Sat.Aug 03, 2024 - Fri.Aug 09, 2024

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Wednesday links: the most impressive people

Abnormal Returns

Markets Good luck trying to figure out the stock market these days. (sherwood.news) Mortgage spreads have room to come down. (axios.com) Strategy The stock market is not economy, and vice versa. (awealthofcommonsense.com) What to do the next time the stock market tanks. (tonyisola.com) 'Don't panic' isn't necessarily helpful advice. (edgyoptimist.substack.com) Disney Disney ($DIS) warns about theme park weakness.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 10-11)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" – this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent survey indicates that clients of financial advisors are more confident than others about their financial preparedness for retirement and are more likely to have a financial plan in place that can weather the ups and downs of the economy (perhaps increasingly relevant given recent market volatility), indicating that advisors have an opportunity to frame the v

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MiB: Meir Statman on the Intersection of Finance & Life

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Meir Statman , the Glenn Klimek Professor of Finance at Santa Clara University. Named one of the 25 most influential people by Investment Advisor, his breakthrough book, “ What Investors Really Want , ” changed how we view investor motivations. Statman is a member of the advisory board of the Journal of Portfolio Management, the Journal of Wealth Management, the Journal of Retirement, the Journal of Investment Consulting and the Journal of Behavioral and Exp

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This is Normal

A Wealth of Common Sense

Boy that escalated quickly. Markets sold off in a hurry this week. The S&P 500 is down almost 6% from the recent highs. The Nasdaq 100 is in an 11% drawdown. After an extremely calm year, the past week or so has finally seen some volatility in the stock market. Here’s the thing — it’s what happened before this that was not normal: This really cool chart came out a couple of weeks ago (via Sherwood).

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Are small caps cheap for a reason? (awealthofcommonsense.com) A look at the valuation of the S&P 490. (disciplinefunds.com) Bonds are doing okay in 2024, except for long duration. (capitalspectator.com) How major asset classes performed in July 2024. (capitalspectator.com) Commodities are back down to their lows of the year.

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More Trending

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Market Commentary: Risks Increase, But Don’t Overreact to the Turbulence

Carson Wealth

Houston, We Have Turbulence The S&P 500 fell 2.0% last week, declining for the third consecutive week, but unlike the past few weeks, this time the selling was across the board. Economic data last week showed the economy slowing more than expected, adding to worries about a potential recession. We still think a recession can be avoided, but risks have increased.

Marketing 141
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The Opportunity Cost of Market Timing in T-Bills

A Wealth of Common Sense

Mr. Roth IRA himself, Bill Sweet, joined me again to discuss questions about credit unions vs. banks, how the wash sale rule works, student loan forgiveness vs. tax filing status, tax implications from the sale of a rental property and index funds vs. financial advisors. Further Reading: The Siren Song of Market Timing 1I’m using 10 year Treasuries as my bond proxy here.

Marketing 140
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Friday links: pursuing excellence

Abnormal Returns

Markets This proposed ETF filing top ticked the market. (allstarcharts.com) Has the tech momentum trade fully unwound yet? (ft.com) Strategy Forecasting interest rates is just as hard as forecasting the stock market. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The stock market has always found a group of stocks that fit a 'new paradigm.' (alphaarchitect.com) Bitcoin A “strategic bitcoin reserve” is an absurd idea.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 6.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending August 2, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 6.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Shelley Duvall’s Longtime Partner Fights for His Share of Her Estate

Wealth Management

The Shinning’ actress Shelley Duvall appears to have died intestate.

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3 Thoughts About the Market Correction

A Wealth of Common Sense

Three things I’m thinking about during the stock market correction: This is why I love markets. Everything was calm. There was no volatility to speak of this year. Then BAM! Stocks are tumbling around the globe. Investors are recalibrating on the fly. People are worried about a recession, an AI bubble bursting, the Fed’s inaction, the labor market, the Yen carry trade and a whole lot more.

Marketing 139
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Podcast links: busting investment myths

Abnormal Returns

Business Logan Bartlett talks with Dara Khosrowshai, CEO of Uber ($UBER). (podcasts.apple.com) Shane Parrish talks with Brian Halligan, founder and former CEO of HubSpot. (fs.blog) Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks AI and more with Sarah Guo is the founder and CEO of Conviction. (joincolossus.com) Trading Ted Seides talks trading with Todd Simkin is an Associate Director at Susquehanna International Group.

Investing 279
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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 8% in July

Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Expands Another 8% in July The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, increased 7.9% in July to 216.3 (2000=100) from the revised June reading of 200.5. Over the month, commercial planning increased 6.8% and institutional planning expanded 11.1%. “While data centers have had an outsized influence on nonresidential planning activity in recent months, more momentum is building across many other major sectors and diversifyin

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 144: The Success Trap Of Boutique Practices And Building With Intentionality

Nerd's Eye View

Over the past few decades, financial advisors have explored new ways to structure, build, and grow successful businesses alongside a growing acceptance that "successful business" can be defined in many different ways. Nevertheless, while firm owners have a variety of options available for structuring and building their businesses, the reality is that they can only prioritize a limited number of goals at one time, which then begs the question – how can firm owners navigate the options of wo

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What’s the Bull Case For Housing?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A lot of people are turning bearish on housing prices. Cullen Roche and Nick Maggiulli, two financial voices I respect, both predicted in recent weeks that housing will be the worst-performing asset class over the next decade. Their case makes sense. We pulled forward a decade’s worth of returns in the first part of the 2020s: Prices are high.

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Longform links: significant severance costs

Abnormal Returns

Books A Q&A with Dr. Theodore H. Schwartz, author of "Gray Matters: A Biography of Brain Surgery." (npr.org) A review of "The Anxious Generation: How the Great Rewiring of Childhood Is Causing an Epidemic of Mental Illness" by Jonathan Haidt. (econlib.org) Oil ExxonMobil's ($XOM) big Guyana oil discovery almost wasn't. (bloomberg.com) Jonathan Blake, "Before LA became Tinseltown, it was an oil town.

Banking 278
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Fed Q2 SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards and Weaker Demand for almost All Loan Types

Calculated Risk

From the Federal Reserve: The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) addressed changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households over the past three months, which generally correspond to the second quarter of 2024.

Banking 131
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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#FASuccess Ep 397: Powering Growth To $1.2B Of AUM With An Intentional Focus On (Local) Acquisitions Of Retiring Advisors, With Jaime Benedetti

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 397th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Jaime Benedetti. Jaime is the Managing Principal of Benedetti, Gucer, and Associates and BEAM Wealth Advisors, hybrid advisory firms based in Atlanta, Georgia, and Covington, Louisiana that oversee a total of $1.2 billion in assets under management for approximately 900 client households.

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Advisors Tell Clients to ‘Buy the Dip’

Wealth Management

Financial advisors view the market correction as a normal course of events and a good buying opportunity. “Market volatility is my best friend,” one advisor said. “This is an opportunity to show clients why they pay us a fee, to navigate difficult times with a rock steady approach.

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Monday links: the price of admission

Abnormal Returns

Markets Bryce Elder, "The “long Japanese equities/short yen” trade worked until it didn’t." (ft.com) Market sentiment got way too bullish. (allstarcharts.com) Strategy There's always a (different) reason to sell. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Investors need to plan for down markets. (awealthofcommonsense.com) If you sell stocks, you have to decide when to get back in.

Ethics 279
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NY Fed Q2 Report: Household Debt Increased, Mortgage Originations Remain Low

Calculated Risk

From the NY Fed: Household Debt Increased Moderately in Q2 2024; Auto and Credit Card Delinquency Rates Remain Elevated The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $109 billion (0.6%) in Q2 2024, to $17.80 trillion.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (August 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the August 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Orion and Riskalyze have both announced that they are "unbundling" several key components of their previously all-in-one offerings, highlighting how, after more than a decade and hundreds of millions

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Important FAFSA Changes You Need to Know About

Wealth Management

The rollout of the 2025-2026 FAFSA college student admissions form already has been delayed until Dec. 1.

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Research links: stuck in a rut

Abnormal Returns

Retail Using LLMs to identify retail trader strategies. (papers.ssrn.com) A look at the value, or lack thereof, of WallStreetBets stock picks. (alphaarchitect.com) Analysts Why are all-start investment analysts influential? (papers.ssrn.com) Can LLMs replace the average human analyst? (wsj.com) Institutional investors How institutional investors want to consume content.

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Housing August 5th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.0% Week-over-week, Up 39.9% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.0% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 38.4% from the February seasonal bottom. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of August 2nd, inventory was at 684 thousand (7-day average), compared to 677 thousand the prior week. This is the highest level of inventory since June 2020 ; however, inventory is still far below pre-pandemic levels.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Animal Spirits: Flash Crash or Recession?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Global X: See here to learn more about Global X’s suite of ETFs On today’s show, we discuss: A few thoughts on the market sell-off The Economic Experience of Non-College Americans Over the Pandemic After Years of Raising Prices, Food Companies Hit Consumers’ Limits Labor Market Constantly Changing Investment company outlook Snow Belt to Sun Belt Migr.

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The WealthStack Podcast: Why Direct Indexing Is the Future of Investing with Patrick Shaddow

Wealth Management

Syntax Data's Patrick Shaddow describes how direct indexing is poised to transform the investment landscape.

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Personal finance links: a very simple philosophy

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Carl Richards talks with Meb Faber about what really matters. (podcasts.apple.com) Peter Lazaroff talks alts with Phil Huber, author of "The Allocator’s Edge: A Modern Guide to Alternative Investments and the Future of Diversification." (peterlazaroff.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Dave Nadig about whether there is a wrong way to invest. (ritholtz.com) Dan Haylett talks true wealth with author Ken Honda.