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(awealthofcommonsense.com) Corey Hoffstein talks with Farouk Jivraj, PortfolioManager and Head of Alternative Risk Premia at Fidelity Investments’ Asset Management Solutions division. podcasts.apple.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Vincent Aita, Founder and CIO of Cutter Capital Management.
Sherman oversees and administers DoubleLine’s investment management subcommittee; serves as lead portfoliomanager for multisector and derivative-based strategies; and is a member of the firm’s executive management and fixed-income asset allocation committees.
She has a really fascinating background, very eclectic, a combination of math and law. You, you get a, a BS in Mathematics and a JD from Boston University Math and Law. It is something, math has always come easy to me since a child. I didn’t get an advanced degree in math. Not the usual combination. What happened?
Portfoliomanagement was a lot less evidence-based than it is today. As it turns out, there are ways you can use data to your advantage, even if you’re not a math wizard. For most of the last century, investing was a lot more art than science. People did whatever was working based more on gut feelings than data.
All of their portfoliomanagers not only are substantial investors in each of their funds, but they do a disclosure year that shows each manager by name and how much money they have invested in their own fund. You, 00:18:29 [Speaker Changed] You, you mentioned ownership mentality.
I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. Now I do fundamental side research portfoliomanagement, which I just, 00:08:20 [Speaker Changed] So, so you joined GMO, there’s 60 people, 30 years.
The topics covered are personal finance math, retirement problems, introduction to mutual funds, the concept of fund & NAV, equity schemes, debt funds, investing in bonds, index funds, rolling returns, Exchange-traded funds(ETF) and basics of macroeconomics.
I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. I worked in sort of a quasi portfoliomanagement role for like a single client account type business. And I, I think that I kind of triangulated on it. I have no family history. I had two stops before then.
And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. I remember telling myself, why would anyone invest in mutual funds when you can buy an ETF instead? BERRUGA: Yeah.
So, first, I found the book to be quite fascinating, very in depth and you managed to take some of the more technical arcana and make it very understandable. You began as a central bank portfoliomanager in Finland. So, that relationship actually already started when I was a portfoliomanager, right? ILMANEN: Yes.
This year, VBINX is down 18% while NTSX is down almost 24%, the math appears to check out. For me, this is all a theoretical exercise but there's a wide contingent of very smart portfoliomanagers who seem to be all in on this. Does it do what it's supposed to? According to this white paper from ReSolve and Newfound, it does.
Even with 75% accuracy we only move from an investable universe where 30% of constituents outperform to now selecting the portfolio from a pool with a 56% win rate. We all know that a 55% hit rate is the top decile across the industry, and the maths above demonstrates why. This is why industry hit rates are so low.
Here I am talking not just portfoliomanagement but overall lifestyle, habits and choices and yes this does filter into my day job managing investment portfolios. Yeah, that sounds pretty good (giving them the benefit of the doubt about the math)… pretty good for an equity. Not great for an equity but pretty good.
So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. I didn’t know what any of these terms meant. So that’s the kind of more investment side of things.
In my opinion the diversification benefit hits diminishing returns pretty close to 40 individual holdings based on math if nothing else. If a portfolio starts with 40 holdings each with an equal 2.5% Own however many you want of course but the nuisance factor probably starts not much past 30 on the way up.
She was a partner and a portfoliomanager at Canyon Capital, a firm that runs currently about $25 billion. And all these formally high performers are now just so big, they’re very happy collecting the management fee and the performance fee matters less.
But yes, I was given my own column and by that point, having seen all these star managers come and go, you know, I had become an index fund devotee, and in column after column I banged the drum for index funds to the point where my editors were asking me, Hey, could you write about something else? That’s exactly right.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. So I, as a discretionary portfoliomanager, if you hand me cash, I can look at the market and say, you know what?
But it was a tremendous experience because I had started off in bond trading, worked my way into portfoliomanagement and running the bond indexing team for a number of years, and then I got asked to take this responsibility, which was much broader. And my maternal grandmother was also home, and she spoke primarily German to me.
So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. Those have compounded over the centuries and have managed to amass a huge amount of, of capital. He is portfoliomanager at Orbis Holdings.
And I was a math nerd as a kid. So, so you set to retire as portfoliomanager this year, you mentioned your two successors. And so I had to walk to the hotel and Dave Jenkins or Fidelity Analyst and now portfoliomanager had to walk home, which took a few hours. 00:55:47 [Speaker Changed] Huh, really interesting.
sherwood.news) Fund management How a portfoliomanager allocates trades matters. sherwood.news) Microstrategy ($MSTR) math doesn't math. (axios.com) Markets are, for now, shrugging off tariff threats. morningstar.com) Tom Lee's Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF ($GRNY) is live. governments.
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. 00:01:29 [Barry Ritholtz] I I, I try not to butcher people’s names, but let’s talk a little bit about your, your background.
00:31:40 [Speaker Changed] So there’s the emotions and then there’s the math, right? I, you know, I, I do do the math when I, when I do some of my, my chats with the younger folks on the, on the team and I say, okay, real growth inflation term premium, you see this thing, it’s been zero or negative for the last 15 years.
Picture Credit: David Merkel, with an assist from the YouImagine AI image generator || Boldly flying in front of a stained glass window PortfolioManagement Sick of the ups and downs of the markets? Jan 08, 2023 Also, the article is wrong when it states that current math pedagogy favors boys over girls.
Matt Eagan has spent his entire career in fixed income from credit analyst to portfoliomanager. Now he’s the head of the discretion team at Loomis Sales, which manages well over $335 billion in client assets. I started out math and, and physics, and in high school I was a rock star in math and physics.
I was a fixed income portfoliomanager and trader, which is a ton of fun. PIMCO out on the West Coast, read the first thing I wrote in the Journal of PortfolioManagement. My mom was a math teacher so — RITHOLTZ: Okay. He’s the genius in math. Program didn’t feel right. RITHOLTZ: No.
New York Times Magazine ) • Wall Street Math Wizards Are Decoding Private-Market Returns : A small band of quants is shining a light into the shadowy world of unlisted assets. He is the portfoliomanager of the Return Stacked ETF Suite, manging 800 million in ETF assets. But It Is Fighting Back.
And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. You learn the math that can help you with, with market making operations. It’s just not smart on a math basis to do that. And I just caught the bug. Become options market makers. You learn the technology.
Which was interesting because I actually started my career at JP Morgan Asset Management in the high yield and investment grade credit research team. And I did a lot of options math, which I thought was interesting. 00:07:26 And then I moved on to the equities team afterwards. And I just learned a tremendous amount.
I mean, you’re talking about, I don’t, I could do the math, it’s like a 10,000% return in like three weeks. And that’s sort of the math. He was right on the thesis. He found a place to express it efficiently. RITHOLTZ: Right. HOFFMAN: And he absolutely nailed the timing. I mean, it’s, I mean, really crazy.
I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math. He helps portfoliomanagers make sense of the world. Tell us a little bit about the plan for launching an independent economics research 00:09:15 [Speaker Changed] Shop. So at that point, I had a pretty big career. Not, not useful.
Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.
That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. Stop with the math.` Beyond the present lies imagination. And lots of surprises. This is the best thing I read in the last week.
William Priest, chairman, co-chief investment officer, and a portfoliomanager at TD Epoch, picked Meta (+66 percent), which handily beat the S&P 500, but his other four picks did not. RELX earned 16 percent, but the other three did poorly. That’s further proof that even a stopped clock is right twice a day.
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