Sat.Dec 16, 2023 - Fri.Dec 22, 2023

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Win and Retain the Wealthiest Families: The ‘Whole Client Approach’

Wealth Management

This approach allows an advisor to focus on what matters most to each client, adding more value to their services and growing client relationships.

Clients 272
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PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.7% YoY in November

Calculated Risk

Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through November 2023. CPI Shelter was up 6.5% year-over-year in November, down from 6.7% in October, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 6.7% YoY in November , down from 6.9% in October, and down from the cycle peak of 8.3% in April 2023.

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At the Money: Seasonality In Stocks

The Big Picture

 At the Money: Seasonality In Stocks with Jeff Hirsch of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. (Dec 20, 2023) How do historical patterns and seasonality affect equities? Can these patterns successfully inform future investments? In this episode, I speak with Jeff Hirsch of the Stock Trader’s Almanac to discuss seasonal patterns in equities. He’s devoted much of his career to the study of historical patterns and market seasonality in conjunction with fundamental and technical analysis.

Numbers 322
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Thursday links: unbearable uncertainty

Abnormal Returns

Markets Small cap stocks still look cheap relative to large caps. (morningstar.com) What do you get when you combine momentum and quality? (downtownjoshbrown.com) Finance Citigroup ($C) is now getting out of the distressed debt trading business. (finance.yahoo.com) Banks are clawing to hold onto a chunk of the leveraged lending market. (bloomberg.com) Sweden's stock market may cut back their trading hours.

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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Is The Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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The Top ETFs of 2023

Wealth Management

The top performing ETF from each sector in the past year.

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NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.82 million SAAR in November; Months-of-Supply Close to 2019 Levels

Calculated Risk

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.82 million SAAR in November Excerpt: Sales Year-over-Year and Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) The fourth graph shows existing home sales by month for 2022 and 2023. Sales declined 7.3% year-over-year compared to November 2022. This was the twenty-seventh consecutive month with sales down year-over-year.

Sales 295

More Trending

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Research links: persistent investment factors

Abnormal Returns

Factors Timing returns factors is tempting, but difficult in practice. (alphaarchitect.com) The high quality anomaly shows up across asset classes. (advisorperspectives.com) A history of quant investing and the state of the factor zoo. (on.ft.com) Corporate finance Stock-based compensation makes a big difference for company valuations. (tdmgrowthpartners.com) Profit margins are high, debt refinancings are coming.

Investing 289
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Alternatives Options Will Get More Complex in 2024

Wealth Management

As alternative investment options move beyond interval funds and ETFs in the coming year, advisors will need to grapple with whether to use them.

Investing 303
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New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November; Average New Home Price is Down 14% from the Peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 590 thousand. The previous three months were revised down. The next graph shows new home sales for 2022 and 2023 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

Sales 290
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2023 Highlights – The Top 22 Nerd’s Eye View Blog Posts You Might Have Missed

Nerd's Eye View

As 2023 comes to a close, I am once again so thankful to all of you, the ever-growing number of readers who continue to regularly visit this Nerd's Eye View Blog (and share the content with your friends and colleagues, which we greatly appreciate!). We recognize (and appreciate!) that this blog – its articles and podcasts – is a regular habit for tens of thousands of advisors, but that not everyone has the time or opportunity to read every blog post or listen to every podcast that is

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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Friday links: doing hard things

Abnormal Returns

Markets Just how bad was the 2022-23 bond drawdown? This bad. (ft.com) Why you should look at returns from 2022-23 as a whole. (priceactionlab.com) Streaming Lionsgate ($LGF.A) is splitting Starz from its studio business. (axios.com) What would a Warner Bros. Discovery ($WBD) and Paramount ($PARA) merger mean for consumers? (theverge.com) Seven lessons learned from Netflix's ($NFLX) viewership data, including the staying power of 'Gilmore Girls.

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Advisor Faces 30 Years in Prison For Defrauding Retiree

Wealth Management

Eddy Blizzard, a former advisor with Suntrust and M&T Securities, pleaded guilty to stealing more than $1 million from an elderly client.

Clients 301
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Housing December 18th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.4% Week-over-week, Up 3.0% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was down 1.4% week-over-week and is now up 3.0% year-over-year. Inventory will likely decrease seasonally until the Spring. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of December 15th, inventory was at 539 thousand (7-day average), compared to 546 thousand the prior week.

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Implementation Questions To Properly Prioritize And Address To-Dos For Consistent Follow-Through

Nerd's Eye View

After a financial advisor and their client have agreed on a financial plan, there are usually a lot of good feelings going around. The causes of the client's worries have been identified, there's agreement on the steps that will get the client to where they want to be, and all that's left is to take action to implement the plan. But while it seems like the momentum of the earlier steps of the planning process should carry through into the implementation stage, all too often, the opposite occurs:

Clients 246
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Personal finance links: closing out the year

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Dave Nadig about the differences between mutual funds and ETFs. (ritholtz.com) Preet Bharara talks with Morgan Housel author of "Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes." (cafe.com) Jim Dahle talks charitable giving with Adam Nash, CEO and co-founder of Daffy. (whitecoatinvestor.com) Khe Hy talks with Joe Hudson about why we worry about money.

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In 2024, AI To Bring Small Improvements—and Bigger Threats

Wealth Management

What does the history of John Deere, a 185-year-old agricultural company, have to tell us about the state of AI in advisor technology?

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AIA: "Architecture firm billings continue to decline in November"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 16th Consecutive Month

Calculated Risk

Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: ABI November 2023: Business conditions remain soft at architecture firms Business conditions remained soft at architecture firms in November, as the AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) remained below 50 with a score of 45.3 for the month (any score below 50 indicates declining billings).

Investing 274
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#FA Success Ep 364: Scaling Marketing To Sell A $2.2B Advisory Firm And Advising Advisors On The Lessons Learned From Selling, With Ted Jenkin

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 364th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Ted Jenkin. Ted is the founder of JTPD Partners, a consulting firm based in Atlanta, Georgia, that helps financial advisors gather offers, negotiate, and ultimately sell their advisory firms. What's unique about Ted, though, is how his journey to facilitate financial advisor mergers and acquisitions started from selling his own $2.2-billion AUM advisory firm that he spent more

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Adviser links: providing real advice

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Daniel Crosby talks wealth confidence with Anthony Damtsis who is Deputy Head of Behavioral Finance at TD Wealth. (standarddeviationspod.com) Thomas Kopelman talks planning for people planning to move outside the U.S. with Jack Thomas. (podcasts.apple.com) The biz What is the endgame for Betterment? (citywire.com) After some false starts, Apex Fintech, the clearing firm, filed for an IPO.

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ETF Sponsors Keep the Spigot Flowing in November: Part 2

Wealth Management

More than 50 new ETFs launched in November.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 205,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending December 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 205,000 , an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 202,000 to 203,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,000, a decrease of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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MiB: Michael Rockefeller, Woodline Partners

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Michael Rockefeller , Co-Chief Investment Officer and co-founder of Woodline Partners. The firm launched in 2019 with around $2 billion in initial assets, and became one of the fastest-growing emerging funds over the past few years. They now manage $7 billion in assets. The hedge fund implements a market-neutral equity strategy, focused on generating “idiosyncratic alpha” and “avoiding systemic risk factors.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Saturday links: hospitality and sophistication

Abnormal Returns

EVs The rising pedestrian death rate is due to a rise in nighttime deaths. (nytimes.com) The Tesla ($TSLA) Cybertruck is another step along the line of increasingly large, dangerous vehicles. (slate.com) Ford ($F) is cutting F-150 Lightning production. (arstechnica.com) Offshore wind Offshore wind, at scale, is more complex (and costly) than previously thought.

Math 278
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MSCI To Buy RIsk Analytics Provider Fabric

Wealth Management

The global provider of investment research and indices will use Fabric to further delivery of its tools through advisors.

Investing 294
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Single Family Starts Increase Sharply in November, Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction

Calculated Risk

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: Single Family Starts Increase Sharply in November, Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction Excerpt: The third graph shows the month-to-month comparison for total starts between 2022 (blue) and 2023 (red). Total starts were up 9.3% in November compared to November 2022. And starts year-to-date are down 9.9% compared to last year.

Numbers 267
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Transcript: Michael Rockefeller

The Big Picture

 You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , YouTube , and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. This is not an official transcript. 00:00:00 [Speaker Changed] This is Masters in business with Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg Radio. 00:00:07 [Barry Ritholtz] This week on the podcast I have an extra special guest.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Monday links: trying to keep their jobs

Abnormal Returns

Markets The VIX is at its lowest level since the onset of the pandemic. (axios.com) Junky stocks have benefited greatly from the recent rally. (ft.com) Here are some more signs of market strength. (allstarcharts.com) Strategy The best thing you could have done in 2023 was to stick to your plan. (awealthofcommonsense.com) It was hard to lose money in 2023, but here are five ways it may have happened.

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How Asset and Wealth Management Firms Can Survive in a New Era

Wealth Management

The industry is grappling with an unprecedented set of existential challenges.

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New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 590 thousand. The previous three months were revised down. Sales of new single‐family houses in November 2023 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 590,000 , according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Sales 255
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Staying the Course is Harder Than it Sounds

A Wealth of Common Sense

After suffering drawdowns of 21%, 25% and 35% in the bear market of 2022, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 all broke even on a total return basis this week: Sure that means these markets went nowhere for nearly two years but just look at the returns since the start of 2020: Considering everything we’ve lived through those returns are not bad at all.

Investing 142
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.