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Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by State Street On today’s show we discuss: How sectors perform in different business cycles The wide dispersion of returns in sectors Thematic opportunities Sectors in a changing world How many stocks underperform their sectors Listen here: Charts Contact us at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, recommendations, or questions.
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Stocks have gained 55% since the March lows, meaning it would take a 35% decline from here to revisit those levels. Will investors ever get another chance to swing the bat at Dow 18k? Let's look at some historical data for some clues. The chart below shows all the bear markets going back to the Great Depression. I placed red circles where a 20% or more decline marked a bottom, and indicated with the thumbs down when it didn't.
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