The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 4, 2022
Since it is late on a Friday, I thought I might share some quick thoughts about the week. I have been wondering, more than usual, about the disconnect between what we see in falling prices and the Federal Reserve’s anti-inflation actions. It is difficult to reconcile Fed rhetoric with the actual price of Goods. One can reach only so many conclusions: Perhaps the Fed is right and everybody else is wrong.
Abnormal Returns
NOVEMBER 2, 2022
Strategy Investing is ultimately based on optimism. (fortunesandfrictions.com) Medical knowledge builds on itself. Financial knowledge not so much. (collabfund.com) Five arguments against a value stock revival. (blog.validea.com) Companies CVS and Walgreen's are likely to walk away from the opioid crisis without admitting culpability. (statnews.com) Men now make up 25% of Lululemon's ($LULU) revenue.
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Nerd's Eye View
NOVEMBER 4, 2022
Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that as part of the ongoing integration between the merged companies, Charles Schwab plans to transition advisors currently on the TD Ameritrade custodial platform to Schwab’s platform over Labor Day weekend 2023.
The Reformed Broker
NOVEMBER 4, 2022
Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Carleton English, Scott Krisiloff, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss the latest from Powell and the Fed, earnings season, the wisdom of Warren Buffett, junk bonds, 2008 vs today, nuclear fusion, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!
Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 3, 2022
Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the FOMC increased the Fed Funds Rate another 75 bps yesterday, to 3.75-4.0%. Markets have given back much of October’s gains fairly quickly. I have been turning this over slowly in my mind, trying to assess their thinking here. I am not sure what models they use, what data they think is most important, what impact their actions will have, and perhaps most importantly, exactly what they are hoping to accomplish.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
Nerd's Eye View
NOVEMBER 3, 2022
For many financial advisors, prospecting efforts have traditionally been based on a perspective of scarcity, where the aim was to focus on connecting with and closing as many prospects as possible, regardless of their actual needs. However, in order to accommodate a wide range of clients with wildly diverse needs, firms often need to provide a myriad of services to address those needs.
The Reformed Broker
NOVEMBER 1, 2022
Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ?Fintech Earnings Week – SoFi is out, stock is rallying. ?The Dow is Back – The Dow had it’s best month since January 1976. ?November FOMC – Can they really let us think they are about to chill.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 1, 2022
Today and tomorrow the Federal Reserve will hold its 7th Federal Open Market Committee meeting of the year. It is given that we will see a 75-basis point increase Wednesday, but what gets said about the meeting on December 13-14 is even more important. The hopes are the Fed indicates a slower pace of rate increases, perhaps as low as 50 basis points in December.
Abnormal Returns
NOVEMBER 3, 2022
Companies Why is Zuck betting the company on the metaverse? (wsj.com) More tech companies are engaging in layoffs including Lyft ($LYFT). (wsj.com) Finance On the end of the SPAC boom. (morningstar.com) How signaling happens in the options market. (wsj.com) The Ark Venture fund is offering investors access to the private Twitter. (ft.com) Media How Moneyball has ruined baseball, and culture.
Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant
Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.
Nerd's Eye View
NOVEMBER 2, 2022
In the United States, Registered Investment Advisers (RIAs) are required to register in one of 2 ways: with the Federal government (namely the SEC) or with one (or more) state securities regulatory agencies. While SEC-registered RIAs are governed by the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 (and its associated regulations), state-registered RIAs are subject to the individual rules of the states (which have their own securities laws and regulations) where they are registered.
The Reformed Broker
NOVEMBER 3, 2022
Final Trades: Waste Connections, Boeing & Zillow from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 29, 2022
?. This week, we speak with The Jeremies! Professor Jeremy Siegel at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is frequently voted Best professor at Wharton, and is the author of Stocks for the Long Run , Jeremy Schwartz is CIO at Wisdom Tree Asset Management , where he has worked since May 2005. We discuss how why stocks — and real estate, gold, and bonds — have performed over time.
Abnormal Returns
NOVEMBER 2, 2022
Morgan Housel Derek Thompson talks with Morgan Housel about what investing is for. (theringer.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talks with Morgan Housel about money and storytelling. (morningstar.com) Investing Diversification allows you to not have to make big bets. (awealthofcommonsense.com) On the siren's song that is stock picking. (bestinterest.blog) Why banks don't necessarily offer their existing clients the best CD rates.
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Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.
Nerd's Eye View
NOVEMBER 1, 2022
Welcome back to the 305th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Mindy Crary. Mindy is the owner of Creative Money, an independent RIA based in Seattle, Washington, that offers a unique 12-month financial planning engagement – or as Mindy puts it on her homepage, “financial planning that doesn’t suck” – which has allowed her firm to work with nearly 400 client households just this year.
Calculated Risk
NOVEMBER 4, 2022
From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 261,000 in October , and the unemployment rate rose to 3.7 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in health care, professional and technical services, and manufacturing. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August was revised down by 23,000, from +315,000 to +292,000, and the change for September was revised up by 52,000, from +263,000 to +315,000.
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 29, 2022
The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Bean Box coffee, grab a seat on the sofa, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Crypto Story Where it came from, what it all means, and why it still matters by Matt Levine. There was a moment not so long ago when I thought, “What if I’ve had this crypto thing all wrong?” I’m a doubting normie who, if I’m being honest, hasn’t always understood this alternate universe that’s been percolating and expanding for more than a decade now.
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 30, 2022
Top clicks this week Money market mutual funds may no longer be the best place for short term cash. (wsj.com) Through a statistical quirk, the Fed is causing the inflation it is fighting. (ritholtz.com) Zuck is running Meta ($META) into the ground. (ez.substack.com) Why so few investors utilize managed futures in their portfolios. (blog.validea.com) Why isn't everyone talking more about the increasingly inverted Treasury yield curve?
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As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.
A Wealth of Common Sense
NOVEMBER 3, 2022
A reader asks: My question is how does asset allocation strategy change with your net worth? For example, should someone of the same age with $10 million in net worth have the same allocation as someone with $1 million? The bulk of my career has been spent working in the institutional investment space — mainly foundations and endowments. These huge pools of capital liked to call themselves “sophisticated” invest.
Calculated Risk
OCTOBER 31, 2022
Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency decreased to 0.69% in September from 0.72% in August. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.62% in September 2021. This is close to pre-pandemic levels. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure". The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59% following the housing bubble and peaked at 3.32% in August 2020 during the pandemic.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 4, 2022
BMW’s image as the “ultimate driving machine” was built atop the sportiness of its high-performance coupe models. The “sharknose” E9 was BMW’s elegant flagship coupe sold in the US from 1968-1975. The E9 used an electronic fuel injection system that was state-of-the-art technology back then (most cars were still using carburetors). 200 HP made the 3.0 CSi really fast (at least for those days).
Abnormal Returns
NOVEMBER 4, 2022
Strategy When should you change your asset allocation? Not all that often. (awealthofcommonsense.com) For the first time in a decade, TIPS finally look attractive. (morningstar.com) Old school Would Ben Graham buy Meta ($META) stock? (rationalwalk.com) 12 lessons from Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett on money and life including 'Volatility is not risk.
Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader
In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a
A Wealth of Common Sense
OCTOBER 30, 2022
Facebook went public in the spring of 2012. In the year before filing to become a public company, the social network brought in $3.7 billion in revenue. The stock price actually fell 50% from May 2012 through September of that year. From that point on it was one of the best-performing tech stocks in the entire market. From September 2012 through August 2021, Facebook shares were up a cool 2000%.
Calculated Risk
NOVEMBER 2, 2022
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 0.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 28, 2022. This week’s results include revised data to reflect an update to last week’s survey results.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 1, 2022
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Fed Seen Aggressively Hiking to 5%, Triggering Global Recession : Survey of economists sees 75 basis-point hike, then slowing Three-quarters say the Fed will err by doing too much. ( Bloomberg ) see also Cash-Rich Consumers Could Mean Higher Interest Rates for Longer Buoyed by pandemic-fueled savings, consumers and businesses are proving less sensitive to tighter credit—complicating the Fed’s job. ( Wall Street Journal ). • Revenge of the Dow : Chang
Abnormal Returns
NOVEMBER 3, 2022
Books A Q&A with Guarav Batra, co-author of "The Titanium Economy: How Industrial Technology Can Create a Better, Faster, Stronger America." (fasterplease.substack.com) An excerpt from "It’s Not TV: The Spectacular Rise, Revolution, and Future of HBO" by Felix Gillette and John Koblin. (bloomberg.com) An excerpt from “I Wouldn’t Do That if I Were Me: Modern Blunders and Modest Triumphs (but Mostly Blunders)” by Jason Gay.
Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor
During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.
Wealth Management
NOVEMBER 1, 2022
CapWealth went up against an SEC staff of eight attorneys, jury experts and two paralegals, and won a rare victory related to share class disclosure conflicts. “This is David and Goliath,” the firm's co-founder said.
Calculated Risk
NOVEMBER 1, 2022
Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for October. Wards Auto estimates sales of 14.90 million SAAR in October 2022 (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate), up 10.4% from the September sales rate, and up 12.7% from October 2021. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows light vehicle sales since 2006 from the BEA (blue) and Wards Auto's estimate for October (red).
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 31, 2022
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Is the Stock Market Gaslighting Us? A downturn in the market doesn’t always precede a downturn in the economy. Yes, the stock market is forward-looking, but sometimes it sees things that aren’t there. At its low, the S&P 500 was 25% below its high. It’s hard to completely dismiss this as a leading indicator and I’m not here to do that, but while most drawdowns of this magnitude have led to economic contractions, they haven’t always. ( Irrelevant Inv
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