Sat.Jan 28, 2023 - Fri.Feb 03, 2023

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Should You Protect Your Portfolio Against a Possible U.S. Debt Default?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: Without getting into the politics of throwing the U.S. government into default the threat is very real. How bout a discussion of how should retirees position themselves to protect their portfolio? Us old guys don’t have years to recover from a political sabotage of the markets and the economy. You know old folks read and listen to your stuff too!

Portfolio 106
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The Stock That Went From 50 Cents to $260

The Reformed Broker

We had a great time learning from Nathan Vardi this week. Nathan is the author of the new book For Blood and Money, which documents the story behind the biggest winners the stock market has ever. It’s also the story of some very interesting characters who were involved, including the hedge fund manager Joe Edelman, who is the best performing hedge fund manager from 1999 to 2020.

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January Employment Report: 517 thousand Jobs, 3.4% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 517,000 in January, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.4 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Employment also increased in government, partially reflecting the return of workers from a strike.

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Seven States Introduce Legislation Aimed at the Wealthy

Wealth Management

Taxpayers would have to pay annual taxes on asset values rather than income.

Taxes 328
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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50% Risk-free Annual Returns

The Big Picture

There is a fascinating long-form article in the Washington Post about the murder of an investigative reporter who was looking into a Ponzi scheme in Las Vegas last year. 1 It’s a riveting and terrible story, and the Post focused on the highlights: Lost monies, Mormons, FBI investigations, guns, and murder. I read this as I was putting together my deck on how not to get ripped off by investment fraud , This led me to focus on a slightly different aspect of this grim tale: “Authorities had l

Math 64
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Now listen up and listen good

The Reformed Broker

Now listen up and listen good. Last May 4th, Fed Chairman Jay Powell told a press conference that “A 75 basis point increase is not something that the committee is actively considering.” Five weeks later, the Fed hiked rates by 75 basis points. Then he did another 75 basis points, then another 75 basis points, then another 75 basis points.

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More Trending

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Pontera Announces Integration with Envestnet's Tamarac Platform

Wealth Management

The integration will enable advisors using Tamarac to manage client defined contribution accounts from within the platform.

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Simple, But Hard

The Big Picture

We live in an age of contextless slogans. It is the stock in trade of Instagram Influencers, TikTok Investors, and grinding side hustles. It’s a new flavor of b t designed to sell unwitting dupes some garbage product or worse, a destructive half-assed philosophy. In 2020, all you had to do was Hodl Meme stocks; In 2021, it was day trade your way to wealth; before that, just be a Crypto bro, or you can “ Have fun being poor !

Media 307
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Gavin Spitzner is Future Proof

The Reformed Broker

Gavin Spitzner loved the wealth management industry and the industry loved him back. Gavin was the founder of Wealth Consulting Partners and he was one of the most well known and beloved voices in the business. He passed away on Monday according to his family after struggling with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) which he was diagnosed with in September.

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Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly in December

Calculated Risk

Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency increased to 0.65% in December from 0.64% in November. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.25% in December 2021. This is at the pre-pandemic lows. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure". The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59% following the housing bubble and peaked at 3.32% in August 2020 during the pandemic.

Portfolio 355
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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13 Top Markets for Life Sciences Space Demand

Wealth Management

As investment in life sciences real estate slows a bit, CBRE provides a deep dive into which cities are seeing the most interest from tenants right now, and how those statistics compare to the current market vacancy and amount of pre-leased space under construction.

Marketing 310
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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: • How Extreme Bets Fueled an $11.4 Billion Fortune : A look inside BlueCrest reveals Michael Platt’s many acts — including outsize returns and some harrowing losses. ( Bloomberg ) • Stock, Bond and Crypto Investors Call Fed’s Bluff on Interest Rates : Many are skeptical as central bank says battle against inflation isn’t over. ( Wall Street Journal ) see also Wall Street: We Want Lower Rates.

Valuation 279
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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

Somehow, incredibly, January is already pretty much in the books. That’s how fast 2023 is going. We got through the first wave of Q4 earnings reports from the likes of Intel, IBM, Microsoft, Netflix, the banks, Visa and American Express – so far, not terrible. Some bad reactions but some genuinely good ones. Just adds to the existing confusion.

Banking 258
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Construction Spending Decreased 0.4% in December

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending decreased: Construction spending during December 2022 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,809.8 billion, 0.4 percent below the revised November estimate of $1,817.3 billion. The December figure is 7.7 percent above the December 2021 estimate of $1,681.0 billion. The value of construction in 2022 was $1,792.9 billion, 10.2 percent above the $1,626.4 billion spent in 2021. emphasis added Both private and public

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Is It Time to Make a Caregiving Plan?

Wealth Management

Family members often turn into unpaid caregivers seemingly overnight.

Planning 299
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Personal finance links: trading time

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Ann Garcia the author of the book "How to Pay for College." (the-long-view.simplecast.com) Larry Bernstein talks with Victor Hagani and Myron Scholes about the essentials of investing. (elmwealth.com) Layoffs Steps to take, and not, if you get laid off. (thisisthetop.substack.com) Make sure you take advantage of all the resources available to you when you get laid off.

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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

Josh Brown breaks down Wednesday’s post-Fed market action from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

Marketing 255
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Housing January 30th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.4% Week-over-week

Calculated Risk

Altos reports inventory was down 1.4% week-over-week. Usually inventory bottoms in February; in 2022, inventory bottomed in early March. Here are the same week inventory changes for the last five years: 2023: -6.5K 2022: -5.3K 2021: -8.3K 2020: -3.7K 2019: +2.7K Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of January 27th, inventory was at 466 thousand (7-day average), compared to 472 thousand the prior week.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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How to Reach the Next Generation of Retirees

Wealth Management

What to focus on when working with Gen X prospects and clients.

Clients 290
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#FA Success Ep 318: From So Many Clients To So Few: Transitioning From Retail Brokerage To The Multi-Family Office, With Ali Swart

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 318th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Ali Swart. Ali is a Partner and the Managing Director for Waldron Private Wealth, a multi-family office based in Bridgeville, Pennsylvania that oversees nearly $3 billion in assets under management for 280 ultra-high-net-worth family households.

Clients 246
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Sentiment Rally

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Jason Hsu, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss the latest FOMC meeting, the Chinese market, hard vs soft data, the housing market, earnings for Apple, Amazon, and Google, the Adani rout, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

Marketing 246
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HVS: Q4 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau released the Residential Vacancies and Homeownership report for Q4 2022. The results of this survey were significantly distorted by the pandemic in 2020. This report is frequently mentioned by analysts and the media to track household formation, the homeownership rate, and the homeowner and rental vacancy rates. However, there are serious questions about the accuracy of this survey.

Numbers 329
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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How One CRE Fund Manager Is Adapting to a New Cycle Phase

Wealth Management

ElmTree Funds’ Annie Hsieh talks about how investment managers are capitalizing on current market opportunities.

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Monday links: termination by email

Abnormal Returns

Markets How worried should investors be about the debt ceiling drama? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Is the VIX broken? No, but the options market is changing. (ft.com) Strategy What can you assume about stock, bond and cash returns over the long run. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Rubin Miller, "The stock market is brashly indifferent to our opinions." (fortunesandfrictions.com) Why you need a well-articulated investment strategy to ride out tough times.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Uber, Palo Alto, Albemarle & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply • Final Look at Local Housing Markets in December • 1.51 million Total Housing Completions in 2022 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007 • Has Housing "Bottomed"? This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

Sales 264
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Managing Real Estate Assets Through inflation

Wealth Management

Managing a real estate asset through uncertain economic times largely relies on controlling expenses and optimizing revenue. Getting these fundamentals right is something that good property managers excel at.

Assets 290
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Tuesday links: get-rich schemes

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Everybody talks their book. (covestreetcapital.com) 20 lessons Seth Klarman learned from the GFC including 'Do not accept principal risk while investing short-term cash.' (investmenttalk.substack.com) Crypto Tesla ($TSLA) a big hit on its Bitcoin holdings. (electrek.co) Putting Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ($GBTC) into retirement accounts has backfired.

Startup 246
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The Consumer Is Starting to Freak Out

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►S&P Reshuffles – “Growth and value indexes run by S&P Dow Jones Indices saw record turnover, with almost a third of their market capitalization affected” ►Top 10 Stocks – “A remind.

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Schedule for Week of January 29, 2023

Calculated Risk

The key reports scheduled for this week are the January employment report and November Case-Shiller house prices. Other key indicators include January ISM manufacturing and services surveys, and January vehicle sales. The FOMC meets this week, and the FOMC is expected to announce a 25 bp hike in the Fed Funds rate. -- Monday, January 30th -- 10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for January.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.