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I’ll go straight to the punch line —> The average RIA firm had negative revenue growth over the past five years if you exclude market movement using a traditional 60/40 marketportfolio as a proxy for RIA investment allocations. With a traditional 60/40 allocation, this portfolio would have grown about 75.5%
The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Antti Ilmanen, Co-Head, Portfolio Solutions, AQR , is below. BARRY RITHOLTZ; HOST; MASTERS IN BUSINESS: This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest, Antti Ilmanen is AQR’s Co-head of the Portfolio Solutions Group. CO-HEAD, AQR’S PORTFOLIO SOLUTIONS GROUP: Thanks, Barry.
MARTIN: I tend to take the view that having a very balanced portfolio and knowing what you invest in, and investing for the long term is probably 9 times out of 10 the — maybe 9.5 MARTIN: I guess I wish I knew how important — I wish I knew how important the role of the programmer was going to become in financialmarkets.
Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. With that said, I am always quick to point out that diversification in a portfolio is important (i.e., Source: Calafia Beach Pundit. Source: Edward Yardeni.
First of all, I think the amount of investors that participate in the financialmarkets is much smaller than it is in the U.S. And I think that the financial advisors are used, but not as widely used as they are in the U.S. And definitely, their retail market participation is significantly lower than you can see in the U.S.
So like a component of it was like the standard derivatives math, right? And so like, you know, I got there and I learned derivatives math, right? It was derivatives math, it was like working with the traders on like risk management. Like, like the, you know, like the accounting standards.
The New Normal It is difficult for investors and individuals alike not to have been directly impacted by the rapid rise in inflation in 2021 and 2022, the succeeding interest rate hikes by global central banks and the ensuing effects these economic events have had on financialmarkets, including the mortgage market.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. Initially I joined to help them manage their equity portfolio. It was the exact same trade.
The academic side of how to build a portfolio, we can argue about the details, right? As an advisor, you could get somebody’s model portfolio, or you could hire some, you know, three CFAs and do it yourself. We’re kind of upside down in how we compensate and how we think about markets, right? NADIG: Right.
ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing. ADMATI: Yes.
I didn’t think I would be necessarily doing what I’m doing today, but I knew that I was gonna be interested in financialmarkets of some kind, and I think I probably ended up in the right place. And so the last six and a half years, that portfolio has outperformed the s and p by almost 800 basis points annually.
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. 00:01:29 [Barry Ritholtz] I I, I try not to butcher people’s names, but let’s talk a little bit about your, your background.
New York Times Magazine ) • Wall Street Math Wizards Are Decoding Private-Market Returns : A small band of quants is shining a light into the shadowy world of unlisted assets. He is the portfolio manager of the Return Stacked ETF Suite, manging 800 million in ETF assets. But It Is Fighting Back. Try these 15 factors instead. (
Because he was all sure he was a totally isolated math. So, so he’s brilliant at math. He goes to m i t to study, study physics and math. So brilliant enough so that sure, he goes to math camp in the summer and find, kind of finds his tribe. But in math camp, he’s not the best. And the Undoing project.
And I did a lot of options math, which I thought was interesting. ’cause these are companies and in some cases countries that were never really fully integrated into the global financial system. And so as the global financialmarkets were in a tailspin, they were actually very resilient. Makes sense.
I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math. And, and business cycle, you know, part of the business cycle are the financialmarkets. The market was doing something and he said, it’s just too much money in irresponsible hands. He helps portfolio managers make sense of the world.
So how Barry Ritholtz : Do you go from a PhD program to financial engineering masters? Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not.
That’s because, at best , complex systems – from the weather to the markets – allow only for probabilistic forecasts with very significant margins for error and often seemingly outlandish and hugely divergent potential outcomes. Chaos theory establishes as much. 2024 wasn’t any different.
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