The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
A recession so contrived and man-made that every economist, politician, business owner, college student, CEO, rapper and professional athlete has been able to see it coming in real-time for months and months… Take a picture, you may never see anything so obviously about to happen ever again. A child could have foreseen it. At a certain point, a person who is charge of price stability should probably look in the mirr.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report released yesterday from Chief Economist Danielle Hale and Jiayi Xu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Sep 17, 2022. Note: They have data on list prices, new listings and more, but this focus is on inventory. • Active inventory continued to grow, and improved 28% above one year ago.
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Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
Valian complements the firm's established Pulse portfolio management and reporting platform.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
One of the things we know about inflation expectations is that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell relies heavily on them. He thinks about expectations, gives speeches on them, and uses the data series when enacting Federal Reserve policies to combat inflation. The problem is that all consumer surveys (including inflation expectations) are deeply problematic.
Speaker: Erroll Amacker
As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the SEC has issued a risk alert putting advisors on notice that examiners will be conducting a number of reviews to evaluate how firms are complying with the Commission’s new marketing rule, which it will begin to enforce starting November 4.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
From Bloomberg: Home-Flipper Opendoor Hit With Losses in Echo of Zillow Collapse excerpt: The company, which sells thousands of homes in a typical month, lost money on 42% of its transactions in August, according to research from YipitData. Opendoor’s performance — as measured by the prices at which it bought and sold properties — was even worse in key markets such as Los Angeles, where the company lost money on 55% of sales, and Phoenix, where the share was 76%.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
How would you like to buy a Rolex — brand new, with papers and box — for MSRP? Prices have skyrocketed for used timepieces, and it would be perfect to nab that Daytona or Batman you have been eyeballing all pandemic for a reasonable amount of cash. Watch Rapport (link omitted on purpose) has every Rollie for sale up for pre-order at MSRP.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
There are many financial advisors who take issue with the financial advice offered by popular personal finance personalities such as Dave Ramsey. Some disagree on technical details like the plausibility (or purported lack thereof) of his assumptions for future investment returns, while others criticize broader elements of his approach (like his reliance on rules of thumb and a one-size-fits-all approach to building wealth).
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased Slightly to 4.80 million SAAR in August Excerpt: On prices, the NAR reported : The median existing-home price for all housing types in August was $389,500, a 7.7% jump from August 2021 ($361,500), as prices ascended in all regions. This marks 126 consecutive months of year-over-year increases, the longest-running streak on record.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
Some tips to help advisors stay compliant and avoid big fines.
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Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
The Devil must be strapping on his ice skates: Ferrari just introduced the Purosangue, a 4-door, 4-seater SUV crossover. We should not be surprised. Other sports car makers have embraced the SUV to great success: The Cayenne (literally) saved Porshe from bankruptcy; Lamborghini Urus helped drive the company’s worth to ~$11 billion. That Maranello wants some of that juice reveals how the modern world of ultra-luxury playthings works.
The Reformed Broker
SEPTEMBER 17, 2022
Here’s a group shot of my team at Ritholtz Wealth and the Advisor Circle group with whom we put on the inaugural Future Proof Festival this week. There are a lot of similarities between our two companies. Barry and I started RWM because we had both reached the point in our respective careers where we’d had enough of watching other firm owners bumble and stumble their way into mediocrity.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
From the NAR: Existing-Home Sales Slipped 0.4% in August Existing-home sales experienced a slight dip in August, marking the seventh consecutive month of declines, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Month-over-month sales varied across the four major U.S. regions as two regions recorded increases, one was unchanged and the other posted a drop.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
Despite record-high rents and strong demand for self-storage units, higher interest rates and debt costs have contributed to a slowdown in investment sales activity in the sector.
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Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
? ?. The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Albert Wenger, Union Square Ventures , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including the podcast extras on iTunes , Spotify , Stitcher , Google , Bloomberg , and Acast. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~. ANNOUNCER: This is Masters in Business with Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg Radio.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
Podcasts Daniel Crosby talks with Morgan Housel author of "The Psychology of Money." (standarddeviationspod.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Farnoosh Torabi about navigating family money dynamics. (morningstar.com) Cody and Justin talk with Vitaliy Katsenelson about his new book "Soul in the Game." (thefishow.com) College Parent PLUS loans are a disaster.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: August Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction Excerpt: The fourth graph shows housing starts under construction, Seasonally Adjusted (SA). Red is single family units. Currently there are 812 thousand single family units under construction (SA). This is below the previous four months, and 16 thousand below the peak in April and May.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
Whopping rental rate spikes caught the eyes of many apartment investors and even with the pace of growth likely to slow, overall fundamentals remain attractive.
Speaker: Aaron Berson
Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Most pros can’t beat the market : 2021 is the 13th consecutive years in which the majority of fund managers in this category have lagged the index. ( TKer ). • The 55-and-Older Labor Market Exodus Is a Statistical Mirage People in their late 50s and early 60s haven’t stopped working, and for those over 65, workforce participation declines have been smaller than generally portrayed. ( Bloomberg ) see also Quiet Quitting Is a Fake Trend : What peopl
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 19, 2022
2022 marks the 50 th anniversary of the enrollment of students into the first Certified Financial Planner (CFP) course, and in the years since then, financial planning (and the process of creating a financial plan) has changed extensively. Early on, the ‘financial plan’ was primarily used as a way to demonstrate a prospective client’s ‘gaps’ and needs for products such as mutual funds or life insurance (which the advisor would then be ready to sell to the client).
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 18, 2022
At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • Current State of the Housing Market • 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in August • Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Strong in Q2 • Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO • California Home Sales off 24% YoY in August, Prices Up Only 1.4% YoY; August Existing Home Sales Forecast This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
New construction of multifamily properties, which include rental apartments and are therefore less sensitive to rate-induced shifts in demand, jumped 28 percent in August to the highest level since 1986.
Speaker: Sierre Lindgren
Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.
The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 17, 2022
The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Bean Box coffee, grab a seat on the sofa, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Illusion of Knowledge : I’ve been expressing my disregard for forecasts for almost as long as I’ve been writing my memos, starting with The Value of Predictions, or Where’d All This Rain Come From in February 1993.
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
Welcome back to the 299th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Tim Regan. Tim is the founder of PrairieView Wealth Partners, a hybrid advisory firm based in Orland Park, Illinois, that oversees $100 million in assets under management for 190 client households. What's unique about Tim, though, is how he leverages the independence he gained by transitioning from an insurance agency model to becoming a hybrid with Thrivent Advisor Network to focus his fi
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions Housing Starts: Privately?owned housing starts in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,575,000. This is 12.2 percent above the revised July estimate of 1,404,000, but is 0.1 percent below the August 2021 rate of 1,576,000. Single?family housing starts in August were at a rate of 935,000; this is 3.4 percent above the revised July figure of 904,000.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 20, 2022
A focus on employee training, deepening your understanding of firm KPIs and enhancing brand power keeps leaders focused on producing future growth.
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The Big Picture
SEPTEMBER 21, 2022
My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • Jerome Powell’s Inflation Whisperer: Paul Volcker Aiming to reduce inflation even at the risk of recession, the Fed Chairman draws on a 1980s playbook. ‘We must keep at it until the job is done.’ ( Wall Street Journal ) see also The “Data-Dependent” Fed and the Data Interpreting the mixed signals across the economy, with a focus on inflation, jobs, and market pricing. ( The Overshoot ). • Were Those Great Returns the Result of Skill — or Just Lu
Nerd's Eye View
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
As the world becomes increasingly digital, the barrier to get one’s ideas out and in front of others becomes lower and lower. In the financial sector, in particular, this has led to an open floodgate of financial tips and advice. Many financial advisors have found that sharing their own expertise and marketing their intellectual property are great ways to establish themselves as dependable, trustworthy sources.
Calculated Risk
SEPTEMBER 23, 2022
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Why Measures of Existing Home Inventory appear Different A brief excerpt: There is a significant difference between measures of inventory, and this is leading to some confusion. Here is a graph comparing the year-over-year change in Realtor.com’s active inventory, the NAR’s inventory, and Realtor.com inventory including pending sales.
Wealth Management
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
His planning serves as a reminder for advisors to understand our clients’ goals and develop tools to achieve them.
Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
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