Sat.Sep 30, 2023 - Fri.Oct 06, 2023

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10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy

The Big Picture

We all love to use quotations in our arguments. It’s both an appeal to higher authority as well as social proof ( Hey! I’m not the only one who believes this stuff ). I find it useful occasionally to go back to first principles and reconsider the sources that have influenced my thinmking. Along those lines, here are in chronological order, the thinkers who have helped shape how I view the world view, including how I philosophically think about the economy, markets, and investing.

Investing 346
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Firms Not Offering Tax, Retirement Planning Are Getting it Wrong

Wealth Management

Advisors are overdelivering services such as health care, estate and business planning, while falling short in the areas their clients most desire.

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Vehicles Sales increase to 15.67 million SAAR in September; Up 15% YoY

Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for September: September U.S. Light-Vehicles Sales Bounce Back Despite Gloomy Conditions (pay site). Hard to say exactly how much but sales could have been slightly stronger in September if not for some lost inventory caused by production cuts related to plant shutdowns from UAW strikes at Ford, General Motors and Stellantis.

Sales 338
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Netflix's DVD-by-mail business is winding up. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Individual investors win by not competing with professionals. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why it is so hard to be a truly long term investor. (behaviouralinvestment.com) How long is too long when it comes to your bond allocation? (humbledollar.com) 5%+ T-bill yields are a welcome relief, but don't overdo it.

Assets 289
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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Is The Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean

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$109 Trillion Global Stock Market

The Big Picture

Source: Visual Capitalist Batnick also takes a swing at this: What’s the Stock Market Worth? The post $109 Trillion Global Stock Market appeared first on The Big Picture.

Marketing 334
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Daniel Crosby: Relationships Are Priceless, Finding True Connection Difficult

Wealth Management

Orion Advisor Solutions’ chief behavioral officer explains why advisors should employ “human-first” thinking in their practices at annual Nitrogen conference.

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Friday links: foolishly reckless

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Defining what you will invest in, versus what you will not invest in, is important. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why simplicity in investing can help reduce errors. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Apple Apple's ($AAPL) USB-C transition is going to be rocky. (macworld.com) A review of the Apple ($AAPL) iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max. (sixcolors.com) Vaccines How research into mRNA vaccinations very nearly didn't happen.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (October 7-8)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent survey found that clients across several countries who work with a CFP professional have better outcomes on a range of measures compared to those working with other advisors or no advisor at all, suggesting that the potential benefits of gaining CFP certification can accrue not only to the advisor themselves, but also to their clients.

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Snappy Kraken Unveils Nitrogen Lead Generation Campaign

Wealth Management

The new marketing campaign uses Nitrogen’s “Risk Numbers” to help advisors drive traffic to its “Risk Assessment Questionnaire” and capture leads.

Numbers 333
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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Apps Lowest Since 1995

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 6.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 29, 2023. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Numbers 336
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Personal finance links: a bad plan

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Sam Dogen talks fear with Farnoosh Torabi author of "A Healthy State of Panic: Follow Your Fears to Build Wealth, Crush Your Career, and Win at Life." (sites.libsyn.com) Dan Haylett talks with Hal Hershfield author of "Your Future Self: How to Make Tomorrow Better Today." (humansvsretirement.com) Jon Luskin talks with Steve Chen about DIY retirement planning tools.

Planning 278
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Historical S&P 500 Return Calculator

The Big Picture

I have been playing with Nick’s S&P 500 calculator , and it’s pretty damned, cool. He used data from Robert Shiller’s website and created his own interface going all the way back to 1871. (The default assumes your dividends are reinvested). You can see why RWM hired Nick as our Chief Data Scientist… The post Historical S&P 500 Return Calculator appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Nitrogen CEO Aaron Klein Looks To The Future

Wealth Management

"If you’re completely adverse to change, you may want to retire real soon.

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Trade Deficit decreased to $58.3 Billion in August

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported : The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $58.3 billion in August , down $6.4 billion from $64.7 billion in July, revised. August exports were $256.0 billion, $4.1 billion more than July exports. August imports were $314.3 billion, $2.3 billion less than July imports. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

Economics 321
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Monday links: enhancing remote work

Abnormal Returns

September 2023 How major asset classes performed in September 2023. (capitalspectator.com) How factors have performed YTD. (insights.finominal.com) The S&P 500 dropped each week in September. (quantifiableedges.com) Rates JP Morgan Chase ($JPM) is going hard for HNW deposits. (wsj.com) 5%+ yields make financial advice a tougher sell. (bloomberg.com) Crypto There is no love lost between the crypto industry and SBF.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 122: Helping Clients Make Decisions That DON’T Make (Financial) Sense

Nerd's Eye View

For many financial advisors, financial planning advice traditionally focuses on optimization: tax-efficient, continually rebalanced portfolios are often designed to maximize a client's wealth throughout retirement. Such optimization can serve as the backbone of an advisor's value proposition, providing a bottom-line analysis that communicates why those (not insubstantial) fees are worthwhile at the end of the day.

Clients 246
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Focused on the Future: Luis Rosa on Leading with Planning, Authenticity and Specialty

Wealth Management

Luis Rosa, founder of Build a Better Financial Future discusses the importance of authenticity in your approach and your business model.

Planning 328
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Housing October 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down 4.7% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.3% week-over-week. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of September 29th, inventory was at 535 thousand (7-day average), compared to 528 thousand the prior week. Year-to-date, inventory is up 9.0%. And inventory is up 31.9% from the seasonal bottom 24 weeks ago.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Podcast links: audiobook ambitions

Abnormal Returns

The biz Spotify ($SPOT) has big audiobook ambitions. (nytimes.com) Amazon ($AMZN) is shuttering its Amp audio app. (theverge.com) On the layoffs at Pushkin Industries. (nypost.com) Business Derek Thompson talks with Matthew Ball and Julia Alexander about the state of Disney ($DIS) today. (theringer.com) Roben Farzad talks with Angela Romero and Matthew Boyle about MBA grads buying companies.

Assets 264
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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

People often talk about "the economy" as a single entity whose parts move in unison, with a small number of key indicators (such as GDP, the unemployment rate, and inflation) moving reliably in relation to each other. In reality, though, the economy is a complex web of interdependent factors where events often make sense only in hindsight – and sometimes, not at all.

Valuation 246
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Growth, Growth Baby!

Wealth Management

Nitrogen’s annual Fearless Investing Conference was a clarion call to advisors for navigating waves of change, with a curated agenda laser-focused on growth through adaptation, agility and optimism.

Investing 328
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Comments on September Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the September employment report was well above expectations, and employment for the previous two months was revised up by 119,000, combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio were both unchanged, and the unemployment rate was also unchanged at 3.8%. Leisure and hospitality gained 96 thousand jobs in September.

Numbers 312
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Wednesday links: post-peak TV

Abnormal Returns

Markets The stock market is coming to terms with higher interest rates (for longer). (awealthofcommonsense.com) Japan's stock market has some catalysts working in its favor. (wsj.com) Why Treasury securities are different. (ft.com) ETFs State Street Global ($STT) is expanding the number of ETFs that engage in securities lending. (etf.com) The number of fixed income ETFs is on the rise.

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#FA Success Ep 353: Driving Growth By Setting A Clear Vision Of What You Do Best In Your Business(es), With Brett Danko

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 353rd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Brett Danko. Brett is the Founder of Brett Danko Educational Center, a CFP Board Education and Exam Prep provider, and the CEO and Managing Partner for Main Street Financial Solutions, an independent RIA based in Newtown, Pennsylvania, that oversees almost $2 billion in assets under management for nearly 1,700 client households.

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The Word on WealthTech for October 2023

Wealth Management

F2 Strategy's co-founder and CEO provides his take on the most important wealthtech news of the last month.

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Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased 1.0% in September; Down 3.9% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices See Minimal Increase in August Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) increased 1.0% in September from August. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) rose to 214.3, down 3.9% from a year ago. “September auction sales bolstered prices through the channel,” said Chris Frey, senior manager of Economic and Industry Insights for Cox Automotive.

Retail 302
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Longform links: when hobbies become side hustles

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from "Right Kind of Wrong: The Science of Failing Well" by Amy Edmondson. (behavioralscientist.org) An excerpt from "Eve: How the Female Body Drove 200 Million Years of Human Evolution" by Cat Bohannon. (theatlantic.com) An excerpt from "The Cost of Free Land: Jews, Lakota and an American Inheritance" by Rebecca Clarren. (politico.com) Academic fraud Behavioral science has a credibility problem.

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (October 2023)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the October 2023 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that custodial platform Altruist is eliminating the $1 per account monthly fee for its portfolio management and reporting technology for advisors on its platform, which on the one hand suggests that the e

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What to Do When a Client Experiences a Windfall

Wealth Management

Here are some best practices to help your client manage their newfound wealth responsibly.

Clients 317
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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.6% YoY; New Listings Down 1.2% YoY

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report from Hannah Jones: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Sep 30, 2023 • Active inventory declined, with for-sale homes lagging behind year ago levels by 2.6%. During the past week, we observed the 15th successive weekly drop in the number of homes available for sale relative to the previous year.

Sales 298
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.