Sat.Jan 21, 2023 - Fri.Jan 27, 2023

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Creating A (Just In Case) Game Plan For Clients Facing Layoffs

Nerd's Eye View

With the U.S. economy predicted by many experts to slow down in the near future, many people’s thoughts have turned to the prospect of a recession. And along with those expectations may come concerns for those still in the workforce about the possibility of layoffs, and needing to get by without income for an unknown period of time. Such periods can be fraught with anxiety, since beyond 'just' the fear of losing one’s livelihood is the realization that there is little way to control

Clients 242
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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 69% YoY; New Listings Down 5% YoY

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released today from Chief Economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Jan 21, 2023. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 69% above one year ago.

Numbers 363
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ChatGPT is everything you wanted Bitcoin to be

The Reformed Broker

Bitcoin is a middling technology that, 15 years after its introduction to the world, still does not have a single legitimate use case in the developed world where it’s the best possible solution to a problem. It’s worse than our traditional stores of value (gold, US dollar) because of its inherent volatility (roughly 5x more volatile than the stock market).

Marketing 353
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FINRA Fines Wedbush $975K Over Trade Supervision Lapses

Wealth Management

In a settlement, FINRA said the firm mistakenly believed that third-party b/ds executing the trades were responsible for spotting potential market manipulation.

Marketing 342
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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Stop Worrying About All Those Tech Layoffs…

The Big Picture

I wanted to drop a quick note about the endless spate of layoff announcements — and why you should (mostly) ignore them. Let’s start with some numbers: Microsoft 22,000 (10%) Amazon 18,000 (1%) Google 12,000 (6.4%) Salesforce 7,000 (10%) Tesla 10,000 (10%) Twitter 3,700 (50%) Apple 0 (0%) Keep in mind a few things as you con

Numbers 326
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The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices

Calculated Risk

Earlier, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter on December existing home sales, NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December , I mentioned that the median price was down more than normal seasonally. Below is a table of the seasonal pattern over the last several years. Seasonally prices typically peak in June (closed sales for contracts signed mostly in April and May).

Sales 363

More Trending

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Eight Top Valuation Drivers for Independent RIAs

Wealth Management

What's driving RIA valuations? These factors are what smart buyers look for, and smart sellers keep in mind at all times, says Dynasty's CEO.

Valuation 312
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How Do Active Managers Invest Their Own Money?

The Big Picture

Fascinating discussion this morning from Robin Powell. He points to a research note from Kings College where the authors surveyed active managers about how they were responding to the shift in favor from active to passive fund management over the past decade or two. But they also asked questions about how these managers invested their own monies. Robin buries the lede in his discussion, but allow me to correct that oversight: “ Active managers invest their own capital passively.” Man

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Personal Income increased 0.2% in December; Spending decreased 0.2%

Calculated Risk

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for December: Personal income increased $49.5 billion (0.2 percent) in December , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $49.2 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $41.6 billion (0.2 percent).

Food 354
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Wait for it

The Reformed Broker

I had a bit of a flashback last night to the year 2000, sitting in my office after hours watching JDS Uniphase collapse on the heels of its conference call after reporting “better than expected” earnings for the quarter. Throughout 2000, techs and telecoms were still making a ton of profit, but it was becoming apparent that they were still coasting on the spend from 1999.

Marketing 325
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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The Top 5 ESG Mistakes Advisors Make

Wealth Management

More clients want it than you might think, and it need not be as hard as it seems.

Clients 305
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How to Avoid Financial Disasters

The Big Picture

I am genuinely excited about a new presentation I have been working on since the holidays: How to Avoid Financial Disasters. My career in finance has coincided with an amazing string of disasters, ranging from the analyst scandal, IPO spinning, and accounting restatements, to say nothing of Enron, Bernie Madoff, and FTX. The TL:DR version: there are three big problems that HNW and UHNW investors that lead to a devastating loss of capital: 1.

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Housing January 23rd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week

Calculated Risk

Altos reports inventory was down 0.1% week-over-week. Usually inventory bottoms in February; in 2022, inventory bottomed in early March. It is possible that inventory is already near a bottom for the year! Here are the same week inventory changes for the last five years: 2023: -0.6K 2022: -6.8K 2021: -8.2K 2020: +2.1K 2019: +10.3K Click on graph for larger image.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week What investment beliefs do you hold that a majority of investment pros would disagree with? (mebfaber.com) Is this a new bull market? Hold on. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) The stock market typically bottoms before earnings. (tker.co) Nick Maggiulli, "Being rich is a feeling." (ofdollarsanddata.com) Time and patience play a big role in wealth building.

Insurance 277
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Seven Steps to Drive Real Diversity in Financial Services

Wealth Management

Proactive ways to attract and retain diverse talent from PlanCorp's chief talent officer.

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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • NYSE Investigates Technical Issue That Caused Wild Market Open : At least 40 S&P 500 stocks were hit with trading halts. NYSE says it’s investigating issues with the opening auction. ( Bloomberg ) • For Tech Companies, Years of Easy Money Yield to Hard Times : Rock-bottom rates were the secret engine fueling $1 billion start-ups and virtual attempts to conquer the physical world.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 186,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending January 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 186,000 , a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 190,000 to 192,000. The 4-week moving average was 197,500, a decrease of 9,250 from the previous week's revised average.

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Podcast links: the simulation of learning

Abnormal Returns

The biz The podcasting business has gone from gold rush to mature in a couple of years. (niemanlab.org) Spotify ($SPOT) has yet to make the most of its podcast acquisitions. (theverge.com) Twenty lessons Ryan Holiday learned making his podcast including ' (ryanholiday.net) AI Derek Thompson talks with Ben Thompson, of Stratechery, about the wide-ranging impact of AI.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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WealthStack Roundup: Asset-Map Partners with Cetera; Elements Receives $5M in Funding; Lumiant Partners with DMW Strategic Consulting

Wealth Management

Asset-Map brings visualized financial planning and advice-led solutions to the organization’s 8,000 independent financial professionals.

Assets 292
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Colombia Tolima Los Brasiles Peaberry Organic coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Art and Science of Spending Money : Money “the greatest show on earth” because of its ability to reveal things about people’s character and values. How people invest their money tends to be hidden from view.

Food 264
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Has Housing "Bottomed"?

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Has Housing "Bottomed"? Brief excerpt: I’ve heard some positive comments from a number of real estate agents in the last week about the existing home market. Activity is still down sharply year-over-year (YoY), but the YoY decline is getting smaller. And some upbeat comments on new home sales. Way back in 2009, I pointed out that there are usually two bottoms for housing.

Sales 275
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For Blood and Money

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Nathan Vardi, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss Nathan’s book (For Blood and Money), the biotech landscape, hedge fund returns, the GOAT of investing, venture capital, why the market is rallying, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

Investing 246
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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Advisors Who Ignore Next-Gen Clients Are Missing Out on Billions

Wealth Management

It may be time for wealth management firms to adjust fees, take that crypto course and hire a junior advisor, according to a new Fidelity report.

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SUPD: Debt Ceiling,Inflation and much more

The Big Picture

Most podcasts have a Q&A between a guest and the host. Whenever I get together with Pete, it’s just two idiot friends BS-ing about whatever. I hope you enjoy this hour-long discussion about everything and nothing. (We start at the 15:15 mark). Pete always sneaks in some early chitchat that is candid and I don’t expect to make it to the show; after 4 years, I should know better.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Median House Prices Down 11.3% from Peak in June 2022; Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December Median Prices Down 11.3% from Peak in June 2022 • December Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction • 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in December California Home Sales down 44% YoY in December; Prices Down 2.8% YoY • The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP • Homebuilder Price Cuts This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week a

Numbers 270
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Jan 28-29)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that CFP Board announced this week that it is splitting into two separate organizations with the same leadership but different nonprofit statuses. By switching to 501(c)(6) nonprofit status, the new CFP Board of Standards will have expanded abilities to advance the planning profession through lobbying and more targeted advertising messages to grow the ranks of

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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CFP Board Splits To Better Tout Profession’s Benefits

Wealth Management

The CFP Board Center of Financial Planning will concentrate on pro bono and research work, while the CFP Board of Standards will focus on certifying advisors.

CFP 289
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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Qualcomm, Chevron, Carlyle Group & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply Brief excerpt: The next graph shows the months of supply by stage of construction. “Months of supply” is inventory at each stage, divided by the sales rate. There are 1.4 months of completed supply (red line).

Sales 267
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#FA Success Ep 317: From Individual To Partnership: Managing The Merger Transition From Solo Practices, With Jennifer Climo

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 317th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Jennifer Climo. Jennifer is the CEO and a Senior Advisor for Milestone Financial Planning, an independent RIA based in Bedford, New Hampshire, that oversees $360 million in assets under management for 225 client households. What's unique about Jennifer, though, is how, after more than a decade of building her own successful solo practice, she intentionally decided to merge her practice wit

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.