Sat.Aug 12, 2023 - Fri.Aug 18, 2023

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Are Fixed Indexed Annuities More Efficient Than Bonds?

Advisor Perspectives

When adjusting for more realistic assumptions and considering the fact that the insurance company can change return caps and that inflation is both an unknown and deep risk, an FIA, along with most annuities, is not on the efficient frontier in either accumulation or decumulation phases.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 19-20)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent study has found that consumers are increasingly likely to spread their portfolios across a range of asset managers, and that this trend is particularly pronounced amongst more affluent clients (e.g., millionaires), suggesting that advisors who believe they hold "everything" their clients have may actually have less than they realize.

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Thursday links: the laws of physics

Abnormal Returns

Rates Mortgage rates are at levels not seen since 2001. (axios.com) Global government bond yields are at 15-year highs. (finance.yahoo.com) Markets Valuations don't matter in the short term. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Forecasting is hard, the GMO edition. (ft.com) Companies Verily is setting the stage for a spinoff from Alphabet ($GOOGL). (theinformation.com) The city of San Francisco is struggling.

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Businessweek: Five Ways the Fed’s Deflation Playbook Could Be Improved

The Big Picture

I have a new column out in Businessweek , just in time for the Federal Reserve meeting in Jackson Hole. It is a congratulatory open letter to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the rest of the Fed on beating inflation: Dear Jay, Mazel tov! You beat inflation and avoided a recession. Revel in the sweet taste of victory as you fly-fish with other central bankers at the annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Stop asking random people stupid questions

The Reformed Broker

Barry’s new piece for Bloomberg is really good. I had a good laugh at this section: Inflation Expectations Surveys Are Useless The world is more complex, random and global than ever before. Multiplying unknowns have made economic forecasting even more difficult. But for hilariously wrong predictions, nothing beats surveying random people about where they think inflation will be in five years.

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More Trending

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Personal finance links: making big decisions

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Morgan Housel on how fragile the world can be. (open.spotify.com) Annie Duke talks decision making with Steven Pinker. (alliancefordecisioneducation.org) Joe Wiggins and Paul Richards talk about how regret affects our decision making. (podcasts.apple.com) Housing How to save for the biggest purchase in your life: a house. (ofdollarsanddata.com) Don't underestimate the upfront costs of buying a house.

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Nobody Knows Anything, Calvin & Hobbes edition

The Big Picture

Previously : Nobody Knows Nuthin’ (May 5, 2016) Can Anyone Catch Nokia? (October 26, 2022) Why the Apple Store Will Fail (May 20, 2021) “No matter how you cut it, you’ve got to own Cisco” -2000 (May 15, 2023) Nobody Knows Anything, 2023 First Half Edition (June 30, 2023) Nobody Knows Anything (Collection) The post Nobody Knows Anything, Calvin & Hobbes edition appeared first on The Big Picture.

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The Year Everyone Got Wrong

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Eric Balchunas, Jeremy Schwartz, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss the magnificent seven, the bond market, defined outcome ETFs, inflation, the spot bitcoin ETF saga, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

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Motivational Interviewing Techniques To Help Clients Talk Themselves Into Implementing Advice

Nerd's Eye View

Financial advisors create value for clients not only by giving good advice, but also by ensuring that the advice they give is actually implemented. After all, financial planning is worth a lot more to clients when they act on the advisor's recommendations (and realize the projected outcomes), in contrast to the advisor simply handing clients "The Plan" that is never actually implemented.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week The equity risk premium in the U.S. keeps falling. (economist.com) Five common personal finance lessons that are wrong. (genyplanning.com) Why are market cap weighted indices hard to beat for managers? (behaviouralinvestment.com) When do dividend-focused strategies outperform? (morningstar.com) Every investment strategy has multiple 'points of failure.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • How bonds ate the entire financial system : A very short, very wild history of the market that will shape the next financial crisis. ( Financial Times ) • The demonisation of BlackRock’s Larry Fink : All he wanted to do was save the planet while making his firm a fortune.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Apple, 3M & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Moving On From Clients Who Aren’t A Fit By Establishing ‘Kill Criteria’ To Protect Yourself

Nerd's Eye View

When a financial advisor first opens their own firm, they often start with few (or no) clients and little revenue. And while they might have an ideal target client in mind, it can be tempting to bring on any client who can pay the advisor’s fee so that the advisor can simply ‘keep the lights on’ But as the firm grows, these initial clients might not generate as much revenue as the firm’s newer clients, perhaps because they were grandfathered into a lower annual fee schedu

Clients 245
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Adviser links: financial compassion

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Michael Kitces talks with Lori Van Dusen, who is the CEO of LVW Advisors, about working with UHNW families. (kitces.com) Brendan Frazier talks about how to send a great prospect follow-up e-mail. (wiredplanning.com) Dan Haylett talks funded contentment with Brian Portnoy of Shaping Wealth. (humansvsretirement.com) Corey Hoffstein talks with Martin Tarlie, a Portfolio Manager at GMO, about bridging the gap between financial planning and portfolio management.

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MiB: Ted Seides, Capital Allocators

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with asset management expert Ted Seides , founder of Capital Allocators. His most recent book is “ Capital Allocators: How the world’s elite money managers lead and invest ;” he is also the host of the popular “ Capital Allocators” podcast , which reached 16 million downloads in June. Seides is a CFA charterholder and has an MBA from Harvard Business School.

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“Big Short” Investor Bets on a Crash

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►Retail Earnings – Consumers are still spending. ►Stock Picker’s Delight – Sector correlation and valuation disparities are providing value opportunities.

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Moving On From Clients Who Aren’t A Fit By Establishing Criteria To Protect Yourself

Nerd's Eye View

When a financial advisor first opens their own firm, they often start with few (or no) clients and little revenue. And while they might have an ideal target client in mind, it can be tempting to bring on any client who can pay the advisor’s fee so that the advisor can simply ‘keep the lights on’ But as the firm grows, these initial clients might not generate as much revenue as the firm’s newer clients, perhaps because they were grandfathered into a lower annual fee schedu

Clients 130
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Friday links: investing fashions

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Even if you have the news, doesn't mean you can predict the market's reaction. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Don't confuse cash and bonds. (monevator.com) Startups Instacart could go public as early as next month. (finance.yahoo.com) SpaceX now reportedly running around breakeven. (wsj.com) Streaming Cable and broadcast are now less than 50% of viewing.

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Pix vs. Flix

The Big Picture

There is a particular type of analysis I keep seeing that can mislead investors. It’s an important, single data point, but one that is lacking in context. This seems to be an oversimplification that many investors have as their default setting. It’s like a bad syllogism : Observe a Single Data Point; Reach a broad conclusion about it; Express this in a trade or investment idea The problem with any single data point is that the real world is complicated, messy, and filled with randomness an

Economics 130
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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

China’s stimulus actions are not enough, says Ritholtz Wealth’s Josh Brown from CNBC Bank of America downgrades Valero and four other refiners from CNBC Final Trades: Fortinet & Marriot from CNBC

Banking 130
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Bitcoin Historical Annual Returns (10 Years, 5 Years, 3 Years, 1 Year)

Good Financial Cents

From its humble beginnings in 2008 to today, Bitcoin’s history has been relatively short but very eventful. The original protocol for this popular digital currency was created in 2008 by Satoshi Nakamoto , believed to be a pseudonym for an unknown developer or group of developers. Nakamoto launched the Bitcoin network just a year later and began mining the currency— an estimated 1 million bitcoins were mined in the early years.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Monday links: flaws and strengths

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Energy stocks have stopped going down. (allstarcharts.com) Don't fall in love with a stock. (financialducksinarow.com) Crypto How much Bitcoin would spot ETFs hold? (bloomberg.com) Coindesk has laid off editorial staff. (theblock.co) Finance The private credit business is booming. (axios.com) Small banks are less exposed to commercial real estate loans than commonly thought.

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You Probably Need Less Money Than You Think For Retirement

A Wealth of Common Sense

One of the biggest problems with money is our feelings about it are always relative. So many people assume once they hit a certain level of income or net worth that all of their problems will magically vanish. Unfortunately, what typically happens when you make and save more money is you begin comparing yourself to people who have more than you, instead of your previous levels of wealth.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Thanks so much for making it a huge week at TRB. We had Bob Elliott on TCAF this week, he was Ray Dalio’s head of research for fifteen years at Bridgewater, one of the most successful hedge funds of all time. We had a wild and wide-ranging episode of What Are Your Thoughts this week as well – we go live on YouTube Tuesdays at 5 and then put the audio version up on the podcast feed shortly after.

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RIA Roundup: Sequoia Financial Group to Add Special Needs Expertise with Affinia

Wealth Management

Sequoia Financial Group is adding a team specializing in special needs families, while Wealth Enhancement Group announced its 10th acquisition of the year, a CPA practice has returned to Cetera and Kestra onboarded $1.6 billion in the second quarter. Some top hires and custodian moves were also announced.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Tuesday links: the return to work

Abnormal Returns

Rates Rising bond yields continue to boost future returns. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Companies are not betting on lower rates any time soon. (ft.com) How higher interest rates are going to pinch corporate profits. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Finance Blackstone ($BX) is not backing away from the growth equity business. (bloomberg.com) Is there a structural imbalance in the secondary market for private equity fund stakes?

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How to Develop Superstars

Advisor Perspectives

How good are you at motivating your staff? Are they growing and learning? Are they consistently progressing?

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The $70 Trillion Wealth Transfer

A Wealth of Common Sense

Blair duQuesnay joined me again this week to tackle questions on paying off your adjustable-rate mortgage, the CFA vs. the CFP, how to tell if your financial plan is on track and the use of reverse mortgages in retirement. Further Reading: Will Baby Boomers Crash the Stock Market? The post The $70 Trillion Wealth Transfer appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense.

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