause an unsustainable feedback loop.

Marketing 285
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (June 1-2)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the Financial Planning Association and Money.com are planning to publish a “Best Financial Advisors” list based on advisors’ education, credentials, and experience, as well as harder-to-quantify areas such as trust factors and client communication.

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FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased in Q1 2024

Calculated Risk

The FDIC released the Quarterly Banking Profile for Q1 2024: Reports from 4,568 commercial banks and savings institutions insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) report aggregate net income of $64.2 billion in first quarter 2024, an increase of $28.4 billion (79.5 percent) from the prior quarter. A large decline in noninterest expense because of several substantial, non-recurring items recognized by large banks in the prior quarter, as well as higher noninterest income and lo

Numbers 312
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Goldman Sachs Plans to Court RIAs with Alternative Investments, Customization

Wealth Management

“We see the broad RIA community as a very attractive client base for Goldman Sachs,” according to President and COO John E. Waldron.

Planning 295
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Friday links: a teacher like no other

Abnormal Returns

Markets There is still more than $6 trillion in money market funds. (apolloacademy.com) Is Japan's stock market finally ready for prime time? (on.ft.com) Strategy We should judge systems by their outcomes, not by their aims. (anildash.com) Good investing advice is timeless. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Finance Private equity is not recycling capital very quickly.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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MiB: Jeffrey Sherman, DoubleLine Deputy CIO

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Jeffrey Sherman , deputy chief investment officer at DoubleLine Capital. Sherman oversees and administers DoubleLine’s investment management subcommittee; serves as lead portfolio manager for multisector and derivative-based strategies; and is a member of the firm’s executive management and fixed-income asset allocation committees.

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Comments on March House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Increased 0.1% in March

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.5% year-over-year in March; FHFA: House Prices Increased 0.1% in March, up 6.6% YoY Excerpt: S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for March ("March" is a 3-month average of January, February and March closing prices). March closing prices include some contracts signed in November, so there is a significant lag to this data.

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LPL Grabs Another Team from Osaic

Wealth Management

FSI Wealth Management, a San Diego, Calif.-based team with $215 million in assets, is joining LPL from Securities America, in the wake of Osaic's integration and rebranding efforts.

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Thursday links: aggressive diversification

Abnormal Returns

Markets Trading in Nvidia ($NVDA) shares dwarf other large companies. (sherwood.news) The 0DTE market just keeps growing. (ft.com) Strategy How much to allocate to private equity, if you must. (morningstar.com) Pay less attention to your investments. (timharford.com) Crypto Gemini customers are finally going to start getting their money back. (cnbc.com) Signs that a Mt.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • Realtors Are in Crisis—and Home Buyers Could Be the Winners : A wave of lawsuits over fees paid to agents has put the giant trade association on the defense; ‘it got arrogant’ ( Wall Street Journal ) see also Powerful Realtor Group Agrees to Slash Commissions to Settle Lawsuits : The National Association of Realtors will pay $418 million in damages and will amend several rules that housing experts say wil

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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.5% YoY; Most Homes For Sale Since July 2020

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For April, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 30.4% YoY, but still down almost 36% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 36.5% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

Sales 299
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MAI’s Parent Galway Launches Sports and Entertainment Platform

Wealth Management

GalwayPlus will be an “ecosystem” that links together businesses across Galway Holdings to better serve sports and entertainment clients.

Clients 288
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Mentions Sam Ro's favorite free finance newsletters. (tker.co) The 18 best investing blogs of 2024. (thecollegeinvestor.com) Top clicks this week The 18 best investing blogs of 2024. (thecollegeinvestor.com) 11 investing principles from Bill Miller including how to avoid value traps. (investmenttalk.co) Sam Ro's favorite free finance newsletters. (tker.co) Why don't more people engage in probabilistic thinking?

Investing 277
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Quality, Factor Momentum, and the Cross-Section of Returns

Alpha Architect

There is strong empirical evidence demonstrating that momentum (both cross-sectional and time-series) provides information on the cross-section of returns of many risk assets and has generated alpha relative to existing asset pricing models. Ma, Yang, and Ye’s findings provide another test of both robustness and pervasiveness, increasing our confidence that the findings of momentum in asset prices are not a result of data mining.

Assets 143
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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Decrease to 634,000 Annual Rate in April

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • New Home Sales Decrease to 634,000 Annual Rate in April • NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.14 million SAAR in April • Watch Months-of-Supply! • Single Family Built-for-Rent Up 20% Year-over-year in Q1 • 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in April; California Home Sales Up 4.4% YoY in April This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

Sales 286
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The Estate Tech Revolution Is Picking Up Speed

Wealth Management

Vanilla and Wealth.com are among the early frontrunners, but the field of contenders is increasingly crowded—and diverse.

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Saturday links: cultivating purpose

Abnormal Returns

Autos How thieves exploit loopholes to steal keyless cars. (fastcompany.com) This police department has gone electric with Tesla ($TSLA) Model Ys. (thecooldown.com) Your next Airbnb may have a charging station. (fastcompany.com) Used cars The safest used cars for teenagers. (axios.com) How to not get screwed buying a used car. (kottke.org) Roads Congestion pricing is coming to Manhattan.

Food 269
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Stock Market & Home Ownership Rates

A Wealth of Common Sense

It’s estimated just 1% to 3% of American households owned stocks heading into the Great Depression. Few people made enough money to save and invest back then plus it was difficult to access the market for regular people — no 401ks, IRAs, online brokers, robo-adviors, index funds, ETFs, Robinhood, etc. By the early-1980s stock ownership was more like 1 in 5 households.

Marketing 139
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Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly Brief excerpt: Single-family serious delinquencies decreased in April, and multi-family serious delinquencies increased slightly. Freddie Mac reports that the multi-family delinquencies rate increased to 0.35% in April, up from 0.34% in March, and down from 0.44% in January.

Marketing 280
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More Fiduciary Rule Critics Sue In Texas Federal Court

Wealth Management

The American Council of Life Insurers, the Insured Retirement Institute and Finseca are among the plaintiffs in the newest suit against the Labor Department’s rule. This is the second suit filed against the rule in Texas this month.

Insurance 287
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Sunday links: pausing and reflecting

Abnormal Returns

Markets Consumer discretionary stocks have been underperforming for awhile now. (allstarcharts.com) Every big market trend eventually hits an 'air pocket.' (downtownjoshbrown.com) Strategy The economy is not the stock market, and vice versa. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why you should pay attention to your emotions when investing. (wsj.com) Some words of wisdom from Ed Borgato.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.