Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 7, 2024
Markets Good luck trying to figure out the stock market these days. (sherwood.news) Mortgage spreads have room to come down. (axios.com) Strategy The stock market is not economy, and vice versa. (awealthofcommonsense.com) What to do the next time the stock market tanks. (tonyisola.com) 'Don't panic' isn't necessarily helpful advice. (edgyoptimist.substack.com) Disney Disney ($DIS) warns about theme park weakness.
Nerd's Eye View
AUGUST 7, 2024
Traditionally, people tend to think of their estate as comprising one big 'pot' of assets, focusing on the sum of all the assets rather than on each individual asset itself. Consequently, when in estate planning, thinking about how to divide their assets after their death, they often aim to simply apportion the whole pot among their beneficiaries, without regard to the nature of each individual asset.
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The Big Picture
AUGUST 9, 2024
This week, we speak with Meir Statman , the Glenn Klimek Professor of Finance at Santa Clara University. Named one of the 25 most influential people by Investment Advisor, his breakthrough book, “ What Investors Really Want , ” changed how we view investor motivations. Statman is a member of the advisory board of the Journal of Portfolio Management, the Journal of Wealth Management, the Journal of Retirement, the Journal of Investment Consulting and the Journal of Behavioral and Exp
A Wealth of Common Sense
AUGUST 4, 2024
Boy that escalated quickly. Markets sold off in a hurry this week. The S&P 500 is down almost 6% from the recent highs. The Nasdaq 100 is in an 11% drawdown. After an extremely calm year, the past week or so has finally seen some volatility in the stock market. Here’s the thing — it’s what happened before this that was not normal: This really cool chart came out a couple of weeks ago (via Sherwood).
Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 4, 2024
Top clicks this week Are small caps cheap for a reason? (awealthofcommonsense.com) A look at the valuation of the S&P 490. (disciplinefunds.com) Bonds are doing okay in 2024, except for long duration. (capitalspectator.com) How major asset classes performed in July 2024. (capitalspectator.com) Commodities are back down to their lows of the year.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
Carson Wealth
AUGUST 5, 2024
Houston, We Have Turbulence The S&P 500 fell 2.0% last week, declining for the third consecutive week, but unlike the past few weeks, this time the selling was across the board. Economic data last week showed the economy slowing more than expected, adding to worries about a potential recession. We still think a recession can be avoided, but risks have increased.
Calculated Risk
AUGUST 7, 2024
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 6.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending August 2, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 6.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.
Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 9, 2024
Markets This proposed ETF filing top ticked the market. (allstarcharts.com) Has the tech momentum trade fully unwound yet? (ft.com) Strategy Forecasting interest rates is just as hard as forecasting the stock market. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The stock market has always found a group of stocks that fit a 'new paradigm.' (alphaarchitect.com) Bitcoin A “strategic bitcoin reserve” is an absurd idea.
Nerd's Eye View
AUGUST 8, 2024
Over the past few decades, financial advisors have explored new ways to structure, build, and grow successful businesses alongside a growing acceptance that "successful business" can be defined in many different ways. Nevertheless, while firm owners have a variety of options available for structuring and building their businesses, the reality is that they can only prioritize a limited number of goals at one time, which then begs the question – how can firm owners navigate the options of wo
Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant
Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.
A Wealth of Common Sense
AUGUST 8, 2024
Mr. Roth IRA himself, Bill Sweet, joined me again to discuss questions about credit unions vs. banks, how the wash sale rule works, student loan forgiveness vs. tax filing status, tax implications from the sale of a rental property and index funds vs. financial advisors. Further Reading: The Siren Song of Market Timing 1I’m using 10 year Treasuries as my bond proxy here.
Calculated Risk
AUGUST 8, 2024
From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Expands Another 8% in July The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, increased 7.9% in July to 216.3 (2000=100) from the revised June reading of 200.5. Over the month, commercial planning increased 6.8% and institutional planning expanded 11.1%. “While data centers have had an outsized influence on nonresidential planning activity in recent months, more momentum is building across many other major sectors and diversifyin
Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 9, 2024
Business Logan Bartlett talks with Dara Khosrowshai, CEO of Uber ($UBER). (podcasts.apple.com) Shane Parrish talks with Brian Halligan, founder and former CEO of HubSpot. (fs.blog) Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks AI and more with Sarah Guo is the founder and CEO of Conviction. (joincolossus.com) Trading Ted Seides talks trading with Todd Simkin is an Associate Director at Susquehanna International Group.
Nerd's Eye View
AUGUST 6, 2024
Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 397th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Jaime Benedetti. Jaime is the Managing Principal of Benedetti, Gucer, and Associates and BEAM Wealth Advisors, hybrid advisory firms based in Atlanta, Georgia, and Covington, Louisiana that oversee a total of $1.2 billion in assets under management for approximately 900 client households.
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Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.
A Wealth of Common Sense
AUGUST 6, 2024
Three things I’m thinking about during the stock market correction: This is why I love markets. Everything was calm. There was no volatility to speak of this year. Then BAM! Stocks are tumbling around the globe. Investors are recalibrating on the fly. People are worried about a recession, an AI bubble bursting, the Fed’s inaction, the labor market, the Yen carry trade and a whole lot more.
Calculated Risk
AUGUST 5, 2024
From the Federal Reserve: The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) addressed changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households over the past three months, which generally correspond to the second quarter of 2024.
Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 8, 2024
Books A Q&A with Dr. Theodore H. Schwartz, author of "Gray Matters: A Biography of Brain Surgery." (npr.org) A review of "The Anxious Generation: How the Great Rewiring of Childhood Is Causing an Epidemic of Mental Illness" by Jonathan Haidt. (econlib.org) Oil ExxonMobil's ($XOM) big Guyana oil discovery almost wasn't. (bloomberg.com) Jonathan Blake, "Before LA became Tinseltown, it was an oil town.
Nerd's Eye View
AUGUST 5, 2024
Welcome to the August 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Orion and Riskalyze have both announced that they are "unbundling" several key components of their previously all-in-one offerings, highlighting how, after more than a decade and hundreds of millions
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As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.
Advisor Perspectives
AUGUST 7, 2024
The 20th century Baby Boom was one of the most powerful demographic events in the history of the United States. We've created a series of charts to show seven age cohorts of the employed population from 1948 to the present.
Calculated Risk
AUGUST 6, 2024
From the NY Fed: Household Debt Increased Moderately in Q2 2024; Auto and Credit Card Delinquency Rates Remain Elevated The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $109 billion (0.6%) in Q2 2024, to $17.80 trillion.
Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 6, 2024
Retail Using LLMs to identify retail trader strategies. (papers.ssrn.com) A look at the value, or lack thereof, of WallStreetBets stock picks. (alphaarchitect.com) Analysts Why are all-start investment analysts influential? (papers.ssrn.com) Can LLMs replace the average human analyst? (wsj.com) Institutional investors How institutional investors want to consume content.
Wealth Management
AUGUST 6, 2024
Financial advisors view the market correction as a normal course of events and a good buying opportunity. “Market volatility is my best friend,” one advisor said. “This is an opportunity to show clients why they pay us a fee, to navigate difficult times with a rock steady approach.
Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader
In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a
NAIFA Advisor Today
AUGUST 5, 2024
Thomas Drapala , RSSA, is Director of Strategic Partnerships, Registered Social Security Analysts, and a passionate advisor and educator with deep expertise in Social Security. He is also a keynote speaker at NAIFA's Apex , September 19-21, at the Arizona Biltmore.
Calculated Risk
AUGUST 5, 2024
Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.0% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 38.4% from the February seasonal bottom. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of August 2nd, inventory was at 684 thousand (7-day average), compared to 677 thousand the prior week. This is the highest level of inventory since June 2020 ; however, inventory is still far below pre-pandemic levels.
Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 7, 2024
Podcasts Carl Richards talks with Meb Faber about what really matters. (podcasts.apple.com) Peter Lazaroff talks alts with Phil Huber, author of "The Allocator’s Edge: A Modern Guide to Alternative Investments and the Future of Diversification." (peterlazaroff.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Dave Nadig about whether there is a wrong way to invest. (ritholtz.com) Dan Haylett talks true wealth with author Ken Honda.
Wealth Management
AUGUST 8, 2024
New GenAI-driven technologies can help wealth management firms enhance their customer understanding, streamline operations and deliver more personalized and effective services.
Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor
During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.
Advisor Perspectives
AUGUST 5, 2024
What does a “private equity firm” do? You may not know or care. Yet one of these specialized companies might possibly own your favorite restaurant—or your hospital.
Calculated Risk
AUGUST 6, 2024
Notes: This CoreLogic House Price Index report is for June. The recent Case-Shiller index release was for May. The CoreLogic HPI is a three-month weighted average and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA). From CoreLogic: CoreLogic: Annual US Home Price Growth Below 5% for Second Consecutive Month as June Home Prices Cool • U.S. home prices posted a 4.7% year-over-year gain in June, with only one state posting double-digit gains. • By summer 2025, prices are predicted to slow to 2.3% as home price gr
Abnormal Returns
AUGUST 5, 2024
Markets Bryce Elder, "The “long Japanese equities/short yen” trade worked until it didn’t." (ft.com) Market sentiment got way too bullish. (allstarcharts.com) Strategy There's always a (different) reason to sell. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Investors need to plan for down markets. (awealthofcommonsense.com) If you sell stocks, you have to decide when to get back in.
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