Sat.Nov 05, 2022 - Fri.Nov 11, 2022

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Twitter is cigarettes

The Reformed Broker

A lot of reporters and public intellectuals were writing their obituaries for Twitter this weekend. First, we saw the revolt of the Blue Checkmarks. Then, the first inklings of an advertiser exodus. The timing of all this – on the eve of a midterm election that will determine whether or not Americans actually care about democracy – could not have been more ominous.

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Labor or Capital Driven Inflation?

The Big Picture

My views on inflation continue to evolve: I was correct in identifying inflation during the mid-2000s; during the post-crash 2010s I remained appropriately skeptical about rising prices. The price dynamic during and after the pandemic appeared to be troublesome but my expectations were that inflation would be resolved relatively quickly as supply chains reopened and life returned to normal. “ Transitory ” turned out to be too optimistic, and I was wrong in my expectations for a faster decline in

Economics 335
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Huge Tech Layoffs Begin, More Coming, Who's On the Chopping Block?

Mish Talk

Twitter Axe Last Friday, Elon Musk cut about half of the company’s work force. That's approximately 3,700 jobs. Many employees did not know until they saw their corporate access blocked. I saw some Tweets in which managers did not even know which of their subordinates were axed. The managers sent emails to their subordinates asking if they still had access.

Planning 328
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Personal finance links: career shifts

Abnormal Returns

Career shifts Former Peloton ($PTON) CEO John Foley is getting into the rug business. (wsj.com) UBS' Chief Risk Officer is becoming a photographer. (ft.com) Investing Rich people don't typically get rich on alternative investments. (ofdollarsanddata.com) Ten tips for surviving a bear market including 'You’re not limited to one rebalance.' (wealthfoundme.com) Bear markets affect different classes of investors in different ways.

Math 276
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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This Week On TRB

The Reformed Broker

Just wanted to start by saying thanks to everyone who made a donation to our Long Island Cares food drive for Thanksgiving. The money really goes a long way, we’re going to be making a big difference in the lives of people who need help this holiday season. We shattered the goal dollar-wise and I’m hoping to see a few hundred donated meals this weekend at our drop.

Food 278

More Trending

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The Crypto Space Plunges Second Day, The Bottom Was Not In for Bitcoin

Mish Talk

Image from Investing.com yellow highlights and comments are mine. Market Still Reeling From Collapse of FTX Yesterday I noted Crypto Crash Is Led by a Whopping 88 Percent Plunge in FTX Here is the chart I posted yesterday. Today's chart will follow. FTX chart courtesy of CoinDesk. Price points added by Mish. Valuation Plunge The 44 percent rally was due to the announcement of a deal with Binance.

Valuation 306
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Adviser links: a winning model

Abnormal Returns

Podcast Michael Kitces talks with Mindy Crary, owner of Creative Money, about making it clear about fiduciary marketing. (kitces.com) Daniel Crosby talks with Kurt Brown, CEO and CIO, of TownSquare Capital. (standarddeviationspod.com) Compliance Jason Zweig, "In 30 years of writing about the financial-advice industry, I never learned that advisers can provide less-comprehensive disclosures than stockbrokers.

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Maximizing Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) Tax Benefits With Adult Children Under Age 26

Nerd's Eye View

The passage of the Affordable Care Act in 2014 introduced many changes to the healthcare landscape in the United States. One of these changes was the ability for children to remain on their parents’ health insurance plan until they reach age 26. In addition to having access to health insurance at a lower cost than they might have on their own, this measure also creates a potentially lucrative planning opportunity for young adults who can be covered by a parent’s High-Deductible Healt

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MiB: Edward Chancellor on the Real Story of Interest 

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with financial historian Edward Chancellor. He is currently a columnist for Reuters Breakingviews and an occasional contributor to the Wall Street Journal and MoneyWeek. In 2008, he received the George Polk Award for financial reporting. Chancellor is the author of “ Devil Take the Hindmost: A History of Financial Speculation.” His new book “ The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest ” is a nominee for FT’s 2022 Business Book of the Year.

Valuation 307
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Crypto Crash Is Led by a Whopping 88 Percent Plunge in FTX

Mish Talk

FTX chart courtesy of CoinDesk. Price points added by Mish. What's Going On? The Wall Street Journal reports Crypto Exchange Binance to Acquire Rival FTX Cryptocurrency exchange FTX, just months removed from looking like a shining survivor in a struggling industry, succumbed Tuesday to a sudden liquidity crunch of its own and was taken over by rival Binance.

Valuation 247
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Wednesday links: explaining your investment process

Abnormal Returns

Markets If nothing else, the Fed is causing investors pain. (howiesarchive.com) The risk/reward equation for bonds has done a 180. (pragcap.com) FTX How FTX unraveled. (thediff.co) The Binance deal for FTX is not a foregone conclusion. (coindesk.com) The end to the FTX story has not yet been written. (amycastor.com) VCs are going to get crushed by the FTX news.

Investing 246
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The Day Inflation Broke

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Warren Pies, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss the latest in markets, inflation, the effects of seasonality, what could be next, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods! Listen here: Apple podcasts Spotify podcasts Google podcasts Everywhere else!

Marketing 241
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Big Moves: Bears & Bottoms

The Big Picture

Yesterday’s explosive move higher was exactly what I was referring to last month in Groping for a Bottom , when I suggested the risks were asymmetrical in : “The risk here feels asymmetric : The downside appears to me as a potential grind lower — the Fed overtightens, then keeps over-tightening; maybe earnings miss badly; That mild recession we have been discussing — what if it turns out to be much worse than expected?

Marketing 273
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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CPI Jumps Another 0.4% in October Led by Shelter and Energy

Mish Talk

CPI data from the BLS, chart by Mish. The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in September on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment. Key Points The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, the same increase as in September.

Food 241
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Longform links: inevitable tragedies

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Annie Duke's new book "Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away." (behavioralscientist.org) A Q&A with Richard V. Reeves author of "Of Boys and Men: Why the Modern Male is Struggling, Why it Matters, and What to Do About It." (npr.org) An excerpt from "Data Cartels: The Companies That Control and Monopolize Our Information" by Sarah Lamdan.

Media 245
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Nov 12-13)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that as enforcement of the SEC’s new marketing rule began on November 4, advisory firms are taking a variety of approaches. While some are looking to gain a first-mover advantage by leveraging client testimonials and third-party endorsements (and adjusting their compliance programs before doing so), others are taking a wait-and-see approach.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of BeanBox coffee, grab a seat on the settee, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Jony Ive on Life After Apple : The mastermind behind Apple’s most iconic products reveals how his design philosophy guides collaborations at his creative collective, LoveFrom. ( Wall Street Journal ). • Bitcoin mining in the crypto crash — the mining companies’ creative accounting : Bitcoin miners used to be ruthless economic agents, in it for the money.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Stocks Market Biggest Gains in More Than Two Years, Bond Yields Crash

Mish Talk

Never before have we seen so much excitement over 7.7 percent inflation when the Fed's target is 2.0 percent. The following charts courtesy of StockCharts.Com tell the story. S&P 500 +5.54 Percent. Nasdaq 100 Index +7.49 Percent. ARKK +14.52 Percent. Kathie Wood's Ark fund rallied a whopping 14.52 percent. However those shares are so beat up the rally barely registers.

Marketing 181
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Podcast links: finding your audience

Abnormal Returns

The biz Podcasts are great way to reach a business-oriented audience. (trungphan.substack.com) How Spotify ($SPOT) has maintained its audio lead. (cnbc.com) Financial history Barry Ritholtz talks with Edward Chancellor authof of “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest.” (ritholtz.com) Allison Schrager talks with William Goetzmann about how finance enabled civilization.

Startup 245
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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (November 2022)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the November 2022 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that a new RIA custodian – Entrustody – has launched, as independent RIAs continue to clamor for more alternatives than what has now become the ‘Big 2’ of Schwabitrade and Fidelit

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Biggest Mistakes Made by UHNW Investors

The Big Picture

This MoneyShow episode is now out from behind the paywall. Previously : Biggest Mistakes of UHNW Investors (October 25, 2021). The post Biggest Mistakes Made by UHNW Investors appeared first on The Big Picture.

Taxes 271
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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FTX US Declares Bankruptcy Too, What About the FTX Arena?

Mish Talk

Let's compare the above capture to recent statements. 100% Liquid and 100% Bankrupt Here is a fascinating development. " FTX US, the US based exchange that accepts Americans, was not financially impacted by this sh*tsh*w. It's 100% liquid. Every user could fully withdraw (modulo gas fees etc). Updates on its future coming. " FTX US is 100% liquid and 100% bankrupt.

Math 158
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Friday links: not out of the woods

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Now is the time to clear out all your bad trades before the new bull market gears up. (neckar.substack.com) The best asset allocation is one you can stick with. (awealthofcommonsense.com) FTX FTX has filed for bankruptcy. (nytimes.com) FTX, SBF and affiliates made all manner of investments. (fortune.com) What VCs lost with the FTX implosion.

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The Triffin Dilemma and Why it Matters More Than Ever (Video)

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here’s a new Three Minute Money video on the Triffin Dilemma and why it matters more than ever.

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2023 BMW i7 EV

The Big Picture

The 7 Series is all new and redesigned, with your choice of electric or traditional ICE powertrains: the 740i is a rear-drive, 3.0-liter BMW TwinPower Turbo inline 6-cylinder that makes 375 HP; the 760i xDrive Sedan is all-wheel drive, with a 4.4-liter BMW TwinPower Turbo V-8 engine making 536HP. But the top of the line is now an all-electric luxury sedan: the i7 starting at $119,300, producing 536 HP, with a range that is about 300 miles. 0-60 MPH only takes 4.5 seconds.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

The issues in crypto wouldn’t be happening if there was regulation, says Ritholtz’s Josh Brown from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Spending does more than change your bank balance. (abnormalreturns.com) Why rough edges remain in financial markets: people. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week A primer on free cash flow. (aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com) Small cap valuations look attractive. (gmo.com) Five arguments against a value stock revival. (blog.validea.com) Why modern dating is so hard.

Medical 159
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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 42% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 20%

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released today from Chief Economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Nov 5, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, increasing 42% above one year ago.

Sales 145