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Where Will Housing Go From Here? | Weekly Market Commentary | August 22, 2022

James Hendries

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. All index data from FactSet.

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What a Week | Weekly Market Commentary | August 1, 2022

James Hendries

We still expect a growing economy, steady, if not solid, earnings gains ahead, and stable interest rates to fuel higher stock prices, although further gains will be more difficult to achieve given the time it will take for inflation to come down enough for the Fed to more strongly signal a pause and higher valuations.

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Client Letter | Big Week for Market Watchers | August 3, 2022

James Hendries

Market-based interest rates those not controlled by the Fed—have come down quite a bit, supporting stock valuations. But we believe the combination of low valuations, lower interest rates, prospects for lower inflation, and the possibility that the Fed signals a pause over the upcoming months tip the scales toward the bulls.

Clients 52
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Three Things to Know About Recessions | Weekly Market Commentary | October 24, 2022

James Hendries

The three factors for defining a recession are depth, diffusion, and duration – conveniently referred to as the “three D’s.” Depth refers to declining economic activity that is more than a relatively small change. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. All index data from FactSet.

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Market, Stocks, and Bonds Lessons Learned from 2022 | Weekly Market Commentary | January 9, 2023

James Hendries

economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The relationship between inflation and stock valuations is a strong one, as shown in Figure 2 , which meant the market could no longer support price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios over 20 (the same goes for the relationship between interest rates and stock valuations).

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Client Letter | Looking Ahead | November 2, 2022

James Hendries

Still, as we survey what are better equity valuations, long-awaited income opportunities in the bond market, and a likely less-antagonistic Fed in 2023, there may be emerging reasons to believe that the next year may be more constructive than the last. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

Clients 52
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No Landing = No Sense | Weekly Market Commentary | March 6, 2023

James Hendries

Higher interest rates are challenging stock valuations and perhaps pushing the gains further out in 2023, but we still see solid potential for double-digit returns for stocks this year. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.