Sat.Sep 23, 2023 - Fri.Sep 29, 2023

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24 Things I Believe About Investing

A Wealth of Common Sense

Here are some things I believe about investing. 1. I believe simple beats complex. The problem is simple is much harder to implement because complex will always sound more intelligent and appealing. 2. I believe the timing of buy or sell decisions matters less than your holding period. Picking tops and bottoms is for the lucky and the liars. Patiently holding onto your investments is more important for most investors than.

Investing 137
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The Least Bad Choice

The Big Picture

I have been watching various sentiment polls and Right/Wrong Track questionnaires with detached bemusement. Bemused because they are so silly, and detached because I know I can’t change human nature. What I can do is share a few modest insights; hopefully, these will allow you to gain a fresh perspective you might not have otherwise considered or perhaps even garner a better understanding of what is happening right here and now.

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Personal finance links: agency and power

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk with Morgan Housel about how to think about money. (podcasts.apple.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Michael Santoli about the state of the stock market and economy. (morningstar.com) Home ownership House ownership isn't for everyone. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why you should keep track of the tax basis of your house.

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Navigating The Double Consolidation Process To Help Parent PLUS Student Loan Borrowers Reduce Loan Burden

Nerd's Eye View

When it comes to advising clients on student loan issues, many financial advisors might first think about recent graduates seeking advice regarding the most effective way to pay down their balances. However, the number of Federal student loan borrowers over the age of 50 has increased significantly in the past 20 years, with many of these borrowers holding Parent PLUS loans that were used to help fund their children's undergraduate education.

Education 244
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

We did an astonishing amount of new content this week after being gone last week at the Future Proof event. Getting back in the saddle felt good, especially considering the amazing guests we had. Below is a link to the live stream we did with Zeke Faux, whose new book “Number Go Up” is packed with wild and hilarious stories about rise and fall of the crypto bubble.

Numbers 189

More Trending

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Tuesday links: dislocated from reality

Abnormal Returns

Alternatives Private market access funds are all the rage. (morningstar.com) Alternative assets are not all that alternative. (integratinginvestor.com) Will music royalties turn out to be a worthy investment? (wired.com) Asset allocation How various asset classes performed during a recession. (morningstar.com) Achieving these three portfolio goals simultaneously is tough.

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50th Anniversary Of The CFP Marks: The Journey, Current State Of CFP Board, And Growing The Financial Planning Profession

Nerd's Eye View

In the mid-20th century, the first phone call for a person who needed guidance on saving or planning for retirement was likely to be to a stockbroker or a mutual fund or insurance salesperson. But while some of these salespeople may have certainly been able to provide sound advice, there was really no way at that time for a consumer to know which among the many brokers and agents out there were actually capable of giving true and sound advice that would help them reach their goals.

CFP 241
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Here Comes the Shutdown

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: â–ºThe ‘flation – 75% probability of a shutdown. â–ºRisks to the Economy – “A year of surprisingly strong growth is about to be tested by a strike, the possibility of a government shutdown, student loans.

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Where’s Everyone Going?

The Big Picture

Mapped: The Migration of the World’s Millionaires in 2023 Source: Visual Capitalist The post Where’s Everyone Going? appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Monday links: doing nothing

Abnormal Returns

Cash Advisers are seeing more clients interested in cash. (etf.com) Higher yields are going to be a headwind for risky asset classes. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Finance Zero-day options make up 50% of the S&P 500 options volume. (ft.com) Betterment is closing two of its crypto strategies. (citywire.com) Companies Amazon ($AMZN) just made a big investment in AI startup Anthropic.

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#FA Success Ep 352: Finding Personal Scale By Leveraging Yourself Through Outsourced Delegation, With Bridget Venus Grimes

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 352nd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Bridget Venus Grimes. Bridget is the President of WealthChoice, a virtual independent RIA that oversees nearly $80 million in assets under management for 68 client families, and Co-Founder of Equita Financial Network, an advisor platform that helps advisors plug in and share resources.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

The NFL is not spending enough time developing leadership: Former NFL GM Michael Lombardi from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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MiB: Armen Panossian, Oaktree Capital Management

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Armen Panossian , managing director and head of performing credit at Oaktree Capital Management , which has $179 billion in assets under management. He oversees the firm’s liquid and private credit strategies, and also serves as a portfolio manager within Oaktree’s global private debt and global credit strategies. He previously worked for Pequot Capital Management, where he worked on distressed debt strategy.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week How Morgan Housel invests his portfolio. (etf.com) The hardest thing about being an investor is deciding what to focus on. (behaviouralinvestment.com) Why selling a stock is harder than buying. (flyoverstocks.com) Bond investors are being given an opportunity to lock in 2% real yields. (capitalspectator.com) The credit markets are very different than they were in 2009.

Math 276
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (September 30-October 1)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that RIA custodial platform Altruist announced that it is offering its portfolio accounting software for free to advisors who custody with the firm, offering the opportunity to advisory firms to reduce the costs of their tech stacks and perhaps presaging competition among custodians to offer more software capabilities for their advisory firm clients!

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Is Amazon a Monopoly?

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Perth Tolle, Gunjan Banerji, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss Amazon’s antitrust issues, a coming secular rotation in equities, investing in emerging markets and China, meme stocks are back, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

Investing 152
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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My mid-week morning train reads: • 24 Things I Believe About Investing : Simple beats complex, timing matters less than your holding period, and a good strategy you can stick with is vastly superior to a great one you can’t. ( A Wealth of Common Sense ) • Even a Booming Economy Can’t Save Atlanta’s Office Market : Sunbelt city offers warning to others hoping to fill up office towers. ( Wall Street Journal ) • Private Equity’s Slow Carnage Unleashes a Wave of Zombies : A historic shakeup is thre

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Longform links: remembering sentences

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from "Optimal Illusions: The False Promise of Optimization" by Coco Krumme. (engadget.com) An excerpt from Michael Wolff's new book, "The Fall: The End of Fox News and the Murdoch Dynasty." (theankler.com) A Q&A with Taylor Lorenz author of "Extremely Online: The Untold Story of Fame, Influence, and Power on the Internet." (vox.com) Health Is the 'war on cancer' a failure?

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Where the Housing Bubbles Are

A Wealth of Common Sense

Jeremy Grantham was on The Compound and Friends with Michael and Josh last week talking bubbles. [link] says real estate is a global bubble and prices should fall 30% or so. I partially agree and partially disagree with Grantham here. I continue to believe the U.S. housing market is not in a bubble. Is the housing market broken in many way.

Marketing 133
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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

Stocks stage late-day comeback amid September slump from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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More Firms to Pay $79M To Settle SEC Off-Channel Communication Charges

Wealth Management

The firms, ranging from broker/dealers and dual registrants to affiliated investment advisors, include Interactive Brokers, Nuveen Securities and Baird, among others, and are similar to 2022 charges against Wall Street firms resulting in $1.1 billion in collective penalties.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Podcast links: making meetings better

Abnormal Returns

The biz Google ($GOOGL) is sunsetting Google Podcasts in favor of YouTube Music. (techcrunch.com) Apple ($AAPL) Podcasts now pulls in more content from associated apps. (theverge.com) Spotify ($SPOT) wants to translate podcasts into different languages using the host's voice. (theverge.com) A profile of the guys behind the popular ‘Tooth and Claw’ podcast.

Economy 272
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New Research Helps Explain the Underperformance of Active Managers

Advisor Perspectives

By applying artificial intelligence and Chat GPT to statements made by active fund managers, researchers have found that their underperformance can be partly explained by overconfidence that led to, among other things, excessive risk taking.

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Personal Income increased 0.4% in August; Spending increased 0.4%

Calculated Risk

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for August: Personal income increased $87.6 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in August , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI), personal income less personal current taxes, increased $46.6 billion (0.2 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $83.6 billion (0.4 percent).

Food 127
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As Family Offices Become More Sophisticated, So Do Their Compensation Plans

Wealth Management

Family offices are relying more on salary increases and incentive compensation to compete for talent, according to a new survey by Morgan Stanley’s Single Family Office Advisory group.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Sunday links: telling better stories

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Individual investors win by not competing with professionals. (awealthofcommonsense.com) How long is too long when it comes to your bond allocation? (humbledollar.com) Your view of the markets often depends on your time horizon. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) 5%+ T-bill yields are a welcome relief, but don't overdo it. (disciplinefunds.com) Crypto What Ric Edelman sees for the spot Bitcoin ETF space.

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ESG Preferences Negatively Affecting Market Efficiency

Alpha Architect

While ESG investors can express their values through their investments, they should expect lower returns from their portfolios—though they also will be taking less investment risk. ESG Preferences Negatively Affecting Market Efficiency was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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Update on Four High Frequency Indicators

Calculated Risk

I stopped the weekly updates of high frequency indicators at the end of 2022. Here is a late September look at four indicators: -- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration -- The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data is as of September 24th. Click on graph for larger image. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue), 2022 (Orange) and 2023 (Red).