Sat.Aug 06, 2022 - Fri.Aug 12, 2022

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Why the market is bouncing

The Reformed Broker

Why did the stock market bounce this summer? Everyone has their explanation: The Fed might pivot! Inflation readings have now peaked! Oil prices are down 25%! China is ending the lockdowns! The labor market is staying strong! Earnings are still coming in better than expected! All true. But there’s an even better reason that doesn’t invalidate any of the ones I’ve posted above.

Marketing 339
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The Trouble with Sentiment

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman and CIO & “Masters in Business” host, discusses recession risk and inversion of the 2-year/10-year curve. US Economy Facing Growth Recession. ?. Source: Bloomberg , August 9th, 2022. See also : Blame Election Deniers for Faltering Consumer Sentiment. by Matthew A. Winkler. Bloomberg, August 8, 2022.

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Personal finance links: wasting precious time

Abnormal Returns

Aging Five lessons from getting older including 'Change gets old.' (humbledollar.com) The pursuit of the 'new things' eventually loses its glow. (gothamgal.com) Don't let inertia keep you from learning something new (and useful). (abnormalreturns.com) Investing Why avoiding investment fads is so difficult. (bestinterest.blog) Making the case for Series I Savings Bonds.

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Creating Powerful Firm Messaging That Targets Prospects In Your Niche

Nerd's Eye View

Good marketing based on using impactful messages for consumers is a foundational element for many types of businesses that allows companies to define and convey their unique value. For financial advisors, effective messaging often tells the story of how their advisory practice serves clients, with the intent to resonate with the audience and inspire them to engage with the firm.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Please don’t pivot

The Reformed Broker

The Federal Reserve’s recent attempt to check inflation has been somewhat successful and some macro factors have also gone its way. This morning’s CPI bolsters the case that falling gas prices are helping to ease the overall situation. The inflation rate for housing, rent and employment, however, remains stubbornly high. U.S. inflation was 8.5% in July, the Labor Department said Wednesday, holding close to it.

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More Trending

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Sunday links: incentives at work

Abnormal Returns

Fund management The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF ($BND) is set to become the biggest bond ETF. (ft.com) Four big trends in the asset management have been in place for a decade. (morningstar.com) Corporate governance only works if shares actually get voted. (etftrends.com) Coinbase How Coinbase ($COIN) lost its big lead to FTX and Binance. (nytimes.com) Why the Coinbase ($COIN)-Blackrock ($BLK) agreement is a big deal.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Aug 13-14)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the U.S. Senate has passed the Inflation Reduction Act, which while being light on individual tax changes, nevertheless includes some important financial planning provisions such as prescription drug price relief for Medicare enrollees, continuation of expanded Affordable Care Act healthcare premium subsidies, and tax credits for energy efficiency upgrade

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Three Things I Think I Think

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here are some things I think I am thinking about: 1) Inflation has peaked. This morning’s CPI report is more evidence that disinflation is going to become a more prolonged [ … ].

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: • Private Equity Doesn’t Want You to Read This : Not only do private equity partners make money even if their companies blow up; they also get a pretty good deal from the government on what they earn. Private equity funds generally charge their investors two different fees: a management fee of 2 percent of invested assets per year (funds are held for an average of about six years), and a “carried interest” fee that is 20 percent of any investment gains realized in the

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Research links: the burden of proof

Abnormal Returns

Cryptocurrencies A study of the personality traits of cryptocurrency buyers. (evidenceinvestor.com) On the flaws of the Bitcoin model, at scale. (papers.ssrn.com) Research Is it possible to identify when momentum crashes are more likely to happen? (alphaarchitect.com) Why does trend following work better in a high inflation regime? (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) There's not much to see in tactical asset allocation ETF performance.

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#FA Success Ep 293: Jumpstarting Growth By Showing Up Differently Where Prospects Are (Digitally) Concentrated, With Anna N’Jie-Konte

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 293rd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Anna N’Jie-Konte. Anna is the founder of Dare to Dream Financial Planning, an independent RIA based in New York City that has grown to more than $400,000 of annual revenue in barely 3 years by building a focused base of 32 ongoing clients coupled with more than a dozen project-based planning clients who go through a one-day financial planning intensive.

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MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2022"

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2022 The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties decreased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.64 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the second quarter of 2022, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey.

Economics 145
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Volcanica coffee, grab a seat by the pool, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Is Scott Galloway the Howard Stern of the Business World? The professor and podcaster aspires to be an influential thought leader. But his appeal to a mostly male fan base is about more than just his prognostications. ( New York Times ). • Venture capital’s silent crash: when the tech boom met reality Investors of all stripes have crashed the clubby world of V

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Was the June bottom THE bottom? (awealthofcommonsense.com) An excerpt from "Buy This, Not That: How to Spend Your Way to Wealth and Freedom" by Sam Dogen. (getrichslowly.org) How some wealthy families avoid the trappings of wealth. (humbledollar.com) What 'The Bear' gets right about restaurants. (esquire.com) Why everyone is miserable, even though we are not in a recession.

Assets 163
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How To Manage Strong Emotions When Asking Clients Kinder Life Planning Questions

Nerd's Eye View

When financial planning clients think about their future, they might imagine a relaxing retirement, world travel, or other pleasant experiences. What they’re probably not considering is their own death, even though everyone’s time remaining on Earth is finite (even if the number of years they have left is unknowable). And using this perspective, advisors can add value for clients by helping them prioritize their goals and explore whether their current behaviors match their desired ou

Clients 241
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Debt Denominator Blindness

A Wealth of Common Sense

Consumer debt is on the rise. This comes from a recent report by the New York Fed: Total household debt rose $312 billion, or 2 percent, in the second quarter of 2022 to reach $16.15 billion, according to the latest?Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. Mortgage balances—the largest component of household debt—climbed $207 billion and stood at $11.39 trillion as of June 30.

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MiB: Anat Admati on Regulations and Techlash

The Big Picture

?. This week, we speak with Anat Admati, a professor of finance and economics at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. She specializes in corporate governance and regulations. In addition to being a senior fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and a director at the Corporations and Society Initiative, Admati is co-author of “ The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do about It with Martin Hellwig.

Banking 211
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Thursday links: a critical communication skill

Abnormal Returns

Markets The stock market cares about better or worse, not good or bad. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) A notable sign that markets are moving higher. (allstarcharts.com) Companies Tomasz Tunguz, "Profitability has surged as the most significant correlate & predictor of a public software company’s value." (tomtunguz.com) Amazon ($AMZN) is ladling stock on its employees.

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Creating Powerful Advisor Marketing Messages That Better Connect With Your Ideal Prospects

Nerd's Eye View

Good marketing based on using impactful messages for consumers is a foundational element for many types of businesses that allows companies to define and convey their unique value. For financial advisors, effective messaging often tells the story of how their advisory practice serves clients, with the intent to resonate with the audience and inspire them to engage with the firm.

Marketing 241
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AI Solutions Are Making Strides In Fintech Land

Wealth Management

Products like Toggle, though hardly revolutionary, nonetheless represent significant steps forward in improving day-to-day efficiency for advisors.

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Transcript: Anat Admati

The Big Picture

?. Transcript: Anat Admati. The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Anat Admati on Regulations and Techlash , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including the podcast extras on iTunes , Spotify , Stitcher , Google , Bloomberg , and Acast. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~. VOICE-OVER: This is Masters in Business with Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg Radio.

Banking 204
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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BLS: CPI Unchanged in July; Core CPI increased 0.3%

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : T he Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment. The gasoline index fell 7.7 percent in July and offset increases in the food and shelter indexes, resulting in the all items index being unchanged over the month.

Food 145
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Kitces & Carl Ep 92: When Clients Want Certainty You Just Can’t Give Them

Nerd's Eye View

Many clients seek financial advisors for their expertise and their abilities to guide them through financial decisions. However, for some clients, the ambiguity that inevitably arises from uncertain outcomes can be very distressing, especially when it comes to investments during volatile times. While these clients may have general concerns about their financial future, their concerns may also be in reaction to messaging from other sources that guarantee (unrealistically) low or even ‘no-ri

Clients 189
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When is a Bear Market Over?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: So I know you guys have talked a lot about are we in a recession now and being in a bear market (equities declining 20%). When is a bear market by definition over? For instance if we just trade flat for the next year and then do enter a recession does this correction still count as part of that? The short answer is, yes, if we don’t reach all-time highs and rollover again at some point in the coming m.

Marketing 139
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The Facts About Digital Marketing for Financial Advisors

Wealth Management

Like it or not, you are in the digital space. Here’s how to start using it to your advantage.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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August 8th Update: Housing Inventory Increases Slow

Calculated Risk

Inventory is still increasing, but the inventory build has slowed. Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years: 2022: 5.0K 2021: 4.5K 2020: -14.0K 2019: -6.4K Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 126% since then. Altos reports inventory is up 32.1% year-over-year and is now 24.4% above the peak last year.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Aug 13-14)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the U.S. Senate has passed the Inflation Reduction Act, which while being light on individual tax changes, nevertheless includes some important financial planning provisions such as prescription drug price relief for Medicare enrollees, continuation of expanded Affordable Care Act healthcare premium subsidies, and tax credits for energy efficiency upgrade

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The Michael Scott Economy

A Wealth of Common Sense

Paul Samuelson is credited with the quip that, “The stock market has predicted 9 out of the last 5 recessions.” You can credit Ben Carlson with a new variation on this quote: The stock market has predicted 1 out of the last 0 recessions. No one ever truly knows what the stock market is pricing in at any moment but it sure felt like it was pricing in an imminent recession in June when the market was down more t.

Economy 137