Sat.Aug 31, 2024 - Fri.Sep 06, 2024

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site How much would you pay for a house you couldn't insure? (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Another star manager, another disaster for investors. (awealthofcommonsense.com) You're not a billionaire. Stop trying to invest like one. (axios.com) The big index fund managers have a problem on their hands. (humbledollar.com) Why you likely don't need to focus on dividend paying stocks.

Insurance 307
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (September 7–September 8)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" – this week's edition kicks off with the news that the Treasury Department has finalized rules requiring most SEC-registered RIAs to implement risk-based Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism programs, including a requirement to report suspicious activity to Treasury's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, with firms having until January 1, 2026 to comply with the rule.

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3 Things You Don’t Know About Josh

The Big Picture

I have known Josh for nearly 15 years. Despite his writing in public that entire time, hosting two weekly shows on our YouTube channel , and showing up on CNBC three times a week, you don’t know him. Public persona aside, he is surprisingly private. I know him as well as anyone besides Sprinkles and maybe Batnick. I am going to share three things about Josh that you don’t know.

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31 Years of Stock Market Returns

A Wealth of Common Sense

I enjoy slicing and dicing historical stock market returns. I’m not naive enough to assume this helps predict the future. However, studying the past can provide a baseline to help set expectations when it comes to risk and a potential range of outcomes. Here’s a different way to look at returns over various time horizons for the S&P 500 going back to 1993: This is how to read this chart: Pick a starting.

Marketing 145
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Sunday links: meaningless statistics

Abnormal Returns

Markets The S&P 500 returned 2.43% in August 2023. (on.spdji.com) There are too many markets at all-time highs to count. (whitecoatinvestor.com) Strategy High yields come with risk. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. (wsj.com) Good luck trying to time the stock market using valuation metrics. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Market statistics can gloss over the big picture.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • How To Make Millions As a Professional Whistleblower : A little-known provision in US law permits anyone to blow the whistle on financial fraud — and potentially take home a percentage of the funds collected. One undercover sleuth has made a wild career out of it. ( GQ ) • Why Aging Comes in Dramatic Waves in Our 40s and 60s : A new study suggests that waves of aging-relat

Banking 162
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If The Prices Are Wrong You Should Be Rich

A Wealth of Common Sense

I bought a Peloton exercise bike during the early days of the pandemic. It’s convenient and the technology is pretty neat.1 But I never would have purchased shares in the company. I have a rule of thumb that anything new that’s fitness-related is a fad. I’ve seen far too many fad diets and fancy exercise equipment or videos come and go over the years.

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Friday links: a healthy dose of skepticism

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Three reasons why the stock market declines. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Three reasons to buy Josh Brown's new book "You Weren’t Supposed To See That." (ritholtz.com) Semiconductors Trying to put a valuation on Nvidia ($NVDA). (aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com) TSMC's ($TSM) Arizona plant is on track for 2025 production. (bloomberg.com) Export controls are not keeping Nvidia ($NVDA) chips out of China.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 146: Re-Educating Clients (Scalably) After They “Read Something On The Internet”

Nerd's Eye View

A cornerstone service that many financial advisors provide is education. While strategic advice is crucial, advisors also face the challenge of presenting the strategies to clients in context, explaining different financial planning concepts, and showing clients how to implement these strategies (as well as pointing out any long-term consequences). While curious, proactive clients who are ready to learn may be the ideal, this can become complicated when clients bring 'good' advice they've heard

Education 130
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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At the Money: The Best Way to Buy a House Right Now

The Big Picture

The Best Way to Buy a House Right Now with Jonathan Miller , Miller Samuel (Sept 4, 2024) Buying a house in today’s climate can be challenging. Interest rates are near the highest level in 20 years. Housing inventory is near record lows. So what’s a potential home buyer to do? Jonathan Miller, President of Miller Samuel, discusses the best approaches for purchasing a home today.

Sales 147
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Is the Stock Market Tipping Over?

A Wealth of Common Sense

The OG financial blogger Barry Ritholtz joined me on the show this week to discuss questions about what the next recession will look like, creating an investment plan for a banker with cash on the sidelines, paying down a low interest rate mortgage and how to sell your automobile. Further Reading: The Minsky Market 1It’s pretty obvious but red for losses of 2% or worse and green for gains of 2% or more. 2All 3 have.

Marketing 141
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Longform links: no room for error

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Anne Applebaum's book "Autocracy, Inc: The Dictators Who Want to Run the World." (on.ft.com) Walt Hickey talks with Nate Silver author of "On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything." (numlock.com) Insights from “Hoof Beats: How Horses Shaped Human History,” by William Taylor. (theconversation.com) AI How AI will change startup investing.

Startup 278
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#FASuccess Ep 401: One-On-One Advice Through Financial Wellness Programs To (Profitably) Expand The Reach Of Financial Planning, With Zack Hubbard

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 401st episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Zack Hubbard. Zack is the Director of Financial Planning and Participant Engagement of Greenspring Advisors, an RIA based in Towson, Maryland, that manages $2 billion of private wealth assets under management for 1,300 client households and advises on an additional $5 billion in retirement plan assets.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Transcript: Heather Brilliant, Diamond Hill

The Big Picture

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Heather Brilliant, Diamond Hill , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , YouTube , and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~ This is Masters in business with Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg Radio.

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Carson Group: We Still Think Stocks Are Going to Overperform Bonds This Year

Wealth Management

Barry Gilbert, portfolio manager with the Carson Group, talks about why the firm is risk-on right now, why it prefers ETFs over mutual funds and what’s different about this market cycle.

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Thursday links: the king of the market

Abnormal Returns

Index funds How index funds have changed demand for large cap stocks. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Research Affilitiates is launching the Deletions ETF ($NIXT) which will buy index deletions. (mutualfundobserver.com) Apple David Pierce, "Apple Pay is one of the most Apple-y Apple products the company has ever shipped." (theverge.com) People want to copy Apple ($AAPL) products but not Apple the company.

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Catching Up: New Home Sales Increased to 739,000 Annual Rate in July

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Catching Up: New Home Sales Increased to 739,000 Annual Rate in July Brief excerpt: I'm back from Africa! I’ll be catching up on recent data over the next few days, and I’ll post some photos / videos from my trip. Last week the Census Bureau reported New Home Sales in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 739 thousand.

Sales 121
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Animal Spirits: Founder Mode

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: See here for 20% off your initial YCharts professional subscription On today’s show, we discuss: Americans Are Really, Really Bullish on Stocks Once-In-Lifetime Wall Street Rally Raises Soft-Landing Stakes Ex-Peloton CEO John Foley gets real about company crash — and his unexpected venture into home decor Economist Eugene Fama: ‘Efficient mark.

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WealthManagement.com Celebrates Top Companies, Executives at 2024 Industry Awards

Wealth Management

Judges recognized 84 companies for their outstanding support of financial advisor success from among 287 finalists.

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Saturday links: the state of the teaching profession

Abnormal Returns

Autos Demand is growing for plug-in hybrids. (wsj.com) The transition to the Tesla ($TSLA) Supercharger network is 'frustrating.' (nytimes.com) Transport Personal injury lawyers could kill autonomous trucks before they really get going. (bloomberg.com) How hybrid airplanes work. (wsj.com) Energy Bitcoin miners in Texas can make more money from not mining.

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Vehicles Sales Decrease to 15.13 million SAAR in August

Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for August: August U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Rise 4%, Ending Two Straight Declines (pay site). Growth was solid in August despite the period’s results equaling a 7-month-low SAAR. However, after rising 3.4% year-over-year in the first five months of 2024, demand over the three months since then has been nearly flat.

Sales 115
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Exploring Bond Tax Efficiency: Futures or Bond ETFs?

Alpha Architect

Bond futures are often assumed to be more tax-efficient than bond ETFs. My analysis indicates that this assumption is frequently incorrect. Although investors might view the 60/40 tax treatment of futures as advantageous, a futures strategy faces several challenges compared to a bond ETF, including frequent taxable events, potential tax drag from cash collateral, and additional state taxation.

Taxes 111
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The WealthStack Podcast: Unpacking The State of CRM with Doug Fritz

Wealth Management

F2 Strategy's Doug Fritz discusses how the role of the CRM has evolved.

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Adviser links: an existential issue

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Brendan Frazier talks with Michael Finke about the three cornerstones of a happy and fulfilling retirement. (podcasts.apple.com) Michael Kitces talks with Mark Tibergin about the difference between simply growing in size versus truly gaining scale as an advisory firm. (kitces.com) Jason Pereira talks with Larry Shumbres, CEO, and founder of Archive Intel.

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Comments on August Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the August employment report was below expectations, and June and July payrolls were revised down by 82,000 combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio were unchanged, and the unemployment rate decreased to 4.2%. Construction employment increased 34 thousand and is now 665 thousand above the pre-pandemic level.

Numbers 110
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Adding Leveraged, Long-Short Factor Strategies to Improve Tax Alpha

Alpha Architect

Joseph Liberman, Stanley Krasner, Nathan Sosner, and Pedro Freitas, authors of the September 2023 study “Beyond Direct Indexing: Dynamic Direct Long-Short Investing,” examined if the utilization of leverage and long-short strategies motivated by the literature on factor-based investing could improve on the tax benefits of direct indexing and tax-loss harvesting.

Taxes 105
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To Retire-in-Place or Not Retire-in-Place? That Is the Question

Wealth Management

Here are the good, the bad, and the ugly details that advisors and next-generation inheritors need to be aware of before signing on the dotted line.

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Podcast links: the other guy

Abnormal Returns

Listening Someone was just charged with fraud using AI to create hundreds of thousands of fake songs by nonexistent bands. (arstechnica.com) What it's like to be 'the other guy' on a celebrity podcast. (nytimes.com) Hedge funds Corey Hoffstein talks with Giuseppe Paleologo about portfolio construction at multi-manager hedge funds. (podcasts.apple.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk with Joe Peta about how to measure manager skill.