Sat.Feb 08, 2025 - Fri.Feb 14, 2025

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Can You Live Off Dividends In Retirement?

Darrow Wealth Management

The idea of living off dividends in retirement sounds nice, but investors often don’t realize how much money they’ll need invested to generate enough income from dividends to cover lifestyle expenses. Over the last 30 years, the S&P 500’s average dividend yield was 1.98%. So historically, every $1 million invested would yield annual dividend income of $19,800 on average… before tax.

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“How Much More Will I Get?”: Calculating The Impact Of WEP And GPO’s Repeal On Social Security Benefits

Nerd's Eye View

When the Social Security Fairness Act was signed into law on January 5, 2025, it came as a relief to many recipients of state or local government pensions whose Social Security benefits had been, up until now, reduced by the Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) for individuals claiming retirement benefits under their own name, or the Government Pension Offset (GPO) for those claiming spousal or survivor benefits under a current or former spouse's name.

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Optimism Among Gamblers & Investors?

The Big Picture

You might have been bored by the not-so-Superbowl last night (at least the better team won this year). Several non-football fans went to see the Becoming Led Zeppelin documentary (they raved). But neither the game nor Zep’s origin story was the biggest story last night. Rather, the most intriguing aspect of last night was the gambling. Sports betting on Super Bowl LIX (2025) was estimated at more than $1.5 billion — a 15% increase compared to 2024.

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Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-February 2025

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-February 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-February provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always focus first on inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale ! Im watching months-of-supply closely. New home inventory, as a percentage of total inventory, is still very high.

Marketing 215
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Saturday links: the 70% rule

Abnormal Returns

Autos Honda ($HMC) is planning to launch two new EVs. (thecooldown.com) A first-hand experience with Super Cruise on I-95. (wapo.st) ATC Air traffic control failures may now be a bigger risk than mechanical malfunctions. (theatlantic.com) Why it's so hard to hire and retain air traffic controllers. (barrons.com) Energy Amazon ($AMZN) keeps buying renewable energy.

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How To Determine The ‘Best’ CFP Education Program (For You): 2025 Update

Nerd's Eye View

To earn the CFP marks, candidates must fulfill four key requirements: Education (holding a bachelor's degree and completing the required coursework through a CFP Board registered program), Exam (passing the 170-question CFP exam), Experience (gaining hands-on experience providing financial advice to the public), and Ethics (acting as a fiduciary). Among these, the Education component offers the greatest flexibility in how it can be completed.

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NY Fed Q4 Report: Household Debt Increased; High auto loan delinquency rates

Calculated Risk

From the NY Fed: Household Debt Balances Continue Steady Increase; Delinquency Transition Rates Remain Elevated for Auto and Credit Cards The Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorks Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $93 billion (0.5%) in Q4 2024, to $18.04 trillion.

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Friday links: changing the game

Abnormal Returns

Finance Why 24-hour trading isn't a boon for investors. (morningstar.com) Successfully running an ETF is harder than it looks. (jeffreyptak.substack.com) TIPS TIPS yields haven't been this high in a decade. (wsj.com) A speculative, but cautionary take against investing in TIPS. (paulkrugman.substack.com) Crypto The SEC could soon allow for in-kind redemptions for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (February 15–16)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" – this week's edition kicks off with the news of a recent survey indicating that while overall client satisfaction with their financial advisors remains high at 95%, potential threats to client retention lurk beneath the surface, particularly amongst clients who experience a major windfall or a life transition.

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McKinsey Estimates Advisor Shortage of 100,000 by 2034

Wealth Management

The consulting firm says the wealth management industry can address the shortage by boosting productivity levels and attracting new talent.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Increased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Applications Declined

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 7, 2025. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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Monday links: a cult of personality

Abnormal Returns

Markets Too many people confusing speculating for investing. (ritholtz.com) The end of ZIRP did not kill off speculation. (ft.com) Big tech Callie Cox, "History is littered with the tombstones of once-dominant companies who couldnt pivot to the next big thing." (optimisticallie.com) The scale of capital expenditures by the Mag Seven is unprecedented.

Media 173
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#FASuccess Ep 424: Executing A Successful Internal Succession Plan In The Private Equity Era Of Advisor M&A, With David Grau Jr.

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 424th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is David Grau, Jr. David is the President of Succession Resource Group, an advisory consulting and valuation business based in Portland, Oregon that serves independent financial advisors with RIAs and broker-dealers. What's unique about David, though, is how his two decades of experience supporting financial advisory firms has helped him uncover best practices for founders and su

Planning 162
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Cerulli: Independent RIAs to Outpace All Other Channels by 2028

Wealth Management

The consultancy projects independent RIAs to grow 4% annually through 2028, with insurance broker/dealer advisors seeing the most attrition with 2.6% annual declines.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Industrial Production Increased 0.5% in January

Calculated Risk

From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial production (IP) increased 0.5 percent in January after moving up 1.0 percent in December. In January, gains in the output of aircraft and parts contributed 0.2 percentage point to total IP growth following the earlier resolution of a work stoppage at a major aircraft manufacturer.

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Longform links: built not born

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Yoni Appelbaums new book, "Stuck: How the Privileged and the Propertied Broke the Engine of American Opportunity." (theatlantic.com) An excerpt from "Humans: A Monstrous History" by Surekha Davies. (lithub.com) An excerpt from "The Technological Republic: Hard Power, Soft Belief, and the Future of the West" by Alexander C. Karp and Nicholas W.

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Should You Pay Off Your Mortgage Before Retirement?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Barry Ritholtz joined me on the show this week to discuss questions about timing market corrections with your savings account, how your portfolio should look heading into retirement, managing your parent’s financial plan and how to force yourself into splurging a little when you have more than enough money. Further Reading: How Much is a 3% Mortgage Worth?

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DOL Puts Fiduciary Rule on Hold

Wealth Management

The government seeks to suspend pending litigation surrounding the fiduciary rule, to allow the Labor Department to decide how to proceed under the new administration.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 213,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending February 8, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 213,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 219,000 to 220,000. The 4-week moving average was 216,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average.

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Wednesday links: the broken market excuse

Abnormal Returns

Markets The big multi-decade trends driving the U.S. stock market. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The stock market is getting pricey, but that doesn't necessarily mean sell. (brklyninvestor.com) Crypto Bitcoin strategic reserve, or not, Bitcoin has gone mainstream. (ig.ft.com) Solana ETFs are queued up at the SEC. (sherwood.news) More altcoin ETFs are coming down the pike.

Marketing 147
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How To Succeed At A Low Buy Year And Transform Your Finances

Clever Girl Finance

Do you ever feel like your money disappears the moment you get paid? Maybe you have mounting credit card debt or an emergency fund thats dangerously low. If you want to take control of your finances, break the cycle of overspending, and build lasting financial stability, then a low-buy year could be the perfect reset. Table of contents No-buy year vs low-buy year?

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Left on Read: The Cost of Ignoring iMessage Compliance

Wealth Management

iMessage isnt going anywhere, and neither are the regulators. Here's how financial advisors can stay compliant.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Schedule for Week of February 9, 2025

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are January CPI and Retail sales. For manufacturing, the January Industrial Production report will be released this week. Fed Chair Powell presents the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. -- Monday, February 10th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, February 11th -- 6:00 AM: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for January. 10:00 AM: Testimony, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress ,

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Personal finance links: the immense role of luck

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Peter Lazaroff on the continued case for global diversification. (peterlazaroff.com) Khe Hy talks with Elle Griffin about the death of the 40-hour workweek. (youtube.com) Sahil Bloom Barry Ritholtz talks with Sahil Bloom author of the new book "The 5 Types of Wealth: A Transformative Guide to Design Your Dream Life." (ritholtz.com) Derek Thompson talks with Sahil Bloom author of the new book "The 5 Types of Wealth: A Transformative Guide to Design Your Dream Life.

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Try A No Spend Month To Reset Your Finances!

Clever Girl Finance

Have you been overspending and want to get back on track? Maybe you just want to boost your savings or finally break free from impulse purchases. A no spend month could be exactly what you need! Table of contents What is a no spend month? The benefits of a no spend month Expert tip: A no spend month can make you more intentional Mistakes to avoid during your no spend month Commonly asked questions about doing a no spend month Articles related to spending less Try a no spend month!

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Hightower CEO Change Could Signal Next Phase of RIA's Growth

Wealth Management

After a five-year run of acquisitions under Bob Oros, the hiring of former AYCO exec Larry Restieri may signal a focus on integration and organic growth, according to industry observers.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined, but is still elevated, and is now up 3.9% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through December 2024.

Food 162
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Adviser links: different needs

Abnormal Returns

Investing How the model portfolio business is evolving. (morningstar.com) Robinhood's ($HOOD) proposed robo-advisor offering seems plain vanilla. (riabiz.com) Health The case against HSAs. (kitces.com) People seem to underestimate the chances of needing long term care. (crr.bc.edu) Advisers Certifications are important, but connecting with clients is paramount.

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17 Of The Best Cash Envelope Wallets

Clever Girl Finance

If you’re thinking about using the cash envelope system to budget effectively, having the right cash envelope wallet is key. A well-organized wallet makes it easy to divide, access, and track your cash, helping you stay committed to your budgeting goals. Without one, managing your envelopes can feel chaotic, making it harder to stick to your plan.

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Q&A: Public REITs Can Weather Higher Interest Rates

Wealth Management

A new analysis from Nariet shows REITs have performed well in both high and low interest rate environments.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.