Sat.Aug 10, 2024 - Fri.Aug 16, 2024

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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

I’m deep in my book writing work discussing federal debt when I see a tweet that simply epitomizes the entire genre. Full disclosure: My priors on federal debt are that I don’t know where the line of too much should be drawn, but I do know that none of the terrible things we were warned about over the past 50 years due to excess debt have come to pass.

Economy 347
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Good luck trying to figure out the stock market these days. (sherwood.news) The stock market is not economy, and vice versa. (awealthofcommonsense.com) On the differences between individual bonds and bond funds. (humbledollar.com) What to do the next time the stock market tanks. (tonyisola.com) You may be surprised by what Olympians eat.

Economy 309
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 17-18)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced that a total of 26 broker-dealers, investment advisers, and dually-registered firms agreed to pay combined civil penalties of almost $400 million for failing to maintain and preserve required records for "off-channel" communications, signaling the regulator's interest in cracking down on text messages and other communi

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Flash Crashes Are Getting Faster

A Wealth of Common Sense

I’m a neat freak, so occasionally, I clean out my office and re-organize. While doing so earlier this week I came across an old Life magazine a reader sent me a number of years ago. It’s from June 1962 and the stock market was the cover story: The pictures are fantastic. So was the lede of the story: The signs, like rumblings of an Alpine ice pack at the time of thaw, had been heard.

Numbers 144
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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911 EV Is Complete!

The Big Picture

Our story so far : Stuck at home over the pandemic, it was a perfect time to revisit a pastime of my youth – buying cheap beater cars, and turning them into something fun and worthwhile. Only this time, I have a lifetime of experience with what does and doesn’t work well, along with a somewhat more generous budget. All of this got restarted about a decade ago; I was personalizing a 2013 flood salvage-title Rubicon ; it reminded me how much fun it was to do these little projects.

More Trending

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The 5 Dysfunctions Of Client/Advisor Relationships: How Advisors Can (Re-)Build Trust And Spur Clients Into Action

Nerd's Eye View

In the modern era of financial advice, the advicer/client relationship is tightly centered on trust. And because of that foundation of trust, in an ideal advisor/client relationship, mistakes, disagreements, and concerns are surfaced quickly; action items are agreed and acted upon by everyone involved; and everyone feels aligned and accountable to their overall objectives.

Clients 246
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How to Predict a Recession

A Wealth of Common Sense

Do you know how long we’ve been in a recession for since the end of the Great Financial Crisis? Two months. In 15 years, the U.S. economy has been in a recession for just two months! That’s roughly 1% of the time, meaning that since July 2009, the United States has avoided a recession 99% of the time.

Economy 142
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The End of Spam: Robocalls and texts… your days are numbered : The industry blasting your phone with spam calls and texts is about to implode. The feds could throw a wrench into the opaque, sometimes sketchy, and incredibly lucrative lead-generator industry. ( Sherwood ) • The Well-Off People Who Can’t Spend Money : Tightwads drag around a phantom limb of poverty, no

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Personal finance links: passing through

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Meir Statman, author of “A Wealth of Well-Being: A Holistic Approach to Behavioral Finance.” (ritholtz.com) Carl Richards talks money mindfulness with Sharon Salzberg. (50fires.com) Steve Chen talks financial education with Tim Ranzetta, founder of Next Generation Personal Finance. (newretirement.com) Jess Bost and Mark Newfield talk with Dave Nadig about planning for big professional transitions.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Wrongfully Detained Americans Welcomed Back with IRS Penalties

Wealth Management

The agency doesn’t have the authority to fully forgive fines and interest.

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What Happens to Bonds When Stocks Go Up?

A Wealth of Common Sense

My colleague Alex Palumbo joined us on the show this week to discuss questions about how to deploy a big chunk of cash savings, how to diversify out of company stock, benchmarking financial performance and how to think about alpha when it comes to choosing a financial advisor. Further Reading: The Holy Grail of Portfolio Management 1The S&P 500 was up 9.8% per year while the 10 year Treasury gained 4.6% annually from.

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#FASuccess Ep 398: Building A $2.5B AUM Advisory Enterprise Under The Umbrella Of A National CPA Firm, With Eric Wulff

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 398th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Eric Wulff. Eric is the CEO of Marcum Wealth, an RIA based in Cleveland, Ohio, that oversees $2.5 billion in assets under management for approximately 2,700 client households. What's unique about Eric, though, is how he has built Marcum Wealth into a multi-billion-dollar firm under the umbrella of a national accounting firm, in large part by cultivating mutually beneficial rel

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Longform links: streaming service erasure

Abnormal Returns

Business Another example of advisors getting rich while their clients underperform to the tune of billions. (bloomberg.com) Pixar bounced back with 'Inside Out 2' but you shouldn't expect a return to the company's golden age. (readtrung.com) How the U.S. fell behind in the drone business. (noahpinion.blog) How the magazine business died. (honest-broker.com) Companies Nine takeaway from six months of the Apple ($AAPL) Vision Pro.

Economy 279
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Finny and the Great AdvisorTech Acceleration

Wealth Management

Our columnist sees the future of wealthtech in a small band of young entrepreneurs solving the “lead generation” problem.

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Bonds Are Still a Hedge Against Bad Times in the Stock Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

Diversified investors experienced one of the worst bear markets ever in 2022. The stock market downturn wasn’t great but not out of the ordinary as far as bear markets go. It was relatively calm in comparison to history’s worst crashes. The average bear market since 1928 is a loss of more than 36%, so the 25% peak-to-trough drawdown in 2022 wasn’t the end of the world.

Marketing 140
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Inflation Since 1872: A Long-Term Look at the CPI

Advisor Perspectives

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released for July puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.89%. The latest reading keeps inflation below the 3.74% average since the end of the Second World War for the 14th straight month. However, inflation remains above the 10-year moving average which is now at 2.83%.

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Thursday links: big secular forces

Abnormal Returns

Companies Brian Niccol has his hands full with turning around Starbucks ($SBUX). (barrons.com) Apple ($AAPL) stock was a much bigger bargain when Buffett first purchased shares. (bloomberg.com) Why Airbus has been unable to take full advantage of Boeing's ($BA) woes. (nytimes.com) Finance It seems the SEC will approve just about any ETF these days. (ft.com) What VC returns look like in the real world.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Shannen Doherty’s Estate: When Timing is Everything

Wealth Management

The finalization of the actress’ divorce gave her control over her estate plan.

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Animal Spirits: Boomers vs. Millennials

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts and Fabric: See here for 20% off your initial YCharts professional subscription Go to meetfabric.com/spirits for more information on life insurance from Fabric by Gerber Life On today’s show, we discuss: Campbell Harvey on the soft landing Has the U.S. Economy Reached a Tipping Point? Flights, Hotels and Parks Are All Flashing Travel Warning Signs Rece.

Insurance 136
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Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory Decreased 10% in Q2 2024

Calculated Risk

Fannie reported results for Q2 2024. Here is some information on single-family Real Estate Owned (REOs). Fannie Mae reported the number of REOs decreased to 7,179 at the end of Q2 2024, down 10% from 7,971 at the end of the previous quarter, and down 17% year-over-year from Q2 2023. For Fannie, this is down 96% from the 166,787 peak number of REOs in Q3 2010.

Numbers 123
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Research links: real world finance

Abnormal Returns

Venture capital There is nothing normal about the distribution of angel investment returns. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) How VCs drive media coverage of their portfolio companies. (papers.ssrn.com) Research How long can stocks underperform inflation? (ofdollarsanddata.com) Retail trading frenzies can have real world impacts. (papers.ssrn.com) How much protection do individual investors need?

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Olympic Gold Means Victory for the IRS Too

Wealth Management

Some athletes might see a tax bill for their Olympics triumphs.

Taxes 124
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Three Things – Weekend Reading

Discipline Funds

Here are three things I think I am thinking about this weekend: 1) Three Terrible Ideas That Won’t Die. The Great Financial Crisis was wonderful because it got people interested in economics. And it was terrible in that it convinced a lot of people that mainstream economics was wrong about almost everything. This led to a revival in some heterodox ideas that the mainstream had long thrown in the dustbin.

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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined and is now up 4.6% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through July 2024. Services were up 4.9% YoY as of July 2024, down from 5.0% YoY in June.

Food 120
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Adviser links: spent money

Abnormal Returns

Fidelity Fidelity has released two technology packages for small and mid-sized RIAs. (citywire.com) Hopes are high for the Fidelity/Advyzon service offering. (riabiz.com) Altruist Altruist is shifting more clients onto its own custodian platform. (riabiz.com) The latest in financial advisortech including a look at Altruist' new product offerings. (kitces.com) Advisers Why private equity is going after retail investors: fees, high fees.

Retail 263
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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The Close Relationship Between Financial Planning and Estate Planning

Wealth Management

Estate planning and financial planning are two peas in a pod that are becoming inextricably tied.

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Lessons Learned From Referring Business to Advisors

Advisor Perspectives

Here are some lessons from interviewing financial advisors and insights into the traits that lead to a recommendation.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 16.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending August 9, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 16.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Marketing 119